{"id":65776,"date":"2024-11-08T00:36:28","date_gmt":"2024-11-07T23:36:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=65776"},"modified":"2024-11-07T12:19:48","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T11:19:48","slug":"jiri-paroubek-tak-to-tady-mame-trump-prezidentem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/11\/08\/jiri-paroubek-tak-to-tady-mame-trump-prezidentem\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Tak to tady m\u00e1me – Trump prezidentem"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

No\u010dn\u00ed m\u016fra progresivist\u016f na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b a Deep state ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech se naplnila. Prezidentsk\u00fd kandid\u00e1t Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strany Donald Trump zv\u00edt\u011bzil s velkou p\u0159evahou nad demokratkou Kamalou Harrisovou. Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strana, jak to vypad\u00e1, zv\u00edt\u011bzila tak\u00e9 ve volb\u00e1ch do obou komor americk\u00e9ho Kongresu \u2013 do Sn\u011bmovny reprezentant\u016f i do Sen\u00e1tu. Byla to zdrcuj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eka Demokratick\u00e9 strany, kterou pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nepredikovaly.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nicm\u00e9n\u011b tak, jak jsem sledoval americk\u00fd tisk a m\u00e9dia v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech, trend p\u0159\u00edklonu ve\u0159ejnosti k D. Trumpovi byl nep\u0159ehl\u00e9dnuteln\u00fd. Demokratick\u00e1 strana, podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru, c\u00edlila p\u0159ed volbami na t\u00e9mata, kter\u00e1 voli\u010de nezaj\u00edmaj\u00ed prioritn\u011b (nap\u0159. zachov\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u00e1va na interrupce). Demokratick\u00e1 strana ned\u011blala nic ani pro to, aby si udr\u017eela podporu nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch etnick\u00fdch, z\u00e1jmov\u00fdch a jin\u00fdch skupin a vrstev americk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti, kde v minulosti dominovala (Latinoameri\u010dan\u00e9, do ur\u010dit\u00e9 m\u00edry Afroameri\u010dan\u00e9, d\u011blnick\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edda a odbory a dal\u0161\u00ed).<\/p>\n

D. Trump, a to nemysl\u00edm v\u016fbec ur\u00e1\u017eliv\u011b, je p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm showman a ohromn\u00fd demagog. K. Harrisov\u00e1 proti n\u011bmu v z\u00e1sad\u011b ztr\u00e1cela od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku sv\u00e9ho vstupu do volebn\u00edho ringu. Prost\u011b proto, \u017ee nen\u00ed rozen\u00fdm l\u00eddrem a charismatick\u00fdm r\u00e9torem. V person\u00e1ln\u00edm v\u00fdb\u011bru kandid\u00e1ta na prezidenta ud\u011blala Demokratick\u00e1 strana (DS) fat\u00e1ln\u00ed chybu. A tato chyba se s n\u00ed pot\u00e1hne je\u0161t\u011b ve volb\u00e1ch za 4 roky. Kdyby ti, kdo v \u00fazk\u00e9m kruhu v r\u00e1mci DS rozhoduj\u00ed o v\u00fdb\u011bru prezidentsk\u00e9ho kandid\u00e1ta, vybrali nam\u00edsto Harrisov\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho guvern\u00e9ra Kalifornie, tedy p\u0159edstavitele st\u00e1tu, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 v Demokratick\u00e9 stran\u011b neot\u0159esitelnou pozici, ud\u011blali by l\u00e9pe. Tento mu\u017e m\u00e1 toti\u017e schopnost z\u00edsk\u00e1vat hlasy nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d politick\u00fdm spektrem zleva doprava. A vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee i Harrisov\u00e1 je z Kalifornie, je prakticky vylou\u010dena jeho kandidatura na prezidenta za dal\u0161\u00ed 4 roky.<\/p>\n

A to u\u017e odm\u00fd\u0161l\u00edm od situace, ve kter\u00e9 se DS aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nach\u00e1z\u00ed. Prost\u011b tuto trpkou por\u00e1\u017eku bude muset vst\u0159ebat a generovat nov\u00e9 politick\u00e9 l\u00eddry. Je ot\u00e1zka, zda se j\u00ed to m\u016f\u017ee poda\u0159it za 4 roky.<\/p>\n

Velk\u00fd Trump\u016fv comeback<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1 se \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee Trumpova hou\u017eevnatost a schopnost z\u00edsk\u00e1vat voli\u010de i pro ztracenou v\u011bc, je n\u011bco, co tomuto mu\u017ei umo\u017enilo neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fd comeback do nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00fastavn\u00ed funkce USA.<\/p>\n

Rozumn\u00ed lid\u00e9 v Evrop\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee USA po t\u00e9to volb\u011b dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zm\u011bnit sv\u016fj p\u0159\u00edstup k v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b. A \u017ee tedy budou schopny v\u00e9st Ukrajinu na cestu m\u00edrov\u00fdch ujedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Tak snadn\u00e9 to ov\u0161em nebude, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm proto, \u017ee Trump m\u00e1 jin\u00e9 politick\u00e9 priority. A tento v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd konflikt je pro n\u011bj lok\u00e1ln\u00edm, okrajov\u00fdm konfliktem, jeho\u017e (ne-)\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nech\u00e1 s radost\u00ed na Evropanech samotn\u00fdch. To by ve sv\u00fdch d\u016fsledc\u00edch znamenalo, \u017ee by Evropa musela p\u0159evz\u00edt financov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed, munice atd.<\/p>\n

V lep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Trump, jako prezident, vstoup\u00ed do jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s ob\u011bmi val\u010d\u00edc\u00edmi stranami a dotla\u010d\u00ed je k m\u00edru. V \u0159e\u010di, kterou vedl D. Trump na shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edznivc\u016f, zhruba v p\u016fli s\u010d\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed hlas\u016f, kdy u\u017e v\u0161ak bylo jasn\u00e9, jak hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed dopadne, zm\u00ednil t\u0159i mu\u017ee, kte\u0159\u00ed budou m\u00edt v jeho administrativ\u011b siln\u00e9 slovo. Je to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm viceprezident Vance, d\u00e1le Elon Musk a Robert Kenedy jr.. Uvid\u00edme.<\/p>\n

A jak\u00e9 budou prvn\u00ed kroky nov\u011b zvolen\u00e9ho prezidenta po jeho n\u00e1stupu v lednu 2025 do funkce? Budou to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ostr\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed proti neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed migraci a neleg\u00e1ln\u00edm migrant\u016fm. Proti neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed migraci si to um\u00edm p\u0159edstavit. Prost\u011b p\u0159es hranice se nepust\u00ed nikdo, u n\u011bj\u017e je podez\u0159en\u00ed, \u017ee je ileg\u00e1lem. Ale pokud jde ji\u017e o ileg\u00e1ly \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed v USA, pak m\u016f\u017ee asi j\u00edt o \u201elov\u201c osob, podobn\u00fd tomu, kter\u00fd po\u0159\u00e1daj\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 org\u00e1ny na mlad\u00e9 Ukrajince, kdy\u017e se vyh\u00fdbaj\u00ed n\u00e1boru do arm\u00e1dy. Je to v USA provediteln\u00e9? St\u011b\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n

No a druh\u00fd bod, kter\u00fd se t\u00fdk\u00e1 i n\u00e1s, budou to nejsp\u00ed\u0161 cla uvalen\u00e1 na evropsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed. Bude to nejm\u00e9n\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch 10% cla, co\u017e samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nez\u016fstane bez odezvy Evropsk\u00e9 unie. Ta odvetou zavede cla na americk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n

A podobn\u00e9 to bude na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je dov\u00e1\u017eeno do USA. Tam se dokonce mluv\u00ed o clu 40 anebo dokonce je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce procent. No, a pokud se n\u00e1m takhle „hezky“ rozjede obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka, bude to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm faktor povzbuzuj\u00edc\u00ed inflaci a retarduj\u00edc\u00ed ve sv\u011bt\u011b hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst.<\/p>\n

A pokud se je\u0161t\u011b rozjede celn\u00ed v\u00e1lka mezi EU a \u010c\u00ednou, jej\u00edm\u017e prvn\u00edm viditeln\u00fdm poslem jsou zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 cla na dovoz \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch elektromobil\u016f, propadne se sv\u011bt do protekcionismu a izolacionismu. A u pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch zem\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b \u010ceska, a zejm\u00e9na u zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed velmi intenzivn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod, nejsp\u00ed\u0161e dojde k propadu hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed, tedy k poklesu hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu. A chv\u00edli bude trvat, ne\u017e se poda\u0159\u00ed prov\u00e9st restart ekonomiky. Zkr\u00e1tka, beru volbu nov\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta na v\u011bdom\u00ed, ale o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m, bohu\u017eel, \u017ee jeho kroky v hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 oblasti a tak\u00e9 bezmezn\u00e1 podpora Izraele, budou pro Evropu velmi nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

No\u010dn\u00ed m\u016fra progresivist\u016f na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b a Deep state ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech se naplnila. Prezidentsk\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61902,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,122,452,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65776"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65776\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}