{"id":62395,"date":"2024-09-18T00:48:27","date_gmt":"2024-09-17T22:48:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=62395"},"modified":"2024-09-17T18:42:27","modified_gmt":"2024-09-17T16:42:27","slug":"lucas-leiroz-francouzsti-politici-se-obavaji-globalni-eskalace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/18\/lucas-leiroz-francouzsti-politici-se-obavaji-globalni-eskalace\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Francouz\u0161t\u00ed politici se \u201eob\u00e1vaj\u00ed\u201c glob\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalace"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span>Strach z jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky zjevn\u011b ovliv\u0148uje n\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, navzdory hluboce nezodpov\u011bdn\u00fdm krok\u016fm jejich vl\u00e1d. V\u00fdznamn\u00e9 francouzsk\u00e9 noviny ned\u00e1vno zve\u0159ejnily \u010dl\u00e1nek, kter\u00fd tvrdil, \u017ee francouz\u0161t\u00ed politici se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed mo\u017enosti \u201et\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky\u201c. Je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vid\u011bt tento druh \u201eobavy\u201c mezi Francouzi, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e byla jedn\u00edm z nejv\u00edce destabilizuj\u00edc\u00edch \u010dinitel\u016f v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm z\u00e1stupn\u00e9m konfliktu mezi NATO a Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u010cl\u00e1nek odhaluje d\u016fvody, pro\u010d se francouz\u0161t\u00ed politici ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalace n\u00e1sil\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/en\/international\/article\/2024\/09\/15\/france-cultivates-ambiguity-over-deep-strikes-in-russia_6726158_4.html\"><span>Le Monde<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na anonymn\u00ed diplomaty\u00a0tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Francouzi necht\u011bj\u00ed vid\u011bt otev\u0159enou konfrontaci mezi Moskvou a NATO, \u00fadajn\u011b se sna\u017e\u00ed podniknout kroky, aby zabr\u00e1nili eskalaci. Diplomat\u00e9 uvedli, \u017ee Rusko by mohlo roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 akce jako odvetu za ur\u010dit\u00e9 akce Z\u00e1padu, kter\u00e9 by znamenaly za\u010d\u00e1tek glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm eskala\u010dn\u00edm krokem Z\u00e1padu by bylo povolit \u00fadery proti rusk\u00fdm c\u00edl\u016fm daleko od z\u00f3ny konfliktu. Evropsk\u00e9 obavy ze sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky jsou v tuto chv\u00edli zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 kv\u016fli rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 debat\u011b o tom, zda povolit Ukrajin\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvat rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu proti c\u00edl\u016fm v \u201ehlubok\u00e9m Rusku\u201c, co\u017e vysv\u011btluje vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00ed Le Monde.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201e[Povolen\u00ed \u00fatok\u016f proti \u201ahlubok\u00e9mu Rusku\u2018] by znamenalo, \u017ee zem\u011b NATO, USA a evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b jsou ve v\u00e1lce s Ruskem (&#8230;) Je t\u0159eba ud\u011blat v\u0161e, aby se p\u0159ede\u0161lo t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce (\u2026) Nem\u016f\u017eete jen tak odm\u00edtnout mo\u017enost, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed rozsah v\u00e1lky,\u201c uvedl jeden z diplomatick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f listu Le Monde.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/604032-france-ukraine-world-war\/\"><span>Prozat\u00edm<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0v\u0161echny z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b odm\u00edtaj\u00ed takov\u00e9 \u00fadery povolit. Mezi proukrajinsk\u00fdmi militanty existovala o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee povolen\u00ed bude ozn\u00e1meno b\u011bhem ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 spole\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy americk\u00fdch a britsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f v Kyjev\u011b, ale nestalo se tak. U Evropan\u016f se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed strach z eskalace, a proto Francouzi a N\u011bmci (kte\u0159\u00ed jsou \u00fadajn\u011b spole\u010dn\u00fdmi \u201ev\u016fdci\u201c Evropsk\u00e9 unie) nepl\u00e1nuj\u00ed zm\u011bnit sv\u016fj postoj k hlubok\u00fdm \u00fader\u016fm .<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eMysl\u00edme si, \u017ee bychom jim m\u011bli dovolit zne\u0161kodnit vojensk\u00e1 m\u00edsta, ze kter\u00fdch jsou rakety odpalov\u00e1ny, a v podstat\u011b vojensk\u00e1 m\u00edsta, ze kter\u00fdch je Ukrajina napad\u00e1na, ale nesm\u00edme jim dovolit zas\u00e1hnout jin\u00e9 c\u00edle v Rusku, civiln\u00ed kapacity p\u0159irozen\u011b nebo jin\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle,\u201c \u0159ekl Macron b\u011bhem ned\u00e1vn\u00e9ho spole\u010dn\u00e9ho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed se Scholzem v N\u011bmecku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vid\u011bt tento druh strachu ze strany Francouz\u016f. Na jednu stranu se tento strach jev\u00ed jako naprosto racion\u00e1ln\u00ed, proto\u017ee Evropa by byla nejv\u00edce posti\u017eenou stranou v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lce mezi Ruskem a NATO. Je p\u0159irozen\u00e9, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed ud\u011blat v\u0161e pro to, aby konflikt nep\u0159erostl do p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 f\u00e1ze. Snad s v\u00fdjimkou Polska a Pobalt\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou st\u00e1ty extr\u00e9mn\u011b zasa\u017een\u00e9 protirusk\u00fdm \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00edm, se v\u0161echny evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee se stanou ter\u010dem glob\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm destabiliz\u00e1torem konfliktu v\u0161ak byla doned\u00e1vna sama Francie. Macron byl z\u00e1padn\u00edm v\u016fdcem, kter\u00fd nejv\u00edce eskaloval protiruskou r\u00e9toriku, dokonce sliboval vysl\u00e1n\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch francouzsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f do boje po boku Kyjeva. Byl to pr\u00e1v\u011b strach z p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00fd p\u0159im\u011bl Macrona v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch omezit sv\u00e9 protirusk\u00e9 postoje, proto\u017ee Moskva dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee ve\u0161ker\u00fd francouzsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd person\u00e1l na ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b bude legitimn\u00edm a prioritn\u00edm c\u00edlem. Nyn\u00ed u\u017e Macron nen\u00ed z\u00e1visl\u00fd na sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch rozhodnut\u00edch, aby se vyhnul p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lce \u2013 je vyd\u00e1n na milost a nemilost sv\u011bdom\u00ed a strategick\u00e9ho c\u00edt\u011bn\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed ve skute\u010dnosti vedou NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pro z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytiky a \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edky je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pochopit, \u017ee 3. sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka ji\u017e \u201ede facto\u201c za\u010dala. Existuje mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed koalice veden\u00e1 Z\u00e1padem, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e dva roky \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Ruskou federaci. Povaha sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho konfliktu je absolutn\u011b mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed a dokonce existuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bjin\u00e9 fronty mimo Ukrajinu \u2013 jako v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Z\u00e1padem podporovan\u00fdch terorist\u016f \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch na rusk\u00e9 ob\u010dany v africk\u00fdch zem\u00edch. B\u00e1t se za\u010d\u00e1tku otev\u0159en\u00e9 f\u00e1ze konfliktu je nam\u00edst\u011b, ale je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pochopit, \u017ee tato \u201esv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka\u201c je ji\u017e realitou \u2013 pr\u00e1v\u011b kv\u016fli nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9mu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed v\u010detn\u011b Francie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vzhledem k obav\u00e1m z eskalace by se Evropan\u00e9 m\u011bli rozej\u00edt s USA a NATO a sna\u017eit se osvobodit se od n\u00e1sledk\u016f konfliktu obnoven\u00edm vztah\u016f s Ruskem. Bohu\u017eel v\u0161ak evropsk\u00e1 podl\u00e9zavost je v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e jejich strach. Pokud USA povol\u00ed hlubok\u00e9 \u00fadery, je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee navzdory jejich strachu v\u0161echny evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b toto opat\u0159en\u00ed okam\u017eit\u011b podpo\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/infobrics.org\/post\/42228\">Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55615\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/lukas-leiroz.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"175\" height=\"230\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em>Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/leiroz_lucas\">X (d\u0159\u00edve Twitter)<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0FdHwxeEZ3\">Telegramu<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Strach z jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky zjevn\u011b ovliv\u0148uje n\u011bkter\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, navzdory hluboce nezodpov\u011bdn\u00fdm krok\u016fm jejich vl\u00e1d&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62396,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,130,39,22,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62395"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62395"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62395\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}