{"id":66162,"date":"2024-11-14T00:42:57","date_gmt":"2024-11-13T23:42:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=66162"},"modified":"2024-11-13T17:00:17","modified_gmt":"2024-11-13T16:00:17","slug":"apokalypsa-plyn-v-usa-zdrazi-o-44-u-nas-ne-dovazime-1-4-z-ameriky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/14\/apokalypsa-plyn-v-usa-zdrazi-o-44-u-nas-ne-dovazime-1-4-z-ameriky\/","title":{"rendered":"Apokalypsa: Plyn v USA zdra\u017e\u00ed o 44 % – u n\u00e1s ne? Dov\u00e1\u017e\u00edme 1\/4 z Ameriky"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Nemohu nechat ladem situace o kolo energi\u00ed v \u010cR. Bereme LNG z USA, kde m\u00e1 zdra\u017eit plyn o 44 % – zdroj Reuters<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Chl\u00e1chol\u00ed n\u00e1s, jak se nebude zdra\u017eovat plyn, \u010dt\u011bte v\u00edce a pokud m\u016f\u017eete sd\u00edlejte…<\/p>\n

US natural gas markets point to steep price rise in 2025 | Reuters<\/a>
\ndal\u0161\u00ed zdra\u017een\u00ed:\u00a0V roce 2025 n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1 s velkou pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen elekt\u0159iny i plynu. Jak\u00e9 jsou hlavn\u00ed d\u016fvody a mo\u017enosti \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed? | Kurzy.cz<\/a><\/p>\n

Lidem porostou distribu\u010dn\u00ed poplatky, ale i tr\u017en\u00ed ceny za komoditu plynu.. Sv\u00e9 d\u016fvody to m\u00e1. U plynujde o d\u016fvod ukon\u010den\u00ed dod\u00e1vek z Ruska. Ale rusk\u00fd plyn je levn\u00fd plyn. Nebo je minim\u00e1ln\u011b levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ten, kter\u00fd se dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zaoce\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi lod\u011bmi ve zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9 podob\u011b.<\/p>\n

Pro dovoz LNG jsou nutn\u00e9 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 investice spojen\u00e9 s infrastrukturou, p\u0159epravou a zkapal\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm plynu. I \u010cesko investovalo do termin\u00e1lu\u00a0pro dovoz LNG v severon\u011bmeck\u00e9m Hamburku, kter\u00fd by po dostavb\u011b m\u011bl podle odborn\u00edk\u016f z \u010cEZ pokr\u00fdt jednu \u010dtvrtinu \u010desk\u00e9 spot\u0159eby plynu.<\/p>\n

Do toho se propisuj\u00ed i logistick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my, kdy lod\u011b z bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f nemohou plout p\u0159es Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje n\u00e1klady na dopravu. \u010cesko za\u010dalo \u010derstv\u011b odeb\u00edrat \u010d\u00e1st plynu i z Al\u017e\u00edrska, d\u0159\u00edve to byl i norsk\u00fd plyn, kter\u00fd zase zp\u016fsoboval \u010desk\u00fdm spot\u0159ebitel\u016fm ucp\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed plynov\u00fdch kotl\u016f. Kapacitn\u011b tedy \u010cesko odklon od rusk\u00e9ho plynu zvl\u00e1dne napojen\u00edm na jin\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 zdroje, poc\u00edt\u00ed to ale pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pen\u011b\u017eenka spot\u0159ebitel\u016f.<\/p>\n

Apokalypsa cen plynu v Severn\u00ed Americe jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdvoj cen zemn\u00edho plynu v USA jde strm\u011b nahoru. A \u010cesko by m\u011blo do chystan\u00e9ho LNG termin\u00e1lu na severu N\u011bmecka podle pl\u00e1n\u016f br\u00e1t a\u017e \u010dtvrtinu v\u0161eho plynu pro tuzemskou spot\u0159ebu. Podle anal\u00fdzy v \u010dl\u00e1nku agentury Reuters panuje ohledn\u011b v\u00fdvoje cen plynu v USA velk\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed. Reuters uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee trhy se zemn\u00edm plynem ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech na podzim zva\u017euj\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu mezi nab\u00eddkou a popt\u00e1vkou pro leto\u0161n\u00ed zimu a p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok. Trhy v USA tak nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee se mohou objevit v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny zemn\u00edho plynu.<\/p>\n

Forwardov\u00e9 trhy s futures Henry Hub, srovn\u00e1vac\u00ed cenou zemn\u00edho plynu v USA, nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee ceny budou v roce 2025 v pr\u016fm\u011bru 3,20 USD za milion britsk\u00fdch tepeln\u00fdch jednotek (mmBtu), ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdmi 2,22 USD, kter\u00e9 jsou zat\u00edm v leto\u0161n\u00edm roce, co\u017e ukazuj\u00ed \u00fadaje z LSEG.<\/p>\n

Pokud si uv\u011bdom\u00edme, \u017ee zhruba 44% meziro\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst cen by byl nejstrm\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ro\u010dn\u00edm vzestupem od roku 2022 a mohl by zhor\u0161it trendy inflace energetick\u00fdch produkt\u016f navzdory zpomalen\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho r\u016fstu cen ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, jednalo by se o v\u00fdrazn\u00fd z\u00e1sah do rovnov\u00e1hy trh\u016f s kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi sv\u011btov\u00fdmi komoditami.<\/p>\n

Miroslav Je\u0159\u00e1b<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nemohu nechat ladem situace o kolo energi\u00ed v \u010cR. Bereme LNG z USA, kde m\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10338,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1872,1503,371,1008,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66162"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=66162"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66162\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10338"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=66162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=66162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=66162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}