{"id":64206,"date":"2024-10-13T05:41:36","date_gmt":"2024-10-13T03:41:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=64206"},"modified":"2024-10-13T05:41:36","modified_gmt":"2024-10-13T03:41:36","slug":"michael-svatos-mapa-rozmisteni-ruskych-jednotek-v-kurske-oblasti-a-smery-jejich-predpokladanych-utoku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/13\/michael-svatos-mapa-rozmisteni-ruskych-jednotek-v-kurske-oblasti-a-smery-jejich-predpokladanych-utoku\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Mapa rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch jednotek v kursk\u00e9 oblasti a sm\u011bry jejich p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Absolutn\u00ed rusk\u00e1 dominance na ukrajinsk\u00e9m v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161ti, kterou jsme podrobn\u011b rozebrali\u00a0v anal\u00fdze MAP 2110<\/a>, se stup\u0148uje ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem. \u0158ada nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch d\u00edl\u010d\u00edch d\u016fkaz\u016f u\u017e za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nazna\u010dovat, \u017ee rozpad ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy jako organizovan\u00e9ho kohezn\u00edho celku, kter\u00fd je schopen kl\u00e1st organizovan\u00fd odpor, nab\u00edr\u00e1 na rychlosti.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u010dera rusk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia publikovala video s p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky elitn\u00ed\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9 79. v\u00fdsadkov\u00e9 \u00fadern\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy<\/a>, kte\u0159\u00ed se dobrovoln\u011b vzdali rusk\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm. Dob\u0159e se na toto video pod\u00edvejte\u00a0a v \u010dase od 01.44 si prohl\u00e9dn\u011bte<\/a>, jak ve skute\u010dnosti vypadaj\u00ed elitn\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159i. Jejich v\u011bk, i zdravotn\u00ed a fyzick\u00fd stav, hovo\u0159\u00ed za v\u0161e. A\u00a0zde si prohl\u00e9dn\u011bte ukrajinskou propagandu<\/a>, podle n\u00ed\u017e mlad\u00ed, odhodlan\u00ed a fyzicky zdatn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edci t\u00e9 sam\u00e9 79. brig\u00e1dy likviduj\u00ed na tom sam\u00e9m \u00faseku fronty ka\u017ed\u00fd den \u201cstovky Rus\u016f a des\u00edtky rusk\u00fdch tank\u016f\u201d.\u00a0 Podle rusk\u00e9 i ukrajinsk\u00e9 strany se ob\u011b tyto ud\u00e1losti odehr\u00e1ly tento t\u00fdden na don\u011bck\u00e9m boji\u0161ti u velk\u00e9 vesnice\u00a0\u041a\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044f\u043d\u0442\u0438\u043d\u0456\u0432\u043a\u0430<\/a>. A\u010dkoli propagandistick\u00e9 form\u00e1ty obou znep\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fdch stran smrd\u00ed operac\u00ed PSYOPS, nelze p\u0159ehl\u00e9dnout, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 na tomto boji\u0161ti u\u017e od konce jara \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b postupuj\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem, a \u017ee kyjevsk\u00e1 brann\u00e1 moc tento t\u00fdden je\u0161t\u011b zes\u00edlila sv\u00e9 loveck\u00e9 v\u00fdpravy\u00a0do obchodn\u00edch dom\u016f<\/a>, na koncerty a\u00a0no\u010dn\u00ed kluby<\/a>, do tov\u00e1ren, a na dal\u0161\u00ed m\u00edsta, kde se lov\u00ed nov\u00ed v\u00fdsadk\u00e1\u0159i ur\u010den\u00ed k ucp\u00e1n\u00ed hrout\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00fdchodn\u00ed fronty, a k prodlou\u017een\u00ed ag\u00f3nie re\u017eimu. Ot\u0159esnou brutalitu kyjevsk\u00fdch lovc\u016f vlastn\u00edch lid\u00ed si m\u016f\u017eete\u00a0prohl\u00e9dnout zde<\/a>. Rusk\u00e9 fotografie a videa s brut\u00e1ln\u00ed realitou ukazuj\u00ed nel\u00edtostn\u00e9 konce t\u011bchto \u201culoven\u00fdch obr\u00e1nc\u016f Ukrajiny\u201d. Rusov\u00e9 p\u0159itom tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159i sv\u00e9m postupu vp\u0159ed tyto \u201cnepoh\u0159ben\u00e9, n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f star\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 trupy\u201d nal\u00e9zaj\u00ed se \u017eeleznou pravidelnost\u00ed, a d\u00e1vaj\u00ed tak za pravdu, t\u011bm ukrajinsk\u00fdm veter\u00e1n\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jejich velitel\u00e9 se ani nesna\u017e\u00ed hl\u00e1sit identitu padl\u00fdch sv\u00e9mu nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu velen\u00ed, aby Soldateska nemusela jejich rodin\u00e1m vypl\u00e1cet d\u016fchody, a v\u0161echny padl\u00e9 houfn\u011b prohla\u0161uj\u00ed za propadl\u00e9 bez zv\u011bsti, a nebo rovnou za dezert\u00e9ry. (Fotky a videa najdete zde<\/a>. Varuji, drastick\u00e9 z\u00e1b\u011bry. Pokud se nezobraz\u00ed, st\u00e1hn\u011bte do vlastn\u00edho za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, a prohl\u00e9dn\u011bte.)<\/p>\n

(2) V anal\u00fdze MAP 2110 jsem popisoval tot\u00e1ln\u00ed ruskou dominanci ve vybran\u00fdch sektorech boji\u0161t\u011b, kudy \u010deln\u00ed rusk\u00e9 od\u0159ady postupuj\u00ed vp\u0159ed. Z dal\u0161\u00edch dvou vide\u00edch kr\u00e1sn\u011b pochop\u00edte, jak dominance funguje. Na prvn\u00edm videu uvid\u00edte, jak rusk\u00fd zabij\u00e1ck\u00fd dron zni\u010d\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd tank. Ze z\u00e1b\u011bru jeho kamery je patrn\u00e1 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 mali\u010dkost. V okam\u017eiku z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9ho letu dronu jsou vid\u011bt ukrajinsk\u00fd tank a jeho doprovodn\u00e9 vozidlo REB, (viz ant\u00e9ny na jeho korb\u011b), kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 za \u00fakol, ukrajinsk\u00fd tank od rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f ochr\u00e1nit. Video ukazuje, \u017ee zabij\u00e1ck\u00fd dron nejprve v t\u011bsn\u00e9 bl\u00edzkosti obkrou\u017e\u00ed vozidlo REB, ani\u017e by REB-ru\u0161en\u00ed n\u011bjak ovlivnilo jeho z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1let na tank, a pak zac\u00edl\u00ed p\u0159esn\u011b na nejslab\u0161\u00ed nechr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9 m\u00edsto tanku, a zni\u010d\u00ed ho. (Video najdete zde<\/a>). Na druh\u00e9m videu vid\u00edte, jak o chvilku pozd\u011bji dopadne \u0159idi\u010d arm\u00e1dn\u00edho SUV. Dal\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00fd zabij\u00e1cky dron se k n\u011bmu p\u0159\u00edzemn\u00edm letem p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ve st\u0159etn\u00e9m kurzu, a vy t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed jeho exploz\u00ed spat\u0159\u00edte z n\u011bkolika des\u00edtek centimetr\u016f p\u0159es \u010deln\u00ed sklo vozidla, jak\u00e9 jsou posledn\u00ed v\u00fdrazy tv\u00e1\u0159e jeho \u0159idi\u010de, kter\u00fd si teprve dv\u011b vte\u0159iny p\u0159ed svou smrt\u00ed uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee zem\u0159e v\u00fdbuchem dronu. (Video najdete zde<\/a>). Ob\u011b videa jsou z kursk\u00e9 oblasti, kde Rusov\u00e9 tento t\u00fdden nashrom\u00e1\u017edili dostate\u010dn\u00e9 kapacity d\u011blost\u0159electva, dron\u016f a \u00fadern\u00fdch sil, aby s Ukrajinci z\u00fa\u010dtovali. Podle posledn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, u\u017e Ukrajinci v d\u016fsledku \u201crusk\u00e9 blok\u00e1dn\u00ed dominance\u201d opou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed na severu kursk\u00e9ho boji\u0161t\u011b sv\u00e1 neporu\u0161en\u00e1 obrn\u011bn\u00e1 vozidla i tanky, proto\u017ee se k nim nedok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed dostat jejich z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed vozidla, a doplnit je palivem. Rusk\u00e1 taktika nejprve izolovat nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 jednotky na boji\u0161ti od nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch z\u00e1kladen v t\u00fdlu boji\u0161t\u011b, a pak teprve na vy\u010derpan\u00e9, hladov\u00e9 a zdemoralizovan\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 jednotky za\u00fato\u010dit, a s mal\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami je zni\u010dit, tak op\u011bt bezchybn\u011b funguje.<\/p>\n

(3) Opera\u010dn\u00ed skupina gener\u00e1la Lapina v\u010dera pokra\u010dovala ve sv\u00e9m metodick\u00e9m postupu p\u0159i operaci na vy\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed u Kursku od invazn\u00edch Ukrajinc\u016f. N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed dv\u011b mapy zachycuj\u00ed a vysv\u011btluj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky, slo\u017een\u00ed rusk\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch sil, a mo\u017en\u00fd, a zna\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fd pl\u00e1n dal\u0161\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho ofenzivn\u00edho postupu.<\/p>\n

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V\u010dera Rusov\u00e9 obsadili \u0417\u0435\u043b\u0435\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0428\u043b\u044f\u0445 (na map\u011b ve \u017elut\u00e9m r\u00e1me\u010dku), a tak obkl\u00ed\u010dili n\u011bkolik ukrajinsk\u00fdch rot v oblouku \u0159eky Snagost. Ukrajinci se k nim cel\u00fd den marn\u011b sna\u017eili prob\u00edt. Gener\u00e1l Lapin u\u017e 14 dn\u00ed postupuje ze severoz\u00e1padu, aby obe\u0161el m\u011bsto Sud\u017ea (\u00fazk\u00e1 \u017elut\u00e1 \u0161ipka). V\u010dera mu ji\u017en\u00edm obchvatem m\u011bsta Sud\u017ea vyrazil v \u00fastrety sou\u010dasn\u00fd nejslavn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010de\u010densk\u00fd gener\u00e1l Apti Alaudinov (\u0161irok\u00e1 \u017elut\u00e1 \u0161ipka) v \u010dele impozantn\u00edho uskupen\u00ed t\u011bch nejlep\u0161\u00edch rusk\u00fdch a \u010de\u010densk\u00fdch hrdlo\u0159ez\u016f. Alaudinova \u00fatoku se \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed : 362. pluk slavn\u00e9 810. brig\u00e1dy n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty, 2. a 24. Specnaz, samostatn\u00e9 bataliony Arbat a Sarmat, a 1428. motost\u0159eleck\u00fd pluk. P\u0159esn\u011b jak jsme p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dali v anal\u00fdze MAP 2110, tak gener\u00e1l Lapin, kter\u00fd preferuje obkli\u010dovac\u00ed operace, se bude m\u011bsto Sud\u017ea a celou skupinu vojsk Ukrajiny severn\u011b od n\u011bj sna\u017eit obkl\u00ed\u010dit. K tomu soust\u0159edil opravdu impozantn\u00ed sily. Viz dal\u0161\u00ed mapa.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Mapa zachycuje aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch sil na kursk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti. Zkratky: VDV = v\u00fdsadkov\u00fd pluk, NIB = brig\u00e1da n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty, NIR = pluk n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty, MRR = motost\u0159eleck\u00fd pluk, TR = tankov\u00fd pluk,\u00a0VKS Rifles<\/a>\u00a0= pomocn\u00fd \u00fatvar \u010d\u00edslo 78986 velikosti pluku vytvo\u0159en\u00fd z p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f rusk\u00fdch str\u00e1\u017en\u00edch jednotek, je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za do\u010dasnou jednotku, Veteran PMC = b\u00fdval\u00ed Prigo\u017einovi kucha\u0159i pod velen\u00edm gener\u00e1la Alaudinova, Arctic = elitn\u00ed Specnaz pro boj v tund\u0159e, Arbat = speci\u00e1ln\u00ed prapor v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk\u016f z Arm\u00e9nie, v\u011bt\u0161inou ex-Prigo\u017ein,\u00a0 Sarmat = speci\u00e1ln\u00ed prapor v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk\u016f z\u00a0Ji\u017en\u00ed Osetie<\/a>,\u00a0 velitelem je zn\u00e1m\u00fd\u00a0jihoosetsk\u00fd hrdina p\u0159ezd\u00edvan\u00fd Che Guevara<\/a>. \u010cern\u00fd Hexagon = Sud\u017ea, \u010cern\u00e9 \u0161ipky = pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 osy rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9mu gener\u00e1lovi Syrsk\u00e9mu se invaz\u00ed do kursk\u00e9 gubernie povedlo donutit rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed, aby v tomto sektoru vybudovalo rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 logistick\u00e9 z\u00e1zem\u00ed a sklady, aby t\u00edm umo\u017enilo, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 operace gener\u00e1l\u016f Lapina a Alaudinova. V\u00fdsledkem \u00fatok\u016f obou rusk\u00fdch gener\u00e1l\u016f bude relativn\u011b brzk\u00e9 osvobozen\u00ed m\u011bsta Sud\u017ea, a vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u0161ech ukrajinsk\u00fdch n\u00e1jezdn\u00edk\u016f z Ruska. Potom v\u0161ak vyvstane zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka \u2013 Pro\u010d by rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed nevyu\u017eilo vybudovan\u00e9ho logistick\u00e9ho z\u00e1zem\u00ed\u00a0 a neza\u00fato\u010dilo a neobsadilo ukrajinsk\u00e9\u00a0Sumy<\/a>\u00a0(256 464 obyvatel), a nebo aspo\u0148 tento logistick\u00fd uzel, bez kter\u00e9ho \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed invaze na Kursk nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1. nerozst\u0159\u00edlelo? Tento rusk\u00fd \u00fatok, by byl logick\u00fdm vyu\u017eit\u00edm v d\u016fsledku ukrajinsk\u00e9 invaze vybudovan\u00fdch logistick\u00fdch kapacit. Syrskyj tak mo\u017en\u00e1 svou invaz\u00ed do Ruska zp\u016fsob\u00ed v reakci ruskou invazi na Sumy.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Absolutn\u00ed rusk\u00e1 dominance na ukrajinsk\u00e9m v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161ti, kterou jsme podrobn\u011b rozebrali\u00a0v anal\u00fdze MAP 2110, se stup\u0148uje…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62300,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1917,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64206"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64206"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64206\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}