{"id":61531,"date":"2024-09-06T00:35:17","date_gmt":"2024-09-05T22:35:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=61531"},"modified":"2024-09-05T13:52:05","modified_gmt":"2024-09-05T11:52:05","slug":"ukrajina-americti-experti-hodili-rucnik-do-ringu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/06\/ukrajina-americti-experti-hodili-rucnik-do-ringu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukrajina \u2013 Ameri\u010dt\u00ed \u201eexperti\u201c hodili ru\u010dn\u00edk do ringu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span>Michael Kofman a Rob Lee jsou ameri\u010dt\u00ed experti, kte\u0159\u00ed n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t nav\u0161t\u00edvili p\u0159edn\u00ed linie na Ukrajin\u011b, aby pak napsali pozitivn\u00ed a nad\u011bjn\u00e9 \u010dl\u00e1nky o konfliktu v duchu Z\u00e1padu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jej\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dlouh\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek publikovan\u00fd v Foreign Affairs se od jej\u00edch p\u0159edchoz\u00edch p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvk\u016f li\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/ukraine\/ukraines-gamble\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>Hazard na Ukrajin\u011b<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/ukraine\/ukraines-gamble\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>Rizika a p\u0159\u00ednosy ofenzivy v rusk\u00e9 Kursk\u00e9 oblasti<\/span><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Podrobn\u011b popisuj\u00ed ukrajinskou invazi do rusk\u00e9 Kursk\u00e9 oblasti a z toho vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed nedostatek voj\u00e1k\u016f na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed front\u011b Donbasu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee jako mnoho jin\u00fdch nev\u00edte, o co jde. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ani Ukrajina, ani zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 ji podporuj\u00ed, nemaj\u00ed teorii v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 ur\u010dit, co tato operace \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 o celkov\u00e9 strategii Ukrajiny a jak\u00fd dopad m\u00e1 na celkov\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed. V n\u011bkter\u00fdch ohledech vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva v\u00edce ot\u00e1zek ne\u017e odpov\u011bd\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<span>\u2026<\/span><br \/>\n<em><span>Po v\u011bt\u0161inu roku 2024 Z\u00e1pad podporoval ukrajinskou \u00fato\u010dnou kampa\u0148 na Krymu, bez dobr\u00e9ho vysv\u011btlen\u00ed toho, co m\u011blo n\u00e1sledovat. Slou\u017eilo k oslaben\u00ed rusk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a podp\u016frn\u00e9 infrastruktury. Tato kampa\u0148 se v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt odd\u011blen\u00e1 od ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed v Kursku a \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed kampan\u011b dron\u016f zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na ekonomickou infrastrukturu v Rusku. S\u00e9rie nesourod\u00fdch snah nep\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 ke strategii.<\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<span>&#8230;<\/span><br \/>\n<em><span>Washington u\u017e od roku 2023 netu\u0161\u00ed, jak \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku za podm\u00ednek v\u00fdhodn\u00fdch pro Ukrajinu. Kyjev se mezit\u00edm soust\u0159ed\u00ed na stabilizaci frontov\u00e9 linie, ale stejn\u011b tak je znepokojen p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edm temn\u00fdm vypr\u00e1v\u011bn\u00edm a pocitem, \u017ee Ukrajina prohr\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00e1lku. Operace Kursk pom\u00e1h\u00e1 vy\u0159e\u0161it druh\u00fd probl\u00e9m, i kdy\u017e riskuje po\u0161kozen\u00ed prvn\u00edho. Bez ohledu na to, zda bude Kursk \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd nebo ne, alespo\u0148 nejde o pokus zopakovat ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou ofenz\u00edvu z roku 2023, rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed bitvu, v n\u00ed\u017e Ukrajina nem\u011bla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00fdhody. Jak ji\u017e bylo \u0159e\u010deno, sou\u010dasn\u00e1 kyjevsk\u00e1 teorie \u00fasp\u011bchu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejasn\u00e1.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Kofman a Lee jsou ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00ed:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Pou\u017eit\u00ed Kursk\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy jako p\u00e1ky, roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fader\u016f a vyv\u00edjen\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho tlaku na Rusko by mohlo v\u00fdrazn\u011b pos\u00edlit pozici Ukrajiny\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee Ukrajina dok\u00e1\u017ee<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0udr\u017eet linii, vyu\u017e\u00edt rusk\u00fd \u00fato\u010dn\u00fd potenci\u00e1l a odolat rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 kampani letos v zim\u011b. A\u0165 u\u017e to dopadne jakkoliv, Kursk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva mus\u00ed d\u00e1t Ukrajin\u011b a jej\u00edm partner\u016fm impuls, aby se dohodly na spole\u010dn\u00e9 linii a p\u0159eru\u0161ily sou\u010dasnou sestupnou spir\u00e1lu.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u201eZa p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee Ukrajina m\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9\u2026\u201c m\u00e1 v z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fdch slovech v\u00edce ne\u017e dostate\u010dnou v\u00e1hu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>To bude jasn\u00e9, kdy\u017e uvid\u00edte zpr\u00e1vy jako je\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/militaryland.net\/news\/152nd-brigade-becomes-a-jager-unit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><span>tato<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>152. mechanizovan\u00e1 brig\u00e1da ukrajinsk\u00fdch pozemn\u00edch sil byla reorganizov\u00e1na na st\u00edhac\u00ed brig\u00e1du, bylo ozn\u00e1meno na ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch kan\u00e1lech brig\u00e1dy na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>J\u00e4gerbrigade je lehk\u00e1 p\u011bchota. Specializuje se na boj v les\u00edch a ba\u017ein\u00e1ch. Nem\u00e1 obrn\u011bn\u00e9 prost\u0159edky. Nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 tanky, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 obrn\u011bn\u00e9 transport\u00e9ry a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo. V\u0161echno, co m\u011bla 152. jednotka jako mechanizovan\u00e1 jednotka, bylo zni\u010deno b\u011bhem invaze do Kurska.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ukrajina nem\u016f\u017ee splnit \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd ze t\u0159\u00ed \u00fakol\u016f, o kter\u00fdch se Kofman a Lee domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee splnit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Donbassk\u00e1 linie se l\u00e1me, ofenzivn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l Ruska je st\u00e1le mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e cokoli, co jsme dosud vid\u011bli, a Ukrajina nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 prost\u0159edky, jak se br\u00e1nit masivn\u00edm raketov\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm na jej\u00ed infrastrukturu a dal\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle nebo jim zabr\u00e1nit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Invaze do Kurska byla politick\u00e1 hra navr\u017een\u00e1 k dosa\u017een\u00ed kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9ho propagandistick\u00e9ho efektu. Byl zaplacen \u017eivoty ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Cena, kter\u00e1 je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00e1 na mal\u00fd efekt. Mno\u017estv\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho materi\u00e1lu zni\u010den\u00e9ho b\u011bhem kampan\u011b znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Ukrajina nyn\u00ed zahodila ve\u0161ker\u00fd budouc\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00fd potenci\u00e1l, kter\u00fd jej\u00ed arm\u00e1da je\u0161t\u011b m\u011bla.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Kofman a Lee to v\u011bd\u00ed, ale jsou st\u00e1le p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 stydliv\u00ed, aby to p\u0159iznali.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ale zn\u00ed to, jako by to vzdali.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lewrockwell.com\/2024\/09\/no_author\/ukraine-u-s-experts-throw-the-towel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Michael Kofman a Rob Lee jsou ameri\u010dt\u00ed experti, kte\u0159\u00ed n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t nav\u0161t\u00edvili p\u0159edn\u00ed linie na Ukrajin\u011b,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":32431,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[898,1503,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61531"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61531\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}