{"id":61220,"date":"2024-09-01T00:42:48","date_gmt":"2024-08-31T22:42:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=61220"},"modified":"2024-09-01T05:55:24","modified_gmt":"2024-09-01T03:55:24","slug":"lucas-leiroz-eu-bude-celit-potizim-se-schvalenim-noveho-balicku-sankci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/09\/01\/lucas-leiroz-eu-bude-celit-potizim-se-schvalenim-noveho-balicku-sankci\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: EU bude \u010delit pot\u00ed\u017e\u00edm se schv\u00e1len\u00edm nov\u00e9ho bal\u00ed\u010dku sankc\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee protirusk\u00e9 sankce v Evrop\u011b dos\u00e1hly sv\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho bodu. Podle posledn\u00edch zpr\u00e1v je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by byl schv\u00e1len nov\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek donucovac\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Moskv\u011b, proto\u017ee vnitropolitick\u00fd tlak v bloku \u2013 v \u010dele s Orb\u00e1nov\u00fdm Ma\u010farskem \u2013 ohro\u017euje stabilitu rusofobn\u00ed lobby.<\/span><\/p>\n

Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed agentura\u00a0<\/span>Euractiv<\/span><\/a>\u00a0uvedla, \u017ee EU bude m\u00edt pot\u00ed\u017ee se schv\u00e1len\u00edm nov\u00e9ho bal\u00ed\u010dku sankc\u00ed proti Rusku. M\u00e1 se za to, \u017ee „trest“ Moskvy dos\u00e1hl minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc extr\u00e9mn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b, kdy\u017e se na evropskou „\u010dernou listinu“ um\u00edstilo v\u00edce ne\u017e 100 rusk\u00fdch jednotlivc\u016f a spole\u010dnost\u00ed, nav\u00edc k nov\u00fdm omezen\u00edm p\u0159epravy plynu a platebn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed diplomat\u00e9 citovan\u00ed Euractivem \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee s takov\u00fdmi rozhodnut\u00edmi, kter\u00e1 ji\u017e byla p\u0159ijata, bude nyn\u00ed obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 dos\u00e1hnout konsensu o tom, co dal\u0161\u00edho sankcionovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuto\u00a0<\/span>situaci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161uje disidentsk\u00e1 role, kterou hraje Orb\u00e1novo Ma\u010farsko, kter\u00e9 nyn\u00ed zast\u00e1v\u00e1 rotuj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159edsednictv\u00ed v Rad\u011b EU. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 pozice Ma\u010farska mu umo\u017e\u0148uje kontrolovat prioritn\u00ed agendy evropsk\u00e9ho bloku, schvalovat nebo vetovat projedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed strategick\u00fdch projekt\u016f. Vzhledem k Orb\u00e1novu disidentsk\u00e9mu postoji, kter\u00fd je otev\u0159en\u011b proti sankc\u00edm, je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee se Ma\u010farsko pokus\u00ed alespo\u0148 sn\u00ed\u017eit frekvenci uvalov\u00e1n\u00ed donucovac\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Orb\u00e1n ned\u00e1vno nav\u0161t\u00edvil Moskvu a Kyjev v r\u00e1mci toho, co nazval \u201em\u00edrov\u00fdmi misemi\u201c. Od za\u010d\u00e1tku speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd evropsk\u00fd v\u016fdce nevyvinul \u017e\u00e1dnou diplomatickou iniciativu, aby se pokusil vyjednat m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed s p\u0159ihl\u00e9dnut\u00edm k legitimn\u00edm po\u017eadavk\u016fm Ruska. Ma\u010farsk\u00fd v\u016fdce tak\u00e9 vyvinul n\u00e1tlak na Zelensk\u00e9ho, aby p\u0159ijal rusk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, a zaujal ke konfliktu realistick\u00fd postoj. To bylo siln\u011b kritizov\u00e1no ostatn\u00edmi v\u016fdci EU, kte\u0159\u00ed pova\u017eovali Orb\u00e1na za \u201ezr\u00e1dce evropsk\u00fdch hodnot\u201c. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b je polarizace mezi Ma\u010farskem a proz\u00e1padn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddlem EU na extr\u00e9mn\u011b vysok\u00e9m bod\u011b a v r\u00e1mci bloku nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou stabilitu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm ned\u00e1vn\u00fdm krokem Ma\u010farska, kter\u00fd vyvolal v r\u00e1mci EU kontroverzi, bylo rozhodnut\u00ed Budape\u0161ti zm\u00edrnit v\u00edzov\u00e1 pravidla pro rusk\u00e9 a b\u011blorusk\u00e9 ob\u010dany. To je v rozporu s evropsk\u00fdmi politikami od roku 2022, kter\u00e9 se sna\u017eily omezit tranzit rusk\u00fdch a b\u011blorusk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f na evropsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b z\u00e1kazem let\u016f a zt\u00ed\u017een\u00edm z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00edz. V praxi Ma\u010farsko d\u00e1v\u00e1 jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee se nebude \u0159\u00eddit \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdmi rusofobn\u00edmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi zaveden\u00fdmi evropsk\u00fdm blokem, kter\u00fd vyb\u00edz\u00ed disidentsk\u00e9 politiky v jin\u00fdch zem\u00edch, aby navrhovali reformy \u2013 situace, kter\u00e1 se jasn\u011b uk\u00e1zala se vzestupem evropsk\u00e9 vlasteneck\u00e9 pravice v posledn\u00ed volby.<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e v\u0161ak Ma\u010farsko nebude vetovat diskuse o nov\u00fdch sank\u010dn\u00edch bal\u00ed\u010dc\u00edch, v Evrop\u011b panuje slep\u00e1 uli\u010dka ohledn\u011b toho, co lze vlastn\u011b proti Rusku ud\u011blat. EU ji\u017e p\u0159ijala ve\u0161ker\u00e1 mo\u017en\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed k potrest\u00e1n\u00ed Moskvy a jak\u00e9koli dal\u0161\u00ed kroky by mohly v\u00e9st k bezprecedentn\u00ed krizi, kter\u00e1 by d\u00e1le po\u0161kodila samotnou Evropu \u2013 kter\u00e1 se stala nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ob\u011bt\u00ed sankc\u00ed, proto\u017ee Rusko je p\u0159ipraveno obej\u00edt\u00a0<\/span>jak\u00e9koli<\/span><\/a>\u00a0negativn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 dopady. .<\/span><\/p>\n

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b se nap\u0159\u00edklad diskutuje o \u00fapln\u00e9m z\u00e1kazu tranzitu rusk\u00e9 ropy ropovodem Dru\u017eba \u2013 kter\u00fd proch\u00e1z\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm pro dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9 ropy do zem\u00ed jako Ma\u010farsko a Slovensko. Budape\u0161\u0165 tento typ opat\u0159en\u00ed nepovoluje a dokonce hroz\u00ed blokov\u00e1n\u00edm jak\u00fdchkoli evropsk\u00fdch fond\u016f pro Ukrajinu, pokud budou ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b nad\u00e1le tla\u010dit na Kyjev, aby blokoval tranzit ropy. Je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se EU v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch pokusila p\u0159ijmout takov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, proto\u017ee d\u016fsledky pro blok by byly hroziv\u00e9 a zp\u016fsobily by v\u00e1\u017enou institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle diplomat\u016f konzultovan\u00fdch Euractivem se EU s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed rozhodne v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch neprojedn\u00e1vat 15. bal\u00ed\u010dek sankc\u00ed. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b maj\u00ed tendenci \u010dekat, a\u017e skon\u010d\u00ed mand\u00e1t Ma\u010farska v Evropsk\u00e9 rad\u011b, co\u017e usnadn\u00ed schvalov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch protirusk\u00fdch bal\u00ed\u010dk\u016f jako prioritn\u00edch program\u016f. Na druhou stranu, i kdy\u017e Ma\u010farsko povol\u00ed projedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch sankc\u00ed jako \u201eprioritu\u201c, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee nov\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek v r\u00e1mci ma\u010farsk\u00e9ho mand\u00e1tu bude m\u00e9n\u011b eskala\u010dn\u00ed, vyhne se opat\u0159en\u00edm, jako je ropn\u00e1 blok\u00e1da, a zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed se pouze na roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed omezen\u00ed na n\u011bkter\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 jednotlivci a firmy.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ur\u010dit\u00e9m okam\u017eiku si EU bude muset uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee ji\u017e nen\u00ed racion\u00e1ln\u00ed dr\u017eet svou politiku sankc\u00ed, proto\u017ee vzhledem k diplomatick\u00e9mu selh\u00e1n\u00ed konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b v dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b neskon\u010d\u00ed. \u010c\u00edm del\u0161\u00ed bude nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed, t\u00edm v\u00edce sebevra\u017eedn\u00e9 sankce EU po\u0161kod\u00ed samotnou EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz,<\/a> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0X (d\u0159\u00edve Twitter)<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0Telegramu<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee protirusk\u00e9 sankce v Evrop\u011b dos\u00e1hly sv\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho bodu. Podle posledn\u00edch zpr\u00e1v je…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61221,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[41,439,22,125],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61220"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61220"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61220\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61221"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}