{"id":65101,"date":"2024-10-29T06:31:41","date_gmt":"2024-10-29T05:31:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=65101"},"modified":"2024-10-29T06:31:41","modified_gmt":"2024-10-29T05:31:41","slug":"alastair-crooke-ohromujici-dekapitulace-netanjahuovo-silenstvi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/29\/alastair-crooke-ohromujici-dekapitulace-netanjahuovo-silenstvi\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: Ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed dekapitulace? Netanjahuovo \u201e\u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Velk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b brzy vypukne \u2013 tvrd\u00ed to izraelsk\u00fd ministr obrany Gallant. Bude zah\u00e1jena, a\u017e Izrael zah\u00e1j\u00ed sv\u016fj dlouho zva\u017eovan\u00fd \u00fader na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Gallant\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/liveblog_entry\/gallant-when-israel-strikes-back-iran-wont-understand-what-happened-to-it\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">sl\u00edbil<\/a>, \u017ee izraelsk\u00fd \u00fader na \u00cdr\u00e1n bude \u201esmrt\u00edc\u00ed, p\u0159esn\u00fd a zejm\u00e9na p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fd\u201c, a dodal, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n \u201enepochop\u00ed,\u00a0<i>co<\/i>\u00a0se mu stalo a\u00a0<i>jak<\/i>\u201c.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201e<i>Jak<\/i>\u201c tak \u2013 zaj\u00edmav\u00e1 volba slov.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Od dne\u0161n\u00edho r\u00e1na nen\u00ed po Gallantem slibovan\u00e9 smrt\u00edc\u00ed reakci ani stopy. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Izrael, kter\u00fd p\u016fvodn\u011b p\u0159ikl\u00e1dal d\u016fle\u017eitost rychl\u00e9 a p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 reakci, \u010dek\u00e1 na z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed bateri\u00ed protiraketov\u00fdch st\u0159el THAAD \u2013 a na p\u0159\u00edjezd americk\u00fdch jednotek, kter\u00e9 je budou obsluhovat, do Izraele.<\/p>\n<p>THAAD pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nezm\u011bn\u00ed pravidla hry. \u00cdr\u00e1n 1. \u0159\u00edjna\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/world\/middle-east\/iran-missiles-israel-overwhelm-defence-a7cbd9af\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">dok\u00e1zal<\/a>, \u017ee je schopen nasytit a p\u0159emoci izraelskou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu dv\u011bma po sob\u011b jdouc\u00edmi salvami p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch balistick\u00fdch raket. V souvislosti s p\u0159\u00edchodem THAAD jde jednak o to, \u017ee Izraeli\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.israelhayom.com\/2024\/10\/15\/israel-faces-missile-interceptor-shortage-turns-to-us-reportedly\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">doch\u00e1z\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0z\u00e1chytn\u00e9 rakety, a jednak o to, \u017ee zata\u017een\u00ed USA do v\u00e1lky mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u2013 je pro Netanjahua nesm\u00edrn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dodr\u017een\u00ed \u010dasov\u00e9ho harmonogramu.<\/p>\n<p>Baterie THAAD by paradoxn\u011b mohly zp\u016fsobit pr\u00e1v\u011b to (vt\u00e1hnout USA do v\u00e1lky). S americk\u00fdmi silami, kter\u00e9 jsou nyn\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bny na zemi na podporu izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 kinetick\u00e9 akce proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Izrael fakticky vkl\u00e1d\u00e1 do v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho dramatu americk\u00fd \u201etrojdr\u00e1t\u201c: Pokud by byli ameri\u010dt\u00ed voj\u00e1ci zabiti, pak jsou USA ve v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem; c\u00edtily by se povinny na smrt americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f r\u00e1zn\u011b reagovat.<\/p>\n<p>Netanjahu si tuto v\u00e1lku p\u0159eje ji\u017e 25 let. Nyn\u00ed vid\u00ed, jak nab\u00fdv\u00e1 pevn\u00fdch obrys\u016f \u2013 p\u0159\u00edmo p\u0159ed jeho o\u010dima. Z jeho pohledu nav\u00edc p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9m okam\u017eiku \u2013 t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed americk\u00fdmi volbami, v nich\u017e se t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ka\u017ed\u00fd kandid\u00e1t uch\u00e1z\u00ed o vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed v\u011brnosti Izraeli.<\/p>\n<p>Aby bylo jasno, nejde o \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u201emal\u00e9 pivo\u201c. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ohro\u017een\u00ed Teher\u00e1nu m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159er\u016fst ve velk\u00fd konflikt s Ruskem. Izraelsk\u00e1 genocida v Gaze a jeho nelidsk\u00e9 \u2013 za hranic\u00ed v\u0161ech pravidel v\u00e1lky \u2013 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed civilist\u016f v Libanonu s c\u00edlem p\u0159inutit terorizovan\u00e9 obyvatelstvo k pod\u0159\u00edzenosti, u\u010dinily z Ruska plnohodnotn\u00e9ho partnera \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Rusko proto usilovn\u011b pracuje na dopln\u011bn\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 obrany vlastn\u00edmi \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00fdmi obrann\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my.<\/p>\n<p>\u00daloha Ruska se v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b omez\u00ed na poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to obrann\u00e9 pomoci \u00cdr\u00e1nu: Rusk\u00e9 ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance), nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed syst\u00e9m elektronick\u00e9ho boje, n\u011bkter\u00e9 rakety a mo\u017en\u00e1 i rakety protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany S-400 (jejich p\u0159\u00edchod do \u00cdr\u00e1nu v\u0161ak nebyl potvrzen).<\/p>\n<p>Rusko bude m\u00edt hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1jem na tom, aby sledovalo, jak se tyto zbran\u011b osv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed proti izraelsk\u00e9mu \u00faderu.<\/p>\n<p>Pokud by fungovaly dob\u0159e, znamenalo by to v\u00fdznamnou podporu rusk\u00e9ho v\u0161eobecn\u00e9ho odstra\u0161en\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>A v tom spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd bod: Izrael\u0161t\u00ed sionist\u00e9 a ameri\u010dt\u00ed neokonzervativci pova\u017euj\u00ed cestu k Moskv\u011b bez palc\u00e1tu za cestu p\u0159es Teher\u00e1n, kter\u00fd bude bez hlavic a pora\u017een. V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 tedy v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed odboje \u2013 je do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry rusk\u00fdm z\u00e1jmem.<\/p>\n<p>Biden\u016fv t\u00fdm, nad\u0161en\u00fd izraelskou dekapitulac\u00ed velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti vysok\u00e9ho veden\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu a povzbuzen\u00fd mo\u017en\u00e1 nepovolen\u00fdmi (a \u0161patn\u00fdmi) sign\u00e1ly z \u00cdr\u00e1nu, \u017ee by mohl na izraelsk\u00fd \u00fader reagovat perfekcionisticky, by mohl vn\u00edmat, \u017ee se rod\u00ed nov\u00fd Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod veden\u00fd sionisty.<\/p>\n<p>Zas\u00e1hnou n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edci \u0161t\u00e1b\u016f v Pentagonu, aby zastavili pochod ke konfliktu \u2013 jako to ud\u011blali v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Blinkenov\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f na eskalaci na Ukrajin\u011b? Zd\u00e1 se to nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9. Dosud bezv\u00fdhradn\u011b podporovali Izrael. A souhlasili s vysl\u00e1n\u00edm bateri\u00ed THAAD.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00e1\u010deln\u00edci \u0161t\u00e1b\u016f jist\u011b poc\u00edt\u00ed siln\u00e9 proizraelsk\u00e9 n\u00e1lady v Kongresu, kter\u00e9 jsou ve v\u00fdrazn\u00e9m kontrastu s rostouc\u00edm roz\u010darov\u00e1n\u00edm z Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159esto nen\u00ed boj s \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u2013 podporovan\u00fdm Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou \u2013 \u017e\u00e1dnou mali\u010dkost\u00ed: je skute\u010dn\u011b \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzn\u00fd\u201c? A co kdy\u017e ne? Co kdy\u017e Izrael prohraje \u2013 a tedy i Amerika? Bylo by to zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed; pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by ot\u0159\u00e1slo z\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011btem.<\/p>\n<p>Jeden z koment\u00e1tor\u016f, James Kroeger, zaj\u00edmav\u011b\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JamesKroeger5\/status\/1846360944588292125\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1<\/a>, \u017ee \u201e<i>izraelsk\u00fd \u00fatok, pokud k n\u011bmu dojde, bude dal\u0161\u00edm dekapituj\u00edc\u00edm \u00faderem: Tentokr\u00e1t bude proveden je\u0161t\u011b ohromuj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem ne\u017e ten, kter\u00fd provedli proti Nasrall\u00e1hovi\u201c<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eV\u00edte, Pentagon se nepodep\u00ed\u0161e pod pl\u00e1ny IDF za\u00fato\u010dit na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 ropn\u00e1 pole nebo dokonce na poh\u0159ben\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd pr\u016fmysl; ale v minulosti podporoval Izrael, kdy\u017e se zam\u011b\u0159il na v\u016fdce hnut\u00ed odporu, kte\u0159\u00ed se stav\u00ed proti Izraeli. Nepou\u017eily IDF pr\u00e1v\u011b v Bejr\u00fatu 82 \u2013 2 000librov\u00e9 americk\u00e9 bomby, aby zabily Nasrall\u00e1ha? Za pln\u00e9 spolu\u00fa\u010dasti USA?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eV z\u00e1kladn\u00edm pojet\u00ed USA pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b schv\u00e1l\u00ed a mo\u017en\u00e1 i umo\u017en\u00ed \u00fader \u201adekapitac\u00ed\u2018 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f v Teher\u00e1nu v domn\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n bude p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 ohromen na to, aby odpov\u011bd\u011bl \u00fatokem \u201atot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u2018 na Izrael. Koneckonc\u016f, co \u00cdr\u00e1n ud\u011blal pot\u00e9, co byl Nasrall\u00e1h zabit? Za\u00fato\u010dil na n\u011bkter\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny IDF zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd nezabil \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 Izraelce? Odradilo to Izrael od toho, aby se odv\u00e1\u017eil znovu za\u00fato\u010dit na \u00cdr\u00e1n?\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eCo by Pentagon pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bneschv\u00e1lil, je pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed k dekapitaci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy \u2013 proto\u017ee by to pr\u00e1v\u011b mohlo sta\u010dit k vyvol\u00e1n\u00ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 se Pentagon tolik ob\u00e1v\u00e1: Ale co kdy\u017e se mazan\u00fd Izrael pot\u00e9, co p\u0159ijme americkou pomoc p\u0159i operaci, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je prov\u00e9st \u00fatok konven\u010dn\u00ed bombou &#8218;bunker buster&#8216; na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce, rozhodne na vlastn\u00ed p\u011bst prov\u00e9st tak\u00e9 taktickou nebo strategickou atomovou bombu na Teher\u00e1n, kter\u00e1 zcela zdevastuje \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 velen\u00ed?\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201ePochopte, \u017ee z\u00e1m\u011brem Izraele nen\u00ed vyhnout se tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, ale rozpoutat ji a pou\u017eit\u00ed atomov\u00e9 bomby na Teher\u00e1n by pr\u00e1v\u011b to dok\u00e1zalo. Stoprocentn\u011b zaru\u010den\u011b. Bibi ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee pokud po takov\u00e9m \u00fatoku \u00cdr\u00e1n odpov\u00ed \u00fatokem na Izrael v\u0161\u00edm, co m\u00e1, bude schopen p\u0159im\u011bt Kongres, aby schv\u00e1lil vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky \u00cdr\u00e1nu.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eMSM a ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed [spolu s Kongresem] by se nejprve se\u0161ikovaly, aby pop\u0159ely, \u017ee byly pou\u017eity jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, a pak by se emotivn\u011b vymluvily, pro\u010d Izrael musel pou\u017e\u00edt sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b \u201ana svou obranu\u2018. T\u00e9ma budou donekone\u010dna opakovat: Chud\u00e1k Izrael, kter\u00e9mu terorist\u00e9 hrozili zni\u010den\u00edm, se uch\u00fdlil k jedin\u00e9 zbrani, kter\u00e1 mu zbyla, aby porazil zlo, jemu\u017e \u010delil&#8230;\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u201e<i>\u0160\u00edlenstv\u00ed<\/i>? Ano.\u00a0<i>Netanjahuovo &#8218;\u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed &#8218;<\/i>\u201c&#8230; P\u0159esto je Gallantova z\u00e1hadn\u00e1 \u201csmrt\u00edc\u00ed, p\u0159esn\u00e1 a hlavn\u011b p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e1:\u00a0<i>\u00cdr\u00e1n nepochop\u00ed, co se mu stalo a jak<\/i>\u201c \u2013 podivn\u00e1 formulace p\u0159esn\u011b zapad\u00e1 do t\u00e9to Kroegerovy teze.<\/p>\n<p>Velk\u00e1 nezn\u00e1m\u00e1: Bude Pentagon schopen zaujmout stanovisko a odm\u00edtnout se pod\u0159\u00eddit? Pentagon se toti\u017e d\u016fsledn\u011b stav\u00ed proti tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/p>\n<p>Pro\u010d? V\u0161echny v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u201ehry\u201c, kter\u00e9 se v pr\u016fb\u011bhu n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch let odehr\u00e1ly, skon\u010dily americkou prohrou.<\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/strategic-culture.su\/news\/2024\/10\/27\/a-stunning-de-capitation-the-netanyahu-madness\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">A stunning de-capitation? The Netanyahu \u201cmadness\u201d<\/a> vy\u0161el 27.10.2024 na Staregic Culture. P\u0159eklad\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/zvedavec.news\/komentare\/2024\/10\/10269-ohromujici-dekapitulace-netanjahuovo-silenstvi.htm\">Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Velk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b brzy vypukne \u2013 tvrd\u00ed to izraelsk\u00fd ministr obrany&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":56146,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,4537,107],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65101"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65101"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65101\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56146"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}