{"id":61663,"date":"2024-09-08T00:31:47","date_gmt":"2024-09-07T22:31:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=61663"},"modified":"2024-09-07T15:04:20","modified_gmt":"2024-09-07T13:04:20","slug":"izrael-vs-usa-vs-iran-co-se-deje-na-blizkem-vychode","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/08\/izrael-vs-usa-vs-iran-co-se-deje-na-blizkem-vychode\/","title":{"rendered":"Izrael vs. USA vs. \u00cdr\u00e1n: Co se d\u011bje na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud bylo hlavn\u00edm \u00fa\u010delem sankc\u00ed Washingtonu v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu vynutit si zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v Teher\u00e1nu a ochromit schopnost zem\u011b ovliv\u0148ovat geopolitiku na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, pak se nic z toho nestalo.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti sp\u00ed\u0161e ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee se \u00cdr\u00e1n chov\u00e1 jako zem\u011b, kterou Izrael neodrazuje ani je pod nesm\u00edrn\u00fdm ekonomick\u00fdm a vojensk\u00fdm tlakem Washingtonu.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>V reakci na izraelskou vra\u017edu Ismaela Haniyeha v \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Ali Bagheri prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n \u201ep\u0159im\u011bje agresivn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd re\u017eim zaplatit cenu za svou agresi legitimn\u00ed a rozhodnou akc\u00ed\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>To je v kontrastu s t\u00edm, co z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici ned\u00e1vno \u0159\u00edkali ohledn\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1nu, toti\u017e \u017ee pokud by Teher\u00e1n cht\u011bl prov\u00e9st odvetu, u\u017e by to ud\u011blal.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Ale to nen\u00ed pravda.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Ud\u00e1lost\u00ed v regionu je mnohem v\u00edc, ne\u017e se na prvn\u00ed pohled zd\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Poj\u010fme to \u0159e\u0161it.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Velk\u00fd obr\u00e1zek<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pod\u00edvejme se na v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed obr\u00e1zek. Bezprost\u0159edn\u011b po izraelsk\u00e9m \u00faderu, kter\u00fd zabil v\u016fdce Hamasu, za\u010dalo v Dauh\u00e1 nov\u00e9 kolo rozhovor\u016f o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v Gaze, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e vysoc\u00ed ameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9, v\u010detn\u011b ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed, vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili nad\u011bji na kone\u010dn\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch. Pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n neza\u00fato\u010dil na Izrael p\u0159\u00edmo, jedin\u00fdm vysv\u011btlen\u00edm je p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed Teher\u00e1nu neroz\u0161i\u0159ovat v\u00e1lku. (Nezapom\u00ednejme, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159\u00edmo napadl Izrael.)<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u017e doned\u00e1vna Izrael \u2013 nebo konkr\u00e9tn\u011b Netanjahuova vl\u00e1da \u2013 vykolejila jak\u00e1koli jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Pokud Netanjahu p\u0159istoup\u00ed na formuli p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, mohla by to pro n\u011bj b\u00fdt politick\u00e1 no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016fra. P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed by vyvolalo nejen ot\u00e1zku vnit\u0159n\u00edho vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed v Izraeli s c\u00edlem ur\u010dit odpov\u011bdnost za neschopnost p\u0159edv\u00eddat \u2013 a zabr\u00e1nit \u2013 \u00fatok\u016fm ze 7. \u0159\u00edjna (kter\u00e9 by mohly nevyhnuteln\u011b padnout na Netanjahuova ramena), ale korup\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpady proti Netanjahuovi nejsou zdaleka dokon\u010deny. St\u00e1le mu m\u016f\u017ee hrozit odsouzen\u00ed a trest odn\u011bt\u00ed svobody. Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem Netanjahu dokonce uv\u00e1d\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty do rozpak\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee Biden s\u00e1m potvrdil, \u017ee v\u0161echny strany zapojen\u00e9 do vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v p\u00e1smu Gazy \u2013 zejm\u00e9na Izrael a Hamas \u2013 by se m\u011bly zdr\u017eet vz\u00e1jemn\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f, aby neohrozily rozhovory, Netanjahu na\u0159\u00eddil dal\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1let na centr\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bsto Deir al- Balah v p\u00e1smu Gazy zabil nejm\u00e9n\u011b dv\u011b des\u00edtky lid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je \u00cdr\u00e1n rozd\u011blen\u00fd?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ponech\u00e1me-li stranou spekulace, mnoho politick\u00fdch analytik\u016f na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b samotn\u00e9ho Izraele, se sna\u017eilo pouk\u00e1zat na skute\u010dnost, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n neu\u010dinil odvetu proti Izraeli kv\u016fli vnit\u0159n\u00edm rozpor\u016fm. Nov\u00fd prezident Masoud Pezeshkian m\u00e1 pr\u00fd velk\u00e9 neshody s \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi revolu\u010dn\u00edmi gardami a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm v\u016fdcem. Tyto rozd\u00edly existuj\u00ed, proto\u017ee Masoud je um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00fd politik, kter\u00fd se rad\u011bji p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u00ed k Z\u00e1padu, ne\u017e aby mu odporoval. Masoud takov\u00e1 gesta skute\u010dn\u011b d\u011blal. V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku, kter\u00fd Masoud\u00a0napsal pro\u00a0<\/span>Tehran Times\u00a0<\/span><\/em>,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0nazna\u010dil svou ochotu v\u00e9st rozhovory s Evropou. \u0158ekl: \u201e…T\u011b\u0161\u00edm se na konstruktivn\u00ed dialog s evropsk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi, abychom uvedli na\u0161e vztahy na spr\u00e1vnou cestu, zalo\u017eenou na z\u00e1sad\u00e1ch vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho respektu a rovnosti. Evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b by m\u011bly uznat, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1nci jsou hrd\u00fdm n\u00e1rodem, jeho\u017e pr\u00e1va a d\u016fstojnost ji\u017e nelze p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017eet. Vyzval tak\u00e9 USA, aby se \u201epou\u010dily z chybn\u00fdch \u00fasudk\u016f minulosti a p\u0159izp\u016fsobily tomu svou politiku\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je to ale d\u016fkaz rozd\u011blen\u00ed v \u00cdr\u00e1nu? Ve skute\u010dnosti je hrub\u00fdm nespr\u00e1vn\u00fdm odhadem situace v \u00cdr\u00e1nu interpretovat touhu zlep\u0161it vztahy se Z\u00e1padem jako n\u00e1znak \u201erozkolu\u201c. Pokud by byl \u00cdr\u00e1n vnit\u0159n\u011b rozd\u011blen a Mas\u00fad a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u016fdce t\u00e1hli r\u016fzn\u00fdmi sm\u011bry, je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 pop\u0159\u00edt, \u017ee parlament, v n\u011bm\u017e dominuj\u00ed zast\u00e1nci tvrd\u00e9 linie loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed k nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu v\u016fdci, by neschv\u00e1lil cel\u00fd Mas\u00fad\u016fv seznam ministr\u016f. Mas\u00fad\u016fv seznam jmen jeho 19 ministr\u016f schv\u00e1lil parlament s neobvyklou shodou. A to i p\u0159esto, \u017ee na seznamu je hned n\u011bkolik moder\u00e1tor\u016f. Schv\u00e1len\u00ed je d\u016fkazem politick\u00e9ho konsenzu uvnit\u0159 \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 n\u011bco, co by Izrael a Washington m\u011bly br\u00e1t v\u00e1\u017en\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vnit\u0159n\u011b jednotn\u00fd re\u017eim by mohl p\u0159edstavovat mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozbu pro izraelsk\u00e9 a americk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy ne\u017e vnit\u0159n\u011b rozd\u011blen\u00fd re\u017eim, kter\u00fd postr\u00e1d\u00e1 konsenzus a schopnost vyvinout pln\u011b koordinovanou strategii. Je proto t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 pop\u0159\u00edt, \u017ee jedin\u00fdm d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d \u00cdr\u00e1n neu\u010dinil odvetu proti Izraeli, je jeho touha d\u00e1t rozhovor\u016fm o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enou \u0161anci, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo dal\u0161\u00edm vra\u017ed\u00e1m nevinn\u00fdch Palestinc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato situace v\u0161ak nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt nutn\u011b pova\u017eov\u00e1na za hrozbu. Pokud by ve Washingtonu a Jeruzal\u00e9m\u011b p\u0159evl\u00e1dlo v\u00edce rozumu, mohli by t\u00e9to situace vyu\u017e\u00edt k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed smyslupln\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u2013 nejen v r\u00e1mci prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edch rozhovor\u016f o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v Gaze, ale tak\u00e9 pro diskuse o geopolitice v regionu, v\u010detn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu . V t\u00e9to souvislosti stoj\u00ed za to zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee Mas\u00fad ve sv\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku kategoricky prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 doktr\u00edna nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi.\u201c Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek napsal v \u010dervenci. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee na konci srpna z\u00edskal plnou podporu parlamentu, ukazuje, \u017ee cel\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim za n\u00edm v t\u00e9to ot\u00e1zce stoj\u00ed. Osoby odpov\u011bdn\u00e9 ve Washingtonu a Bruselu to mus\u00ed vz\u00edt na v\u011bdom\u00ed, aby obnovily vztahy s \u00cdr\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdo je skute\u010dn\u00fdm vin\u00edkem?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka v\u0161ak zn\u00ed: Jak ovl\u00e1d\u00e1te Izrael? 25. srpna Izrael provedl takzvan\u00fd preventivn\u00ed \u00fader proti Hizball\u00e1hu v Libanonu, co\u017e je dal\u0161\u00ed provokace, kter\u00e1 by mohla vyvolat siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed reakci \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Na opl\u00e1tku Hizball\u00e1h vyp\u00e1lil stovky raket na Izrael. Podle izraelsk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f m\u011bl \u00fader zabr\u00e1nit Hizball\u00e1hu v \u00fatoku na Izrael. Ot\u00e1zka v\u0161ak zn\u00ed: Mohl by Izrael podniknout takov\u00e1 dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed s p\u0159\u00edmou \u010di nep\u0159\u00edmou podporou Washingtonu? Washington vedl jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b. Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech je ot\u00e1zka podpory Izraele ohledn\u011b Gazy kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm t\u00e9matem prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb. D\u016fvodem, pro\u010d toto t\u00e9ma z\u00edskalo tak velk\u00fd v\u00fdznam, je neschopnost \u2013 a neochota USA \u2013 vyvinout dostate\u010dn\u00fd tlak na Izrael, aby ukon\u010dil svou v\u00e1lku. A co v\u00edc, Bidenova administrativa dosud nepodnikla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 kroky k ukon\u010den\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9ho vyzbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed neozbrojen\u00e9ho obyvatelstva v Gaze. Izrael pod Netanjahuem se nad\u00e1le chov\u00e1 jako vztekl\u00fd pes jen proto, \u017ee mu to Washington dovol\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 zdr\u017eenlivost si v\u0161ak zaslou\u017e\u00ed potlesk. Ale tato neochota nevydr\u017e\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Napsal Salman Rafi Sheikh<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pokud bylo hlavn\u00edm \u00fa\u010delem sankc\u00ed Washingtonu v\u016f\u010di \u00cdr\u00e1nu vynutit si zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v Teher\u00e1nu a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61663"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61663\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}