{"id":62705,"date":"2024-09-22T04:37:31","date_gmt":"2024-09-22T02:37:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=62705"},"modified":"2024-09-22T04:37:31","modified_gmt":"2024-09-22T02:37:31","slug":"konec-fialovy-ery-a-pirati-jako-hlavni-mrtvola-rika-docent-vales","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/22\/konec-fialovy-ery-a-pirati-jako-hlavni-mrtvola-rika-docent-vales\/","title":{"rendered":"Konec Fialovy \u00e9ry. A Pir\u00e1ti jako hlavn\u00ed mrtvola, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 docent Vale\u0161"},"content":{"rendered":"
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P\u016eLNO\u010cN\u00cd ROZHOVOR Je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu tu s\u00a0n\u00e1mi Petr Fiala bude, ale jeho \u00e9ra t\u011bmito volbami skon\u010dila, soud\u00ed politolog Luk\u00e1\u0161 Vale\u0161. Pokud premi\u00e9r, \u017eij\u00edc\u00ed ve sv\u00e9m ide\u00e1ln\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b, je\u0161t\u011b trochu vn\u00edm\u00e1 realitu, mus\u00ed mu to doj\u00edt. Hlavn\u00ed politickou mrtvolou roku jsou ale podle n\u011bj Pir\u00e1ti.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pane docente, jak\u00e9 jsou Va\u0161e prvn\u00ed dojmy z\u00a0volebn\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f? P\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b nejzaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed moment?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Krajsk\u00e9 volby splnily c\u00edl, kter\u00fd si slibovala opozice, \u017ee to bude referendum o vl\u00e1d\u011b. Vedle toho, \u017ee volby skute\u010dn\u011b byly referendum o vl\u00e1d\u011b a podle toho vypadaj\u00ed v\u00fdsledky, bylo to je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed vysv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, ne\u017e sama vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalice, ale i opozice \u010dekala. Jednak t\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00fdrazn\u011b pos\u00edlilo hnut\u00ed ANO v po\u010dtu krajsk\u00fdch mand\u00e1t\u016f, ale hlavn\u011b kv\u016fli tomu, \u017ee se spousta lid\u00ed dostala z prvn\u00edho kola do Sen\u00e1tu, kter\u00e9 hnut\u00ed ANO nikdy ne\u0161lo. Maj\u00ed 20 lid\u00ed ve druh\u00e9m kole, co\u017e je neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fd po\u010det.<\/p>\n

P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm hnut\u00ed ANO re\u00e1ln\u011b \u201ehroz\u00ed\u201c, \u017ee zat\u00edmco te\u010f maj\u00ed mysl\u00edm t\u0159i hejtmany, budou jich m\u00edt 6-8. V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed zejm\u00e9na hnut\u00ed ANO, ale do ur\u010dit\u00e9 m\u00edry resuscitace komunist\u016f je jedna v\u011bc. Odnesla to zejm\u00e9na ODS, ale hlavn\u00ed mrtvola je Pir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 strana.<\/p>\n

V tomto kontextu docela \u201euzr\u00e1l\u201c p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek pir\u00e1ta Mikul\u00e1\u0161e Ferjen\u010d\u00edka, kter\u00fd v\u00a0p\u00e1tek odpoledne na s\u00edti X napsal: \u201eJe to \u00fapln\u011b jednoduch\u00fd. Jestli chcete, aby pokra\u010doval Ivan Barto\u0161 a\u00a0Honza Lipavsk\u00fd, volte v\u00a0krajsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch Pir\u00e1ty.\u201c Lid\u00e9 tyto politiky zjevn\u011b necht\u011bj\u00ed. Je to za\u010d\u00e1tek konce Pir\u00e1t\u016f?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pir\u00e1ti se odva\u0159ili a je to dlouhodob\u00fd proces. Vid\u011bli jsme to poprv\u00e9 u\u017e u sn\u011bmovn\u00edch voleb v roce 2021, pot\u00e9 letos v \u010dervnu u evropsk\u00fdch voleb. Pir\u00e1ti pop\u0159eli sv\u016fj rebelsk\u00fd \u00e9tos a stala se z nich ultra prosyst\u00e9mov\u00e1 strana. Nejsou u\u017e zaj\u00edmav\u00ed pro svoje p\u016fvodn\u00ed voli\u010de a nav\u00edc selhal hlavn\u00ed d\u016fvod, pro\u010d by m\u011bli existovat v \u010desk\u00e9 politice, tedy propagov\u00e1n\u00ed budov\u00e1n\u00ed digit\u00e1ln\u00edho st\u00e1tu a informa\u010dn\u00edch technologi\u00ed po jejich obrovsk\u00e9m probl\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd p\u0159edstavuje digitalizace stavebn\u00edho \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pir\u00e1tsk\u00e1 strana ztratila smysl svoj\u00ed existence a\u00a0je ot\u00e1zka, kdy bude poh\u0159eb. Tipnul bych skoro, \u017ee se v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce Pir\u00e1ti ani nedostanou do Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny.<\/p>\n

Mluvil jste o\u00a0tom, \u017ee \u00fasp\u011bch opozice byl v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e o\u010dek\u00e1vali samotn\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00ed politici. Paradoxn\u00ed je, \u017ee i\u00a0samotn\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i ANO a\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edch opozi\u010dn\u00edch stran p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dali, \u017ee kv\u016fli neodlo\u017een\u00ed voleb a\u00a0povodn\u00edm nebude jejich v\u00fdsledek tak dobr\u00fd, co\u017e se nestalo. Premi\u00e9r Fiala te\u010f v\u00fdsledky voleb komentuje tak, \u017ee to nen\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch, ale ani fat\u00e1ln\u00ed ne\u00fasp\u011bch. Co to tedy je?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Je to jednoduch\u00e9. Pan Fiala \u017eije ve sv\u00e9m ide\u00e1ln\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b, ve kter\u00e9m ne\u00fasp\u011bch neexistuje. Petr Fiala prohr\u00e1l dvakr\u00e1t a je te\u010f ot\u00e1zka, co je pro n\u011bj hor\u0161\u00ed. Naprosto propadla jeho vl\u00e1dn\u00ed politika, od kter\u00e9 se st\u00e1le intenzivn\u011bji odvracej\u00ed i pravicov\u00ed voli\u010di a mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b probl\u00e9m pro n\u011bho je, \u017ee usp\u011bl jeho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rival Martin Kuba, kter\u00fd od po\u010d\u00e1tku odm\u00edtla jak\u00e9hokoli spojov\u00e1n\u00ed do koalice SPOLU a dal si za c\u00edl, \u017ee veden\u00ed strany uk\u00e1\u017ee, jak se d\u011bl\u00e1 30 procent jako ODS.<\/p>\n

A nejen\u017ee ud\u011blal 30 procent, on ud\u011blal dokonce skoro 50 procent. Jestli Petr Fiala je\u0161t\u011b v\u016fbec vn\u00edm\u00e1 realitu, m\u00e1 obrovsk\u00fd probl\u00e9m, proto\u017ee ODS jde ke dnu a\u00a0s\u00a0n\u00ed cel\u00e1 koalice SPOLU i\u00a0vl\u00e1da a\u00a0za dal\u0161\u00ed Martin Kuba v\u00fdrazn\u011b usp\u011bl, tud\u00ed\u017e lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat krizi uvnit\u0159 ODS.<\/p>\n

Lze s\u00a0t\u00edm z\u00e1rove\u0148 o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee se uvnit\u0159 ODS d\u00e1 \u010dekat v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 zm\u011bna ve veden\u00ed, anebo jen v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 zm\u011bna politiky do p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch sn\u011bmovn\u00edch voleb?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nemysl\u00edm si to. Pochopiteln\u011b by takov\u00e1 zm\u011bna p\u0159ij\u00edt m\u011bla, pokud ODS nechce tot\u00e1ln\u011b propadnout, ale zat\u00edm to nen\u00ed vidno. Je v\u0161ak prakticky rozhodnuto o osudu Petra Fialy. Nedok\u00e1\u017eu si po p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch prohran\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch p\u0159edstavit, a te\u010f u\u017e v\u00edme, \u017ee budou prohran\u00e9, \u017ee by mohl d\u00e1l setrvat v \u010dele ODS. M\u016f\u017eeme pouze spekulovat, jestli a\u017e za rok koalice SPOLU fat\u00e1ln\u011b prohraje volby, se sama rozpadne, co\u017e je nepochybn\u011b ve h\u0159e.<\/p>\n

Jist\u00e9 je, \u017ee \u00e9ra Petra Fialy t\u011bmito volbami kon\u010d\u00ed a\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed volby budou jen opakov\u00e1n\u00edm \u010di\u00a0jen prohlouben\u00edm tohoto trendu. Bude v\u0161ak volit tak\u00e9 Praha, tak\u017ee mo\u017en\u00e1 nep\u016fjde o\u00a0tak v\u00fdrazn\u00fd p\u00e1d jako v\u00a0t\u011bchto krajsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch, kde jenom hnut\u00ed ANO dostalo skoro o\u00a0polovinu hlas\u016f v\u00edc ne\u017e v\u0161echny strany vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalice. To je naprosto drtiv\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e1 jen s\u00a0v\u00fdjimkou roku 2008 nem\u00e1 v\u00a0\u010desk\u00e9 politice obdoby.<\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e tu s\u00a0n\u00e1mi je\u0161t\u011b chvilku Petr Fiala bude, jeho \u00e9ra je definitivn\u011b za n\u00e1mi.<\/p>\n

Parlamentn\u00ed listy<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u016eLNO\u010cN\u00cd ROZHOVOR Je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu tu s\u00a0n\u00e1mi Petr Fiala bude, ale jeho \u00e9ra t\u011bmito volbami…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6914,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1683,1497,1052,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62705"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6914"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}