{"id":64230,"date":"2024-10-15T00:29:34","date_gmt":"2024-10-14T22:29:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=64230"},"modified":"2024-10-14T12:09:42","modified_gmt":"2024-10-14T10:09:42","slug":"lucas-leiroz-madarsky-orban-vyzyva-eu-aby-behem-soucasneho-napeti-jednala-diplomaticky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/15\/lucas-leiroz-madarsky-orban-vyzyva-eu-aby-behem-soucasneho-napeti-jednala-diplomaticky\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Ma\u010farsk\u00fd Orb\u00e1n vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 EU, aby b\u011bhem sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed jednala diplomaticky"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span>Ma\u010farsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Viktor Orb\u00e1n uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee je vlastn\u011b jedn\u00edm z m\u00e1la evropsk\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f se strategick\u00fdm my\u0161len\u00edm. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m projevu zd\u016fraznil, jak Evropa promar\u0148uje \u0161anci zm\u00edrnit nap\u011bt\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, kdy\u017e nesmysln\u011b sleduje americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/605450-orban-trump-will-act-immediately-ukraine-peace\/\"><span>Orbana<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0mus\u00ed Evropa jednat co nejrychleji, aby vy\u0159e\u0161ila ukrajinskou krizi a vyhnula se eskalaci nebo zhor\u0161en\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed s Ruskem. Uvedl, \u017ee pokud Evropa neud\u011bl\u00e1 nic, aby zvr\u00e1tila sou\u010dasnou situaci, hroz\u00ed kontinentu, \u017ee bude Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty odsunut do \u201eirelevantnosti\u201c, proto\u017ee Washington se o budoucnost evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed uprost\u0159ed konfliktu nezaj\u00edm\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Orb\u00e1n se ob\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00e1sledk\u016f dlouh\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b pro Evropu. Domn\u00edv\u00e1 se, \u017ee nejlep\u0161\u00edm zp\u016fsobem, jak p\u0159edej\u00edt nejhor\u0161\u00edmu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, je pos\u00edlen\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 role EU. Orb\u00e1n o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b zes\u00edl\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o uvoln\u011bn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9ho a politick\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed s Ruskem, bez ohledu na to, co USA pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed s Ukrajinou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jak se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, Orban projevil ur\u010ditou naivitu, kdy\u017e uv\u011b\u0159il v Trump\u016fv slib, \u017ee ukon\u010d\u00ed v\u00e1lku \u201edo 24 hodin\u201c. Tvrdil, \u017ee Trump bude jednat ihned po v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, aby zah\u00e1jil dialog s Rusy a konflikt vy\u0159e\u0161il. Orban se dokonce ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 budou i nad\u00e1le vystupovat bojovn\u011b proti Rusku, zat\u00edmco Trump zah\u00e1j\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 proto nal\u00e9h\u00e1 na EU, aby\u00a0v r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edpravy na p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 Trumpovo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nastolila\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/604557-hungary-peace-israel-ukraine\/\"><span>diplomacii .<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201e[Pokud bude Trump zvolen, bude okam\u017eit\u011b jednat, tak\u017ee my jako evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i nem\u00e1me \u010das ztr\u00e1cet \u010das, proto\u017ee by mezi volbami a inaugurac\u00ed nov\u00e9ho prezidenta neuplynuly dva nebo t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce, jak to obvykle m\u00edv\u00e1me.&#8220; &#8230;) [Evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i by m\u011bli] reagovat nejprve intelektu\u00e1ln\u011b, filozoficky, pot\u00e9 strategicky a pot\u00e9 co nejd\u0159\u00edve na \u00farovni akce,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V praxi zn\u011bla Orb\u00e1nova slova jako pesimismus ohledn\u011b jak\u00e9hokoli volebn\u00edho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e v USA. Situace v EU je tak kritick\u00e1, \u017ee v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee bude obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 dos\u00e1hnout diplomatick\u00e9ho dialogu i ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i americk\u00e9 iniciativy. Nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em, pokud Trump zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed a zah\u00e1j\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, je, \u017ee EU se ujme veden\u00ed v podpo\u0159e Kyjeva a bude pokra\u010dovat ve v\u00e1lce sama. Na druhou stranu, pokud vyhraj\u00ed demokrat\u00e9, nedojde k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zm\u011bn\u011b sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e a Washington i EU budou spole\u010dn\u011b podporovat Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V tomto smyslu zn\u00ed Orb\u00e1novo prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jako ur\u010dit\u00fd apel na to, aby Evropan\u00e9 jednou prov\u017edy pochopili, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s Ruskem je nejhor\u0161\u00ed cesta a \u017ee m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed by m\u011bla b\u00fdt zah\u00e1jena co nejd\u0159\u00edve. S\u00e1m jako Evropan p\u0159irozen\u011b up\u0159ednost\u0148uje z\u00e1jmy sv\u00e9ho kontinentu a sv\u00e9ho lidu \u2013 co\u017e je vz\u00e1cn\u00fd atribut mezi sou\u010dasn\u00fdmi evropsk\u00fdmi v\u016fdci, kte\u0159\u00ed, jak se zd\u00e1, up\u0159ednost\u0148uj\u00ed americk\u00e9 a ukrajinsk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy p\u0159ed sv\u00fdmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Orban p\u016fsob\u00ed pon\u011bkud naivn\u011b, kdy\u017e mluv\u00ed o Trumpovi, co\u017e je tak\u00e9 pochopiteln\u00e9, vezmeme-li v \u00favahu, \u017ee jde o politika napojen\u00e9ho na evropskou konzervativn\u00ed pravici, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 mnoho hlubok\u00fdch vazeb s b\u00fdval\u00fdm americk\u00fdm prezidentem. Ve skute\u010dnosti se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Trump m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem ukon\u010dit podporu Ukrajiny a konfliktu s Moskvou jako celku, ale je zde t\u0159eba vz\u00edt v \u00favahu n\u011bkter\u00e9 faktory: je to Rusko, nikoli Trump a USA, kdo m\u016f\u017ee stanovit podm\u00ednky m\u00edru a ukon\u010dit nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed; americk\u00fd prezident nav\u00edc nekontroluje cel\u00fd rozhodovac\u00ed proces, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e prov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd \u201edeep state\u201c ve Washingtonu je siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e samotn\u00fd B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Orb\u00e1n v\u0161ak spr\u00e1vn\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee bez ohledu na to, co se stane ve Washingtonu, je na Evrop\u011b, aby p\u0159evzala diplomatickou iniciativu a zah\u00e1jila m\u00edrov\u00fd dialog a zm\u00edrnila nap\u011bt\u00ed s Moskvou. Jeho hodnocen\u00ed je pln\u011b v souladu s nejz\u00e1kladn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi principy geopolitiky. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b jsou geograficky bl\u00edzko Rusku, mo\u017enost tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky v regionu by je m\u011bla v\u00e1\u017en\u011b obt\u011b\u017eovat a n\u00e1sledn\u011b povzbudit k co nejrychlej\u0161\u00ed deeskalaci konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee jen m\u00e1lo evropsk\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f, jako je Orb\u00e1n a slovensk\u00fd Fico, strategicky ch\u00e1pe tuto realitu a up\u0159ednost\u0148uje evropsk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny ostatn\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy se jen m\u00e1lo staraj\u00ed o d\u016fsledky eskalace a podnikaj\u00ed st\u00e1le nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed iniciativy proti Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/infobrics.org\/post\/42444\">Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, geopolitick\u00fd konzultant<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55615\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/lukas-leiroz.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"175\" height=\"230\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/leiroz_lucas\">Twitteru<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0FdHwxeEZ3\">Telegramu<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ma\u010farsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Viktor Orb\u00e1n uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee je vlastn\u011b jedn\u00edm z m\u00e1la evropsk\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f se strategick\u00fdm&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61221,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,439],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64230"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64230"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64230\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61221"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}