{"id":66959,"date":"2024-11-27T00:31:45","date_gmt":"2024-11-26T23:31:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=66959"},"modified":"2024-11-26T15:40:05","modified_gmt":"2024-11-26T14:40:05","slug":"lucas-leiroz-francie-se-primo-zapojuje-do-ukrajinskeho-konfliktu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/27\/lucas-leiroz-francie-se-primo-zapojuje-do-ukrajinskeho-konfliktu\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Francie se p\u0159\u00edmo zapojuje do ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Z\u00e1pad pokra\u010duje v eskalaci v\u00e1lky s Ruskou federac\u00ed. Po americk\u00e9m povolen\u00ed k hlubok\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm, o kter\u00e9m informovala m\u00e9dia a kter\u00e9 Biden nevyvr\u00e1til, se vlna povolen\u00ed za\u010dala \u0161\u00ed\u0159it mezi dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. Francie, kter\u00e1 se stala jedn\u00edm z center vojensk\u00e9 podpory kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu, dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee neonacistick\u00e9 s\u00edly mohou pou\u017e\u00edvat takov\u00e9 zbran\u011b proti c\u00edl\u016fm mimo ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00f3nu konfliktu \u2013 co\u017e je jasn\u00fdm znamen\u00edm, \u017ee bod, odkud nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu nebo\u0165 z\u00e1padn\u00ed intervencionismus ji\u017e byl p\u0159ekro\u010den.<\/span><\/p>\n

Francouzsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Jean-Noel Barrot<\/span><\/a>\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Ukrajina m\u00e1 zelenou k pou\u017eit\u00ed zbran\u00ed dodan\u00fdch Franci\u00ed proti nesporn\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu \u00fazem\u00ed. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru pro britsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia \u0159ekl, \u017ee Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou \u201e\u010dervenou \u010d\u00e1ru\u201c ve sv\u00e9 podpo\u0159e Ukrajin\u011b a \u017ee pomoc je absolutn\u00ed a neomezen\u00e1. V tomto smyslu by byly povoleny \u00fadery proti jak\u00fdmkoli c\u00edl\u016fm, dokonce i na \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 sama Francie uzn\u00e1v\u00e1 jako rusk\u00e9, proto\u017ee jsou \u00fadajn\u011b sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u201elogistiky sebeobrany\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Barrotova slova potvrzuj\u00ed \u0159adu ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch medi\u00e1ln\u00edch zpr\u00e1v o povolen\u00ed takov\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f ze strany Francie. P\u0159\u00edpad p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed uprost\u0159ed vlny \u201ecarte blanche\u201c, aby Kyjev zas\u00e1hl Rusko \u201ehluboce\u201c. Dosud USA, Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed a Francie dodaly Ukrajin\u011b rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu a zjevn\u011b v\u0161echny tyto zem\u011b souhlasily s t\u00edm, \u017ee jejich z\u00e1stupn\u00fd re\u017eim m\u00e1 \u201epr\u00e1vo\u201c pou\u017e\u00edt takov\u00e9 zbran\u011b proti jak\u00fdmkoli c\u00edl\u016fm, v\u010detn\u011b region\u016f mimo z\u00f3nu konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Ukrajin\u011b \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 st\u0159ely SCALP-EG, jejich\u017e dolet (550 km) umo\u017e\u0148uje zasahovat c\u00edle na rusk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si Kyjev nen\u00e1rokuje. D\u0159\u00edve byly tyto zbran\u011b pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ny pouze k \u00fatok\u016fm na regiony, kter\u00e9 re\u017eim zpochyb\u0148oval, ale nyn\u00ed je jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu, kdy ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly odp\u00e1l\u00ed takov\u00e9 rakety v oblastech jako Kursk, Brjansk a Krasnodar \u2013 jak se to v posledn\u00edch dnech stalo s\u00a0<\/span>Brity a americk\u00e9 rakety.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

D\u016fsledky takov\u00e9ho kroku jsou zcela jasn\u00e9: Francie se rozhodla p\u0159\u00edmo \u00fa\u010dastnit konfliktu. T\u00edm, \u017ee Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e nestanov\u00ed limity pro pou\u017eit\u00ed sv\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, se jednodu\u0161e st\u00e1v\u00e1 spoluautorem jak\u00fdchkoli ukrajinsk\u00fdch zlo\u010din\u016f sp\u00e1chan\u00fdch francouzsk\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi na nesporn\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed Rusk\u00e9 federace. To je v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed \u010derven\u00fdch lini\u00ed Moskvy a legitimizuje tvrd\u00e9 reakce Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee podle podm\u00ednek nov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 doktr\u00edny m\u016f\u017ee Moskva jadern\u011b reagovat na spole\u010dn\u00e9 hlubok\u00e9 \u00fadery Ukrajiny a Z\u00e1padu. Moskva, pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed ve sv\u00e9 politice diplomatick\u00e9 dobr\u00e9 v\u016fle a pokusech o deeskalaci v\u00e1lky, se vyhnula extr\u00e9mn\u00ed reakci na ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 bombov\u00e9 \u00fatoky a m\u00edsto toho odp\u00e1lila konven\u010dn\u011b vyzbrojenou balistickou raketu proti vojensk\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm v Dn\u011bpropetrovsk\u00e9 oblasti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle hodnocen\u00ed n\u011bkolika vojensk\u00fdch expert\u016f z cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta nelze zbra\u0148 pou\u017e\u00edvanou Rusy, ned\u00e1vno ozn\u00e1menou hypersonickou st\u0159elu s jadernou schopnost\u00ed zvanou \u201eOreshnik\u201c, zne\u0161kodnit \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm protibalistick\u00fdm syst\u00e9mem, kter\u00fd je v sou\u010dasnosti z\u00e1padn\u00edm zem\u00edm k dispozici. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Moskva je schopna na boji\u0161ti pou\u017e\u00edt zbra\u0148, kterou nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e1 strana nem\u016f\u017ee sest\u0159elit, co\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 Rus\u016fm je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdhodu ve vojensk\u00e9 rovnov\u00e1ze. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee si Rusko vyhrazuje pr\u00e1vo pou\u017e\u00edt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fatoku Ore\u0161nikem s p\u0159ipojen\u00fdmi jadern\u00fdmi hlavicemi by Kyjev nem\u011bl \u0161anci zabr\u00e1nit rusk\u00e9mu opera\u010dn\u00edmu \u00fasp\u011bchu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, je to samotn\u00e9 Rusko, kter\u00e9 zpomaluje svou opera\u010dn\u00ed kapacitu a br\u00e1n\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed trag\u00e9dii na Ukrajin\u011b. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Kyjev a z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed eskalovat v\u00e1lku do jej\u00edch kone\u010dn\u00fdch d\u016fsledk\u016f, i kdy\u017e to povede k jadern\u00e9mu konfliktu \u2013 co\u017e by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u011blo za n\u00e1sledek miliony civiln\u00edch ob\u011bt\u00ed. Na ka\u017ed\u00e9 gesto dobr\u00e9 v\u016fle ze strany Ruska reaguje Z\u00e1pad v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed agres\u00ed a vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00edm, co\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed situaci extr\u00e9mn\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud bude tato eskalace pokra\u010dovat, jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se stane nevyhnutelnou. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b nesou plnou odpov\u011bdnost za budoucnost konfliktu, proto\u017ee z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b ignoruj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 \u010derven\u00e9 linie a navzdory opakovan\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm nad\u00e1le podporuj\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky. Jak ji\u017e uvedly rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady, pou\u017eit\u00ed t\u011bchto zbran\u00ed mimo spornou z\u00f3nu m\u011bn\u00ed povahu konfliktu, z \u201ev\u00e1lky z\u00e1stupn\u00fdch z\u00e1stupc\u016f\u201c na situaci p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 konfrontace mezi Moskvou a NATO \u2013 vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee je to person\u00e1l NATO, kdo \u0159\u00edd\u00ed takov\u00e9 zbran\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie a Francie si doslova \u201ehraj\u00ed s ohn\u011bm\u201c a v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee z\u016fstanou imunn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di n\u00e1sledk\u016fm eskalace, kterou vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed. Ur\u010dit\u011b je ale n\u011bjak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem ovlivn\u00ed jejich vlastn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee Moskva dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee takov\u00e9 \u00fatoky ch\u00e1pe jako vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, geopolitick\u00fd konzultant<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na X (d\u0159\u00edve\u00a0<\/span>Twitter)<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Telegramu<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Z\u00e1pad pokra\u010duje v eskalaci v\u00e1lky s Ruskou federac\u00ed. Po americk\u00e9m povolen\u00ed k hlubok\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm, o…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66960,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[80,130,39,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66959"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66959"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66959\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66960"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66959"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66959"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66959"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}