{"id":65061,"date":"2024-10-29T00:35:10","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T23:35:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=65061"},"modified":"2024-10-28T16:29:10","modified_gmt":"2024-10-28T15:29:10","slug":"jaderna-horecka-valecne-stvani-proti-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/29\/jaderna-horecka-valecne-stvani-proti-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"Jadern\u00e1 hore\u010dka: v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161tvan\u00ed proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 s\u00e9rie p\u0159ehnan\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f \u2013 nebo alespo\u0148 to, co jim rozum\u00edme \u2013 stav\u00ed Izrael do situace, na kterou byl d\u0159\u00edve zvykl\u00fd: s\u00edly ve v\u00e1lce. Tato s\u00edla slibuje mnoh\u00e9: p\u0159ekreslen\u00ed hranic, svr\u017een\u00ed vl\u00e1d, zni\u010den\u00ed schopnost\u00ed protivn\u00edk\u016f a nep\u0159\u00e1tel. Nic v t\u00e9to rovnici nenazna\u010duje m\u00edr, nato\u017e diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Je to p\u011bstn\u00ed z\u00e1pas na h\u0159i\u0161ti, kter\u00fd se jen z\u0159\u00eddka dostane z p\u00edskovi\u0161t\u011b.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k izraelsk\u00e9mu postupu vypukla ve Washingtonu hore\u010dka. Propuknut\u00ed vyvolalo velk\u00e9 nad\u0161en\u00ed pro doktr\u00ednu, kter\u00e1 se znovu a znovu uk\u00e1zala jako \u017ealostn\u011b nejist\u00e1 a extr\u00e9mn\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1. Proto\u017ee neexistovaly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed d\u016fkazy o bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm ohro\u017een\u00ed z\u00e1jm\u016f USA, diskutovalo se o tom v nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch kruz\u00edch politick\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ipravuj\u00edc\u00edch se na invazi do Ir\u00e1ku v roce 2003. Zat\u00edmco stanoven\u00fdm c\u00edlem bylo odzbrojit re\u017eim Sadd\u00e1ma Husajna, proto\u017ee m\u011bl zbran\u011b hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e9, jak se uk\u00e1zalo,\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>nem\u011bl<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0, logika spo\u010d\u00edvala v preventivn\u00edm \u00faderu: Za\u00fato\u010d\u00edme na \u0161\u00edlence v Bagd\u00e1du, ne\u017e z\u00edsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b. a prohr\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

David Ignatius, uzn\u00e1van\u00fd odborn\u00edk na imp\u00e9rium a \u0161pion\u00e1\u017e z\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>The Washington Post<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0,\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>nab\u00edz\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0pom\u011brn\u011b nev\u00fdrazn\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed \u00fadajn\u00e9 dominance Izraele nad \u00cdr\u00e1nem a jeho z\u00e1stupci. Po roce konfliktu Izrael \u201edos\u00e1hl toho, \u010demu vojen\u0161t\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed \u201aeskala\u010dn\u00ed dominance\u2018. D\u016fsledek: Rozhodn\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jde zde (v tomto bod\u011b ztracen\u00fd duch hled\u00e1 \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b v psychiatrick\u00e9 l\u00e9\u010debn\u011b pln\u00e9 sedativ pro du\u0161evn\u011b nemocn\u00e9) je, \u017ee \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n jako celek nezp\u016fsob\u00ed v odvet\u011b velk\u00e9 \u0161kody. P\u00e1r mod\u0159in, jist\u011b, ale t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 trval\u00e9 t\u011blesn\u00e9 r\u00e1ny. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Izrael ud\u011blal trochu magie a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159il sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed n\u00e1zor, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 ve sv\u00e9m vojensk\u00e9m trezoru krut\u00fd pl\u00e1n: odstranit Izrael do roku 2040.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0Matthew Kroenig, kter\u00fd se velkoryse charakterizuje jako strat\u00e9g n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti,\u00a0v\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Foreign Policy<\/span><\/em>\u00a0argumentuje pro v\u00e1lku. \u201eVe skute\u010dnosti je nyn\u00ed ide\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost zni\u010dit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program,\u201c\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>tvrd\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0s d\u011btskou touhou. D\u016fvodem takov\u00e9ho \u00fatoku jsou dohady. Preemp\u010dn\u00ed doktr\u00edna, kter\u00e1 je nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e1 k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu pr\u00e1vu a poru\u0161uje Chartu OSN, op\u011bt vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sv\u00e9 slab\u00e9 od\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed. D\u016fkaz\u016f v takov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpadech je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u017edy poskrovnu. Kroenig si je v\u0161ak jist\u00fd. \u00cdr\u00e1n b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f zajist\u00ed zbrojn\u00ed materi\u00e1l v hodnot\u011b jedn\u00e9 bomby. Zbytek je z\u0159ejm\u00fd. Nejsou p\u0159edlo\u017eeny \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy a vzhledem ke Kroenigov\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>dlouhodob\u00e9 horlivosti<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0zbavit \u00cdr\u00e1n jadern\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, na tom nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Atlantsk\u00e1 rada tak\u00e9 navrhla politiku, kter\u00e1 \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee co je dobr\u00e9 pro husu k\u0159es\u0165ansko-\u017eidovsk\u00e9 svobody, nen\u00ed dobr\u00e9 pro husu s persk\u00fdmi \u0161\u00editsk\u00fdmi ambicemi. Je to p\u0159esn\u011b toto pln\u00e9 pokrytectv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 despotov\u00e9 sekul\u00e1rn\u00ed tyranie v Severn\u00ed Koreji poznali p\u0159i sv\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s Washingtonem. Dejte si pozor na v\u0161el\u00e9ky proti jadern\u00fdm zbran\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va, kterou<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0pro Radu napsali spolu demokrat\u00e9 a republik\u00e1ni,\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0varuje p\u0159ed \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed absurditou: \u201eSpojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mus\u00ed zachovat politiku v\u00fdslovn\u011b deklarovanou prezidentem, \u017ee nebudou tolerovat z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nem a pou\u017eij\u00ed vojenskou s\u00edlu, aby tomuto v\u00fdvoji zabr\u00e1nily. pokud v\u0161echna ostatn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed sel\u017eou.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Nam\u00edsto toho, aby se br\u00e1nili agresivn\u00edm \u0159e\u010dem, auto\u0159i navrhuj\u00ed, aby USA pohrozily \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u201eohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00fdm ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u00edm spole\u010dn\u00fdm cvi\u010den\u00edm s Izraelem, jako je Juniper Oak, a v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9m cyklu hledaly dal\u0161\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky na podporu v\u00fdzkumu a v\u00fdvoje vojensk\u00e9ho vybaven\u00ed k urychlen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho generace schopn\u00e1 zni\u010dit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kroenig ukazuje svou obvyklou hloupost. \u00cdr\u00e1n nikdy nem\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, proto\u017ee to tvrd\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Izrael. (Sunnitsk\u00e9 mocnosti souhlas\u00ed ze sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f.) Tato forma v\u011b\u010dn\u00e9 idiocie se mohla vztahovat na v\u0161echny mocnosti s jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, v\u010detn\u011b samotn\u00e9ho Izraele. D\u0159\u00edve\u00a0 by\u00a0<\/span>\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0st\u00e1tu nebylo dovoleno vlastnit tento poz\u016fstatek sadistick\u00e9ho bl\u00e1znovstv\u00ed. Pak jeden po druh\u00e9m p\u0159ich\u00e1zeli do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f: sov\u011btsk\u00e1 bomba, britsk\u00e1 bomba, galsk\u00e1 bomba. Jen si vzpome\u0148te na \u010c\u00ednu, Indii, P\u00e1kist\u00e1n, Izrael. State\u010dn\u00e1, bl\u00e1zniv\u00e1 Severn\u00ed Korea byla dost chytr\u00e1 na to, aby odhalila trend a uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed se d\u00e1 v\u011b\u010dn\u011b sd\u00edlet.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to p\u0159esn\u011b tento druh logiky, kter\u00fd si vyslou\u017eil od nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce ajatoll\u00e1ha Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho koment\u00e1\u0159e v kv\u011btnov\u00e9m rozhovoru<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0takto\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0: \u201e\u00darove\u0148 odstra\u0161en\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu bude jin\u00e1, pokud bude ohro\u017eena existence \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Nerozhodli jsme se vyrobit jadernou bombu, ale budeme muset zm\u011bnit na\u0161i jadernou doktr\u00ednu, kdy\u017e takov\u00e9 hrozby nastanou.\u201c Tento m\u011bs\u00edc\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 40 z\u00e1konod\u00e1rc\u016f napsalo dopis<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rad\u011b n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, v n\u011bm\u017e po\u017eadovali revizi sou\u010dasn\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 doktr\u00edny. \u010c\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed touha fanatika eliminovat vn\u00edmanou hrozbu, t\u00edm je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee protivn\u00edk d\u00e1 t\u00e9to hrozb\u011b z\u00e1klad.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159es v\u0161echnu p\u0159edst\u00edranou neochotu ofici\u00e1ln\u011b projevenou ve Washingtonu ohledn\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed vlny izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 agrese existuje obrovsk\u00fd soucit, dokonce n\u00e1klonnost k n\u00e1zoru, \u017ee k\u0159ivdy mus\u00ed b\u00fdt napraveny a mull\u00e1hov\u00e9 potrest\u00e1ni. I v hloup\u00e9m vys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb se mluv\u00ed o nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u0161t\u011bj\u0161\u00ed reakci v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Viceprezidentka Kamala Harrisov\u00e1\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0v rozhovoru pro 60 Minutes\u00a0<\/span>poznamenala : „\u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 na rukou americkou krev, ano?“<\/span><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Justin Logan z Cato Institute na tuto hloupou pozn\u00e1mku reaguje\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>ledov\u011b<\/span><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0chladnou koupel\u00ed rozumu: \u201eV roce 1940 u\u017e nejsme Wehrmacht cesta k ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed vede p\u0159es prost\u0159edky, jako je propaganda, z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 operace a psychologick\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, \u201enato\u017e o to, aby se stala nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozbou pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jadern\u00e1 mo\u017enost je nyn\u00ed dostupn\u00e1 vl\u00e1d\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 ji nikdy nem\u011bly m\u00edt. Pak ale p\u0159i\u0161lo po\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nebezpe\u010dn\u011b neudr\u017eiteln\u00e9ho. P\u0159edpoklad, \u017ee by je nem\u011bli m\u00edt brut\u00e1ln\u00ed, amputace miluj\u00edc\u00ed teokrat\u00e9 v Teher\u00e1nu, jde proti sm\u011bru jist\u00e9ho hloup\u00e9ho d\u016fsledku. Persk\u00e1 bomba je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b na spadnut\u00ed a je povinnost\u00ed vra\u017eedn\u00fdch fantast\u016f v Izraeli a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech se nad touto skute\u010dnost\u00ed zamyslet. Nane\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed pro n\u00e1s ostatn\u00ed, anti-akvizi\u010dn\u00ed feti\u0161 riskuje roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00edho konfliktu testov\u00e1n\u00edm v\u016fle a zdroj\u016f s\u00edly, kterou, i kdy\u017e je zran\u011bn\u00e1, lze jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed pova\u017eovat za pora\u017eenou.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 s\u00e9rie p\u0159ehnan\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch \u00fasp\u011bch\u016f \u2013 nebo alespo\u0148 to, co jim rozum\u00edme \u2013 stav\u00ed Izrael…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":65062,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,107,3179,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65061"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65061"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65061\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65062"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}