{"id":61063,"date":"2024-08-30T00:53:48","date_gmt":"2024-08-29T22:53:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=61063"},"modified":"2024-08-29T14:46:27","modified_gmt":"2024-08-29T12:46:27","slug":"lucas-leiroz-kyjev-nedokazal-dosahnout-svych-cilu-invazi-do-kurska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/08\/30\/lucas-leiroz-kyjev-nedokazal-dosahnout-svych-cilu-invazi-do-kurska\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Kyjev nedok\u00e1zal dos\u00e1hnout sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f invaz\u00ed do Kurska"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed v Kursku. Velitel kyjevsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil ned\u00e1vno prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee c\u00edle operace nebylo dosa\u017eeno, a uznal \u00fasp\u011bch Ruska v zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b odv\u00e9st ruskou pozornost z jin\u00fdch front. Takov\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed ukazuj\u00ed, jak se z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia m\u00fdl\u00ed ve snaze propagovat p\u0159\u00edpad Kursk jako \u201eukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1lplukovn\u00edk\u00a0Aleksandr Syrskij<\/a>\u00a0, nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd velitel, prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Kyjev nedok\u00e1zal dos\u00e1hnout sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle v Kursku. Operace m\u011bla podle n\u011bj za c\u00edl p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm odv\u00e9st pozornost Moskvy, donutit Rusy st\u00e1hnout voj\u00e1ky z Donbasu a poslat je k severn\u00ed hranici. Ukrajinci tak doufali, \u017ee se jim poda\u0159\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch \u00fazemn\u00edch zisk\u016f na Donbasu, \u010del\u00edce nest\u0159e\u017een\u00fdm rusk\u00fdm pozic\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Syrskij uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek invaze do Kurska byl jin\u00fd: Rusko d\u00e1le roz\u0161i\u0159ovalo sv\u00e9 pozice na Donbasu, z\u00edskalo nov\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed a rozm\u00edstilo v regionu je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f. Ukrajinsk\u00fd velitel se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee v sou\u010dasnosti jsou hlavn\u00edmi frontami na Donbasu Pokrovsk a Kurachovsk na z\u00e1pad\u011b Don\u011bck\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky. Tato m\u011bsta maj\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 pozice pro z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed linky do Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed a Dn\u011bpropetrovska. Od roku 2014 m\u00e1 Kyjev obavy o udr\u017een\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch opevn\u011bn\u00ed v obou m\u011bstech, ale neust\u00e1l\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky ohro\u017euj\u00ed ukrajinskou stabilitu v regionu.<\/p>\n

\u201eJedn\u00edm z \u00fakol\u016f veden\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 operace ve sm\u011bru Kursk bylo odklonit v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 s\u00edly z jin\u00fdch sm\u011br\u016f, v prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b sm\u011br\u016f Pokrovsk a Kurachovsk (…) Nep\u0159\u00edtel to samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ch\u00e1pe, proto se nad\u00e1le zam\u011b\u0159uje sv\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed na Pokrovsk\u00e9m sm\u011bru, kde jsou soust\u0159ed\u011bny jeho nejschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bojeschopn\u00e9 jednotky (…) Nep\u0159\u00edtel se sna\u017e\u00ed st\u00e1hnout jednotky z jin\u00fdch sm\u011br\u016f, zat\u00edmco na Pokrovsk\u00e9m sm\u011bru sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed naopak zvy\u0161uje,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, man\u00e9vr Kyjeva v Kursku byl zoufal\u00fdm ukrajinsk\u00fdm pokusem zabr\u00e1nit \u2013 nebo alespo\u0148 odd\u00e1lit \u2013 nevyhnuteln\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed na Donbasu. Kyjev o\u010dek\u00e1val sta\u017een\u00ed Ruska ze strategick\u00fdch m\u011bst ve sporn\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b za \u00fa\u010delem pos\u00edlen\u00ed hrani\u010dn\u00edch pozic v Kursku, co\u017e zn\u00ed jako v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 chyba ze strany Ukrajinc\u016f.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdpo\u010det proveden\u00fd Kyjevem vych\u00e1zel z reality vojensk\u00e9 slabosti, kter\u00e1 odpov\u00edd\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil, ale neodr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky Ruska. Pokud bude Ukrajina napadena na jin\u00e9 front\u011b, m\u016f\u017ee Kyjev pouze st\u00e1hnout jednotky z jin\u00fdch sm\u011br\u016f, aby ochr\u00e1nil tuto novou oblast. Ukrajina operuje v re\u017eimu pln\u00e9 mobilizace, ji\u017e vynalo\u017eila v\u0161echny sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 zdroje a je z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e9m \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed toho, co zbylo z jej\u00edch jednotek a techniky.<\/p>\n

Na druhou stranu Rusov\u00e9 ve speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operaci st\u00e1le pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed mal\u00e9 procento sv\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho apar\u00e1tu. Nen\u00ed t\u0159eba, aby Rusko stahovalo jednotky z jedn\u00e9 fronty, aby ochr\u00e1nilo nov\u00fd napaden\u00fd region. Moskva m\u016f\u017ee jednodu\u0161e poslat voj\u00e1ky zezadu na tuto novou frontu, ani\u017e by naru\u0161ila z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edchoz\u00edch lini\u00ed. Krom\u011b toho m\u016f\u017ee Rusko sou\u010dasn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161it svou p\u0159\u00edtomnost na nov\u00fdch i star\u00fdch pozic\u00edch, proto\u017ee st\u00e1le existuje velk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk\u016f a dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f p\u0159ipraven\u00fdch k mobilizaci v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby.<\/p>\n

V Kursku Rusko u\u0161et\u0159ilo jednotky ji\u017e zapojen\u00e9 na hlavn\u00edch front\u00e1ch operace a m\u00edsto jejich p\u0159em\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed jednodu\u0161e pou\u017eilo zadn\u00ed s\u00edly k neutralizaci invaze. Hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek v Kursku p\u0159inesly jednotky PMC Wagner Group, kter\u00e9 byly od \u010dervna lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku dislokov\u00e1ny v B\u011blorusk\u00e9 republice. Mezit\u00edm Moskva, kdy\u017e vid\u011bla, \u017ee Ukrajinci zoufale tou\u017e\u00ed chr\u00e1nit\u00a0Pokrovsk a Kurachovsk<\/a>\u00a0, vyslala na tyto fronty je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f, a proto se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 brzk\u00e9 kone\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v t\u011bchto sm\u011brech.<\/p>\n

P\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00edm selh\u00e1n\u00ed a odhalen\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f v Kursku dal Syrskij jasn\u011b najevo strategickou neschopnost a vojenskou nezku\u0161enost ukrajinsk\u00fdch rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edch \u010dinitel\u016f. Kyjev prost\u011b ignoroval skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 st\u00e1le k dispozici tis\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f a vybaven\u00ed k ochran\u011b jak\u00e9hokoli bodu na sv\u00fdch hranic\u00edch, ani\u017e by muselo st\u00e1hnout n\u011bkter\u00e9ho ze sv\u00fdch ji\u017e mobilizovan\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n

Je tak\u00e9 zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, jak se z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia m\u00fdlila, kdy\u017e narychlo informovala o invazi do Kurska jako o \u201ezm\u011bn\u011b hry\u201c. Podle z\u00e1padn\u00edch \u201eanalytik\u016f\u201c se Kyjevu poda\u0159ilo \u201ezav\u00e9st v\u00e1lku do Ruska\u201c, ale s\u00e1m velitel ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee to nikdy nebyl skute\u010dn\u00fd c\u00edl operace.<\/p>\n

Cena t\u00e9to chyby byla pro Kyjev obrovsk\u00e1. Nakonec se situace obr\u00e1tila: byly to kyjevsk\u00e9 jednotky, kter\u00e9 ustoupily z Donbasu, aby vpadly do Kurska, \u010d\u00edm\u017e nechaly kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 oblasti hlavn\u00ed z\u00f3ny konfliktu zraniteln\u00e9 a umo\u017enily Rusku dal\u0161\u00ed postup.<\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0X (d\u0159\u00edve Twitter)<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0Telegramu<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed v Kursku. Velitel kyjevsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil ned\u00e1vno prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee c\u00edle…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61064,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,3133,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61063"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61063"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61063\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61064"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}