{"id":64841,"date":"2024-10-25T00:39:20","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T22:39:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=64841"},"modified":"2024-10-24T17:46:14","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T15:46:14","slug":"robert-inlakesh-usa-a-izrael-delaji-v-libanonu-velkou-chybu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/25\/robert-inlakesh-usa-a-izrael-delaji-v-libanonu-velkou-chybu\/","title":{"rendered":"Robert Inlakesh: USA a Izrael d\u011blaj\u00ed v Libanonu velkou chybu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Jak se konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b roz\u0161i\u0159oval, n\u00e1vrat do reality p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou v Gaze se stal nemo\u017en\u00fdm.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00fd \u00fatok na Libanon podporovan\u00fd USA, kter\u00fd za\u010dal \u010dinem, kter\u00fd b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0159editel CIA Leon Panetta popsal jako\u00a0<\/span>\u201eterorismus<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u201c, mo\u017en\u00e1 zasadil r\u00e1nu Hizball\u00e1hu, ale zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee do\u010dasn\u00e1 paral\u00fdza byla p\u0159ekon\u00e1na a Izraelci nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed ud\u011blat krok. kontrola reality.<\/span><\/p>\n

17. a 18. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed Izrael provedl nevyb\u00edrav\u00fd \u00fatok odp\u00e1len\u00edm bezdr\u00e1tov\u00e9ho komunika\u010dn\u00edho za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 bylo dod\u00e1no libanonsk\u00fdm \u010dlen\u016fm Hizball\u00e1hu,\u00a0<\/span>zabil des\u00edtky lid\u00ed a zranil tis\u00edce lid\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. V\u00fdbu\u0161niny, celosv\u011btov\u011b popisovan\u00e9 jako\u00a0<\/span>akt terorismu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a poru\u0161en\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va, byly jak psychologickou ranou pro libanonsk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo, tak fyzickou v\u00fdzvou pro \u0159et\u011bzec velen\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1sledovala s\u00e9rie extr\u00e9mn\u00edch atent\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 zabily v\u011bt\u0161inu prvn\u00ed \u0159ady politick\u00fdch a vojensk\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f Hizball\u00e1hu. To vyvrcholilo atent\u00e1tem na gener\u00e1ln\u00edho tajemn\u00edka Hizball\u00e1hu Seyyed Hassan Nasrallah 27. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed,\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159i kter\u00e9m bylo pou\u017eito asi 75 tun v\u00fdbu\u0161nin, kter\u00e9 rozdrtily cel\u00fd civiln\u00ed bytov\u00fd d\u016fm v ji\u017en\u00edm Bejr\u00fatu.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Tato s\u00e9rie \u00fatok\u016f se rovnala st\u011bt\u00ed hlavy veden\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu a navzdory nevyb\u00edrav\u00e9 taktice americk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia chv\u00e1lila\u00a0<\/span>d\u016fmyslnost<\/span><\/a>\u00a0n\u00e1stra\u017en\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f a americk\u00fd prezident Joe Biden\u00a0<\/span>oslavoval \u00fatoky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v libanonsk\u00e9m hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee americk\u00fd prezident George W. Bush odsoudil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v roce 2004 atent\u00e1t na v\u016fdce Hamasu Sheikh Ahmed Yassin\u00a0s t\u00edm, \u017ee \u00fatoky byly nevyb\u00edrav\u00e9 a zabily dev\u011bt dal\u0161\u00edch civilist\u016f. Na druhou stranu atent\u00e1t na v\u016fdce Hizball\u00e1hu, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m podle izraelsk\u00fdch odhad\u016f zem\u0159elo kolem 300 lid\u00ed, ve Washingtonu ocenili;<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory pochlebov\u00e1n\u00ed izraelsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed nad\u00a0<\/span>“\u00a0<\/span>pon\u00ed\u017een\u00fdm<\/span><\/a>\u00a0„<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>“\u00a0<\/span>oslaben\u00fdm<\/span><\/a>\u00a0„<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Hizball\u00e1hem po \u00fatoc\u00edch na pagery a atent\u00e1tech, krom\u011b tvrzen\u00ed USA, \u017ee skupina byla\u00a0<\/span>“\u00a0<\/span>odstavena o 20 let zp\u011bt<\/span><\/a>\u00a0„<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, se p\u0159\u00edliv obr\u00e1til. Nyn\u00ed, ve druh\u00e9m m\u011bs\u00edci v\u00e1lky mezi Izraelem a Libanonem, Hizball\u00e1h za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 diktovat tempo prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed bitvy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e Izrael zasadil Hizball\u00e1hu n\u011bkolik ran, o nich\u017e libanonsk\u00e1 skupina sama p\u0159iznala, \u017ee byly v\u00fdznamn\u00e9, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Izrael zatla\u010dil p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 tvrd\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 brzy a p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u011b pou\u017eil p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho sv\u00fdch karet. Pokus izraelsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy o invazi do ji\u017en\u00edho Libanonu byl nav\u00edc od za\u010d\u00e1tku poznamen\u00e1n ne\u00fasp\u011bchy a IDF se zat\u00edm nepoda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdch v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zisk\u016f na \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e se izrael\u0161t\u00ed a ameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 radovali ze sv\u00fdch taktick\u00fdch v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v Libanonu, kter\u00e1 byla v rozporu s v\u011bt\u0161inou anal\u00fdz, za\u010dali tak\u00e9 padat do pasti vlastn\u00ed propagandy a v\u011b\u0159it sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00edm. Dne 1. \u0159\u00edjna pak \u00cdr\u00e1n zah\u00e1jil dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 odvetn\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti izraelsk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 180 balistick\u00fdmi st\u0159elami, \u010d\u00edm\u017e zcela zm\u011bnil hru a p\u0159edal strategickou iniciativu zp\u011bt sv\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed alianci t\u00edm, \u017ee dos\u00e1hl vlastn\u00edho taktick\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Benjamin Netanjahu byl po na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed atent\u00e1tu na gener\u00e1ln\u00edho tajemn\u00edka Hizball\u00e1hu tak povzbuzen, \u017ee bezprost\u0159edn\u011b po sv\u00e9m projevu na Valn\u00e9m shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed OSN (VZ OSN) zve\u0159ejnil video, ve kter\u00e9m sl\u00edbil pomoc \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm disident\u016fm, jejich vl\u00e1d\u011b v Teher\u00e1nu padnout.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je tak\u00e9 pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee ve sv\u00e9m projevu toho ve\u010dera Netanjahu p\u0159edstavil dv\u011b vize pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii:\u00a0\u201e\u00a0sen\u00a0<\/span>\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>\u201eno\u010dn\u00ed m\u016fra\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/em>. o rok d\u0159\u00edve<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b uzav\u0159\u00edt normaliza\u010dn\u00ed dohodu mezi Tel Avivem a Rij\u00e1dem za \u00fa\u010delem realizace obchodn\u00edho koridoru Indie-St\u0159edn\u00ed v\u00fdchod-Evropa;<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato nov\u00e1 pozemn\u00ed cesta byla d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d americk\u00fd prezident Joe Biden trval na implementaci sa\u00fadsko-izraelsk\u00e9 normaliza\u010dn\u00ed dohody jako hlavn\u00ed agendy region\u00e1ln\u00ed politiky. V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed t\u00e9ho\u017e roku na summitu G-20 v New Delhi americk\u00fd prezident ozn\u00e1mil obchodn\u00ed koridor jako\u00a0<\/span>\u201e\u00a0<\/span>skute\u010dn\u011b velkou v\u011bc<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Strategickou chybou v my\u0161len\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9ho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je ve skute\u010dnosti \u0159\u00edzeno z Washingtonu, je jejich v\u00edra, \u017ee se mohou vr\u00e1tit do sv\u011bta p\u0159ed 7. \u0159\u00edjnem prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 demonstrace s\u00edly. V\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee mohou v podstat\u011b donutit cel\u00fd region, aby se pod\u0159\u00eddil t\u00edm, \u017ee daj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklady Hizball\u00e1hu, Ham\u00e1su a dokonce \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Benjamin Netanjahu m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 ambice dos\u00e1hnout v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nad region\u00e1ln\u00edm isl\u00e1msk\u00fdm odporem, srovnateln\u00e9ho s izraelsk\u00fdm triumfem nad sekul\u00e1rn\u00edm arabsk\u00fdm nacionalismem ve v\u00e1lce v \u010dervnu 1967.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael se nyn\u00ed vyrovn\u00e1v\u00e1 s n\u00e1sledky v\u00e1lky, kterou zah\u00e1jil proti Libanonu, proto\u017ee se zd\u00e1, \u017ee se Hizball\u00e1h rychle vzpamatoval, vym\u011bnil sv\u00e9 veden\u00ed a den za dnem proti n\u011bmu zah\u00e1jil s\u00e9rii pe\u010dliv\u011b pl\u00e1novan\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f. Izraelci z\u00e1rove\u0148 slibuj\u00ed, \u017ee za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1nskou isl\u00e1mskou republiku, i kdy\u017e by takov\u00fd \u00fatok pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vyvolal patovou situaci, kterou nelze vyhr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ani v r\u016fzn\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch hr\u00e1ch Izrael neprok\u00e1zal, \u017ee je schopen bojovat na v\u00edce front\u00e1ch, a dosp\u011bla k tomu nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed studie mo\u017en\u00fdch d\u016fsledk\u016f v\u00e1lky s Hizball\u00e1hem, kter\u00e9 se z\u00fa\u010dastnilo p\u0159es 100 vysok\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f a vojensk\u00fdch osobnost\u00ed. Dosp\u011bt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>nejlep\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem by byla rychl\u00e1 patov\u00e1 situace<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b jsou USA bu\u010f v iluzi, nebo jsou ochotny vsadit, \u017ee jejich opozice nejprve ustoup\u00ed, zat\u00edmco riskuj\u00ed strategickou por\u00e1\u017eku Izraele, pokud v\u0161echny pl\u00e1ny sel\u017eou. Je\u0161t\u011b nejsme ve st\u00e1diu tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky, ale v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech a m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch bychom ji mohli velmi dob\u0159e dos\u00e1hnout. Odm\u00edtnut\u00ed USA p\u0159ijmout por\u00e1\u017eku d\u0159\u00edve a lp\u011bn\u00ed na\u00a0<\/span>\u201esnu\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0o n\u00e1vratu do reality p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou v Gaze je d\u016fvodem chaosu, kter\u00fd dnes vid\u00edme;<\/span><\/p>\n

*<\/span><\/p>\n

Robert Inlakesh<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0je politick\u00fd analytik, novin\u00e1\u0159 a dokumentarista, kter\u00fd v sou\u010dasnosti p\u016fsob\u00ed v Lond\u00fdn\u011b ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii. Pod\u00e1val zpr\u00e1vy z palestinsk\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed a \u017eil na nich a v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b pracuje pro Quds News. \u0158editel filmu \u201eKr\u00e1de\u017e stolet\u00ed: Trumpova palestinsko-izraelsk\u00e1 katastrofa\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jak se konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b roz\u0161i\u0159oval, n\u00e1vrat do reality p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou v Gaze se…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":64842,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,107,405,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64841"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64841"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64841\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64842"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64841"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64841"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64841"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}