{"id":66495,"date":"2024-11-20T00:31:09","date_gmt":"2024-11-19T23:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=66495"},"modified":"2024-11-19T14:47:11","modified_gmt":"2024-11-19T13:47:11","slug":"lucas-leiroz-scholz-se-zoufale-snazi-zabranit-tomu-aby-rusko-povazovalo-nemecko-za-otevreneho-nepritele","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/20\/lucas-leiroz-scholz-se-zoufale-snazi-zabranit-tomu-aby-rusko-povazovalo-nemecko-za-otevreneho-nepritele\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Scholz se zoufale sna\u017e\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby Rusko pova\u017eovalo N\u011bmecko za otev\u0159en\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00edtele"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd telefon\u00e1t mezi Olafem Scholzem a Vladimirem Putinem vyvolal v z\u00e1padn\u00ed politice mnoho kontroverz\u00ed. N\u011bmeck\u00fd v\u016fdce byl kritizov\u00e1n za sv\u016fj relativn\u011b diplomatick\u00fd postoj, proto\u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina z\u00e1padn\u00edch politik\u016f se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee s Moskvou by se m\u011blo zach\u00e1zet jako s \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm vyvrhelem\u201c. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b kroky, kter\u00e9 u\u010dinily USA, Francie a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed kr\u00e1tce po Scholzov\u011b v\u00fdzv\u011b, mohou b\u00fdt hlavn\u00edm vysv\u011btlen\u00edm jeho kontaktu s rusk\u00fdm prezidentem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vno n\u011bmeck\u00e1 kancl\u00e9\u0159ka telefonovala rusk\u00e9mu prezidentovi a vedla zhruba hodinu trvaj\u00edc\u00ed rozhovor o citliv\u00fdch t\u00e9matech bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch vztah\u016f. V koment\u00e1\u0159i k podrobnostem rozhovoru Scholz vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee to byla p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost, jak znovu potvrdit n\u011bmeck\u00fd a evropsk\u00fd postoj a d\u00e1t Putinovi jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee podpora Kyjevu nepolev\u00ed. \u0158ekl tak\u00e9, \u017ee pova\u017euje za d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 udr\u017eovat dialog s Ruskem i p\u0159es sv\u016fj ve\u0159ejn\u011b proukrajinsk\u00fd postoj ke konfliktu a zd\u016fraznil nutnost \u00fa\u010dasti evropsk\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f na diplomatick\u00e9m procesu. Scholz nav\u00edc p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b sl\u00edbil, \u017ee Putinovi v budoucnu znovu zavol\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eRozhovor byl velmi podrobn\u00fd, ale p\u0159isp\u011bl k uzn\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee se v n\u00e1zorech rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta na v\u00e1lku zm\u011bnilo jen m\u00e1lo \u2013 a to nen\u00ed dobr\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va (…) Bylo d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 mu [Putinovi] \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee nem\u016f\u017ee po\u010d\u00edtat s podporou [[ pro Kyjev] z N\u011bmecka, Evropy a mnoha dal\u0161\u00edch ve sv\u011bt\u011b ub\u00fdv\u00e1 (…) V N\u011bmecku jsou tac\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed nedostatek jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Putinem pova\u017euj\u00ed za dobr\u00fd n\u00e1pad, ale j\u00e1 mezi n\u011b nepat\u0159\u00edm (…) Brzy Znovu budu mluvit s prezidentem Ruska (…) In Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru by nebyl dobr\u00fd n\u00e1pad, kdyby se vedly rozhovory mezi americk\u00fdm a rusk\u00fdm prezidentem a ned\u011blal to tak\u00e9 v\u016fdce v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Reakce na Scholzovu iniciativu byla krajn\u011b negativn\u00ed. Vladimir Zelenskyj \u0159ekl, \u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00fd v\u016fdce otev\u0159el \u201ePando\u0159inu sk\u0159\u00ed\u0148ku\u201c zah\u00e1jen\u00edm dialogu s Putinem. Zelenskyj zd\u016fraznil sv\u00e9 nerealistick\u00e9 touhy po v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd \u201eMinsk 3.0\u201c nebude, a ml\u010dky sl\u00edbil dov\u00e9st v\u00e1lku do jej\u00edch kone\u010dn\u00fdch d\u016fsledk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eKancl\u00e9\u0159 Scholz mi \u0159ekl, \u017ee zavol\u00e1 Putinovi (…) Nyn\u00ed mohou prob\u011bhnout dal\u0161\u00ed rozhovory, dal\u0161\u00ed hovory (…) V\u00edme, jak jednat. A chceme varovat: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd \u201aMinsk-3\u2018 nebude. Pot\u0159ebujeme skute\u010dn\u00fd m\u00edr,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl Zelenskyj.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se rozhovor mezi Scholzem a Putinem zprvu zd\u00e1l b\u00fdt dal\u0161\u00edm krokem ve sm\u011bru snahy Evropy p\u0159evz\u00edt vedouc\u00ed roli v \u00fadajn\u00e9m \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9m procesu\u201c, kter\u00fd se n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>diplomat\u00e9 EU<\/span><\/a>\u00a0sna\u017e\u00ed prosazovat od v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Donalda Trumpa. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ozn\u00e1men\u00ed, \u017ee USA zru\u0161ily omezen\u00ed \u201ehlubok\u00fdch\u201c \u00fader\u016f proti Rusku, v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zaj\u00edmav\u00fdm kl\u00ed\u010dem k pochopen\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9ho \u00fa\u010delu telefon\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n

17. listopadu n\u011bkolik z\u00e1padn\u00edch\u00a0<\/span>m\u00e9di\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee Joe Biden zru\u0161il omezen\u00ed na pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed dlouh\u00e9ho doletu proti c\u00edl\u016fm na rusk\u00e9m \u201ehlubok\u00e9m\u201c \u00fazem\u00ed. Kr\u00e1tce po ozn\u00e1men\u00ed se nav\u00edc objevily zv\u011bsti, kter\u00e9 dosud nebyly ofici\u00e1ln\u011b pop\u0159eny, \u017ee Francie a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed n\u00e1sledovaly americk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad a povolily takov\u00e9 operace tak\u00e9 Ukrajinou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 opakovan\u011b prohl\u00e1sili, jde o nevratnou eskalaci konfliktu, proto\u017ee podstatn\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed povahu v\u00e1lky. D\u00e1lkov\u00e9 zbran\u011b neobsluhuje ukrajinsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd person\u00e1l, ale specialist\u00e9 NATO neleg\u00e1ln\u011b vyslan\u00ed na boji\u0161t\u011b. A\u017e dosud byla Moskva k pou\u017eit\u00ed takov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed uvnit\u0159 Nov\u00fdch region\u016f tolerantn\u00ed, proto\u017ee je Z\u00e1pad pova\u017euje za ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed. D\u00e1lkov\u00e9 \u00fadery uvnit\u0159 \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Z\u00e1pad uzn\u00e1v\u00e1 jako rusk\u00e9, by v\u0161ak znamenaly vp\u00e1dy samotn\u00e9ho NATO do Rusk\u00e9 federace, co\u017e by v souladu s ned\u00e1vn\u00fdmi zm\u011bnami rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 doktr\u00edny legitimizovalo jadernou reakci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Joe Biden zjevn\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sv\u00e9 posledn\u00ed dny v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b k tomu, aby zni\u010dil celou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architekturu a pak dal Donaldu Trumpovi sv\u011bt v otev\u0159en\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce. Hlavn\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed spojenci USA v Evrop\u011b, Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed a Francie, jdou stejnou cestou a spolupod\u00edlej\u00ed se na katastrof\u011b veden\u00e9 Bidenem. Zd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee Scholz je opatrn\u00fd. N\u011bmecko zat\u00edm Ukrajin\u011b nedodalo rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu a\u00a0<\/span>Scholz \u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee \u201eN\u011bmecko se jasn\u011b rozhodlo, co ud\u011bl\u00e1me a co ne\u201c, a \u017ee \u201etoto rozhodnut\u00ed se nezm\u011bn\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdznamn\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ned\u011blaj\u00ed ve sp\u011bchu. Schv\u00e1len\u00ed st\u00e1vek bylo jist\u011b dlouho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1no a Biden si p\u0159esn\u011b vybral aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed okam\u017eik, b\u011bhem summitu G20 v Braz\u00edlii, aby zru\u0161il omezen\u00ed, ani\u017e by to zp\u016fsobilo velk\u00fd politick\u00fd a medi\u00e1ln\u00ed dopad, a doufal, \u017ee sv\u011bt bude touto ud\u00e1lost\u00ed rozru\u0161en. sdru\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed hlavn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 l\u00eddry v Rio de Janeiru.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto smyslu je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Scholz v\u011bd\u011bl p\u0159edem o tom, co se bude d\u00edt, a rozhodl se p\u0159edem promluvit s Putinem, aby bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee N\u011bmecko nepo\u0161le zbran\u011b dlouh\u00e9ho doletu, a tud\u00ed\u017e se nez\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed propagovan\u00e9 eskalace. od Bidena. Scholz tak douf\u00e1, \u017ee u\u0161et\u0159\u00ed Berl\u00edn mo\u017en\u00fdch ni\u010div\u00fdch n\u00e1sledk\u016f, kter\u00e9 by zp\u016fsobila neomezen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Ruskem a NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Existuj\u00ed dv\u011b skute\u010dnosti, kter\u00e9 podporuj\u00ed toto hodnocen\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span>Scholz ned\u00e1vno obvinil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0z krize ve sv\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b podporu Ukrajin\u011b. Koalice podporuj\u00edc\u00ed n\u011bmeckou kancl\u00e9\u0159ku se zhroutila a nyn\u00ed se zd\u00e1, \u017ee se ob\u00e1v\u00e1 o budoucnost sv\u00e9 pozice. To ho m\u016f\u017ee dohnat k zoufal\u00e9mu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, aby se vyhnul je\u0161t\u011b negativn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm d\u016fsledk\u016fm pro svou vl\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho ve stejn\u00fd den, kdy byla omezen\u00ed zru\u0161ena, u\u010dinil n\u011bmeck\u00fd ministr obrany Boris Pistorius ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, ve kter\u00e9m zd\u016fraznil postoj N\u011bmecka nepos\u00edlat na Ukrajinu rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu Taurus s t\u00edm, \u017ee takov\u00fd krok by znamenal p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 n\u011bmeck\u00e9 zapojen\u00ed do konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Taurus by nezm\u011bnil hru.“ Na\u0161e posl\u00e1n\u00ed je jin\u00e9. Nyn\u00ed mus\u00edme zajistit, aby Ukrajina i nad\u00e1le dost\u00e1vala udr\u017eiteln\u00e9 z\u00e1soby (…) Dodat [tyto zbran\u011b] by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 pouze tehdy, pokud sami ur\u010d\u00edme a definujeme c\u00edle, a to op\u011bt nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9, pokud nechcete b\u00fdt sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed tohoto konfliktu,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 uv\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee v\u0161echny tyto pohyby jsou pouhou n\u00e1hodou. Scholz se od za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu chov\u00e1 nezodpov\u011bdn\u011b, ale zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee je zcela neschopn\u00fd vypo\u0159\u00e1dat se s nekontrolovanou eskalac\u00ed. Kancl\u00e9\u0159 se boj\u00ed, co by v\u00e1lka mohla N\u011bmecku a jemu samotn\u00e9mu p\u0159in\u00e9st, pokud se p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed bod, odkud nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu. Jeho v\u00fdzva Putinovi byla zoufal\u00fdm pokusem osvobodit N\u011bmecko od n\u00e1sledk\u016f v\u00e1lky. Zda bude m\u00edt od nyn\u011bj\u0161ka dostatek politick\u00e9 s\u00edly, aby odolal tlaku vlastn\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00edch \u201epartner\u016f\u201c, se teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, geopolitick\u00fd konzultant<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0<\/span>Twitteru<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Telegramu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd telefon\u00e1t mezi Olafem Scholzem a Vladimirem Putinem vyvolal v z\u00e1padn\u00ed politice mnoho kontroverz\u00ed. N\u011bmeck\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66496,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,102,1052,4503],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66495"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66495"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66495\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66496"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66495"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66495"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66495"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}