{"id":66468,"date":"2024-11-19T00:46:06","date_gmt":"2024-11-18T23:46:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=66468"},"modified":"2024-11-18T17:04:52","modified_gmt":"2024-11-18T16:04:52","slug":"zbynek-fiala-biden-chce-strilet-do-ruska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/19\/zbynek-fiala-biden-chce-strilet-do-ruska\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbyn\u011bk Fiala: Biden chce st\u0159\u00edlet do Ruska"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Konec v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed a nepom\u016f\u017eou ani (trochu zastaral\u00e9) z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed reakc\u00ed na rozhodnut\u00ed kon\u010d\u00edc\u00edho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Joe Bidena umo\u017enit Ukrajin\u011b, aby mohla p\u00e1lit americk\u00fdmi taktick\u00fdmi raketami ATACMS i na prodlou\u017eenou vzd\u00e1lenost do 300 kilometr\u016f do rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, bylo pochopiteln\u00e9 leknut\u00ed, \u017ee t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e1 je tady. Ale t\u0159eba Wall Street Journal zaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 nejen obavu z\u00a0eskalace, kter\u00e1 p\u0159eroste Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm p\u0159es hlavu, ale tak\u00e9 obavu, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se vyd\u00e1vaj\u00ed ze zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 samy pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed. Nebude snadn\u00e9 doplnit jejich z\u00e1soby.<\/p>\n

Tak hork\u00e9 to zas nen\u00ed. Star\u0161\u00ed modely mor\u00e1ln\u011b pro\u0161l\u00e9 ATACSM sm\u011bj\u00ed b\u00fdt pou\u017eity jen v\u00a0Kursk\u00e9m regionu, kde se stejn\u011b st\u0159\u00edl\u00ed z\u00a0hrub\u00fdch kus\u016f, tak\u017ee n\u011bjak\u00e1 ta r\u00e1na nav\u00edc zanikne. A p\u016fjde tam hlavn\u011b o nab\u00eddku ke vzdu\u0161n\u00e9mu souboji, ve kter\u00e9m Amerika tah\u00e1 za krat\u0161\u00ed sl\u00e1mku, proto\u017ee se utk\u00e1 s\u00a0modern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed technikou.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto lze ch\u00e1pat touhu gener\u00e1l\u016f p\u00e1rkr\u00e1t si vyst\u0159elit na \u00fazem\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele, ale kolikr\u00e1t to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt? Rakety ATACMS jsou drah\u00e9, roku 2021 st\u00e1la jedna ke dv\u011bma milion\u016fm dolar\u016f. I kdyby nebyl probl\u00e9m si pen\u00edze natisknout, v\u00fdroba takov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed nen\u00ed snadn\u00e1, zat\u00edm jich bylo vyrobeno celkem 3\u00a0700 kus\u016f. A do nov\u00e9 v\u00fdroby se nikdo nehrne, jsou u\u017e zastaral\u00e9. Ty nejstar\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 rakety tohoto typu byly v\u00a0boji poprv\u00e9 roku 1991 ve v\u00e1lce s\u00a0Ir\u00e1kem.<\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee ve skladech se najde n\u011bco star\u0161\u00edho, co nikomu nechyb\u00ed. Ty s\u00a0kr\u00e1tk\u00fdm doletem u\u017e byly d\u0159\u00edve odp\u00e1leny na Krym. Mezit\u00edm za\u010daly b\u00fdt ATACMS nahrazov\u00e1ny ve v\u00fdzbroji USA p\u0159esnou raketou s\u00a0dlouh\u00fdm doletem PrSM. To v\u0161ak bude chv\u00edli trvat.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/ATACMS<\/a><\/p>\n

Prezident Biden rozhodl o nasazen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b bezprost\u0159edn\u011b p\u0159ed odletem do peru\u00e1nsk\u00e9 Limy, kde za\u010d\u00ednal summit skupiny G20. Myslel, \u017ee to tam dob\u0159e prod\u00e1, ale Ukrajina u\u017e p\u0159estala b\u00fdt zaj\u00edmav\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00ed t\u00e9ma G20 se letos odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00a0kulo\u00e1rov\u00fdch diskus\u00edch, jde o to, co lze \u010dekat od nov\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa, a\u017e se za dva m\u011bs\u00edce ujme \u00fa\u0159adu. Mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed dopad proto m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt uveden\u00e9 Bidenovo rozhodnut\u00ed v samotn\u00fdch Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Jestli\u017ee odch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed prezident, kter\u00e9mu u\u017e o nic nejde, jedn\u00e1 v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edkr\u00e9m rozporu se z\u00e1m\u011bry toho nov\u00e9ho, pak ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo se do toho pohrne, za dva m\u011bs\u00edce polet\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 vra\u0161t\u00ed \u010dela, zda bude v\u00a0jejich sil\u00e1ch nahradit americkou pomoc, a\u017e ji nov\u00fd prezident Donald Trump stopne. Kone\u010dn\u011b za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 p\u0159evl\u00e1dat n\u00e1zor, \u017ee jedinou sch\u016fdnou cestou je tu v\u00e1lku n\u011bjak ukon\u010dit. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le bude trvat, t\u00edm v\u00edc Rusko z\u00edsk\u00e1, proto\u017ee Ukrajin\u011b nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed jenom munice a hlavn\u011b, ze kter\u00fdch to m\u00e1 l\u00e9tat. Doch\u00e1z\u00ed j\u00ed zejm\u00e9na mu\u017estvo v\u00a0z\u00e1kopech a mor\u00e1lka h\u00e1jit pozice ve ztracen\u00e9m boji bez viditeln\u00e9ho nep\u0159\u00edtele, pod obrovskou, neop\u011btovatelnou palbou dron\u016f, raket a vzd\u00e1len\u00fdch d\u011bl.<\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka je zjevn\u011b prohran\u00e1, z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b maj\u00ed jen trochu vylep\u0161it vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed pozice slab\u0161\u00ed strany. Ale Ukrajinci nejsou sami, komu jde o budoucnost. Jde taky o dal\u0161\u00ed k\u0161efty zbroja\u0159sk\u00fdch firem. Hlavn\u00edm smyslem zbran\u00ed jako jsou ATACSM nen\u00ed boj se srovnateln\u011b vysp\u011bl\u00fdm soupe\u0159em. Pokud se neproh\u00e1n\u011bj\u00ed nad st\u00e1dy velbloud\u016f, kde se mohou vydov\u00e1d\u011bt po libosti, jejich hlavn\u00edm smyslem je obchod. Prodej americk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed do zahrani\u010d\u00ed vzrostl v\u00a0roce 2023 o 16 procent na 238 miliard dolar\u016f. To je zhruba \u010desk\u00fd HDP.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e v\u0161ak byla hned p\u0159i prvn\u00ed misi v\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b sest\u0159elena dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 F-16, byla to nejen ztr\u00e1ta jednoho kusu, ale tak\u00e9 reputace, bez kter\u00e9 je zbra\u0148 t\u011b\u017eko prodejn\u00e1. Rakety m\u016f\u017ee potkat podobn\u00fd osud. Dokud jen d\u0159\u00edmaj\u00ed pod reklamn\u00edmi pouta\u010di na veletrz\u00edch, maj\u00ed nevy\u010d\u00edslitelnou cenu a je radost pumpnout d\u016fv\u011b\u0159iv\u00e9ho hejla. Jakmile v\u0161ak nep\u0159\u00edtel sund\u00e1 z\u00a0oblohy prvn\u00ed st\u0159elu nebo ji elektronicky zmate, \u017ee spadne d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e by sama cht\u011bla, pom\u011bry na trhu se m\u011bn\u00ed. Hodnota obchodu kles\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Nemluv\u011b o tom, \u017ee kdyby nedej bo\u017ee spadla nevybuchl\u00e1, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt p\u0159ed\u00e1na in\u017een\u00fdr\u016fm z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho arm\u00e1dn\u00edho v\u00fdzkum\u00e1ku. Nep\u0159\u00edteli jsou tak fakticky nab\u00eddnuty ve\u0161ker\u00e9 americk\u00e9ho investice do t\u00e9to zbran\u011b i s ma\u0161li\u010dkou. To brzdilo z\u00e1padn\u00ed pomoc Ukrajin\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e co jin\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

Na setk\u00e1n\u00ed G20 bylo pro Bidena nakonec d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ud\u00e1lost\u00ed setk\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm prezidentem Si \u0164in-pchingem. \u010c\u00ed\u0148an asi dlouho p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161lel, o \u010dem by se m\u011bl s\u00a0polovi\u010dn\u00edm d\u016fchodcem bavit. Nakonec mu sd\u011blil, co v\u0161echno se mu na americk\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstupu z\u00a0posledn\u00edch let nel\u00edbilo. Zejm\u00e9na dikt\u00e1t, co by m\u011bli \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 podle Washingtonu v\u00a0politice a ekonomice d\u011blat. Obrac\u00ed snad on Ameri\u010dany na komunistickou v\u00edru??<\/p>\n

I kdyby se to Bidenovi nepoda\u0159ilo v\u00a0hlav\u011b udr\u017eet, kolem Trumpa jsou lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou k\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b citliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Elon Musk je tam nej\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdrobcem elektrick\u00fdch aut, v\u00a0z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed znovu rekordn\u011b. Za jedin\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc jich vyrobil v \u0160anghaji skoro 90 tis\u00edc, z\u00a0toho drtiv\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina se prodala i v\u00a0t\u00e9 tvrd\u00e9 m\u00edstn\u00ed konkurenci na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m trhu. A p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed viceprezident JD Vance um\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsky a byl tam nes\u010d\u00edsln\u011bkr\u00e1t. I jako pr\u016fvodce student\u016f. K\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b se m\u016f\u017ee vyjad\u0159ovat hodn\u011b kriticky, ale \u010c\u00ed\u0148any, jejich zemi i historii, m\u00e1 norm\u00e1ln\u011b lidsky r\u00e1d.<\/p>\n

Foto: Bidean p\u0159i n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv\u011b Kyjeva.<\/em><\/p>\n

Zbyn\u011bk Fiala<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Konec v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed a nepom\u016f\u017eou ani (trochu zastaral\u00e9) z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b. Po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed reakc\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66469,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,72,349,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66468"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66468\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66469"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}