{"id":64045,"date":"2024-10-11T07:19:54","date_gmt":"2024-10-11T05:19:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=64045"},"modified":"2024-10-11T07:19:54","modified_gmt":"2024-10-11T05:19:54","slug":"testoval-prave-iran-jadernou-zbran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/11\/testoval-prave-iran-jadernou-zbran\/","title":{"rendered":"Testoval pr\u00e1v\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1n jadernou zbra\u0148?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ot\u0159es podobn\u00fd zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed vyvolal spekulace, \u017ee \u0161lo o n\u011bco v\u00edc ne\u017e seismick\u00e9ho, mo\u017en\u00e1 o podzemn\u00ed v\u00fdbuch<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V pozdn\u00edch ve\u010dern\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch 5. \u0159\u00edjna byly v \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m regionu Semnan\u00a0<\/span>detekov\u00e1ny<\/span><\/a>\u00a0seismick\u00e9 ot\u0159esy o s\u00edle 4,6 stupn\u011b Richterovy stupnice\u00a0 .\u00a0I kdy\u017e je bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 c\u00edtit i v hlavn\u00edm m\u011bst\u011b Teher\u00e1nu, v\u00edce ne\u017e sto kilometr\u016f od epicentra, v pr\u016fb\u011bhu zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed se nejednalo o \u017e\u00e1dnou v\u00fdznamnou ud\u00e1lost: nebylo p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 siln\u00e9 a nezp\u016fsobilo \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 ob\u011bti. A p\u0159esto p\u0159it\u00e1hla celosv\u011btovou pozornost. D\u016fvodem je, \u017ee si nejsme jisti, \u017ee \u0161lo skute\u010dn\u011b o zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od t\u00e9 doby, co ot\u0159esy ot\u0159\u00e1sly \u00edr\u00e1nskou pou\u0161t\u00ed, spekulace, \u017ee se ve skute\u010dnosti jednalo o podzemn\u00ed jadern\u00fd test, v n\u011bkter\u00fdch tradi\u010dn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00edch a na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch v\u0161ude neutichaj\u00ed. V samotn\u00e9m \u00cdr\u00e1nu podle\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Tehran Times<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u2013 vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed anglicky psan\u00e9 publikace \u2013\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u201eseismologov\u00e9 a [\u2026] \u00fa\u0159ady\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0jadern\u00fd test pop\u0159eli. Noviny dodaly, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201e\u0159editel CIA William Burns tak\u00e9 \u0159ekl, \u017ee neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n rozhodl vyrobit jadernou zbra\u0148\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee na z\u00e1klad\u011b dlouh\u00e9 a ho\u0159k\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti \u00cdr\u00e1nci obecn\u011b nepova\u017euj\u00ed CIA za zdroj pravdy, je to zaj\u00edmav\u00fd, mo\u017en\u00e1 tajn\u00fd dodatek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit v\u011brohodn\u00e9 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d by veden\u00ed v Teher\u00e1nu mohlo m\u00edt z\u00e1jem na proveden\u00ed testu, o kter\u00e9m v\u00ed, \u017ee zanech\u00e1v\u00e1 zjistiteln\u00e9 stopy, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 ofici\u00e1ln\u011b pop\u00edr\u00e1, \u017ee tak u\u010dinilo: v podstat\u011b by to slou\u017eilo k varov\u00e1n\u00ed. nep\u0159\u00e1tel a z\u00e1rove\u0148 umo\u017e\u0148uje ur\u010ditou m\u00edru politicky flexibiln\u00ed pop\u0159en\u00ed. Mo\u017en\u00e1 by to tak\u00e9 vytvo\u0159ilo ur\u010ditou strategickou nejednozna\u010dnost \u2013 tedy nejistotu mezi odp\u016frci \u2013 kdy\u017e ne ohledn\u011b ud\u00e1losti samotn\u00e9, tak ohledn\u011b toho, co p\u0159esn\u011b s n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed zam\u00fd\u0161l\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto je p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm stejn\u011b realistick\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee ve skute\u010dnosti \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd test nebyl. Tyto diskuse o ot\u0159esech Semnan\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00e9, se zdaj\u00ed p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm nepr\u016fkazn\u00e9 pro neodborn\u00edka, soust\u0159ed\u00ed se na body, jako je p\u0159esn\u00e1 povaha seismick\u00e9 vlny a um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed epicentra. Prozat\u00edm se zd\u00e1, \u017ee jedin\u00fdm jist\u00fdm z\u00e1v\u011brem je, \u017ee nev\u00edme: Mohlo to b\u00fdt jen oby\u010dejn\u00e9 zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed, ale v tuto chv\u00edli nelze vylou\u010dit jadern\u00fd test.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vra\u0165me se o krok zp\u011bt: Nam\u00edsto posuzov\u00e1n\u00ed argument\u016f pro jednu nebo druhou verzi toho, co se p\u0159esn\u011b stalo v Semnan v \u00cdr\u00e1nu 5. \u0159\u00edjna, si polo\u017eme dv\u011b jednoduch\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky: Pro\u010d je to tak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 a co by to znamenalo, kdyby jadern\u00fd test skute\u010dn\u011b prob\u011bhl a k \u010demu to m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt?<\/span><\/p>\n

V n\u011bkter\u00fdch ohledech je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, pro\u010d se ot\u0159esy projevily po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b: \u00cdr\u00e1n je ji\u017e zapleten do faktick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s Izraelem, kter\u00e1 je na pokraji dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace, od st\u00e1le ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00edch raketov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f v je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed a mo\u017en\u00e1 i glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku. Krom\u011b dlouhotrvaj\u00edc\u00edho nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi tato eskalace prob\u00edh\u00e1 ze dvou d\u016fvod\u016f: Za prv\u00e9, Izrael ji\u017e dokon\u010dil rok p\u00e1ch\u00e1n\u00ed genocidy na Palestinc\u00edch a konec je v nedohlednu, zat\u00edmco tak\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010dil na n\u011bkolik zem\u00ed kolem sebe. teroristick\u00e9 \u00fatoky, nevyb\u00edrav\u00e9 bombov\u00e9 \u00fatoky a nyn\u00ed v Libanonu tak\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed invaze. Za druh\u00e9, Z\u00e1pad se postavil na stranu Izraele. V hypotetick\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, ve kter\u00e9m by Z\u00e1pad\u00a0<\/span>nepo\u0161lapal<\/span><\/em>\u00a0cel\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo a element\u00e1rn\u00ed etiku a m\u00edsto toho by zastavil Izrael, by sou\u010dasn\u00e1 eskalace nemohla nastat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z t\u011bchto dvou d\u016fvod\u016f \u2013 naprost\u00fd sestup Izraele do masov\u00e9ho zab\u00edjen\u00ed a v\u0161estrann\u00e9 agrese a napom\u00e1h\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1padu \u2013 se \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 region\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>\u201eosa odporu\u201c<\/span><\/em> stala kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm a skute\u010dn\u011b jedin\u00fdm mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm akt\u00e9rem, kter\u00fd stoj\u00ed v cest\u011b sionistick\u00e9mu re\u017eimu. Vzhledem k tomu, jak z\u00e1padn\u00ed mainstreamov\u00e1 medi\u00e1ln\u00ed propaganda hanob\u00ed tuto <\/span>\u201eosu\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0jako\u00a0<\/span>\u201edareb\u00e1ckou\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>\u201eteroristickou\u201c,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0je ironi\u00ed, \u017ee jej\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 jsou jedin\u00ed, kdo se alespo\u0148 sna\u017e\u00ed implementovat \u00damluvu OSN o genocid\u011b z roku 1948 proti izraelsk\u00fdm pachatel\u016fm, a dodr\u017euj\u00ed tak z\u00e1kladn\u00ed povinnost mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Skute\u010dn\u00fdmi, monstr\u00f3zn\u00edmi darebn\u00fdmi herci jsou Z\u00e1pad a Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bez\u00a0<\/span>\u201eOsy odporu\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0pod uvoln\u011bnou \u00edr\u00e1nskou hegemoni\u00ed by palestinsk\u00fd odpor byl zcela s\u00e1m. Pro Izrael to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee zni\u010den\u00ed nebo alespo\u0148 neutralizace \u00cdr\u00e1nu je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enou strategickou cenou. Bez Teher\u00e1nu by\u00a0<\/span>\u201eosa\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0jednodu\u0161e nezmizela. Proto jsou jeho r\u016fzn\u00e9 prvky \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad libanonsk\u00fd Hizball\u00e1h a jemensk\u00e9 hnut\u00ed Ansar All\u00e1h (\u00a0<\/span>\u201eH\u00fas\u00edov\u00e9\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0) p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 autonomn\u00ed, nejsou pouh\u00fdmi z\u00e1stupci. Ale nen\u00ed pochyb o tom, \u017ee by byli v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, mo\u017en\u00e1 fat\u00e1ln\u011b oslabeni.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto kontextu jsou \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti z\u00e1sadn\u00edm faktorem. Zat\u00edmco Teher\u00e1n m\u00e1 mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b modern\u00ed letectvo ne\u017e izraelsk\u00e9, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 s\u00edly jsou impozantn\u00ed. Navzdory tvrzen\u00edm o opaku ned\u00e1vn\u00fd, st\u00e1le zdr\u017eenliv\u00fd \u00fatok\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>180 projektil\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n dok\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159emoci izraelskou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu a americkou pomoc, kter\u00e9 se jim dost\u00e1v\u00e1. Pokud by m\u011bl n\u011bkdy zah\u00e1jit \u00fatok, kter\u00fd m\u011bl b\u00fdt skute\u010dn\u011b zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed \u2013 zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm na izraelskou ekonomickou a politickou infrastrukturu \u2013 musel by Izrael absorbovat \u0161kody jako nikdy p\u0159edt\u00edm ve sv\u00e9 historii. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Izraelci maj\u00ed mo\u017enost odej\u00edt, \u010din\u00ed tuto hrozbu o to siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed: Jejich zem\u011b se z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b sna\u017eila u\u010dinit Gazu neobyvatelnou. \u00cdr\u00e1n by se jako civilizovan\u00e1 zem\u011b\u00a0<\/span>neuch\u00fdlil<\/span><\/em>\u00a0ke stejn\u00e9 genocidn\u00ed krutosti. Ale pobyt v Izraeli by pro Izraelce mohl b\u00fdt mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b pohodln\u00fd nebo bezpe\u010dn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

A to je m\u00edsto, kde se vrac\u00edme k ot\u00e1zce, pro\u010d by bylo tak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, kdyby jadern\u00fd test skute\u010dn\u011b prob\u011bhl v \u00cdr\u00e1nu 5. \u0159\u00edjna: Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b Izrael pohrozil, \u017ee se zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na mnoho jadern\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v zemi, ne-li v dal\u0161\u00ed. kolo \u00fader\u016f pak v tom n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm. P\u0159esto, proto\u017ee ty d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jsou hluboko pod zem\u00ed, je to\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>technicky obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, jak pr\u00e1v\u011b potvrdil New York Times americk\u00fd gener\u00e1l, kter\u00fd se d\u0159\u00edve pod\u00edlel na p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9m pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ale p\u0159esto m\u00e1 Izrael podporu USA. I kdy\u017e Washington zamumlal\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>n\u011bjak\u00e9 n\u00e1mitky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0proti tomuto konkr\u00e9tn\u00edmu izraelsk\u00e9mu \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed, znamen\u00e1 to velmi m\u00e1lo, proto\u017ee USA maj\u00ed tendenci lh\u00e1t a Izrael m\u00e1 tendenci si d\u011blat, co chce, a pak t\u00e1hnout USA, necht\u011bn\u011b nebo velmi ochotn\u011b, podle okolnost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1n samoz\u0159ejm\u011b vyv\u00edj\u00ed sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed jadern\u00fd program. Zat\u00edmco jeho v\u016fdci trvaj\u00ed na tom, \u017ee je to zcela nevojensk\u00fd, pokud by to byla pravda, byli by to idioti, kte\u0159\u00ed zanedb\u00e1vaj\u00ed svou povinnost chr\u00e1nit svou zemi. A nejsou ani idioti, ani nezanedb\u00e1vaj\u00ed svou povinnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vr\u00e1sku komplikuje to, \u017ee mo\u017enost, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed pr\u00e1h dr\u017een\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, byla z\u00e1padn\u00edmi politiky a m\u00e9dii znovu a znovu zveli\u010dov\u00e1na se zjevn\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011brem vytvo\u0159it z\u00e1minku pro dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u00fato\u010dnou v\u00e1lku na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Vskutku,\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Wall Street Journal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b zve\u0159ejnil dal\u0161\u00ed dlouh\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek v tomto \u017e\u00e1nru\u00a0<\/span>\u201ePod\u00edvejte se, jak jsou bl\u00edzko\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Pro ty, kte\u0159\u00ed d\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159ednost teoreti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdstup\u016fm, presti\u017en\u00ed \u010dasopis Foreign Policy pr\u00e1v\u011b otev\u0159en\u011b uvedl\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u201e\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159\u00edpad pro zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu nyn\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee kdykoli usly\u0161\u00edte \u2013 alespo\u0148 na Z\u00e1pad\u011b \u2013, \u017ee Teher\u00e1n m\u00e1 bl\u00edzko k tomu, aby m\u011bl jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, m\u011bjte na pam\u011bti, \u017ee se mo\u017en\u00e1 d\u00edv\u00e1te na v\u00e1le\u010dnou propagandu. A p\u0159esto existuje tak\u00e9 re\u00e1ln\u00e1 mo\u017enost, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n z\u00edsk\u00e1 \u2013 nebo mo\u017en\u00e1 ji\u017e z\u00edskal \u2013 jadern\u00e9 bomby. To je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d bylo tak l\u00e1kav\u00e9 interpretovat seismick\u00fd \u0161ok v oblasti Semnan jako dob\u0159e na\u010dasovan\u00fd jadern\u00fd test. Pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b vyrobil, pak mohl b\u00fdt test sign\u00e1lem, kter\u00fd by Izraeli a Z\u00e1padu \u0159ekl, \u017ee je nyn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b na to, aby zabr\u00e1nil \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu pr\u016flomu, proto\u017ee k n\u011bmu ji\u017e do\u0161lo. To by znamenalo nejen to, \u017ee takov\u00fd izraelsk\u00fd nebo z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u00fatok je nyn\u00ed marn\u00fd, ale tak\u00e9, \u017ee se stal mnohem riskantn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm, proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n u\u017e m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt schopen odvetu, dokonce i s jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nast\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd v\u00fd\u0161e z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 spekulativn\u00ed jako interpretace seismick\u00fdch ot\u0159es\u016f Semnan z 5. \u0159\u00edjna. Ale co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee i kdy\u017e k n\u011bmu je\u0161t\u011b nedo\u0161lo, je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee k n\u011bmu brzy dojde. Tak \u010di onak, nehled\u011b na d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edkaz \u2013 fatwu \u2013 proti zbran\u00edm hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed \u010dasto citovan\u00fd na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, Teher\u00e1n se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti stane jadern\u011b vyzbrojenou mocnost\u00ed. V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b bude fatwa zm\u011bn\u011bna nebo nahrazena. Pokud a a\u017e k tomu dojde, budou si Z\u00e1pad a Izrael vinit pouze sebe, a to ze t\u0159\u00ed d\u016fvod\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaprv\u00e9<\/strong>, u\u017e dlouho v\u00edme, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 mlhavou p\u0159edstavu\u00a0<\/span>\u201epravidel\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>\u201e\u0159\u00e1du zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na pravidlech\u201c,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0aby se vyhnul mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu pr\u00e1vu a smyslupln\u00e9 roli OSN. Po\u0159\u00e1dek zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech je lacin\u00fdm podvodem pro ty, kte\u0159\u00ed d\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159ednost tomu, aby se na n\u011b z\u00e1kony nevztahovaly. Genocida v Gaze a dal\u0161\u00ed ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 zlo\u010diny Izraele neomyln\u011b jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201epo\u0159\u00e1dek zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0zahrnuje velmi zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed privilegium pro Izrael a Z\u00e1pad, toti\u017e p\u00e1chat zlo\u010diny proti lidskosti. V takov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b mus\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00e1 seberespektuj\u00edc\u00ed vl\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 bere svou z\u00e1kladn\u00ed povinnost br\u00e1nit zemi a lidi v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, uva\u017eovat v t\u011bch nejhor\u0161\u00edch p\u0159\u00edpadech. V takov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b je zkr\u00e1tka lep\u0161\u00ed m\u00edt atomovky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zadruh\u00e9<\/strong> jsme se nejen nau\u010dili, \u010deho p\u0159esn\u011b je\u00a0<\/span>\u201e\u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0schopen. Tak\u00e9 jsme se nau\u010dili, \u017ee alternativn\u00ed normy a instituce mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va nemohou zastavit dav\u00a0<\/span>\u201ezalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, jakmile se rozhodne: Podle zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho soudu OSN, Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho soudn\u00edho dvora, naz\u00fdvan\u00e9ho tak\u00e9 Sv\u011btov\u00fd soud, Izrael i nyn\u00ed stoj\u00ed jako pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd pachatel genocidy; bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b n\u00e1sledovat \u00fapln\u00fd trest. Jeho premi\u00e9r a ministr obrany \u010dekaj\u00ed u Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho trestn\u00edho soudu na \u017e\u00e1dost o vyd\u00e1n\u00ed zatyka\u010de. A jak\u00fd je v\u00fdsledek? Nic. Ani z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy, ani Izrael si na z\u00e1kon nedaj\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eet. Ve skute\u010dnosti otev\u0159en\u011b pohrdaj\u00ed a bezosty\u0161n\u011b tomu br\u00e1n\u00ed. Op\u011bt se v takov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b rad\u011bji vyzbrojte, jak nejl\u00e9pe um\u00edte.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u0159et\u00ed<\/strong>, \u00cdr\u00e1n s\u00e1m samoz\u0159ejm\u011b pro\u0161el dlouhotrvaj\u00edc\u00edm pokusem naj\u00edt kompromis se Z\u00e1padem a de facto Izraelem. Spole\u010dn\u00fd komplexn\u00ed ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1n \u2013 neboli \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 dohoda \u2013 byl uzav\u0159en v roce 2015. Jeho podstata byla jednoduch\u00e1: Teher\u00e1n se vzd\u00e1 vojensk\u00e9ho vyu\u017eit\u00ed sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 energie a na opl\u00e1tku Z\u00e1pad upust\u00ed od sankc\u00ed a obecn\u011b normalizuje svou jadernou energii. vztahy s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. V roce 2018 se USA z\u0159ekly, proto\u017ee Donald Trump \u2013 tehdej\u0161\u00ed prezident,\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>nyn\u00ed bezohledn\u011b vyk\u0159ikuj\u00edc\u00ed o \u00faderech na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u2013 se tak c\u00edtil. Bidenova administrativa pak nedok\u00e1zala napravit \u0161kody, a pokud v\u016fbec n\u011bco, situaci je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161ila. A ani budouc\u00ed Trump, ani Harrisovo prezidentstv\u00ed je nezlep\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, v \u201epo\u0159\u00e1dku zalo\u017een\u00e9m na pravidlech\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Z\u00e1padu\u00a0pravidla zahrnuj\u00ed, \u017ee Izrael a Z\u00e1pad mohou sp\u00e1chat genocidu, a pak je\u0161t\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed; mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo a dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1kony nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou vyrovn\u00e1vac\u00ed s\u00edlu a byly zdiskreditov\u00e1ny; a individu\u00e1ln\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a kompromisy vedou k podv\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odpov\u011bdn\u00ed v\u016fdci v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a dal\u0161\u00edch st\u00e1tech mus\u00ed doj\u00edt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee jejich zem\u011b mus\u00ed m\u00edt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b i prost\u0159edky k jejich dod\u00e1n\u00ed. A v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu to ve skute\u010dnosti znamen\u00e1 dost k odstra\u0161en\u00ed Izraele\u00a0<\/span>a<\/span><\/em>\u00a0USA. Zejm\u00e9na posledn\u011b jmenovan\u00fd mus\u00ed v budoucnu \u010delit mo\u017enosti \u2013 jak u\u017e to d\u011bl\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Severn\u00ed Koreje \u2013 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch odvetn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00edch na sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed vlasti, pokud Washington bu\u010f p\u0159\u00edmo za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n, nebo pom\u016f\u017ee Izraeli za\u00fato\u010dit na n\u011bj. To je stroh\u00e1 logika odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Je smutn\u00e9, \u017ee nic jin\u00e9ho nezb\u00fdv\u00e1. Z\u00e1pad a Izrael v\u0161ak sv\u00fdm odporn\u00fdm n\u00e1sil\u00edm a doslova bezpr\u00e1v\u00edm nenechaly \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 a dal\u0161\u00ed \u2013 jinou mo\u017enost, ne\u017e tuto tvrdou logiku pln\u011b p\u0159ijmout.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tarik<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0<\/em>Cyril Amar<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0, historik z N\u011bmecka, kter\u00fd pracuje na Ko\u00e7 University v Istanbulu, o Rusku, Ukrajin\u011b a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b, historii druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kulturn\u00ed studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce a politice pam\u011bti<\/em><\/p>\n

\"Tarik<\/a><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
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 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ot\u0159es podobn\u00fd zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed vyvolal spekulace, \u017ee \u0161lo o n\u011bco v\u00edc ne\u017e seismick\u00e9ho, mo\u017en\u00e1 o podzemn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12849,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,8051,1358],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64045"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64045"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64045\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12849"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64045"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64045"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64045"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}