{"id":60710,"date":"2024-08-25T04:43:11","date_gmt":"2024-08-25T02:43:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=60710"},"modified":"2024-08-25T04:43:11","modified_gmt":"2024-08-25T02:43:11","slug":"ceskoslovensko-jako-ukrajina-jan-schneider-zasadil-ranu-pavlovi-foltynovi-ale-i-dalsim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/08\/25\/ceskoslovensko-jako-ukrajina-jan-schneider-zasadil-ranu-pavlovi-foltynovi-ale-i-dalsim\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010ceskoslovensko jako Ukrajina? Jan Schneider zasadil r\u00e1nu. Pavlovi, Folt\u00fdnovi, ale i dal\u0161\u00edm"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u201eAm\u00e9ba, kter\u00e1 se vleje tam, kudy te\u010de proud.\u201c Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed analytik Jan Schneider ne\u0161et\u0159\u00ed kritikou \u010desk\u00e9ho prezidenta Petra Pavla v souvislosti s p\u0159ipom\u00ednkov\u00fdmi akcemi k 56. v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed okupace \u010ceskoslovenska vojsky Var\u0161avsk\u00e9 smlouvy. Projekci sloganu \u201eB\u011b\u017e dom\u016f, Ivane! Go home Russia!\u201c na zdi s\u00eddla \u00da\u0159adu vl\u00e1dy pova\u017euje za \u201ed\u011btinskou\u201c a \u201elampas\u00e1ckou\u201c akci. Geopolitick\u00fd kontext tehdej\u0161\u00edch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed a sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b je pr\u00fd toti\u017e zcela odli\u0161n\u00fd. Postoje sou\u010dasn\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch politik\u016f pak podle Schneidera nejl\u00e9pe vystihuje n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdrok sociolo\u017eky Ji\u0159iny \u0160iklov\u00e9, kter\u00e1 kdysi v televizi prohl\u00e1sila, \u017ee se \u201erad\u011bji bude m\u00fdlit s Amerikou, ne\u017e m\u00edt pravdu s Putinem.\u201c<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Tento t\u00fdden vl\u00e1da spustila p\u0159ipom\u00ednkov\u00e9 akce k 56. v\u00fdro\u010d\u00ed invaze vojsk Var\u0161avsk\u00e9 smlouvy do \u010ceskoslovenska projekc\u00ed sloganu \u201eB\u011b\u017e dom\u016f, Ivane! Go home Russia!\u201c na zdi s\u00eddla \u00da\u0159adu vl\u00e1dy. O kampani, kter\u00e1 srovn\u00e1v\u00e1 sov\u011btskou invazi do \u010ceskoslovenska v\u00a0srpnu 1968 s\u00a0ruskou invaz\u00ed na Ukrajinu v\u00a0\u00fanoru 2022, promluvil bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed analytik, publicista a signat\u00e1\u0159 Charty 77, b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0159editel kancel\u00e1\u0159e Vl\u00e1dy \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky pro zpravodajskou \u010dinnost, zpravodajec BIS a nositel st\u00e1tn\u00edho vyznamen\u00e1n\u00ed za z\u00e1sluhy Jan Schneider v po\u0159adu Jsme ve v\u00e1lce na youtubov\u00e9m kan\u00e1lu Aby bylo jasno moderovan\u00e9m Janou Bobo\u0161\u00edkovou.<\/p>\n<p>Podle Schneidera se \u201ezcela opom\u00edj\u00ed geopolitick\u00fd kontext roku 1968\u201c. Analytik p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 sch\u016fzku tehdej\u0161\u00edho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Lyndona B. Johnsona se sov\u011btsk\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem Alexejem Kosyginem v Glassboro, kterou v\u00a0\u010dervnu 1967 pomohl dohodnout \u010deskoslovensk\u00fd zpravodajec Miroslav Polreich a kter\u00e1 odstartovala proces strategick\u00e9ho odzbrojen\u00ed, jen\u017e vyvrcholil v\u00a0roce 1972 podpisem smlouvy SALT I. Okupace \u010ceskoslovenska v\u00a0srpnu 1968 pr\u00fd tento proces jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed obou velmoc\u00ed nijak nenaru\u0161ila. Jednou z podm\u00ednek strategick\u00e9ho odzbrojen\u00ed bylo toti\u017e taktick\u00e9 vyrovn\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch a sov\u011btsk\u00fdch sil v Evrop\u011b, k n\u011bmu\u017e m\u011bl p\u0159isp\u011bt mimo jin\u00e9 pr\u00e1v\u011b p\u0159esun \u010d\u00e1sti sov\u011btsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch sil na \u00fazem\u00ed \u010cSSR. Tehdej\u0161\u00ed \u010deskoslovensk\u00e9 fantazie o vojensk\u00e9 neutralit\u011b pr\u00fd do takov\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed nezapadaly. \u201eZ geopolitick\u00e9ho hlediska se nemus\u00edme tv\u00e1\u0159it, jak hrozn\u011b jsme byli tehdy d\u016fle\u017eit\u00ed a jak hrozn\u011b po n\u00e1s sko\u010dili, ale \u017ee jsme byli vzp\u0159\u00ed\u010denou sirkou v geopolitick\u00e9m d\u011bn\u00ed,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed Schneider. Analytik zde p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 slova americk\u00e9ho diplomata Henryho Kissingera, kter\u00fd d\u0159\u00edve uvedl n\u011bkolik d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty tehdy na okupaci nereagovaly. Krom\u011b ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f o strategick\u00e9m odzbrojen\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 ctili Jaltsk\u00e9 dohody. Sov\u011bti nav\u00edc podle Kissingera nebyli jedin\u00ed, komu se tehdy nezamlouvala \u010deskoslovensk\u00e1 t\u0159et\u00ed cesta \u201esocialismu s\u00a0lidskou tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed\u201c. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty podle Kissingera necht\u011bly, aby socialismus uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee je reformovateln\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Jan Schneider d\u00e1le vysv\u011btluje, \u017ee zat\u00edmco na p\u0159elomu 60. a 70. let minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed doch\u00e1zelo k\u00a0uvol\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi ob\u011bma tehdej\u0161\u00edmi sv\u011btov\u00fdmi velmocemi, v\u00a0roce 2022 v\u00a0p\u0159edve\u010der rusk\u00e9 invaze na Ukrajinu, byla situace p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00e1. \u201eC\u00edlen\u00fdm roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edm NATO p\u0159es mnoh\u00e1 a mnoh\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska se naopak to nap\u011bt\u00ed c\u00edlen\u011b zvy\u0161ovalo a c\u00edlen\u011b se zvy\u0161uje,\u201c m\u00edn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed expert. \u201eA\u017e do t\u00e9 m\u00edry, \u017ee jsou pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ny z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b k \u00fatoku na Rusko a dokonce se p\u0159ehl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed i mo\u017enost ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na sklady jadern\u00e9ho paliva v\u00a0kursk\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rn\u011b,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1. \u201eProst\u011b m\u00e1m pocit, \u017ee Rusko je nyn\u00ed provokov\u00e1no nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi zp\u016fsoby, aby bylo vyprovokov\u00e1no k\u00a0n\u011bjak\u00e9mu kroku, na kter\u00fd by mohlo b\u00fdt medi\u00e1ln\u011b poukazov\u00e1no jako na ruskou agresi,\u201c mysl\u00ed si publicista.<\/p>\n<p>Podle vl\u00e1dn\u00edho zmocn\u011bnce pro strategickou komunikaci plk. Otakara Folt\u00fdna se kampa\u0148 M\u016fj osma\u0161edes\u00e1t\u00fd zam\u011b\u0159uje zejm\u00e9na na p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed toho, jak ob\u010dan\u00e9 pro\u017e\u00edvali okupaci ve sv\u00fdch ka\u017edodenn\u00edch \u017eivotech. \u201eVzhledem k\u00a0tomu, kdo sed\u00ed na Hrad\u011b, to pova\u017euji za mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00e9, proto\u017ee kdy\u017e pan prezident Pavel za\u010dne vykl\u00e1dat o tom, jak on pro\u017eil osma\u0161edes\u00e1t\u00fd rok, tak to je skute\u010dn\u011b trapas nad trapas,\u201c m\u00edn\u00ed Schneider. \u201eTato vl\u00e1da, jak se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, l\u017ee tak, \u017ee ani opak nen\u00ed pravda,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1 analytik. Projekci protirusk\u00fdch slogan\u016f na zdi \u00da\u0159adu vl\u00e1dy pova\u017euje Schneider za typ akce, kter\u00e1 je \u201ed\u011btinsk\u00e1\u201c a \u201elampas\u00e1ck\u00e1\u201c z\u00e1rove\u0148. Petra Pavla by si pr\u00fd v\u00e1\u017eil v\u00edce, kdyby se sna\u017eil se svou minulost\u00ed \u201epoctiv\u011b vyrovnat\u201c, zam\u00fd\u0161lel se nad t\u00edm, v\u00a0\u010dem tehdy m\u011bl nebo nem\u011bl pravdu a hledal argumenty pro a proti. \u201eTenhle chl\u00e1pek nem\u00e1 kontury. To je takov\u00e1 am\u00e9ba, kter\u00e1 se vleje tam, kudy te\u010de proud,\u201c m\u00edn\u00ed Schneider na adresu sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho \u010desk\u00e9ho prezidenta a b\u00fdval\u00e9ho komunistick\u00e9ho rozv\u011bd\u010d\u00edka, kter\u00fd podle sv\u00e9ho vlastnoru\u010dn\u011b psan\u00e9ho\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/echo24.cz\/a\/S9fTh\/zpravy-domaci-general-petr-pavel-zivotopis-prezidentske-volby-kandidati-komunismus\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u017eivotopisu<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0z\u00a0roku 1987 sov\u011btskou okupaci v\u00edtal. Pavlovo p\u016fsoben\u00ed v\u00a0prezidentsk\u00e9m \u00fa\u0159adu pova\u017euje analytik za znesv\u011bcen\u00ed Pra\u017esk\u00e9ho hradu. Postoj sou\u010dasn\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch politik\u016f pak podle n\u011bj nejl\u00e9pe vystihuje v\u00fdrok sociolo\u017eky Ji\u0159iny \u0160iklov\u00e9, kter\u00e1 kdysi v televizi prohl\u00e1sila, \u017ee se \u201erad\u011bji bude m\u00fdlit s Amerikou, ne\u017e m\u00edt pravdu s Putinem\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Prezident Pavel, kter\u00fd v\u00a0ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru pro server\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/https\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/podcasty-politalk-petr-pavel-spravedlivy-mir-na-ukrajine-je-spis-iluze-40484813\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Novinky<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0uvedl, \u017ee obnoven\u00ed pln\u00e9 kontroly Ukrajiny nad jej\u00edm \u00fazem\u00edm je iluz\u00ed, v\u0161ak podle Schneidera vid\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt realisti\u010dt\u011bji ne\u017e \u201emnoz\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di\u201c. Analytik si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee d\u016fvodem tohoto prezidentova postoje m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt, \u017ee Pavel je \u201esp\u00ed\u0161e napojen na americk\u00e9 kruhy a nikoli na ty britsk\u00e9\u201c.\u00a0 Zat\u00edmco Ameri\u010dan\u016fm pr\u00fd jde zejm\u00e9na o byznys a v\u00a0principu se tedy dohod\u011b s\u00a0Ruskem nebr\u00e1n\u00ed, Britov\u00e9 podle Schneidera chovaj\u00ed fanatickou nen\u00e1vist ke v\u0161emu rusk\u00e9mu.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"_ytid_73033\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\" title=\"J. Schneider: D\u011btinsk\u00e1 a lampas\u00e1ck\u00e1 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed p\u0159ipom\u00ednka roku 1968. A slova o nad\u011bji\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/-P0KrXFXsCc?enablejsapi=1&amp;autoplay=0&amp;cc_load_policy=0&amp;cc_lang_pref=&amp;iv_load_policy=1&amp;loop=0&amp;modestbranding=0&amp;rel=0&amp;fs=1&amp;playsinline=0&amp;autohide=2&amp;theme=dark&amp;color=red&amp;controls=1&amp;\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-origwidth=\"800\" data-origheight=\"450\" data-relstop=\"1\" data-no-lazy=\"1\" data-skipgform_ajax_framebjll=\"\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Zdroj : Parlamentn\u00ed Listy<\/p>\n<p class=\"dpsp-share-text \">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201eAm\u00e9ba, kter\u00e1 se vleje tam, kudy te\u010de proud.\u201c Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed analytik Jan Schneider ne\u0161et\u0159\u00ed kritikou \u010desk\u00e9ho&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17366,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[7505,1503,122,48,889,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60710"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60710"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60710\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17366"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60710"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60710"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60710"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}