{"id":62198,"date":"2024-09-15T06:25:52","date_gmt":"2024-09-15T04:25:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=62198"},"modified":"2024-09-15T06:25:52","modified_gmt":"2024-09-15T04:25:52","slug":"lucas-leiroz-usa-postupujici-jaderne-vydirani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/15\/lucas-leiroz-usa-postupujici-jaderne-vydirani\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: USA postupuj\u00edc\u00ed jadern\u00e9 vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Washington se zjevn\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v Eurasii. Americk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany ned\u00e1vno zah\u00e1jilo vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdzkum mo\u017enosti zapojit se do extr\u00e9mn\u00edho konfliktu ve v\u00fdchodn\u00edch oblastech Evropy, co\u017e se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt pokusem zastra\u0161it Ruskou federaci. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Moskva nen\u00ed ochotna vzd\u00e1t se z\u00e1padn\u00edmu jadern\u00e9mu vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed, proto\u017ee jak\u00e9koli americk\u00e9 snahy o \u201eodstra\u0161en\u00ed\u201c jsou proto zcela marn\u00e9.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Pentagonu bylo ozn\u00e1meno, \u017ee byla zah\u00e1jena studie mo\u017en\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho konfliktu v euroasijsk\u00fdch regionech, zejm\u00e9na \u201emimo v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropu a z\u00e1padn\u00ed Rusko\u201c. Studie se zam\u011b\u0159uje na posouzen\u00ed dopad\u016f takov\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho st\u0159etu zejm\u00e9na na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed \u2013 a n\u00e1sledn\u011b i potravinovou bezpe\u010dnost. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed \u010dinitel\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed posoudit, zda je jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka \u201esch\u016fdn\u00e1\u201c nebo zda nelze tolerovat dopady na zem\u011bd\u011blskou stabilitu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eC\u00edlem tohoto projektu je nav\u00e1zat na p\u0159edchoz\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed vyvinout a optimalizovat AgriShock, sadu k\u00f3d\u016f pro modelov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fa\u010dink\u016f jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed na zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my. Minim\u00e1ln\u00edmi po\u017eadavky t\u00e9to smlouvy je, aby dodavatel poskytl ve\u0161ker\u00fd person\u00e1l, vybaven\u00ed, za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, dohled a dal\u0161\u00ed polo\u017eky nezbytn\u00e9 k proveden\u00ed studi\u00ed, kter\u00e9 demonstruj\u00ed modelov\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku, kter\u00e9 by vedlo ke zni\u010den\u00ed zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, jako jsou farmy, \u201c\u00a0<\/span>stoj\u00ed v ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed k t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Do v\u00fdzkumu je zapojeno n\u011bkolik americk\u00fdch ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch a soukrom\u00fdch subjekt\u016f. T\u00fdm zahrnuje instituce jako US Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center (ERDC) a Terra Analytics, soukromou spole\u010dnost se s\u00eddlem v Coloradu, kter\u00e1 se specializuje na anal\u00fdzu dat. Ve\u0159ejn\u011b se oz\u00fdv\u00e1 v\u00fdzva, aby americk\u00e9mu st\u00e1tu nab\u00eddly sv\u00e9 slu\u017eby i dal\u0161\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, vzhledem ke slo\u017eitosti v\u00fdzkumu, kter\u00fd vy\u017eaduje vz\u00e1jemnou spolupr\u00e1ci n\u011bkolika instituc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odhaduje se, \u017ee v\u00fdzkum bude st\u00e1t nejm\u00e9n\u011b 34 milion\u016f dolar\u016f, ale \u010d\u00e1stka m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt aktualizov\u00e1na, jak studie pokro\u010d\u00ed a bude pot\u0159eba dal\u0161\u00ed pr\u00e1ce. Po\u010det agent\u016f zapojen\u00fdch do operace a vysok\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na projekt nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee USA jsou skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ipraveny vyvinout velk\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed na p\u0159\u00edpravu jadern\u00e9 operace v Eurasii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edm nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak Pentagon pl\u00e1nuje vyu\u017e\u00edt data z\u00edskan\u00e1 v\u00fdzkumn\u00edky. P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va studie bude vod\u00edtkem pro tv\u016frce rozhodnut\u00ed, zda zah\u00e1jit jadernou v\u00e1lku \u010di nikoli. Dal\u0161\u00ed hypot\u00e9zou je, \u017ee studie je prost\u011b ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 taktika, aby se americk\u00fdm protivn\u00edk\u016fm zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee zem\u011b je ochotna zah\u00e1jit jadernou v\u00e1lku. Tento krok by mohl b\u00fdt jak\u00fdmsi odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edm pokusem, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Rusko a dal\u0161\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1tele USA, aby opustili sv\u00e9 projekty kv\u016fli strachu z jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm podobn\u00fdm man\u00e9vrem<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00fd ned\u00e1vno USA provedly, byla aktualizace jadern\u00e9 doktr\u00edny, kter\u00e1 stanovila strategii n\u011bkolika simult\u00e1nn\u00edch koordinovan\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e hlavn\u00edmi c\u00edli byly Rusko, \u00cdr\u00e1n a severn\u00ed \u010c\u00edna. Washington se zjevn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159it paniku a strach z jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a ukazuje sv\u00fdm geopolitick\u00fdm protivn\u00edk\u016fm, \u017ee je \u201eochotn\u00fd ud\u011blat cokoli\u201c, aby zabr\u00e1nil vytvo\u0159en\u00ed multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 USA se v\u0161ak nemaj\u00ed \u010deho b\u00e1t. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka by byla absolutn\u011b \u0161kodliv\u00e1 pro v\u0161echny zem\u011b, bez v\u00edt\u011bz\u016f. Pokud tedy USA p\u0159evezmou takovou iniciativu, budou tak\u00e9 \u201epora\u017eeny\u201c d\u00edky situaci vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho zaru\u010den\u00e9ho zni\u010den\u00ed zaru\u010den\u00e9ho odvetou, kterou by okam\u017eit\u011b utrp\u011bly. Ve h\u0159e, kde nejsou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzov\u00e9, nen\u00ed d\u016fvod ke strachu. Bu\u010f si USA uv\u011bdom\u00ed, \u017ee ji\u017e nemohou multipolarit\u011b zabr\u00e1nit, nebo v\u0161ichni spole\u010dn\u011b prohraj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto smyslu jsou opat\u0159en\u00ed, jako je tato ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 \u201estudie\u201c Pentagonu, naprosto zbyte\u010dn\u00e1. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee dopad jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v Eurasii by byl pro zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed a potravinovou bezpe\u010dnost katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed. Krom\u011b ni\u010den\u00ed \u00farodn\u00e9 p\u016fdy by jadern\u00e1 v\u00e1lka kontaminovala p\u016fdu, vzduch a vodu i v nenapaden\u00fdch oblastech. Katastrofa by byla absolutn\u00ed, jak bylo opakovan\u011b prok\u00e1z\u00e1no ve stovk\u00e1ch p\u0159edchoz\u00edch v\u011bdeck\u00fdch studi\u00ed. Pokusem o podporu nov\u00e9ho \u201ev\u00fdzkumu\u201c m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt americk\u00fdm z\u00e1m\u011brem pouze pokus o pokrok v jadern\u00e9 agend\u011b, proto\u017ee v\u011bdecky se odpov\u011b\u010f zd\u00e1 z\u0159ejm\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory iracionalit\u011b americk\u00e9 strategie v posledn\u00edch letech se douf\u00e1, \u017ee Washington bude m\u00edt pat\u0159i\u010dnou opatrnost, ne\u017e prom\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9 hegemonick\u00e9 ambice ve skute\u010dn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed. Jinak bude v nebezpe\u010d\u00ed cel\u00fd sv\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0X (d\u0159\u00edve Twitter)<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0Telegramu<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Washington se zjevn\u011b p\u0159ipravuje na sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 jadern\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v Eurasii. Americk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany ned\u00e1vno zah\u00e1jilo…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":62199,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1652,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62198"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62198"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62198\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}