{"id":65983,"date":"2024-11-12T00:40:34","date_gmt":"2024-11-11T23:40:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=65983"},"modified":"2024-11-11T15:35:14","modified_gmt":"2024-11-11T14:35:14","slug":"nemecka-ekonomika-na-pokraji-konec-uspesneho-pribehu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/12\/nemecka-ekonomika-na-pokraji-konec-uspesneho-pribehu\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika na pokraji: Konec \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Pod veden\u00edm Merkelov\u00e9 CDU byly polo\u017eeny z\u00e1klady ekonomick\u00e9ho \u00fapadku N\u011bmecka. Semaforov\u00e1 koalice, kter\u00e1 se nyn\u00ed zhroutila, nyn\u00ed ud\u011blala zbytek n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomice. Bez radik\u00e1ln\u00edho p\u0159eorientov\u00e1n\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky na m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed se sv\u011bt p\u0159estane \u201eMade in Germany\u201c brzy hr\u00e1t roli.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>\u010c\u00edsla mluv\u00ed brut\u00e1ln\u00edm jazykem: Od konce roku 2021 se nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e1 ekonomika pot\u00e1c\u00ed z jednoho nulov\u00e9ho kola do druh\u00e9ho. Pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 v\u00fdroba od roku 2017 klesla o \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00edch 16 procent. Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed investo\u0159i d\u00e1vaj\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9mu ekonomick\u00e9mu motoru Evropy \u0161irok\u00fd prostor. I tradi\u010dn\u011b optimistick\u00fd MMF p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed rok uboh\u00fd r\u016fst o 0,8 procenta \u2013 co\u017e stav\u00ed N\u011bmecko v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed jen m\u00edrn\u011b p\u0159ed chronicky slabou It\u00e1lii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Situace je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b dramatick\u00e1 v pr\u016fmyslu, n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed chloub\u011b n\u00e1roda. Volkswagen poprv\u00e9 ve sv\u00e9 historii uva\u017euje o uzav\u0159en\u00ed z\u00e1vod\u016f ve sv\u00e9 domovsk\u00e9 zemi. Tradi\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010dnost Thyssenkrupp bojuje o p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed sv\u00e9 ocel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 divize. Continental chce prodat sv\u016fj churav\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed automobilov\u00fd byznys. Seznam \u0161patn\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v se ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem prodlu\u017euje. Andreas R\u00fcter, n\u011bmeck\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f AlixPartners, hovo\u0159\u00ed pro \u201e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/6c345cf9-8493-4429-baa4-2128abdd0337\"><span>Financial Times<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u201c o \u201ebezprecedentn\u00ed\u201c situaci. Siegfried Russwurm, prezident BDI, bez obalu varuje: \u201eN\u011bmeck\u00fd obchodn\u00ed model v ur\u010dit\u00e9m okam\u017eiku neskon\u010d\u00ed, ale tady a te\u010f by p\u011btina zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 v\u00fdroby mohla do roku 2030 zmizet. Deindustrializace ji\u017e nen\u00ed dystopickou viz\u00ed budoucnosti, ale ho\u0159kou realitou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b existuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bv\u011b\u010dn\u00ed optimist\u00e9 jako prezident Bundesbank Joachim Nagel, kte\u0159\u00ed poukazuj\u00ed na robustn\u00ed trh pr\u00e1ce. To ale osudov\u011b p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 kapit\u00e1na Titaniku, kter\u00fd mluvil o bezpe\u010dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edstavu, kdy\u017e u\u017e byla p\u0159\u00ed\u010f pod vodou. D\u016fvod\u016f poklesu je mnoho: raketov\u011b rostouc\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed po rusk\u00e9 invazi na Ukrajinu, m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed se \u010c\u00edna, kter\u00e1 se ze z\u00e1kazn\u00edka st\u00e1v\u00e1 konkurentem, a sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl. Od roku 2018 zmizelo v automobilov\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu 64 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst \u2013 a to je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b jen za\u010d\u00e1tek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmeck\u00fd chemick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kdysi vlajkov\u00e1 lo\u010f pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 zem\u011b, trp\u00ed zejm\u00e9na vysok\u00fdmi cenami energi\u00ed. Produkce je 18 procent pod \u00farovn\u00ed z roku 2018 \u010c\u00edna se z\u00e1rove\u0148 transformuje z lukrativn\u00edho prodejn\u00edho trhu v nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho konkurenta. Pod\u00edl n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho exportu do \u010c\u00edny klesl z 8 procent v roce 2020 na o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch 5 procent letos. Zat\u00edmco ekonomick\u00e1 elita zoufale bije na poplach \u2013 \u0161\u00e9f burzy Theodor Weimer u\u017e varoval p\u0159ed sestupem N\u011bmecka do \u201erozvojov\u00e9 zem\u011b\u201c \u2013 semaforsk\u00e1 koalice lp\u00ed na nad\u011bji na druh\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd z\u00e1zrak. V b\u0159eznu 2023 kancl\u00e9\u0159 Scholz sl\u00edbil tempo r\u016fstu jako v 50. letech. To ale nikdy nebylo re\u00e1ln\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Opozice pod veden\u00edm Friedricha Merze c\u00edt\u00ed svou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost a obvi\u0148uje vl\u00e1du ze ztr\u00e1ty 300 000 pracovn\u00edch m\u00edst v pr\u016fmyslu b\u011bhem t\u0159\u00ed let. CDU si ale tak\u00e9 mus\u00ed polo\u017eit ot\u00e1zku, jak\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st 16 let politiky Merkelov\u00e9 p\u0159isp\u011bla k sou\u010dasn\u00e9 katastrof\u011b. Ho\u0159k\u00e1 pravda zn\u00ed: N\u011bmecko \u010del\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00edmu p\u0159evratu. Star\u00fd \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd model \u2013 vysoce kvalitn\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 produkty pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trh \u2013 ji\u017e nefunguje. A nov\u00fd nen\u00ed v dohledu. Zat\u00edmco o v\u011btrn\u00fdch turb\u00edn\u00e1ch a tepeln\u00fdch \u010derpadlech se v Berl\u00edn\u011b st\u00e1le diskutuje, jin\u00e9 zem\u011b postupuj\u00ed vp\u0159ed v budouc\u00edch technologi\u00edch, jako je um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence a biotechnologie. N\u011bmecko nepot\u0159ebuje nic men\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e revoluci hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky. V opa\u010dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b hroz\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9mu exportn\u00edmu mistru sv\u011bta osud st\u00e1rnouc\u00edho pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho n\u00e1roda, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 nejlep\u0161\u00ed dny za sebou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pod veden\u00edm Merkelov\u00e9 CDU byly polo\u017eeny z\u00e1klady ekonomick\u00e9ho \u00fapadku N\u011bmecka. Semaforov\u00e1 koalice, kter\u00e1 se nyn\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":65984,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,84],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65983"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65983"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65983\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}