{"id":61474,"date":"2024-09-05T00:40:08","date_gmt":"2024-09-04T22:40:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=61474"},"modified":"2024-09-04T15:30:42","modified_gmt":"2024-09-04T13:30:42","slug":"azerbajdzan-perfektni-krok-rusko-a-iran-konsoliduji-severojizni-koridor-s-pomoci-minska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/05\/azerbajdzan-perfektni-krok-rusko-a-iran-konsoliduji-severojizni-koridor-s-pomoci-minska\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n, perfektn\u00ed krok: Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n konsoliduj\u00ed severoji\u017en\u00ed koridor s pomoc\u00ed Minska"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Od roku 2022 \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n Ilhama Alijeva zm\u011bnil sm\u011br a stal se nov\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm spojencem Ruska a \u00cdr\u00e1nu. S v\u00fdznamnou podporou ze z\u00e1kulis\u00ed Minsku.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kdo by to byl \u0159ekl. Od roku 2022 \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n Ilhama Alijeva zm\u011bnil sm\u011br a nyn\u00ed je nov\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm spojencem Ruska a \u00cdr\u00e1nu. S v\u00fdznamnou podporou ze z\u00e1kulis\u00ed Minsku. A to nejlep\u0161\u00ed teprve p\u0159ijde, proto\u017ee \u010dek\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b mnoho p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed setk\u00e1n\u00ed v dokonal\u00e9m kavkazsk\u00e9m stylu<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Setk\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Putinem a Alijevem 18. srpna pro\u0161lo z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti pod radarem, ale ve skute\u010dnosti \u0161lo o setk\u00e1n\u00ed na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni, kde byl po letech usilovn\u00e9 pr\u00e1ce polo\u017een posledn\u00ed k\u00e1men ve struktur\u00e1ln\u00edm pos\u00edlen\u00ed severoji\u017en\u00ed trasy mezi Ruskem a \u00cdr\u00e1n byl polo\u017een.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed obou prezident\u016f bylo z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2013 Rusko podporuje rozmanit\u00fd a p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd rozvoj a vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 vztahy \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu;<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2013 rusk\u00e1 a \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e1 kultura jsou v neust\u00e1l\u00e9m kontaktu a v\u00fdm\u011bn\u011b, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje lidovou diplomacii, studijn\u00ed projekty a historick\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed;<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2013 Spolupr\u00e1ce mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi povede k nov\u00fdm form\u00e1ln\u00edm dohod\u00e1m s podeps\u00e1n\u00edm r\u016fzn\u00fdch dokument\u016f v hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 a\u2026 strategick\u00e9 oblasti!<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento posledn\u00ed bod je velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd, proto\u017ee nazna\u010duje spole\u010dnou v\u016fli poskytnout severoji\u017en\u00edmu koridoru obrann\u00fd \u0161t\u00edt a je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed konsolida\u010dn\u00ed strategie Rimlandu pro cel\u00fd euroasijsk\u00fd blok a obecn\u011bji pro multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jen si p\u0159edstavte, v jak\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 situaci se nach\u00e1z\u00edme: Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n rozd\u011bluj\u00ed Kavkaz nap\u016fl, vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed bari\u00e9ru mezi \u010cern\u00fdm mo\u0159em a Kaspick\u00fdm mo\u0159em a nut\u00ed Z\u00e1pad st\u00e1le d\u00e1le ustupovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

To pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b (toto jsou n\u011bkter\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e9 projekce) spust\u00ed \u0159adu \u0159et\u011bzov\u00fdch reakc\u00ed, kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch i dlouhodob\u00fdch:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2013 Gruzie se dostane pod obrovsk\u00fd politick\u00fd a ekonomick\u00fd tlak. Zem\u011b je ji\u017e nyn\u00ed p\u0159edm\u011btem neust\u00e1l\u00fdch pokus\u016f o destabilizaci a barevn\u00fdch revoluc\u00ed ze strany americk\u00fdch a britsk\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch agent\u016f a dlouhodob\u011b se nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve stavu v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed nestability. Je v\u0161ak strategicky nepostradatelnou zem\u00ed pro zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed pevnosti eurasijsk\u00e9ho bloku a kontrolu kavkazsk\u00fdch mo\u0159\u00ed; je to tak\u00e9 zem\u011b s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem blockchainov\u00fdch kryptom\u011bn a dopl\u0148kov\u00fdch m\u011bn a m\u00e1 velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed server\u016f a provozn\u00edch z\u00e1kladen souvisej\u00edc\u00edch s kybernetickou bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed a kybernetickou \u0161pion\u00e1\u017e\u00ed. Krom\u011b toho je tu dal\u0161\u00ed historick\u00fd probl\u00e9m: Gruz\u00ednci jsou odli\u0161n\u00fdm euroasijsk\u00fdm n\u00e1rodem, a proto je sp\u00e1sa z makroregion\u00e1ln\u00ed a multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed perspektivy c\u00edlem, kter\u00fd nelze odlo\u017eit. Gruzie by se pak mohla dostat pod takov\u00fd tlak, \u017ee u\u017e nebude moci tolerovat americk\u00e9 vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed; na druhou stranu by se USA mohly pokusit v\u0161emo\u017en\u011b vyprovokovat p\u0159evrat nebo ob\u010danskou v\u00e1lku a destabilizovat zemi a\u017e do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, \u017ee by pod z\u00e1minkou \u201erusk\u00e9ho nebezpe\u010d\u00ed\u201c vyzvaly k vojensk\u00e9 intervenci. Vyhl\u00eddky Gruzie jsou ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l chmurn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a ti, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou u moci, budou muset brzy d\u011blat d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed spole\u010dn\u011b s lidmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2013 Turecko, strategick\u00fd kl\u00ed\u010d ke St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed, se ocitne konfrontov\u00e1no s je\u0161t\u011b siln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a asertivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdchodn\u00edm blokem. To s sebou p\u0159inese nal\u00e9havost nov\u00e9 diplomacie s \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem a vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch spor\u016f, zejm\u00e9na s Kurdy a Arm\u00e9ny. Tento krok by mohl Turecko donutit do velmi choulostiv\u00e9 f\u00e1ze, kterou v sou\u010dasnosti proch\u00e1z\u00ed, a to do postupn\u00e9 emancipace od vlivu NATO ve prosp\u011bch v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce s v\u00fdchodn\u00edmi mocnostmi a zejm\u00e9na BRICS+ a SCO. Turecko by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b bylo v komer\u010dn\u00ed nev\u00fdhod\u011b a muselo by se uch\u00fdlit k diplomatick\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2013 V tomto smyslu by se Arm\u00e9nie mohla st\u00e1t je\u0161t\u011b problemati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm bodem zlomu. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed je tak siln\u00e9, \u017ee nelze nal\u00e9zt \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Je tak\u00e9 pravda, \u017ee velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st \u201eintegrity\u201c Arm\u00e9nie spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v rovnov\u00e1ze mezi Gruzi\u00ed a Tureckem, kter\u00e9 ob\u011b le\u017e\u00ed na americk\u00e9 ob\u011b\u017en\u00e9 dr\u00e1ze. Pokud se gruz\u00ednsk\u00e1 stabilita zhrout\u00ed, co by se stalo v Arm\u00e9nii? Podce\u0148ovat by se nem\u011bla ani ot\u00e1zka arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdch k\u0159es\u0165an\u016f, velmi citliv\u00fd spor, kter\u00fd z mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho hlediska v nemal\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e zavazuje rozhodnut\u00ed v\u0161ech z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00fdch zem\u00ed a je d\u016fvodem pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 nov\u00e9 intervence mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch org\u00e1n\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2013 P\u0159\u00edstup k \u010cern\u00e9mu mo\u0159i. I kdy\u017e je pravda, \u017ee \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n nem\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstup k \u010cern\u00e9mu mo\u0159i, ale ke Kaspick\u00e9mu mo\u0159i, je tak\u00e9 pravdou, \u017ee zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho strategick\u00e9ho tlaku na jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 front\u011b by znamenalo v\u00fdhodu pro Rusko a soub\u011b\u017en\u011b i pro \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dominance v regionu. To nen\u00ed mal\u00e1 v\u00fdhoda, proto\u017ee nejde jen o mo\u0159sk\u00fd prostor, ale tak\u00e9 o vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor a p\u0159\u00edstup k prim\u00e1rn\u00edm zdroj\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prezident Aliyeh ze sv\u00e9 strany zopakoval, \u017ee p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd charakter rusko-\u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vztah\u016f je d\u00e1n spole\u010dn\u00fdm z\u00e1vazkem ke stabilit\u011b na ji\u017en\u00edm Kavkaze z vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdm obchodem s plynem a surovinami.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nezanedbateln\u00fd precedens s B\u011bloruskem<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed blok, jak je ji\u017e zn\u00e1mo, v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b B\u011blorusko znovu provokuje a ohro\u017euje. Po tomto incidentu prezident Luka\u0161enko apeloval na Vladimira Putina, aby znovu potvrdil spole\u010dnou interven\u010dn\u00ed strategii v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b expanze ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ne n\u00e1hodou se Putinova n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva v \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu uskute\u010dnila po jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Luka\u0161enkem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Letos v kv\u011btnu Luka\u0161enko uskute\u010dnil ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu Baku, aby p\u0159epracoval bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed dohody s \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem a pos\u00edlil a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159il spolupr\u00e1ci mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi. Mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bv ji\u017e prob\u011bhlo: 2007, 2010, 2013, 2015, 2016 a 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nutno podotknout, \u017ee jak Luka\u0161enko, tak Aliyeh jsou siln\u00e9 a nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 osobnosti, oba maj\u00ed charisma a velkou d\u016fv\u011bru mezi obyvatelstvem, co\u017e zaru\u010duje stabilitu v politick\u00e9m, finan\u010dn\u00edm a ekonomick\u00e9m syst\u00e9mu a tak\u00e9 ur\u010dit\u00fd impuls k rozvoji.<\/span><\/p>\n

Minsk v\u017edy vystupoval za \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvost \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a opakovan\u011b navrhoval r\u016fzn\u00e9 iniciativy k vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed karaba\u0161sk\u00e9ho konfliktu, ani\u017e by dostal od arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy jakoukoli odpov\u011b\u010f. Kdy\u017e se arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd prezident Pa\u0161injan po region\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalaci opakovan\u011b sna\u017eil zahnat Baku do rohu s CSTO, byl to Luka\u0161enko, kdo postavil Arm\u00e9nii na jej\u00ed m\u00edsto.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro lep\u0161\u00ed pochopen\u00ed: v oblasti obchodu Minsk a Baku podepsaly v\u00edce ne\u017e 120 smluv a dohod v r\u016fzn\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00edch, \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti se \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed B\u011blorusk\u00e9 univerz\u00e1ln\u00ed komoditn\u00ed burzy (BUTB) a organizovaly r\u016fzn\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed f\u00f3ra. Jen v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce se \u010dist\u00fd obchodn\u00ed obrat zdvojn\u00e1sobil. \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n je jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch dodavatel\u016f ovoce a zeleniny na b\u011blorusk\u00fd trh, co\u017e je laskavost, kterou B\u011blorusko, hlavn\u00ed v\u00fdvozce zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu s velmi vysok\u00fdm technologick\u00fdm potenci\u00e1lem, op\u011btuje. B\u011blorusko tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u011b investovalo do rozvoje telekomunikac\u00ed a dopravy v \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a tak\u00e9 do obrann\u00e9ho sektoru, kde otev\u0159elo leti\u0161t\u011b a n\u011bkolik balistick\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. V posledn\u011b jmenovan\u00e9 oblasti Luka\u0161enko opakovan\u011b zd\u016fraz\u0148oval pot\u0159ebu \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed na ji\u017en\u00edm Kavkaze.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na pozad\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch sankc\u00ed a pokus\u016f zablokovat B\u011blorusko v oblasti obchodu, ekonomiky a technologi\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdznam partnerstv\u00ed mezi Minskem a Baku zn\u00e1mkou prolomen\u00ed tlaku nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f. S nadhledem a pragmatismem si ob\u011b zem\u011b stanovily strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle, kter\u00e9 ne\u00fanavn\u011b sleduj\u00ed v n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jmu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem a B\u011bloruskem p\u0159i zaji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed stability Kavkazu souvis\u00ed nejen s jejich ekonomick\u00fdmi z\u00e1jmy, ale tak\u00e9 s pot\u0159ebou pos\u00edlit kavkazsk\u00fd region a udr\u017eet siln\u00fd euroasijsk\u00fd blok. Stabilita, ze kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed prosp\u011bch v\u0161ichni, nejen Rusko a \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dokonal\u00e1 pomoc, kter\u00e1 p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v prav\u00fd \u010das, t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed zah\u00e1jen\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edce z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je ji\u017e velmi o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9: V\u00fdchodn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 f\u00f3rum ve Vladivostoku by mohlo znamenat kone\u010dnou dohodu o p\u0159istoupen\u00ed mnoha nov\u00fdch zem\u00ed k BRICS+, za\u010d\u00e1tek dohoda BRICS+ SCO, kter\u00e1 by pro Z\u00e1pad znamenala jedin\u00e9…<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Od roku 2022 \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n Ilhama Alijeva zm\u011bnil sm\u011br a stal se nov\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm spojencem Ruska…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61475,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2966,38,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61474"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61474"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61474\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61475"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}