{"id":66795,"date":"2024-11-24T00:41:49","date_gmt":"2024-11-23T23:41:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=66795"},"modified":"2024-11-23T16:01:19","modified_gmt":"2024-11-23T15:01:19","slug":"dolar-prudce-roste-kdyz-euro-a-dalsi-meny-eu-oslabuji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/24\/dolar-prudce-roste-kdyz-euro-a-dalsi-meny-eu-oslabuji\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar prudce roste, kdy\u017e euro a dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bny EU oslabuj\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"s-tagline fw-tagline\"><span>Jak Evropa oslabuje, dolar by mohl dos\u00e1hnout parity s eurem<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 indexy n\u00e1kupn\u00edch mana\u017eer\u016f (PMI) dnes r\u00e1no op\u011bt p\u0159inesly zklam\u00e1n\u00ed, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee evropsk\u00e1 v\u00fdroba nad\u00e1le trp\u00ed. V d\u016fsledku toho euro v\u016f\u010di dolaru enormn\u011b oslabilo. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b v\u00e1m jeden dolar d\u00e1 1,042 eura, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee se ob\u011b m\u011bny p\u0159ibli\u017euj\u00ed parit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Mezit\u00edm i dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bny EU, jako je ma\u010farsk\u00fd forint, d\u00e1le oslabuj\u00ed. Jeden dolar se nyn\u00ed rovn\u00e1 393 forint\u016fm, zat\u00edmco na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u0159\u00edjna to bylo 352 forint\u016f. Dolar za posledn\u00ed dva m\u011bs\u00edce zaznamenal rychl\u00fd r\u016fst v\u016f\u010di forintu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nyn\u00ed je euro v\u016f\u010di dolaru na dvoulet\u00e9m minimu. Podle ma\u010farsk\u00e9ho obchodn\u00edho port\u00e1lu\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolio.hu\/deviza\/20241122\/szetverik-az-eurot-csunyan-gyengul-a-forint-is-a-dollarral-szemben-724830\"><span>Portfolio<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee evropsk\u00e1 v\u00fdroba ji\u017e n\u011bjakou dobu klesala, ale nyn\u00ed doch\u00e1z\u00ed tak\u00e9 k prudk\u00e9mu zhor\u0161en\u00ed slu\u017eeb. BMI n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho a francouzsk\u00e9ho sektoru slu\u017eeb rovn\u011b\u017e klesl pod 50 bod\u016f, co\u017e nazna\u010duje pokles aktivity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto \u00fadaj\u016f to tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee znamenat, \u017ee o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed v euroz\u00f3n\u011b se vytratilo. Z pohledu investora to znamen\u00e1 dv\u011b v\u011bci:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span>Kv\u016fli zhor\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edm se vyhl\u00eddk\u00e1m r\u016fstu se prohlubuje r\u016fstov\u00e1 mezera v\u016f\u010di dolaru, co\u017e m\u00e1 vliv na oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed eura.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>ECB m\u016f\u017ee sn\u00ed\u017eit \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby v\u00edce nebo rychleji, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, co\u017e m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 oslabuj\u00edc\u00ed vliv na euro prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm zm\u011bny \u00farokov\u00e9ho diferenci\u00e1lu.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span>Po zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed dat PMI euro v\u016f\u010di dolaru oslabilo pobl\u00ed\u017e 1,033, zd\u00e1lo se, \u017ee na trhu prob\u00edhaj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 likvidace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech bude d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 sledovat v\u00fdroky rozhodovac\u00edch org\u00e1n\u016f ECB. Na p\u0159edchoz\u00edm zased\u00e1n\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb dokonce prezidentka Lagardeov\u00e1 odsunula stranou ot\u00e1zky, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry m\u016f\u017ee oslabuj\u00edc\u00ed ekonomika ovlivnit trajektorii \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z definice to tak\u00e9 nen\u00ed dobr\u00e9 pro jin\u00e9 m\u011bny, jako je ma\u010farsk\u00fd forint; a\u010dkoli nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu pohybu v\u016f\u010di euru, v\u016f\u010di dolaru bude nad\u00e1le oslabovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jak Evropa oslabuje, dolar by mohl dos\u00e1hnout parity s eurem Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66796,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1324,59,2150,45],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66795"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66795\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66796"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}