{"id":64838,"date":"2024-10-25T00:37:08","date_gmt":"2024-10-24T22:37:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=64838"},"modified":"2024-10-24T17:39:04","modified_gmt":"2024-10-24T15:39:04","slug":"scott-ritter-uniky-izraelskych-zpravodajskych-sluzeb-osklivy-pohled-do-temne-budoucnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/25\/scott-ritter-uniky-izraelskych-zpravodajskych-sluzeb-osklivy-pohled-do-temne-budoucnosti\/","title":{"rendered":"Scott Ritter: \u00daniky izraelsk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb – o\u0161kliv\u00fd pohled do temn\u00e9 budoucnosti"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kdokoli unikl dokumenty, poskytl k\u0159i\u0161\u0165\u00e1lovou kouli, kter\u00e1 ukazuje, co by mohlo b\u00fdt. Je \u00fakolem americk\u00e9ho lidu zajistit, aby k tomu nikdy nedo\u0161lo.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00danik dvou p\u0159\u00edsn\u011b tajn\u00fdch dokument\u016f, kter\u00e9 po bli\u017e\u0161\u00edm prozkoum\u00e1n\u00ed vypadaj\u00ed, \u017ee obsahuj\u00ed citliv\u00e9 informace americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb o izraelsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edprav\u00e1ch na \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n, vyvolal ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech bou\u0159i nevole. Zat\u00edmco se americk\u00e9 org\u00e1ny \u010dinn\u00e9 v trestn\u00edm \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed vystopovat zdroj \u00faniku, ameri\u010dt\u00ed politici nebo americk\u00e1 ve\u0159ejnost obecn\u011b vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed mal\u00e9 obavy z d\u016fsledk\u016f unikl\u00fdch dokument\u016f, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e z informac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 obsahuj\u00ed \u2013 \u017ee Izrael \u010dek\u00e1 masivn\u00ed r\u00e1na. p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, co\u017e by mohlo vyvolat rozs\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00ed konflikt, kter\u00fd by re\u00e1ln\u011b mohl skon\u010dit pou\u017eit\u00edm jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle unikl\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch dokument\u016f Izrael p\u0159ipravoval asi 40 ROCKS ALBM pro mo\u017en\u00fd \u00fader proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, spolu s 16 „Golden Horizon“ ALBM, kter\u00e9 se zdaj\u00ed b\u00fdt t\u00edm, co je ve\u0159ejn\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00e9 jako raketa „Blue Sparrow“, o kter\u00e9 se v\u00ed, \u017ee je adaptace c\u00edlov\u00e9 st\u0159ely vyvinut\u00e9 Izraelem, aby napodobila \u00edr\u00e1nskou balistickou st\u0159elu Shahab-3. ROCKS m\u00e1 osv\u011bd\u010den\u00fd dojezd v\u00edce ne\u017e 500 mil (cca 805 km), zat\u00edmco \u201eBlue Sparrow\/Golden Horizon\u201c m\u00e1 dojezd kolem 1 200 mil (cca 1 931 km).<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017edodenn\u00ed n\u00e1lety Izraele na Libanon a S\u00fdrii poskytuj\u00ed perfektn\u00ed kryt\u00ed pro \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Izraelci denn\u011b \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na syrsk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany na jihu S\u00fdrie, aby vytvo\u0159ili vzorec chov\u00e1n\u00ed a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si razili cestu syrsk\u00fdm vzdu\u0161n\u00fdm prostorem, kterou mohou izraelsk\u00e1 letadla pou\u017e\u00edt ke vstupu do z\u00e1padn\u00edho Ir\u00e1ku, odkud jsou odpalov\u00e1ny rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. .<\/span><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee toto je taktika, kterou Izrael pou\u017eil 19. dubna tohoto roku, kdy\u017e izraelsk\u00fd \u00fadern\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek, kter\u00fd bombardoval dv\u011b pozice syrsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany v ji\u017en\u00ed S\u00fdrii, n\u00e1sledn\u011b napadl Ir\u00e1k a odp\u00e1lil t\u0159i pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 ROCKS ALBM proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 baterii protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany S-300 u Isfah\u00e1nu. vyhozen. ROCKS ALBM pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 booster \u201eBlue Sparrow\u201c, jeden z nich byl po \u00fatoku nalezen na poli ji\u017en\u011b od Bagd\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Posouzen\u00ed p\u0159ipravovan\u00e9ho mixu raket nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Izrael pl\u00e1nuje velk\u00fd \u00fatok na kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdrobn\u00ed z\u00e1vod pobl\u00ed\u017e Teher\u00e1nu (vzpome\u0148me na z\u00e1vod na v\u00fdrobu st\u0159el Parchin a tak\u00e9 na pr\u016fmyslovou skupinu Shahid Hemmat) nebo pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bji dekapita\u010dn\u00ed \u00fader proti to C\u00edle p\u0159ipraven\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm veden\u00edm v Teher\u00e1nu a okol\u00ed. \u00datoky ALBM by byly podporov\u00e1ny ozbrojen\u00fdmi, nen\u00e1padn\u00fdmi drony, kter\u00e9 by sledovaly mobiln\u00ed c\u00edle v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase a v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby by za\u00fato\u010dily palubn\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed, k \u00faderu, kter\u00fd Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty provedly na osm ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f pobl\u00ed\u017e Bagd\u00e1du v prvn\u00ed den operace Pou\u0161tn\u00ed bou\u0159e, bylo pou\u017eito 35 \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el ze vzduchu. V\u011bt\u0161ina t\u011bchto st\u0159el zas\u00e1hla v\u00fdrobn\u00ed a skladovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed raket T\u00e1d\u017e\u00ed severn\u011b od Bagd\u00e1du. Mix zbran\u00ed p\u0159ipraven\u00fd Izraelem nazna\u010duje podobn\u011b velk\u00fd c\u00edlov\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale je tu je\u0161t\u011b jedna mo\u017enost c\u00edle.<\/span><\/p>\n

V projevu 30. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u2013 t\u0159i dny pot\u00e9, co Izrael zabil v\u016fdce Hizball\u00e1hu Hasana Nasrall\u00e1ha \u2013 \u0159ekl izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu lidu v t\u0159\u00edminutov\u00e9m projevu v angli\u010dtin\u011b: \u201eNa St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b nen\u00ed m\u00edsto, kam by se Izrael nedostalo. Nen\u00ed m\u00edsto, kam bychom ne\u0161li, abychom chr\u00e1nili na\u0161e lidi a na\u0161i zemi.“ Netanjahu poznamenal, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nce \u201ebl\u00ed\u017ee k okraji\u201c a dodal, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n a Izrael budou \u017e\u00edt v m\u00edru, a\u017e bude \u00cdr\u00e1n \u201ekone\u010dn\u011b svobodn\u00fd\u201c, co\u017e podle Netanjahua p\u0159ijde \u201emnohem d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e si lid\u00e9 mysl\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud je c\u00edlem Teher\u00e1n, mus\u00ed Izrael eliminovat \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany na trase \u00fatoku. Pokud Izrael zopakuje sv\u016fj p\u0159edchoz\u00ed vzorec chov\u00e1n\u00ed, velk\u00fd bal\u00edk F-15I podporovan\u00fd F-16I, kter\u00e9 by potla\u010dily syrskou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu, by napadl a p\u0159es S\u00fdrii dos\u00e1hl z\u00e1padn\u00edho Ir\u00e1ku. Prvn\u00ed salva ALBM – s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed ROCKS – by byla vypu\u0161t\u011bna a zam\u00ed\u0159ila na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 radary protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany pod\u00e9l \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 trasy. Posledn\u00edmi st\u0159elami by byly st\u0159ely Blue Sparrow\/Golden Horizon, kter\u00e9 by zas\u00e1hly jejich c\u00edle v Teher\u00e1nu a okol\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd v\u016fdce ajatoll\u00e1h Al\u00ed Chamene\u00ed s \u00edr\u00e1nskou arm\u00e1dou a veden\u00edm IRGC<\/strong><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Tyto c\u00edle by mohly zahrnovat rezidence vysok\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce, stejn\u011b jako budovy spojen\u00e9 s vl\u00e1dn\u00edmi symboly, jako je Rada str\u00e1\u017ec\u016f, Ministerstvo zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, \u00fast\u0159ed\u00ed IRGC a dal\u0161\u00ed c\u00edle pova\u017eovan\u00e9 za p\u0159\u00edznivce isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 plat\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed republika.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b spojil takov\u00fd \u00fatok s v\u00fdzvou, aby se \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid vzbou\u0159il proti re\u017eimu. Tato v\u00fdzva by byla v souladu s akcemi protire\u017eimn\u00edch skupin p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00edch na pokyn Izraele, Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch region\u00e1ln\u00edch akt\u00e9r\u016f. Pat\u0159\u00ed mezi n\u011b promonarchi\u00e1ln\u00ed skupiny, MEK a r\u016fzn\u00e1 kurdsk\u00e1, \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e1, bal\u00fa\u010dsk\u00e1 a arabsk\u00e1 hnut\u00ed za nez\u00e1vislost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael, CIA a dal\u0161\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nu se pokusily o podobnou vzpouru proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2023 po smrti Mahsy Aminiho v policejn\u00ed vazb\u011b. To, co za\u010dalo jako m\u00edstn\u00ed demonstrace, p\u0159erostlo v rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 povst\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si vy\u017e\u00e1dalo p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 550 mrtv\u00fdch demonstrant\u016f\/povstalc\u016f a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 70 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch sil, ne\u017e bylo n\u00e1siln\u011b potla\u010deno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael by se pokusil tento druh povst\u00e1n\u00ed zopakovat, ale tentokr\u00e1t by mu pomohl t\u00edm, \u017ee by preventivn\u011b zasadil fat\u00e1ln\u00ed r\u00e1nu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu veden\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160ance, \u017ee Izrael m\u016f\u017ee prov\u00e9st takov\u00fd dekapita\u010dn\u00ed \u00fader, je miziv\u00e1. Stejn\u011b tak vzhledem k ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 represi protire\u017eimn\u00edch skupin \u00edr\u00e1nskou vl\u00e1dou je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se ti, o nich\u017e izraelsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da douf\u00e1, \u017ee se vzbou\u0159\u00ed proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu, n\u011bjak\u00fdm smyslupln\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem p\u0159eskupili.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho, pokud se Izrael zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na dekapita\u010dn\u00ed \u00fader, ud\u011bl\u00e1 jen m\u00e1lo pro to, aby zabr\u00e1nil \u00cdr\u00e1nu v zah\u00e1jen\u00ed vlastn\u00edho masivn\u00edho odvetn\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na Izrael. Mo\u017en\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee jakmile zlikviduje nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed vrstvy \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed, odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed k odvet\u011b zesl\u00e1bne. To je v\u0161ak vysok\u00e9 riziko a Izrael riskuje, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b koordinovan\u00e9 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odvety utrp\u00ed existen\u010dn\u00ed \u0161kody.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb nen\u00ed izraelsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed schopnost v podob\u011b jeho raket Jericho uvedena do provozu. To by v\u0161ak neplatilo, pokud by \u00cdr\u00e1n zah\u00e1jil raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky na Izrael, kter\u00e9 ohro\u017eovaly jeho existenci. P\u0159esn\u011b pro tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 byla vytvo\u0159ena izraelsk\u00e1 \u201emo\u017enost Jericho\u201c (tj. schopnost jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed).<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktem je, \u017ee dekapita\u010dn\u00ed \u00fader Izraele proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b sel\u017ee. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd proti\u00fatok v\u0161ak jist\u011b zas\u00e1hne. A izraelsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 odveta se pak st\u00e1v\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobnou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 by to m\u011bli m\u00edt na pam\u011bti, kdy\u017e zva\u017eujeme v\u00fdznam unikl\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch dokument\u016f. Pokud bylo \u00fa\u010delem \u00faniku informac\u00ed varovat americk\u00fd lid, pota\u017emo americkou vl\u00e1du, p\u0159ed nebezpe\u010d\u00edm izraelsk\u00e9ho \u00faderu proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, pak se zd\u00e1, \u017ee mise zat\u00edm selhala.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b sklid\u00edme, co jsme zaseli.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdokoli unikl dokumenty, poskytl k\u0159i\u0161\u0165\u00e1lovou kouli, kter\u00e1 ukazuje, co by mohlo b\u00fdt. Je \u00fakolem americk\u00e9ho…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64838"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64838"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64838\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64838"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64838"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64838"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}