{"id":64242,"date":"2024-10-15T00:42:41","date_gmt":"2024-10-14T22:42:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=64242"},"modified":"2024-10-14T12:37:45","modified_gmt":"2024-10-14T10:37:45","slug":"valka-mezi-usa-a-iranem-jak-muze-bitevni-pole-ve-skutecnosti-vypadat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/15\/valka-mezi-usa-a-iranem-jak-muze-bitevni-pole-ve-skutecnosti-vypadat\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka mezi USA a \u00cdr\u00e1nem: Jak m\u016f\u017ee bitevn\u00ed pole ve skute\u010dnosti vypadat"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><strong>Zat\u00edmco Kongres USA v \u010dervenci siln\u011b podporoval prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua o \u00cdr\u00e1nu, m\u00e9dia se do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry zdr\u017eela zpr\u00e1v o tom, jak by mohla vypadat mo\u017en\u00e1 americk\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dast v izraelsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m konfliktu.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>V d\u016fsledku toho si ve\u0159ejnost do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry neuv\u011bdomuje potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky a konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed roli, kterou by v takov\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i mohly hr\u00e1t USA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V roce 2002 provedla americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da simulace \u201eMillenium Challenge\u201c, kter\u00e9 st\u00e1ly p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 250 milion\u016f dolar\u016f. Tato cvi\u010den\u00ed uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/nationalinterest.org\/blog\/buzz\/how-us-military-lost-war-iran-simulation-207099\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>by v tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce s \u00cdr\u00e1nskou isl\u00e1mskou republikou pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b selhala.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>Od t\u00e9 doby \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00fdrazn\u011b pokro\u010dil ve sv\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 technologii, dronech, syst\u00e9mech protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a dokonce i v n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch schopnostech, co\u017e d\u00e1le komplikuje sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Washington opakovan\u011b\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/responsiblestatecraft.org\/israel-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>prohl\u00e1sil<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0, \u017ee neusiluje o v\u00e1lku s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, a prezident Joe Biden\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/israels-netanyahu-vows-victory-after-iran-strikes-fears-wider-conflict-grow-2024-04-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>dal Izraeli ve\u0159ejn\u011b najevo, \u017ee nena\u0159\u00edd\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 zapojen\u00ed USA do izraelsk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>A\u010dkoli je Izrael \u010dasto propagov\u00e1n jako nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1da v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii se\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2023\/10\/11\/how-big-is-israels-military-and-how-much-funding-does-it-get-from-the-us#:~:text=Israel%20operates%20a%20vast%20military,form%20part%20of%20its%20paramilitary.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>169 500<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0aktivn\u00edmi voj\u00e1ky v arm\u00e1d\u011b, n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvu a letectvu a 465 000 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edky, ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly zem\u011b jsou velmi \u0159\u00eddk\u00e9. Jsou siln\u011b nasazeny na severn\u00ed front\u011b s Libanonem a tak\u00e9 na Z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu a v p\u00e1smu Gazy. Vojensk\u00e1 velikost Izraele je nav\u00edc v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e velikost jeho oponent\u016f v \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republice.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>St\u00e1l\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u00fadajn\u011b zahrnuje asi\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iiss.org\/publications\/the-military-balance\/the-military-balance-2023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>610 000<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u010dlen\u016f v aktivn\u00ed slu\u017eb\u011b a dal\u0161\u00edch 350 000 v z\u00e1loze. Krom\u011b toho Sbor isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard (IRGC), kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 slo\u017eka \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 struktury, m\u00e1 odhadem\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dni.gov\/nctc\/ftos\/irgc_fto.html#:~:text=The%20IRGC%20has%20between%20150%2C000,and%20allegiance%20to%20the%20regime.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>150 000 a\u017e 190 000<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u010dlen\u016f, i kdy\u017e tato \u010d\u00edsla nejsou potvrzena.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Krom\u011b t\u011bchto ozbrojen\u00fdch sil m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed potenci\u00e1l pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly. Zahrnuje n\u00e1rodn\u00ed policejn\u00ed s\u00edly a Basij, dobrovolnou soci\u00e1ln\u00ed a polovojenskou skupinu, o n\u00ed\u017e se tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee m\u00e1 miliony \u010dlen\u016f a poskytuje v\u00fdznamnou mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed kapacitu v dob\u00e1ch konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Iran?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9<\/a>\u00a0isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 revolu\u010dn\u00ed gardy (IRGC) s dlouh\u00fdm doletem a balistick\u00e9 st\u0159ely ve vojensk\u00e9m cvi\u010den\u00ed Velk\u00fd prorok (PBUH).\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6XNtmJcVmc\">pic.twitter.com\/6XNtmJcVmc<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u2014 Tiskov\u00e1 agentura IRNA (@IrnaEnglish)\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IrnaEnglish\/status\/1761078184936620046?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">23. \u00fanora 2024<\/a><\/em><span>Vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu se v\u00fdrazn\u011b vyvinuly, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v jeho raketov\u00e9m programu. V roce 2015 \u00cdr\u00e1n zah\u00e1jil rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-iran-nuclear-sanctions-idUSKBN0UD1TD20151230\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>testov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch st\u0159el dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. Od t\u00e9 doby zem\u011b vyvinula st\u00e1le sofistikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed raketovou technologii. V\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a nejpokro\u010dilej\u0161\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/iranprimer.usip.org\/resource\/irans-ballistic-missile-program\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>raketov\u00fd arzen\u00e1l<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, program, kter\u00fd za\u010dal v reakci na v\u00fdzvy b\u011bhem \u00edr\u00e1nsko-ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Krom\u011b sv\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch sil \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u00fdznamn\u011b pokro\u010dil v technologii dron\u016f a \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el. Zejm\u00e9na jeho pokroky v technologii dron\u016f p\u0159it\u00e1hly mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pozornost, v\u010detn\u011b Ruska b\u011bhem jeho konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V rozhovoru pro MintPress News novin\u00e1\u0159ka a publicistka The Cradle z Bejr\u00fatu Sharmine Narwani tvrdila, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl porazit Izrael v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9m konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eIzrael je 90kr\u00e1t men\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 mal\u00e1 zem\u011b s velmi zraniteln\u00fdmi kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi c\u00edli v oblasti infrastruktury,\u201c vysv\u011btlil Narwani.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dalo by se nam\u00edtnout, \u017ee s n\u011bkolika stovkami c\u00edlen\u00fdch raket by \u00cdr\u00e1n mohl zni\u010dit izraelsk\u00fdch \u0161est elektr\u00e1ren, dv\u011b ropn\u00e1 pole, dv\u011b rafinerie, ropn\u00fd termin\u00e1l, t\u0159i plynov\u00e1 pole, p\u011bt odsolovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavy. St\u00e1t Izrael by byl v podstat\u011b v oble\u017een\u00ed a p\u0159es noc by ztratil ve\u0161kerou sob\u011bsta\u010dnost.&#8220;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Narwani tak\u00e9 pouk\u00e1zal na vojenskou zranitelnost Izraele. \u201eV\u0161echny izraelsk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a p\u0159ist\u00e1vac\u00ed dr\u00e1hy byly identifikov\u00e1ny a jsou tak\u00e9 potenci\u00e1ln\u00edmi c\u00edli. &#8222;Pro \u00cdr\u00e1n by bylo kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 zastavit ka\u017edodenn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edlety americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed vzduchem, co\u017e je jedin\u00e9 z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 lano Tel Avivu pro jeho neust\u00e1l\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed Gazy, Libanonu a S\u00fdrie,&#8220; dodala.<\/span><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\"><em>25. divize Karbala sil IRGC, kter\u00e1 cvi\u010d\u00ed v provincii Mazandaran v severn\u00edm \u00cdr\u00e1nu, bojovala s 200 dobrovoln\u00fdmi voj\u00e1ky z t\u00e9to divize p\u0159ed 7 lety, aby ochr\u00e1nila m\u011bsto Aleppo v S\u00fdrii p\u0159ed masivn\u00edmi \u00fatoky des\u00edtek wahh\u00e1bistick\u00fdch skupin podporovan\u00fdch Z\u00e1padem.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/cOXVKnnKlS\">pic.twitter.com\/cOXVKnnKlS<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u2014 \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd \u010dasopis (@iranmilitary_en)\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/iranmilitary_en\/status\/1796543882806899029?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">31. kv\u011btna 2024<\/a><\/em><span>Americk\u00fdm z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m v cel\u00e9m regionu ji\u017e bylo vyhro\u017eov\u00e1no pro p\u0159\u00edpad, \u017ee by se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v d\u016fsledku izraelsk\u00e9 agrese zapojily do p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na \u00edr\u00e1nskou p\u016fdu. Od poloviny srpna bylo na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b rozm\u00edst\u011bno odhadem\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/national-news\/articles\/2024-10-04\/how-many-u-s-troops-are-in-the-middle-east\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>40 000<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch na vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladn\u00e1ch v Jord\u00e1nsku, Ir\u00e1ku, S\u00fdrii a arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Raketov\u00e9 schopnosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kter\u00e9 byly demonstrov\u00e1ny p\u0159i ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch odvetn\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch proti Izraeli v r\u00e1mci\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mintpressnews.com\/operation-true-promise-2-censorship-damage-control-israel-iran\/288398\/\"><span>operace True Promise 2<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0, prok\u00e1zaly svou p\u0159esnost p\u0159i zam\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed na n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nejp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bji st\u0159e\u017een\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen sv\u011bta. Tyto rakety jsou schopny zac\u00edlit na mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vzd\u00e1lenosti ne\u017e americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed bl\u00edzkosti Teher\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\"><em>Sledujte, jak \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety doslova pr\u0161\u00ed na Tel Aviv.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1oBOrq9pLd\">pic.twitter.com\/1oBOrq9pLd<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u2014 \u010derven\u00e1. (@redstreamnet)\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/redstreamnet\/status\/1841160897315635709?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">1. \u0159\u00edjna 2024<\/a><\/em><span>Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika m\u00e1 krom\u011b sv\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch kapacit tak\u00e9 spojence v cel\u00e9m regionu, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u016fsob\u00ed v Jemenu, Ir\u00e1ku, S\u00fdrii, Libanonu a Palestin\u011b. Podle Sharmine Narwani by \u201eisl\u00e1msk\u00fd odpor v Ir\u00e1ku\u201c mohl st\u00e1le hr\u00e1t d\u016fle\u017eitou roli.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>&#8222;Ir\u00e1ck\u00fd odpor uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee se m\u016f\u017ee zapojit do v\u00e1lky na mnoha front\u00e1ch proti Izraeli a jeho americk\u00e9mu partnerovi, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e je Libanon plnou v\u00e1le\u010dnou frontou,&#8220; \u0159ekl Narwani.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dok\u00e1zal to \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdm odpalov\u00e1n\u00edm dron\u016f a raket vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed obt\u00ed\u017enosti a zasahov\u00e1n\u00edm izraelsk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f se st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed frekvenc\u00ed. Pokud by region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka eskalovala a do\u0161lo by k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu vojensk\u00e9mu zapojen\u00ed USA na podporu Izraele, ir\u00e1ck\u00fd odpor se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na dostupn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed c\u00edle u soused\u016f Ir\u00e1ku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V Jemenu vl\u00e1da veden\u00e1 Ansarall\u00e1hem v Sanaa b\u011bhem posledn\u00edch 10 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f prok\u00e1zala svou schopnost p\u0159ekonat \u00fasil\u00ed mnohon\u00e1rodn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed koalice pod veden\u00edm USA zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na prolomen\u00ed blok\u00e1dy Rud\u00e9ho mo\u0159e uvalen\u00e9 na Izrael. V prosinci 2023 zah\u00e1jily USA\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cimic-coe.org\/resources\/fact-sheets\/factsheet-operation-prosperity-guardian-aspides.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>operaci Prosperity Guardian<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 zajistit bezpe\u010dn\u00fd pr\u016fchod lod\u00ed do izraelsk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstavu Eilat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u0159es toto n\u00e1kladn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed se Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a jejich spojenc\u016fm nepoda\u0159ilo blok\u00e1du prolomit. V d\u016fsledku toho byl Port of Eilat nakonec nucen\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mintpressnews.com\/us-naval-efforts-falter-as-yemens-blockade-bankrupts-israels-eilat-port\/287894\/\"><span>vyhl\u00e1sit bankrot<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Schopnost Jemenu dos\u00e1hnout Tel Avivu jak pomoc\u00ed dron\u016f, tak raket a jeho pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed odpor ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Ansarall\u00e1h by mohl p\u0159edstavovat legitimn\u00ed hrozbu pro americk\u00e9 s\u00edly na Arabsk\u00e9m poloostrov\u011b. Krom\u011b toho, pokud by \u00cdr\u00e1n uzav\u0159el Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b by usp\u011bl a vyvolal by glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ropnou krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V Ir\u00e1ku je dal\u0161\u00edm kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm spojencem\u00a0Hashd al-Shaabi neboli Lidov\u00e9 mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly (PMF), s odhadovanou s\u00edlou vojsk asi\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/cfri-irak.com\/en\/article\/the-role-of-militias-in-iraq-evaluating-their-impact-and-strategies-for-mitigation-2024-02-21\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>238 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0. Hizball\u00e1h v Libanonu m\u00e1 tak\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/middle-east-lebanon-beirut-civil-wars-hassan-nasrallah-a3c10d99cca2ef1c3d58dae135297025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>100 000<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0aktivn\u00edch bojovn\u00edk\u016f. P\u0159\u00edtomnost palestinsk\u00fdch, syrsk\u00fdch, ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch, afgh\u00e1nsk\u00fdch, p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdch a dal\u0161\u00edch milic\u00ed p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00edch v S\u00fdrii je dal\u0161\u00edm nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdm faktorem v region\u00e1ln\u00ed krajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Schopnosti r\u016fzn\u00fdch milic\u00ed, politick\u00fdch stran a st\u00e1l\u00fdch arm\u00e1d, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n v regionu k dispozici, jsou velkou nezn\u00e1mou. Co je v\u0161ak zn\u00e1mo, je, \u017ee mnoh\u00e9 z t\u011bchto skupin jsou bitvami zoceleny l\u00e9ty vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch pozemn\u00edch boj\u016f se v\u0161emi od ISIS po IDF a maj\u00ed rozmanit\u00fd arzen\u00e1l raket, raket a dron\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Sharmine Narwani \u0159ekl\u00a0<\/span><em><span>MintPress News<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0: \u201eNa z\u00e1klad\u011b toho, co v\u00edme o \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m pokro\u010dil\u00e9m raketov\u00e9m arzen\u00e1lu, m\u016f\u017ee Teher\u00e1n snadno za\u00fato\u010dit na v\u0161echny americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu, stejn\u011b jako na ty v Ir\u00e1ku a S\u00fdrii, jak jsme vid\u011bli v roce 2020.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Narwani d\u00e1le zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee \u201eSpojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nikdy nebyly schopny porazit \u00cdr\u00e1n v simulovan\u00fdch nepravideln\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch hr\u00e1ch, pokud Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 tyto hry nepodv\u00e1d\u011bli nebo zmanipulovali. To je jeden z d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d se Pentagon d\u016fsledn\u011b vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu vojensk\u00e9mu konfliktu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u2013 USA riskuj\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu miliardov\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Narwani tak\u00e9 poznamenal, \u017ee potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fatoky USA na \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohly b\u00fdt n\u00e1kladn\u00e9. \u201ePokud jsou c\u00edle kl\u00ed\u010dovou opera\u010dn\u00ed infrastrukturou \u00cdr\u00e1nu, byla by to pro \u00cdr\u00e1n zna\u010dn\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta, ale tak\u00e9 obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fd \u00fakol pro Ameri\u010dany kv\u016fli nesm\u00edrn\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 rozloze \u00cdr\u00e1nu a r\u016fznorod\u00e9mu ter\u00e9nu. Na druhou stranu poznamenala: \u201eZam\u011b\u0159it se na americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed plavidla je pro \u00cdr\u00e1nce mnohem jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee jde v\u011bt\u0161inou o stacion\u00e1rn\u00ed nebo snadno detekovateln\u00e9 c\u00edle, kter\u00e9 by mohly zni\u010dit americkou vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud se USA rozhodnou vstoupit do p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, hrozby pro jejich ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly v cel\u00e9m regionu by byly hroziv\u00e9. I kdy\u017e by takov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka byla nepochybn\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u00e1 pro v\u0161echny strany, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee by to nebyl snadn\u00fd podnik. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed neokonzervativci v USA p\u0159irovnali v\u00e1lku proti Teher\u00e1nu k v\u00e1lce v Ir\u00e1ku v roce 2003. \u00cdr\u00e1n je v\u0161ak z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti hornat\u00e1 zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 je asi t\u0159ikr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Ir\u00e1k, co se t\u00fd\u010de po\u010dtu obyvatel i pevniny, a proto je tamn\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span>Robert Inlakesh<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0je politick\u00fd analytik, novin\u00e1\u0159 a dokumentarista, kter\u00fd v sou\u010dasnosti p\u016fsob\u00ed v Lond\u00fdn\u011b ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii. Pod\u00e1val zpr\u00e1vy z okupovan\u00fdch palestinsk\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed a \u017eil na nich a moderuje po\u0159ad &#8218;Palestine Files&#8216;. \u0158editel filmu \u201eKr\u00e1de\u017e stolet\u00ed: Trumpova palestinsko-izraelsk\u00e1 katastrofa\u201c. Sledujte ho na Twitteru @falasteen47<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mintpressnews.com\/a-us-iran-war-what-the-battlefield-could-actually-look-like\/288443\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zat\u00edmco Kongres USA v \u010dervenci siln\u011b podporoval prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua o \u00cdr\u00e1nu, m\u00e9dia&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":64243,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,107,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64242"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64242"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64242\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64243"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}