{"id":65216,"date":"2024-10-31T00:38:07","date_gmt":"2024-10-30T23:38:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=65216"},"modified":"2024-10-30T15:40:25","modified_gmt":"2024-10-30T14:40:25","slug":"iran-vstupuje-do-nove-faze-konfliktu-s-izraelem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/31\/iran-vstupuje-do-nove-faze-konfliktu-s-izraelem\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdr\u00e1n vstupuje do nov\u00e9 f\u00e1ze konfliktu s Izraelem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Strategicky pochybn\u00e9 \u00fadery Izraele proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu definitivn\u011b ukon\u010dily dlouh\u00e9 obdob\u00ed \u201estrategick\u00e9 trp\u011blivosti\u201c Teher\u00e1nu. Bez p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v dohledu Tel Aviv bezohledn\u011b vydl\u00e1\u017edil cestu, ze kter\u00e9 nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu, a ponechal pole na \u00cdr\u00e1nu a jeho region\u00e1ln\u00edch spojenc\u00edch, aby ur\u010dili dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1zi boje.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Po t\u00fddnech \u0159in\u010den\u00ed \u0161avl\u00ed Izrael splnil sv\u00e9 hrozby za\u00fato\u010dit na \u00cdr\u00e1n pot\u00e9, co Teher\u00e1n vojensky odpov\u011bd\u011bl na zabit\u00ed mu\u010dedn\u00edk\u016f Osy odporu Ismaila Haniyeha a Hassana Nasrallaha 1. \u0159\u00edjna.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle Izraele byly raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky v Tel Avivu zam\u011b\u0159eny na \u0159adu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen a zpravodajsk\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany hluboko uvnit\u0159 \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany podaly protich\u016fdn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy o ud\u00e1lostech z r\u00e1na 26. \u0159\u00edjna. Izrael, jeho\u017e \u00fa\u010det byla vyzvednuta z\u00e1padn\u00edmi m\u00e9dii, popsal \u00fatok jako p\u0159esn\u00fd a \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n tvrdil, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161inu \u00fatok\u016f zachytil a zma\u0159il.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nevyprovokovan\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 salva nicm\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159inesla na z\u00e1padoasijsk\u00e9 boji\u0161t\u011b novou dynamiku. \u00datok v sobotu brzy r\u00e1no objasnil, pro\u010d Izrael, podporovan\u00fd sv\u00fdmi z\u00e1padn\u00edmi spojenci, v\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee \u00fatok byl v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b nutn\u00fd. A to vedlo k nov\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016fm \u00cdr\u00e1nu uprost\u0159ed roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed se region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dodr\u017eujte \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 sliby<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e Tel Aviv 1. dubna provedl sv\u016fj vysoce provokativn\u00ed \u00fatok na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd konzul\u00e1t v Dama\u0161ku, \u00cdr\u00e1nci odpov\u011bd\u011bli dv\u011bma kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi po\u017eadavky: ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku v Gaze a deeskalovat \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt \u2013 nebo p\u0159\u00edmou vojenskou reakci.<\/span><\/p>\n

O necel\u00fdch 10 dn\u00ed pozd\u011bji \u00cdr\u00e1n ude\u0159il zp\u011bt ve frustraci z izraelsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho \u0161tvan\u00ed a spolu\u00fa\u010dasti USA. V r\u00e1mci operace True Promise, zah\u00e1jen\u00e9 14. dubna, byly t\u0159i izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, v\u010detn\u011b dvou na jihu okupovan\u00e9 Palestiny a jedn\u00e9 na okupovan\u00fdch syrsk\u00fdch Golansk\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161in\u00e1ch, napadeny bezprecedentn\u00ed palbou \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch bezpilotn\u00edch letoun\u016f a \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch a balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el.<\/span><\/p>\n

To znamenalo zlom pro \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd p\u0159e\u0161el z f\u00e1ze takzvan\u00e9 \u201estrategick\u00e9 trp\u011blivosti\u201c \u2013 sn\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed provokac\u00ed a z\u00e1rove\u0148 budov\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edly \u2013 do f\u00e1ze \u201epos\u00edlen\u00e9 odvety\u201c, kter\u00e1 podkopala pravidla odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed okupa\u010dn\u00edho st\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n

True Promise signalizoval z\u00e1m\u011br Teher\u00e1nu \u010delit Izraeli p\u0159\u00edmo, podobn\u011b jako odveta proti z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m okupovan\u00fdm USA 8. ledna 2020, jen p\u00e1r dn\u00ed pot\u00e9, co Washington zavra\u017edil velitele Quds Force gener\u00e1la Qassema Soleimaniho v Bagd\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ochota \u00cdr\u00e1nu pou\u017e\u00edt s\u00edlu byla strategick\u00fdm \u00faderem proti izraelsk\u00fdm a americk\u00fdm ambic\u00edm zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdm na oslaben\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho vlivu a sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed podpory sil odporu v Palestin\u011b a Libanonu. Navzdory v\u00fdm\u011bn\u011b n\u00e1zor\u016f bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee se r\u00fdsuje nov\u00e1 rovnov\u00e1ha odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 takov\u00e1, kterou by Washington ani Tel Aviv nemohly snadno naklonit ve sv\u016fj prosp\u011bch.<\/span><\/p>\n

22. a 23. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, kdy\u017e Izrael roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159il v\u00e1lku do Libanonu, provedl Tel Aviv v \u00cdr\u00e1nu pokus o atent\u00e1t na vedouc\u00edho politick\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu Ham\u00e1su Ismaila Haniyeha, kter\u00fd byl hostem inaugurace nov\u011b zvolen\u00e9ho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Masouda Pezeshkiana. .<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00datok byl pova\u017eov\u00e1n za strategickou i osobn\u00ed ur\u00e1\u017eku \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce ajatoll\u00e1h Al\u00ed Chamene\u00ed sl\u00edbil pomstu a ozna\u010dil za povinnost \u00cdr\u00e1nu pomst\u00edt sv\u00e9ho padl\u00e9ho hosta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Eskalace prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm atent\u00e1tu<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Tuto \u00edr\u00e1nskou hrozbu vzali z\u00e1padn\u00ed a izrael\u0161t\u00ed tv\u016frci rozhodnut\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011b. Dokonce to nakr\u00e1tko otev\u0159elo dve\u0159e mo\u017en\u00e9 deeskalaci prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm do\u010dasn\u00e9ho 21denn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed k vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed sporn\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zavra\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed gener\u00e1ln\u00edho tajemn\u00edka Hizball\u00e1hu Hasana Nasrall\u00e1ha 27. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v\u0161ak tyto snahy zma\u0159ilo, zejm\u00e9na pot\u00e9, co izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu v projevu k OSN zes\u00edlil r\u00e9toriku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu a zav\u00e1zal se pokra\u010dovat ve v\u00e1lce, dokud nedojde k posunu u moci v regionu \u2013 s c\u00edlem neutralizovat s\u00edly odporu a zm\u011bnit dynamiku v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po reakci \u00cdr\u00e1nu 1. \u0159\u00edjna Izrael s podporou USA provedl omezen\u00fd \u00fader, aby dos\u00e1hl n\u011bkolika c\u00edl\u016f. Krom\u011b poskytnut\u00ed reakce na masivn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky, kter\u00e1 zachra\u0148uje obli\u010dej, m\u011bla izraelsk\u00e1 reakce za c\u00edl p\u0159inutit Teher\u00e1n, aby p\u0159ehodnotil sv\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed strategie a aliance, v\u010detn\u011b zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm uvnit\u0159 Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho se Izrael prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sv\u00fdch agresivn\u00edch akc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 mohly vy\u00fastit v \u00edr\u00e1nskou odvetu, sna\u017eil podkopat jakoukoli dohodu o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ve prosp\u011bch sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f, zejm\u00e9na s ohledem na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy v Libanonu a Palestin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm c\u00edlem bylo tak\u00e9 op\u011btovn\u00e9 potvrzen\u00ed odstra\u0161ovac\u00ed schopnosti Tel Avivu, stejn\u011b jako \u010delit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm snah\u00e1m podkopat normalizaci vztah\u016f Izraele s arabsk\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, zejm\u00e9na po operaci Al-Aks\u00e1 Povode\u0148, kter\u00e1 brzdila snahy o sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed s v\u016fdci arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed dosud nestanovili form\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy s Tel Avivem, zejm\u00e9na Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt proaktivn\u00ed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n od t\u00e9 doby uznal izraelsk\u00fd \u00fatok a sl\u00edbil, \u017ee bude reagovat v z\u00e1vislosti na okolnostech. Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed je, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nc\u016fm se poda\u0159ilo ochr\u00e1nit sv\u00e1 ropn\u00e1, jadern\u00e1 a ekonomick\u00e1 aktiva p\u0159ed po\u0161kozen\u00edm t\u00edm, \u017ee dali najevo svou ochotu tvrd\u011b zas\u00e1hnout, pokud dojde k dal\u0161\u00edm provokac\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Chamene\u00edho odpov\u011b\u010f shrnula \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd postoj: \u201eZlo sp\u00e1chan\u00e9 sionistick\u00fdm re\u017eimem (Izraelem) p\u0159ed dv\u011bma dny nelze zveli\u010dovat ani bagatelizovat,\u201c uvedl v p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku na X.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd v\u016fdce, nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed autorita v ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, zd\u016fraznil pot\u0159ebu postavit se chybn\u00fdm izraelsk\u00fdm kalkulac\u00edm. \u00cdr\u00e1n nyn\u00ed p\u0159ech\u00e1z\u00ed od absorbov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fatok\u016f k aktivn\u00edmu naru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 strategie. Teher\u00e1n zopakoval svou podporu ose odporu v regionu a odm\u00edtl ustoupit ze sv\u00fdch \u0161ir\u0161\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f osvobodit Palestinu a podpo\u0159it libanonsk\u00fd boj proti agresi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozice \u00cdr\u00e1nu tak\u00e9 podtrhuje jeho odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed zachovat jednotu sv\u00fdch spojenc\u016f proti izraelsk\u00fdm a americk\u00fdm pl\u00e1n\u016fm na p\u0159etvo\u0159en\u00ed regionu \u2013 \u201enov\u00e9ho St\u0159edn\u00edho v\u00fdchodu\u201c \u2013 v jejich prosp\u011bch. Zat\u00edmco bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed hrozba eskalace le\u017e\u00ed z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti v rukou Izraele a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed volbou, zda se bu\u010f p\u0159izp\u016fsob\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu pom\u011bru sil a budou pracovat na deeskalaci, nebo riskovat konflikt, kter\u00fd by mohl p\u0159er\u016fst v nekontrolovatelnou v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f, \u017ee necht\u011bj\u00ed eskalovat, nesta\u010d\u00ed \u2013 jsou zapot\u0159eb\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed kroky k ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed a zb\u00fdv\u00e1 jen m\u00e1lo trp\u011blivosti na diplomatick\u00e9 triky, kter\u00e9 Tel Aviv a Washington v uplynul\u00e9m roce pou\u017eily.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n prosazuje sv\u00e9 \u201epr\u00e1vo reagovat\u201c a sv\u011bt se d\u00edv\u00e1 na nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed americk\u00e9 volby, situace v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 zna\u010dn\u011b nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e1. Do t\u00e9 doby a v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b neexistence politicky zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed pro Netanjahuovu vl\u00e1du bude boji\u0161t\u011b nad\u00e1le diktovat podm\u00ednky a nech\u00e1 dve\u0159e otev\u0159en\u00e9 pro dal\u0161\u00ed destabilizaci a naru\u0161en\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti okupa\u010dn\u00edho st\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Khalil Nasrallah<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Strategicky pochybn\u00e9 \u00fadery Izraele proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu definitivn\u011b ukon\u010dily dlouh\u00e9 obdob\u00ed \u201estrategick\u00e9 trp\u011blivosti\u201c Teher\u00e1nu. Bez p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":65217,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,220],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65216"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65216"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65216\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}