{"id":66365,"date":"2024-11-18T00:32:19","date_gmt":"2024-11-17T23:32:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=66365"},"modified":"2024-11-17T14:14:16","modified_gmt":"2024-11-17T13:14:16","slug":"abnormality-s-hlasovanim-postou-975-procenta-rakusanu-v-zahranici-dostalo-volicske-prukazy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/18\/abnormality-s-hlasovanim-postou-975-procenta-rakusanu-v-zahranici-dostalo-volicske-prukazy\/","title":{"rendered":"Abnormality s hlasov\u00e1n\u00edm po\u0161tou: 97,5 procenta Raku\u0161an\u016f v zahrani\u010d\u00ed dostalo voli\u010dsk\u00e9 pr\u016fkazy"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Matematici a statistici u\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu krout\u00ed hlavou, kdy\u017e porovn\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdsledky hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u0161tou s t\u011bmi z volebn\u00ed urny. Nelze matematicky vysv\u011btlit, \u017ee by se nyn\u00ed obrovsk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st populace m\u011bla chovat tak \u00fapln\u011b jinak ne\u017e voli\u010di u volebn\u00edch uren \u2013 a t\u00edm poskytovat ur\u010dit\u00fdm stran\u00e1m neust\u00e1lou v\u00fdhodu. Od t\u00e9 doby hled\u00e1me d\u016fkazy, kde je mo\u017en\u00e1 manipulace s po\u0161tovn\u00edmi hlasy. Kousek skl\u00e1da\u010dky: T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ichni Raku\u0161an\u00e9 v zahrani\u010d\u00ed dostali voli\u010dsk\u00e9 pr\u016fkazy.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Je pravda, \u017ee volebn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast v Rakousku se v posledn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch do N\u00e1rodn\u00ed rady op\u011bt zv\u00fd\u0161ila na 77,7 procenta. St\u00e1le to v\u0161ak znamen\u00e1, \u017ee zhruba \u010dtvrtina dom\u00e1c\u00edch Raku\u0161an\u016f nem\u00e1 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd z\u00e1jem o \u00fa\u010dast ve volb\u00e1ch do N\u00e1rodn\u00ed rady.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Celkov\u011b se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee p\u0159es 20 procent lid\u00ed nyn\u00ed v\u011bd\u011blo p\u0159edem, \u017ee budou v den voleb nepostradateln\u00ed. I proto byl vyd\u00e1n rekordn\u00ed po\u010det 1 436 240 voli\u010dsk\u00fdch pr\u016fkaz\u016f. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, probl\u00e9mem voli\u010dsk\u00fdch pr\u016fkaz\u016f je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee poru\u0161uj\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed pravidla demokratick\u00fdch voleb:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span>Zda se hlasovalo rukou, nelze prok\u00e1zat.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Zda bylo hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed odevzd\u00e1no bez vlivu, nelze prok\u00e1zat.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Zda bylo hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed odevzd\u00e1no nepozorovan\u011b, nelze prok\u00e1zat.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>A ve skute\u010dnosti je st\u011b\u017e\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 ur\u010dit, zda p\u0159\u00edchoz\u00ed po\u0161tovn\u00ed hlas skute\u010dn\u011b poch\u00e1z\u00ed od osoby, pro kterou byl vyd\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>To v\u0161e ignoruj\u00ed a neguj\u00ed strany, kter\u00e9 pravideln\u011b t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u0161tou \u2013 obvykle levicov\u00e9 strany, zejm\u00e9na Zelen\u00ed. V Rakousku je to zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 i proto, \u017ee Zelen\u00ed b\u00fdvali zaho\u0159kl\u00fdmi odp\u016frci hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u0161tou. Nyn\u00ed jsou ve vl\u00e1d\u011b a maj\u00ed radost z extr\u00e9mn\u011b podivn\u00e9 volebn\u00ed matematiky. Pod\u00edvejte se a p\u0159e\u010dt\u011bte si o tom:\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/eu-wahl-mathematisch-statistisch-sind-abweichungen-bei-briefwahl-nicht-erklaerbar\/\"><span>Volby do EU: Odchylky v hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u0161tou nelze vysv\u011btlit matematicky a statisticky<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0. Tehdej\u0161\u00ed zpravodajstv\u00ed syst\u00e9m nesm\u00edrn\u011b zneklidnilo, a proto byly do na\u0161ich redakc\u00ed p\u0159id\u011bleny cel\u00e9 z\u00e1stupy ov\u011b\u0159ovatel\u016f fakt\u016f. V kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku v\u0161ak mohli jen potvrdit to, co jsem uvedl v\u00fd\u0161e: volit po\u0161tou nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 ru\u010dn\u011b, neovlivn\u011bn\u011b a nepozorovan\u011b \u2013 a tedy antidemokratick\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Matematick\u00e1 \u010d\u00edseln\u00e1 h\u00e1danka je nyn\u00ed\u00a0o jednu ot\u00e1zku bohat\u0161\u00ed o\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bmi.gv.at\/news.aspx?id=517337514E2F306A574D303D\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010d\u00edsla BMI<\/span><\/a><span> . Na odkazovan\u00e9 str\u00e1nce je vid\u011bt skute\u010dnost, \u017ee bylo vyd\u00e1no celkem 62 158 voli\u010dsk\u00fdch pr\u016fkaz\u016f pro 62 706 Raku\u0161an\u016f \u017eij\u00edc\u00edch v zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Tak\u017ee 97,5 procenta Raku\u0161an\u016f v zahrani\u010d\u00ed by m\u011blo velk\u00fd z\u00e1jem mluvit o osudu sv\u00e9 b\u00fdval\u00e9 vlasti. Jak moc to m\u00e1 b\u00fdt uv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Prvn\u00ed my\u0161lenka byla, \u017ee jako Raku\u0161an \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed v zahrani\u010d\u00ed m\u016f\u017eete sv\u00e9 hlasovac\u00ed doklady obdr\u017eet automaticky. Takov\u00fd proces by byl velmi sporn\u00fd, ale mo\u017en\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed. Ale nen\u00ed tomu tak. Jako Raku\u0161an \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed v zahrani\u010d\u00ed mus\u00edte pou\u017e\u00edt formul\u00e1\u0159 (\u201e\u017d\u00e1dost o registraci (nebo setrv\u00e1n\u00ed v) v seznamu voli\u010d\u016f\/evropsk\u00e9m seznamu voli\u010d\u016f pro rakousk\u00e9 ob\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed \u017eij\u00ed mimo spolkov\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed\u201c), abyste se ujistili, \u017ee jste v registraci voli\u010d\u016f vstoupil. Pouze s t\u00edmto zad\u00e1n\u00edm je mo\u017en\u00e9 spustit automatick\u00fd proces. Za\u0161krtnut\u00edm p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9ho pol\u00ed\u010dka zajist\u00edte automatick\u00e9 doru\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed voli\u010dsk\u00fdch pr\u016fkaz\u016f po dobu z\u00e1pisu v evidenci voli\u010d\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nyn\u00ed se zeptejte sami sebe \u2013 jak je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee 97,5 procenta posti\u017een\u00fdch po\u017e\u00e1dalo a vyplnilo tento formul\u00e1\u0159? Tuto skute\u010dnost pl\u00e1nujeme zpochybnit. Ur\u010dit\u011b budou z\u00e1znamy o tom, kolika Raku\u0161an\u016fm \u017eij\u00edc\u00edm v zahrani\u010d\u00ed byl zasl\u00e1n automatick\u00fd volebn\u00ed syst\u00e9m a kolik aktivn\u011b po\u017e\u00e1dalo o voli\u010dsk\u00fd pr\u016fkaz v minul\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vyu\u010den\u00fd Raku\u0161an v\u00ed, \u017ee mo\u017en\u00e9ho je hodn\u011b. Ale to, \u017ee se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 100 % lid\u00ed tak zaj\u00edm\u00e1 o politiku, by bylo velmi, velmi zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>Anal\u00fdza Floriana Machla<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Matematici a statistici u\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu krout\u00ed hlavou, kdy\u017e porovn\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdsledky hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u0161tou s t\u011bmi&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":66366,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,120,96,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66365"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66365"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66365\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/66366"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}