{"id":641,"date":"2021-04-10T08:47:05","date_gmt":"2021-04-10T06:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=641"},"modified":"2021-04-10T08:51:07","modified_gmt":"2021-04-10T06:51:07","slug":"zene-se-biden-do-valky-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/04\/10\/zene-se-biden-do-valky-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"\u017dene se Biden do v\u00e1lky s Ruskem?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Mnoz\u00ed skeptici se ob\u00e1vali toho, \u017ee po v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed demokrata Joe Bidena v prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch skon\u010d\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e1 \u00e9ra Donalda Trumpa a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tato obava se ve sv\u011btle posledn\u00edch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed ukazuje jako opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u00e1. Biden nejprve nazval rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta \u201evrahem\u201c \u010di \u201ezabij\u00e1kem\u201c a nyn\u00ed p\u0159il\u00e9v\u00e1 olej do ohn\u011b na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b.<\/strong><\/div>\n
\n

Ameri\u010dt\u00ed demokrati\u010dt\u00ed jest\u0159\u00e1bi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ze strany Washingtonu nen\u00ed dobr\u00fd n\u00e1pad d\u00e1vat sv\u00fdm partner\u016fm fale\u0161n\u00fd dojem, \u017ee maj\u00ed bianco \u0161ek j\u00edt do v\u00e1lky s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee USA p\u0159isp\u011bchaj\u00ed na pomoc, pokud se situace na bitevn\u00edm poli nebude vyv\u00edjet dob\u0159e. Bidenova administrativa uji\u0161\u0165uje ukrajinskou vl\u00e1du, \u017ee m\u00e1 podporu USA a NATO v\u00a0rostouc\u00ed konfrontaci s\u00a0Ruskem podporovan\u00fdmi separatisty na Donbasu. 2. dubna vydal B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm tiskovou zpr\u00e1vu oznamuj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee v telefon\u00e1tu s\u00a0prezidentem Volodymyrem Zelensk\u00fdm potvrdil Biden \u201eneochv\u011bjnou podporu ukrajinsk\u00e9 suverenit\u011b a \u00fazemn\u00ed integrit\u011b \u010del\u00edc\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 agresi na Donbasu a Krymu.\u201c Dal\u0161\u00ed vysoce postaven\u00ed \u010dinitel\u00e9 v\u010detn\u011b ministra obrany Lloyda Austina a st\u00e1tn\u00edho tajemn\u00edka Antonyho Blinkena u\u010dinili tot\u00e9\u017e.<\/p>\n

Takov\u00e9 konfronta\u010dn\u00ed r\u00e9torick\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed je problematick\u00e9 samo o sob\u011b. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b v\u00a0situaci, kdy vypukly nov\u00e9 boje mezi ukrajinskou arm\u00e1dou a separatisty, je mnohon\u00e1sobn\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed vyjednan\u00e9 v\u00a0roce 2020 se dosud da\u0159ilo dodr\u017eovat, av\u0161ak nyn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed prudce roste. Jako odpov\u011b\u010f na obnoven\u00ed boj\u016f p\u0159esunulo Rusko sv\u00e9 jednotky na hranici s\u00a0Ukrajinou. Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Sergej Lavrov varoval Kyjev, \u017ee pokud restartuje v\u00e1lku na Donbasu, povede to ke zni\u010den\u00ed Ukrajiny. K\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edmu vyost\u0159en\u00ed do\u0161lo pot\u00e9, kdy ukrajinsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ozn\u00e1mila spole\u010dn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed s\u00a0jednotkami NATO v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu tohoto l\u00e9ta. Mluv\u010d\u00ed Kremlu D. Peskov varoval, \u017ee \u201ejak\u00e9koliv rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed jednotek NATO na Ukrajin\u011b by p\u0159inutilo Rusko p\u0159ijmout opat\u0159en\u00ed k\u00a0zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti.\u201c<\/p>\n

D\u00e9j\u00e0 vu: Gruzie 2008<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bidenova administrativa si zahr\u00e1v\u00e1 s\u00a0ohn\u011bm, pokud chce kop\u00edrovat katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed politiku George Bushe ml., jen\u017e povzbuzoval tehdej\u0161\u00edho gruz\u00ednsk\u00e9ho prezidenta M. Saaka\u0161viliho ve v\u00ed\u0159e, \u017ee jeho zem\u011b je cenn\u00fdm americk\u00fdm spojencem, a \u017ee USA a NATO p\u0159isp\u011bchaj\u00ed Gruzii zachr\u00e1nit v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9m ozbrojen\u00e9m konfliktu s\u00a0Ruskem. Saaka\u0161vili si mohl opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u011b myslet, \u017ee disponuje neochv\u011bjnou podporou Washingtonu. Bushova administrativa poskytla Tbilisi miliony dolar\u016f na vyzbrojen\u00ed a organizovala v\u00fdcvik gruz\u00ednsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. Bush ne\u0161et\u0159il superlativy na Saaka\u0161viliho a gruz\u00ednskou \u201edemokratickou revoluci\u201c, kterou ozna\u010dil za vzor pro dal\u0161\u00ed barevn\u00e9 revoluce. Pro Gruzii a Ukrajinu prosadil status kandid\u00e1tsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed na \u010dlenstv\u00ed v\u00a0alianci navzdory odporu Francie a N\u011bmecka. Saaka\u0161vili zjevn\u011b v\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee NATO p\u016fjde do vojensk\u00e9ho st\u0159etu s\u00a0Ruskem v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu mezi Tbilisi a Moskvou. V\u00a0srpnu 2008 proto zah\u00e1jil ofenzivu, aby obnovil kontrolu nad od\u0161t\u011bpeneck\u00fdm regionem Ji\u017en\u00ed Osetie spo\u010d\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed pod ruskou ochranou od po\u010d\u00e1tku 90. let. Tato ofenziva zp\u016fsobila ztr\u00e1ty na \u017eivotech rusk\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch jednotek, na co\u017e Moskva zareagovala protiofenzivou vedouc\u00ed k\u00a0rychl\u00e9 okupaci n\u011bkolika gruz\u00ednsk\u00fdch m\u011bst, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e hrozil bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed p\u00e1d Tbilisi.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00e9koliv nad\u011bje, \u017ee mohutn\u00e1 chv\u00e1la a podpora \u201edemokratick\u00e9ho spojence\u201c se prom\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0americk\u00e9 zapojen\u00ed do v\u00e1lky, se rychle rozplynuly. Kdy\u017e Bush telefonoval Saaka\u0161vilimu po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ofenzivy, gruz\u00ednsk\u00fd prezident na n\u011bj nal\u00e9hal, aby neopou\u0161t\u011bl sv\u00e9ho spojence. Bush ho ujistil, \u017ee USA stoj\u00ed za teritori\u00e1ln\u00ed integritou Gruzie, ale vojenskou podporu ji\u017e nezm\u00ednil. I p\u0159es v\u0161echna d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed podpory USA ani jejich evrop\u0161t\u00ed spojenci nehodlali riskovat nebezpe\u010dnou a nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnou konfrontaci s\u00a0jadernou mocnost\u00ed kv\u016fli obskurn\u00edmu teritori\u00e1ln\u00edmu sporu. Jednotky NATO z\u016fstaly v\u00a0kas\u00e1rn\u00e1ch a Saaka\u0161vili musel p\u0159istoupit na poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed m\u00edrovou dohodu ponech\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed Ji\u017en\u00ed Osetii a Abch\u00e1zii pod ruskou kontrolou.<\/p>\n

Dva sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e: \u0161patn\u00fd a je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed<\/strong><\/p>\n

Paralely mezi aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm americk\u00fdm povzbuzov\u00e1n\u00edm Ukrajiny a Bushov\u00fdm trapasem ve vztahu ke Gruzii jsou alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed. Putinova vl\u00e1da Z\u00e1pad ji\u017e mnohokr\u00e1t varovala, \u017ee pokus u\u010dinit z\u00a0Ukrajiny vazala NATO bude vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako p\u0159ekro\u010den\u00ed \u010derven\u00e9 linie ve v\u011bci rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti. Anexe Krymu v\u00a0roce 2014 byla de facto\u00a0odpov\u011bd\u00ed na euro-americkou kampa\u0148 pomoci demonstrant\u016fm p\u0159i svr\u017een\u00ed prorusk\u00e9ho demokraticky zvolen\u00e9ho prezidenta V. Janukovy\u010de a jeho nahrazen\u00ed proz\u00e1padn\u00edm re\u017eimem. P\u0159esto se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Bidenova administrativa m\u00e1 v \u00famyslu pokra\u010dovat d\u00e1l. \u0160patn\u00fdm a tak\u00e9 nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem je opakov\u00e1n\u00ed gruz\u00ednsk\u00e9ho dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed \u2013 zem\u011b, kterou Washington podn\u011bcoval ke konfronta\u010dn\u00edmu postoji proti Rusku, bude jednat za nere\u00e1ln\u00e9ho p\u0159edpokladu podpory USA, utrp\u00ed rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed vojenskou por\u00e1\u017eku a bude pon\u00ed\u017eena, zat\u00edmco ameri\u010dt\u00ed v\u016fdci se p\u0159es v\u0161echna sv\u00e1 r\u00e9torick\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky obez\u0159etn\u011b zdr\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed je nebezpe\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee Bidenova vl\u00e1da dosp\u011bje k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee mus\u00ed respektovat implicitn\u00ed z\u00e1vazek k bezpe\u010dnosti Ukrajiny a skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159istoup\u00ed k vojensk\u00e9 reakci na vypuknut\u00ed boj\u016f mezi rusk\u00fdmi a ukrajinsk\u00fdmi silami. Byla by to po\u0161etilost nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho kalibru, proto\u017ee by mohla vyvrcholit jadernou v\u00e1lkou. Av\u0161ak vzhledem k intenzivn\u00edmu nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Moskv\u011b, kter\u00e9 je patrn\u00e9 ve velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti washingtonsk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 elity, to je varianta, j\u00ed\u017e nelze vylou\u010dit.<\/p>\n

Filip Adler<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mnoz\u00ed skeptici se ob\u00e1vali toho, \u017ee po v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed demokrata Joe Bidena v prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch skon\u010d\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":643,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[72,64,29,22,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/641"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/643"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}