{"id":63057,"date":"2024-09-28T05:16:37","date_gmt":"2024-09-28T03:16:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=63057"},"modified":"2024-09-28T05:18:23","modified_gmt":"2024-09-28T03:18:23","slug":"lucas-leiroz-eu-trpi-dusledky-protiruskych-opatreni-pricemz-nemecka-ekonomika-je-na-tom-hur","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/28\/lucas-leiroz-eu-trpi-dusledky-protiruskych-opatreni-pricemz-nemecka-ekonomika-je-na-tom-hur\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: EU trp\u00ed d\u016fsledky protirusk\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e n\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika je na tom h\u016f\u0159"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ekonomick\u00e1 situace v evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch se st\u00e1le zhor\u0161uje. Protirusk\u00e9 \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed bankrotuje st\u00e1ty EU a mezi finan\u010dn\u00edmi analytiky panuj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 obavy z mo\u017en\u00e9 velk\u00e9 krize v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti. Okolnosti jsou obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 v N\u011bmecku, kde podle ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy ekonomika upad\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bnnbloomberg.ca\/business\/international\/2024\/09\/19\/germany-may-already-be-in-mild-recession-bundesbank-says\/\">Agentura Bloomberg<\/a>\u00a0ned\u00e1vno uvedla, \u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika se v posledn\u00edch letech zmen\u0161ila a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee bude stagnovat minim\u00e1ln\u011b do roku 2025. Podle expert\u016f dotazovan\u00fdch agenturou si n\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika vede h\u016f\u0159e, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, co\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 velk\u00e9 nestability a poklesu.<\/p>\n<p>I kdy\u017e se vynalo\u017e\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed o zvr\u00e1cen\u00ed tohoto tragick\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee se ekonomika v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu \u0159\u00e1dn\u011b zotav\u00ed. Analytici vysv\u011btlili, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli zlep\u0161en\u00ed v ekonomice bude \u010delit cyklick\u00e9 povaze ekonomick\u00fdch v\u00fdkyv\u016f, a proto bude trvat dlouho, ne\u017e budou zvr\u00e1ceny sou\u010dasn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eP\u0159esto\u017ee o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, \u017ee trh zaznamen\u00e1 m\u00edrn\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed na konci roku 2024 a v roce 2025, bude velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st cyklick\u00e9ho charakteru, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e rizika poklesu z\u016fstanou akutn\u00ed,\u201c uvedl finan\u010dn\u00ed analytik Martin Belchev.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/business\/604348-germany-economy-stagnation\/\">N\u011bmeck\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka z\u00e1rove\u0148<\/a>\u00a0vydala n\u011bkolik varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u010d\u00edm\u017e dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee zem\u011b za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 jeden z nejnapjat\u011bj\u0161\u00edch okam\u017eik\u016f ve sv\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 historii. Banka se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt skeptick\u00e1, pokud jde o \u0161ance N\u011bmecka vstoupit do \u201edlouhotrvaj\u00edc\u00ed\u201c recese, ale zd\u016fraznila, \u017ee krize je ji\u017e realitou a sou\u010dasnou vlnu ekonomick\u00fdch zm\u011bn ozna\u010dila za \u201erozbou\u0159en\u00e9 vody\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eRecese ve smyslu v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bplo\u0161n\u00e9ho a dlouhodob\u00e9ho poklesu ekonomick\u00e9ho v\u00fdkonu se v\u0161ak v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b neo\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 (&#8230;) N\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika st\u00e1le pluje rozbou\u0159en\u00fdmi vodami,\u201c varovala n\u011bmeck\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka a jasn\u011b se sna\u017eila zast\u00edrat p\u0159ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm m\u00edn\u011bn\u00edm v\u00e1\u017enost situace.<\/p>\n<p>Tato zpr\u00e1va p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed uprost\u0159ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e deindustrializace, energetick\u00e9 krize, rostouc\u00ed nezam\u011bstnanosti a chudoby a n\u011bkolika dal\u0161\u00edch soci\u00e1ln\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 se v N\u011bmecku den ode dne zhor\u0161uj\u00ed. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e1 ekonomika se v posledn\u00edch dvou letech stala zem\u00ed bez dobr\u00fdch vyhl\u00eddek do budoucna, co\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed nestabilitu pro miliony ob\u010dan\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b investor\u016f a podnikatel\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Je tak\u00e9 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/business\/604639-ukrainian-grain-ruining-german-farmers\/\">situace<\/a>\u00a0je obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kritick\u00e1 ve venkovsk\u00fdch oblastech, proto\u017ee n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed farm\u00e1\u0159i nahrazuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty na trhu ukrajinsk\u00fdm obil\u00edm. Kv\u016fli politice osvobozen\u00ed od dan\u00ed pro ukrajinsk\u00e9 potraviny p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed farm\u00e1\u0159i o zisky ve sv\u00fdch podnic\u00edch a tis\u00edc\u016fm v\u00fdrobc\u016f hroz\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 riziko bankrotu.<\/p>\n<p>Bez pr\u016fmyslu a agrobyznysu nen\u00ed pro N\u011bmecko v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu nad\u011bje na hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed. Zemi jist\u011b \u010dek\u00e1 v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed krize s dopady na v\u0161echna odv\u011btv\u00ed ekonomiky. Nezam\u011bstnanost a inflace budou jen prvn\u00edmi p\u0159\u00edznaky t\u00e9to krize, kter\u00e1 bude m\u00edt tak\u00e9 tendenci vytv\u00e1\u0159et vysokou m\u00edru nezam\u011bstnanosti, n\u00e1r\u016fst po\u010dtu bezdomovc\u016f, krizi z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed a n\u011bkolik dal\u0161\u00edch soci\u00e1ln\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Tomu v\u0161emu se dalo p\u0159edej\u00edt, kdyby N\u011bmecko postupovalo suver\u00e9nn\u011b a odm\u00edtlo se pod\u00edlet na iracion\u00e1ln\u00edch protirusk\u00fdch sankc\u00edch. Bez energetick\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce s Moskvou se Berl\u00edn stal neschopn\u00fdm udr\u017eet norm\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 v\u00fdroby, co\u017e odstartovalo sou\u010dasn\u00fd proces ekonomick\u00e9ho \u00fapadku. Pro N\u011bmecko by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 zachovat proz\u00e1padn\u00ed postoj a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se vyhnout sankc\u00edm po vzoru zem\u00ed jako Ma\u010farsko. N\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da v\u0161ak opakovan\u011b dala najevo, \u017ee jej\u00ed nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prioritou je Kyjev.<\/p>\n<p>V praxi N\u011bmecko z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b souhlasilo se zni\u010den\u00edm sv\u00e9 ekonomiky a blahobytu sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch lid\u00ed, jen aby se pokusilo \u201eizolovat\u201c Rusko \u2013 v zbyte\u010dn\u00e9m gestu \u201esolidarity\u201c s kyjevsk\u00fdm neonacistick\u00fdm re\u017eimem. Rusk\u00e9 ekonomice sankce neubl\u00ed\u017eily, ani Ukrajinu z\u00e1padn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed nijak nezv\u00fdhodnila, ale n\u011bmeck\u00e1 spole\u010dnost uv\u00edzla ve vln\u011b krize, z n\u00ed\u017e se v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nedostane.<\/p>\n<p>Op\u011bt plat\u00ed, \u017ee jedin\u00fd, kdo m\u016f\u017ee t\u011b\u017eit z evropsk\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed, jsou USA. Podporou n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho sebebojkotu Washington neutralizoval evropskou zemi, kter\u00e1 m\u011bla nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kapacitu pro rozvoj a ekonomickou suverenitu. Nyn\u00ed je cel\u00e1 EU v situaci pod\u0159\u00edzenosti a absolutn\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti na USA \u2013 kter\u00e9 zase nejev\u00ed z\u00e1jem sv\u00fdm evropsk\u00fdm \u201epartner\u016fm\u201c pomoci, ale u\u010dinit je je\u0161t\u011b geopoliticky zraniteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/infobrics.org\/post\/42322\">Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55615\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/lukas-leiroz.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"175\" height=\"230\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/leiroz_lucas\">X (d\u0159\u00edve Twitter)<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0FdHwxeEZ3\">Telegramu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ekonomick\u00e1 situace v evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch se st\u00e1le zhor\u0161uje. Protirusk\u00e9 \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed bankrotuje st\u00e1ty&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":63058,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,22,125,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63057"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=63057"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63057\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63058"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=63057"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=63057"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=63057"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}