{"id":63500,"date":"2024-10-04T00:39:56","date_gmt":"2024-10-03T22:39:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=63500"},"modified":"2024-10-03T14:14:37","modified_gmt":"2024-10-03T12:14:37","slug":"moralka-vs-fakta-izrael-a-iran-ve-valce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/10\/04\/moralka-vs-fakta-izrael-a-iran-ve-valce\/","title":{"rendered":"Mor\u00e1lka vs. fakta \u2013 Izrael a \u00cdr\u00e1n ve v\u00e1lce"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span>1. srpna tohoto roku, na konci m\u00e9ho bubnov\u00e1n\u00ed na eskalaci izraelsko-palestinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, jsem napsal tyto v\u011bty:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>\u00cdr\u00e1n mus\u00ed prov\u00e9st odvetu \u2013 i kdyby jen proto, aby si zachoval tv\u00e1\u0159.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 v\u011bc na tom je:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Izrael to m\u016f\u017ee pou\u017e\u00edt jako ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed pro masivn\u00ed preventivn\u00ed \u00fatok proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A\u0165 se stane cokoli, zpackan\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 operace v p\u00e1smu Gazy u\u017e potom nebude probl\u00e9mem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>O v\u00edkendu jsem pro aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed vyd\u00e1n\u00ed \u201eEWK \u2013 Zur Lage\u201c formuloval toto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u00fdsledek tohoto sporu z\u00e1vis\u00ed na tom, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry Izrael\u00a0<\/span><span>d\u00e1le eskaluje a nyn\u00ed \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Pro Izrael to p\u0159edstavuje riziko, kter\u00e9 lze jen t\u011b\u017eko spo\u010d\u00edtat, proto\u017ee n\u00e1cvik masivn\u00edho \u00fatoku na Izrael raketami a \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami s p\u0159et\u00ed\u017eenou izraelskou protivzdu\u0161nou obranou ji\u017e ned\u00e1vno \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b prob\u011bhl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u0159\u00edm\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vyvol\u00e1 proti\u00fatok je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho rozsahu, kter\u00fd pak m\u016f\u017ee zp\u016fsobit v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 \u0161kody.\u00a0<\/span><span>Od t\u00e9 doby by to byla jen ot\u00e1zka logistiky munice. Komu prvn\u00edmu dojdou rakety, prohr\u00e1v\u00e1. Pokud je\u0161t\u011b nem\u00e1 v ruk\u00e1vu posledn\u00ed, atomov\u00fd trumf.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Kr\u00e1tce p\u0159ed redak\u010dn\u00ed uz\u00e1v\u011brkou<\/u>:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Pozemn\u00ed v\u00e1lka proti Libanonu z\u0159ejm\u011b za\u010dala v noci z ned\u011ble na pond\u011bl\u00ed a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 vys\u00edlaj\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bild.de\/politik\/ausland-und-internationales\/zum-schutz-israels-usa-schicken-tausende-soldaten-nach-nahost-66fac9eee4fca627c595351b\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>podp\u016frn\u00e9 jednotky<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0. Pokud luk dosud vydr\u017eel, zn\u00e1mky p\u0159ep\u011bt\u00ed se hroziv\u011b zvy\u0161uj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>T\u00e9matem v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho ve\u010dera byly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky na c\u00edle po cel\u00e9m Izraeli.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jako u ka\u017ed\u00e9 v\u00e1lky se koment\u00e1\u0159e odp\u016frc\u016f zna\u010dn\u011b li\u0161ily.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z \u00cdr\u00e1nu se ozvalo, \u017ee se jim poda\u0159ilo p\u0159ekonat \u017delezn\u00fd d\u00f3m a \u017ee bylo zni\u010deno 20 nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch americk\u00fdch st\u00edha\u010dek F35 (na zemi?) a tak\u00e9 velk\u00e1 sb\u00edrka izraelsk\u00fdch tank\u016f v nebo na hranici s Gaza zni\u010dit p\u00e1sy. O velitelstv\u00ed Mossadu na severu Tel Avivu se tentokr\u00e1t nemluvilo. Rovn\u011b\u017e uvedlo, \u017ee nebylo v \u00famyslu zas\u00e1hnout civilisty a \u017ee izraelsk\u00e1 odveta by vy\u00fastila v je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed odvetu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z Izraele bylo hl\u00e1\u0161eno, \u017ee rakety byly zachyceny. Do\u0161lo ke dv\u011bma lehk\u00fdm zran\u011bn\u00edm a Palestinec byl zabit padaj\u00edc\u00edmi troskami na Z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Jord\u00e1nu. Arm\u00e1da bude i nad\u00e1le d\u011blat v\u0161e pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 pro ochranu obyvatelstva.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dnes r\u00e1no nep\u0159i\u0161ly z Izraele \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy. Hlavn\u011b \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 obr\u00e1zky. Kvalitn\u00ed m\u00e9dia prost\u011b ml\u010dela. Nic, co by nebylo nahl\u00e1\u0161eno u\u017e v\u010dera ve\u010der, a nen\u00ed toho moc. V\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pozornost p\u0159it\u00e1hl pytel r\u00fd\u017ee, kter\u00fd se p\u0159evrhl v \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Bylo hl\u00e1\u0161eno, \u017ee postup Izraele v Libanonu pokra\u010duje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>V\u010dera ve\u010der bylo na internetu p\u00e1r kr\u00e1tk\u00fdch vide\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jsem pozorn\u011b sledoval. Velmi podobn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>\u010cerno\u010dern\u00e1 no\u010dn\u00ed obloha,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>pom\u011brn\u011b rovnom\u011brn\u011b se pohybuj\u00edc\u00ed shluky sv\u011bteln\u00fdch bod\u016f,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nich blikaj\u00ed a miz\u00ed,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>dal\u0161\u00ed na vzd\u00e1len\u00e9m horizontu nebo za n\u00edm, nar\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed a zp\u016fsobuj\u00edc\u00ed \u010dervenooran\u017eov\u00e9 exploze.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Nemohu posoudit ani to, zda se jednalo o ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 nahr\u00e1vky, ani zda dokonce poch\u00e1zely z Izraele, a u\u017e v\u016fbec ne, zda AI pomohla simulovat raketov\u00fd \u00fatok.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee tyto nahr\u00e1vky jsou skute\u010dn\u00e9 a autentick\u00e9, lze vyvodit jedin\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161inu raket se protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obran\u011b nepoda\u0159ilo zlikvidovat.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo m\u00e1 \u0161pion\u00e1\u017en\u00ed satelity, zn\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00fd dopad \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho raketov\u00e9ho \u00fatoku. V\u0161ichni ostatn\u00ed se mus\u00ed vypo\u0159\u00e1dat se spekulacemi, kter\u00e9 \u2013 jak mohl Flaubert konstatovat ve sv\u00e9m \u201eSlovn\u00edku b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch m\u00edst\u201c \u2013 jsou \u201ev\u017edy nepodlo\u017een\u00e9\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee nem\u00e1me k dispozici fakta a spekulace jsou k ni\u010demu, nyn\u00ed je \u010das zv\u00e1\u017eit mor\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ani zde nepomohou kvalitn\u00ed m\u00e9dia.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Za paywallem se S\u00fcddeutsche pt\u00e1 \u201epro\u010d \u00cdr\u00e1n za\u00fato\u010dil na Izrael\u201c a zd\u00e1nliv\u011b logicky odpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ijmout \u201e\u017ee Izrael v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b p\u0159edstihuje Hizball\u00e1h\u201c.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Tagesspiegel souhlas\u00ed a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee je schopen vysv\u011btlit, \u201eco Teher\u00e1n chce a co ne!\u201c<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>BR24, stanice ARD, st\u0159\u00edzliv\u011b oznamuje: \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1n \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Izrael raketami \u2013 ohl\u00e1\u0161ena odveta\u201c<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>BILD to d\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u011bd\u011bt: \u201eIzrael pl\u00e1nuje masivn\u00ed proti\u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n\u201c<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>V n\u011bmeck\u00fdch politick\u00fdch kruz\u00edch to vypad\u00e1 jinak. Existuje zde mor\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnocen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Pan\u00ed Baerbock n\u00e1m p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee \u201eD\u016frazn\u011b jsme varovali \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159ed touto nebezpe\u010dnou eskalac\u00ed\u201c, a odsuzuje proto raketov\u00e9 \u00fatoky s v\u00edce ne\u017e jen nezbytnou tvrdost\u00ed, ale nep\u0159ekonateln\u011b co nejd\u016frazn\u011bji.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Michael Roth z SPD to shrnul, kdy\u017e \u2013 zjevn\u011b v metafyzick\u00e9 n\u00e1lad\u011b \u2013 \u0159ekl na X: \u201eZlo znovu ude\u0159\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>\u0158eknu to takto:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u00e1dech zd\u011b\u0161en\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed a paralyzuje star\u00e9, vycvi\u010den\u00e9 reflexy lacin\u00fdch mor\u00e1ln\u00edch \u00fasudk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>To u\u017e nem\u00e1 nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho se slavnou 6denn\u00ed v\u00e1lkou z roku 1967.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Izrael je v \u00fazk\u00fdch, zat\u00e1hl se do kouta, vyprovokoval \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 schopnosti, a mus\u00ed se nyn\u00ed bu\u010f um\u00edrnit v Palestin\u011b, aby mohl znovu \u017e\u00edt v m\u00edru, nebo se pustit do boje proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd se ji\u017e nenech\u00e1 odradit. izraelsk\u00fdmi jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, a proto by se Izrael mohl c\u00edtit nucen je pou\u017e\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tradi\u010dn\u00ed bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed hra s ohn\u011bm, kterou bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 v\u017edy v\u010das uhasit, tentokr\u00e1t dostala nov\u00fd, d\u0159\u00edve nepoznan\u00fd rozm\u011br. Situace se vymkla kontrole \u2013 a neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee by USA mohly st\u00e1le \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b ovliv\u0148ovat izraelsk\u00e9 akce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nem\u00e1-li tento ohe\u0148 za\u017eehnout cel\u00fd sv\u011bt, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt tato z\u00e1stupn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka nyn\u00ed ponech\u00e1na pouze na z\u00e1stupc\u00edch a v\u00fdsledek mus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159ijat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jen se boj\u00edm, \u017ee to dopadne jinak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Autor: <a href=\"https:\/\/egon-w-kreutzer.de\/moral-vs-fakten-israel-und-iran-im-krieg\">Egon W. Kreutzer<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1. srpna tohoto roku, na konci m\u00e9ho bubnov\u00e1n\u00ed na eskalaci izraelsko-palestinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, jsem napsal tyto&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":63501,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63500"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=63500"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63500\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63502,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63500\/revisions\/63502"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63501"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=63500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=63500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=63500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}