{"id":60515,"date":"2024-08-22T08:08:11","date_gmt":"2024-08-22T06:08:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=60515"},"modified":"2024-08-22T12:27:25","modified_gmt":"2024-08-22T10:27:25","slug":"michael-svatos-general-lapin-opet-rozdilem-tridy-skoli-generala-syrskeho","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/08\/22\/michael-svatos-general-lapin-opet-rozdilem-tridy-skoli-generala-syrskeho\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Gener\u00e1l Lapin op\u011bt rozd\u00edlem t\u0159\u00eddy \u0161kol\u00ed gener\u00e1la Syrsk\u00e9ho…"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Gener\u00e1l Lapin op\u011bt rozd\u00edlem t\u0159\u00eddy \u0161kol\u00ed gener\u00e1la Syrsk\u00e9ho. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed pomaten\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy o obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed n\u011bkolika tis\u00edc Rus\u016f na kursk\u00e9m boji\u0161ti. Realita jim v\u0161ak unik\u00e1.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Dostal jsem od V\u00e1s \u0159adu mail\u016f s dotazem k \u201c\u00fadajn\u00e9mu obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed n\u011bkolika tis\u00edc Rus\u016f v kursk\u00e9 oblasti, po t\u00e9 co jim Ukrajinci zni\u010dili 3 silni\u010dn\u00ed a 1 pontonov\u00fd most p\u0159es \u0159eku Sejm, (rusky\u00a0\u0421\u0435\u0439\u043c). Proto\u017ee \u0159ada\u00a0\u010desk\u00fdch<\/a>\u00a0i\u00a0n\u011bmeck\u00fdch<\/a>\u00a0m\u00e9di\u00ed tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 jsou d\u00edky t\u00e9to ukrajinsk\u00e9 taktice zni\u010den\u00ed most\u016f od\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed, a budou nejsp\u00ed\u0161e zni\u010deni, \u010di zajati, vysv\u011btl\u00edm v dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdze celou z\u00e1le\u017eitost podrobn\u011b, aby bylo z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee m\u00e9dia op\u011bt zna\u010dn\u011b p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bj\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158eka\u00a0\u0421\u0435\u0439\u043c<\/a>\u00a0na sv\u00e9m st\u0159edn\u00edm toku mezi obc\u00ed Tetkino (<\/span>\u0422\u0435\u0442\u043a\u0438\u043d\u043e<\/a>), kde odt\u00e9k\u00e1 na Ukrajinu, a\u017e k m\u011bste\u010dku Korenovo (\u041a\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0432\u043e<\/span><\/a>), do kter\u00e9ho se sna\u017e\u00ed nyn\u00ed Ukrajinci prodrat, vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed okrouhl\u00fd z\u00e1hyb, a na jejich ji\u017en\u00edch b\u0159ez\u00edch se br\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da proti Ukrajinc\u016fm \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edm na sever. Hloubka rusk\u00e9 obrany sm\u011brem k toku \u0159eky \u0421\u0435\u0439\u043c je od 5 do 20 km, a Ukrajinci opravdu zni\u010dili 3 silni\u010dn\u00ed mosty i jeden pontonov\u00fd most. Jen\u017ee to nen\u00ed rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed nebo\u0165:<\/span><\/p>\n

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  1. Rusk\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 linie na ji\u017en\u00edch b\u0159ez\u00edch \u0159eky Sejm od \u0422\u0435\u0442\u043a\u0438\u043da na ukrajinsk\u00e9 hranic a\u017e k m\u011bste\u010dku\u00a0\u041a\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0432\u043e\u00a0<\/span>je s rusk\u00fdm t\u00fdlem spojena pozemn\u00edm mostem o nejmen\u0161\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159ce 5 km. Tento pozemn\u00ed koridor vede pod\u00e9l ji\u017en\u00edho a v\u00fdchodn\u00edho b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm a\u017e k m\u011bstu\u00a0Rylsk,<\/a>\u00a0kter\u00e9 le\u017e\u00ed 20km severn\u011b od\u00a0\u041a\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0432\u043e. A dokud tento koridor nebude Ukrajinci p\u0159eru\u0161en, maj\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed se na ji\u017en\u00edm b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm (na lev\u00e9m b\u0159ehu!) pohodlnou a dostate\u010dnou z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasu, kter\u00e1 vede od m\u011bsta Rylsk v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b po lev\u00e9m b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm. Rusov\u00e9 tedy maj\u00ed zni\u010den\u00e9 mosty p\u0159es \u0159eku Sejm z lev\u00e9ho na prav\u00fd b\u0159eh, ale nebr\u00e1n\u00ed jim to v z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed a p\u0159esunech, proto\u017ee ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed 5 km \u0161irok\u00fd pozemn\u00ed koridor pod\u00e9l lev\u00e9ho b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm, a ten spojuje jejich t\u00fdl s bojuj\u00edc\u00edmi jednotkami. Koridor v\u011bt\u0161inou vede v zalesn\u011bn\u00fdch prostorech pod\u00e9l \u0159eky.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. \u0158eka Sejm v \u00faseku od\u00a0\u0422\u0435\u0442\u043a\u0438\u043d do\u00a0\u041a\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0432\u043e, ve kter\u00e9m byly mosty zni\u010deny m\u00e1 v l\u00e9t\u011b pr\u016ftok 32m\/s, a je tedy podobn\u00e1 toku \u010desk\u00e9 \u0159eky\u00a0Berounka<\/a>\u00a0mezi Zbe\u010dnem a Berounem. Na \u00fasec\u00edch n\u011bkolika brod\u016f (napo\u010d\u00edtal jsem t\u0159i velk\u00e9 + 1 jez,\u00a0viz zde sledujte tok \u0159eky<\/a>), je jej\u00ed hloubka 0.5 a\u017e 1 metr, a d\u00e1 se tedy pohodln\u011b p\u0159ekro\u010dit jak vojenskou technikou tak p\u011b\u0161ky. Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 hloubka je 2 a\u017e 3 metry. B\u0159ehy i dno jsou hlinit\u00e9, v \u00fasec\u00edch brod\u016f v\u0161ak p\u00eds\u010dit\u00e9 a obl\u00e1zkov\u00e9. P\u0159es \u0159eku v \u00faseku vede 8 most\u016f, 5 brod\u016f a 1 jez. (\u010c\u00e1st most\u016f, jsou mo\u017en\u00e1 cesty po dnu \u0159eky v \u00faseku b\u00fdval\u00fdch brod\u016f, nem\u00e1m k dispozici speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojenskou mapu, na satelitech v\u0161ak jsou v 5 p\u0159\u00edpadech cesty, kter\u00e9 \u0159eku p\u0159ekra\u010duj\u00ed. V tom p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt brod\u016f a\u017e 10). \u0158eka m\u00e1 velmi pomal\u00fd tok. Tato \u0159eka je arm\u00e1d\u00e1m v letn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch snadno p\u0159ekro\u010diteln\u00e1 bez pou\u017eit\u00ed zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed techniky. Probl\u00e9m bude v obdob\u00ed od podzimn\u00edch de\u0161\u0165\u016f do jarn\u00edho t\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
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    Na map\u011b \u017elut\u00e1 \u0161ipka zn\u00e1zor\u0148uje rusk\u00fd pozemn\u00ed koridor pod\u00e9l lev\u00e9ho b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm. \u010cern\u00e1 \u0161ipka zn\u00e1zor\u0148uje hlavn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky za posledn\u00ed 3 dny, kter\u00e9 se sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159eseknout rusk\u00fd pozemn\u00ed koridor v jeho neju\u017e\u0161\u00edm m\u00edst\u011b. Podle kan\u00e1lu Rybar se u\u017e Ukrajinc\u016fm\u00a0v\u010dera poda\u0159ilo vstoupit do vesnice \u0421\u043d\u0430\u0433\u043e\u0441\u0442\u044c<\/a>\u00a0a k dosa\u017een\u00ed b\u0159eh\u016f \u0159eky Sejm a p\u0159e\u0159ez\u00e1n\u00ed pozemn\u00edho mostu jim zb\u00fdv\u00e1 posledn\u00edch p\u00e1r kilometr\u016f. T\u00edm by skupina na lev\u00e9m b\u0159ehu \u0159eky mohla b\u00fdt z\u00e1sobov\u00e1na, \u010di by mohla ustoupit pouze p\u0159es \u0159\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed brody. Pokud do za\u010d\u00e1tku podzimu Rusov\u00e9 nevytla\u010d\u00ed Ukrajince ze severn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti jejich kursk\u00e9ho v\u00fdb\u011b\u017eku, bude obrana lev\u00e9ho ji\u017en\u00edho b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm nemo\u017en\u00e1, a Rusov\u00e9 se budou muset st\u00e1hnout na jej\u00ed severn\u00ed, prav\u00fd b\u0159eh. Syrskyj m\u00edsto invaze vybral dob\u0159e. Reli\u00e9f krajiny, a hlavn\u011b tok \u0159eky Sejm mu hraje do karet l\u00e9pe ne\u017e Rus\u016fm. Situace se ov\u0161em rapidn\u011b zm\u011bn\u00ed, pokud Rusov\u00e9 povedou obkli\u010dovac\u00ed \u00fader p\u0159es Ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed pod\u00e9l prav\u00e9ho b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm. V tom p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se Syrsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdhoda zm\u011bn\u00ed v nev\u00fdhodu. Co ov\u0161em Rusov\u00e9 opravdu d\u00e1le podniknou je nejasn\u00e9, proto\u017ee d\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159ednost don\u011bck\u00e9mu boji\u0161ti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    POZOR! Rusov\u00e9 opravdu postavili v jednom \u00faseku \u0159eky pontonov\u00e9 mosty. Pro pochopen\u00ed pro\u010d je Rusov\u00e9 postavili\u00a0je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 toto video<\/a>.\u00a0V jeho \u010dase 00.08 dokonce vlevo od rud\u00e9ho kursoru spat\u0159\u00edte ut\u00edkaj\u00edc\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho \u017eenistu, kter\u00fd se sna\u017e\u00ed zachr\u00e1nit p\u0159ed \u00faderem kazetov\u00fdch st\u0159el\u00a0HIMARS<\/a>.\u00a0Wolframov\u00e9 \u0161ipky jej v\u0161ak ur\u010dit\u011b roztrhaly. Ani sami ru\u0161t\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i nech\u00e1pou pro\u010d gener\u00e1l Lapin stavbu t\u011bchto pontonov\u00fdch most\u016f na\u0159\u00eddil, a zu\u0159\u00ed vzteky. Nejsou toti\u017e chladnokrevn\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 jako Lapin. Ten na\u0159\u00eddil stavbu most\u016f ze 6 a\u017e 10 d\u00edl\u016f, co\u017e odpov\u00edd\u00e1 nejmen\u0161\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159ce \u0159eky v t\u00e9to oblasti 40 a\u017e 50 metr\u016f. Stavbu takov\u00e9hoto mostu prov\u00e1d\u00ed 5 a\u017e 10 \u017eenist\u016f s n\u011bkolika kusy techniky. Lapin tedy ob\u011btoval malou skupinu voj\u00e1k\u016f, aby na n\u011b p\u0159i stavb\u011b zbyte\u010dn\u00e9ho mostu, na n\u011b salvou za\u00fato\u010dil US syst\u00e9m HIMARS nebo M-270. Proto\u017ee Lapinovi specialist\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011bli, kdy a kde se bude most stav\u011bt, a znaj\u00ed dolet kazetov\u00e9 munice HIMARS (max 45 km pro Ukrajinu), znali prostor, ze kter\u00e9ho bude HIMARS st\u0159\u00edlet.<\/p>\n

    Tento prostor sledovali drony, a ty k odvetn\u00e9mu \u00faderu na HIMARS navedl rusk\u00fd radar, kter\u00fd sledoval dr\u00e1hu ukrajinsk\u00fdch st\u0159el vyp\u00e1len\u00fdch proti stavb\u011b mostu. Do\u0161lo tak ke klasick\u00e9 vojensk\u00e1 ob\u011bti, p\u0159i n\u00ed\u017e Lapin ob\u011btoval n\u011bkolik sv\u00fdch \u017eenist\u016f, a star\u00e9 (je\u0159\u00e1bem dokonce vykl\u00e1dan\u00e9 pontonov\u00e9 mosty!), aby z\u00edskal sou\u0159adnice modern\u00edch zbran\u00ed HIMARS a M-270, a zni\u010dil je. Z rusk\u00e9 strany jde o geni\u00e1ln\u00ed, a\u010d civilist\u016fm a rusk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm bloger\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed zhola nerozum\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 logice velk\u00fdch vojev\u016fdc\u016f, nepochopiteln\u00fd \u010din, odporuj\u00edc\u00ed jejich amat\u00e9rsk\u00e9 logice. Nejsmutn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed na Lapinov\u011b pasti na HIMARS a M-270 ov\u0161em je naprost\u00e1 naivita ukrajinsk\u00e9 protistrany. Ta ze sv\u00fdch arm\u00e1dn\u00edch map mus\u00ed dob\u0159e v\u011bd\u011bt, \u017ee charakter toku \u0159eky Sejm mezi\u00a0\u0422\u0435\u0442\u043a\u0438\u043do a\u00a0\u041a\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0432\u043e a existence pozemn\u00edho koridoru po lev\u00e9m b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm, Rusy nijak nenut\u00ed stav\u011bt pontonov\u00e9 mosty a ob\u011btov\u00e1vat sv\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky, aby je p\u0159i t\u011bchto stavb\u00e1ch Ukrajinci snadno likvidovali. P\u0159esto si nech\u00e1 zni\u010dit sv\u00e9 nej\u00fa\u010dinn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b HIMARS a M-270, jen aby mohla z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia ukazovat, jak snadn\u00e9 je vra\u017edit \u201chloup\u00e9 Rusy\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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    Z\u00e1b\u011br z videa \u2013 p\u0159\u00edlet kazetov\u00fdch st\u0159el HIMARS na rusk\u00fd most. Video je sn\u00edm\u00e1no z ukrajinsk\u00e9ho dronu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    Za celou dobu Putinovy speci\u00e1ln\u00ed operace bylo zni\u010deno 6 HIMARS a 1 M-270. Za boje o Kursk\u00fd v\u00fdb\u011b\u017eek, ale 3 HIMARS a 1 M-270. (Zdroj<\/a>)\u00a0 Na lev\u00e9m ji\u017en\u00edm b\u0159ehu \u0159eky Sejm operuj\u00ed hlavn\u011b ru\u0161t\u00ed pohrani\u010dn\u00edci a jednotky 810. brig\u00e1dy n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty. To jsou jednotky, kter\u00e9 um\u00ed \u0161et\u0159it munic\u00ed, a nemaj\u00ed velk\u00e9 z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed n\u00e1roky jako mechanizovan\u00e9 jednotky. Bojovat s malou \u0159ekou ve sv\u00e9m t\u00fdlu, p\u0159es n\u00ed\u017e byly zni\u010deny mosty je ned\u011bs\u00ed, t\u00edm sp\u00ed\u0161, kdy\u017e \u0159eku mohou na n\u011bkolika m\u00edstech v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby p\u0159ebrodit. Lapinova taktika, kter\u00e9 se \u010desk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia s nepochopen\u00edm vysm\u00edvaj\u00ed,\u00a0(zde\u00a0Seznam<\/a>, zde\u00a0Novinky)<\/a>,\u00a0je p\u0159itom geni\u00e1ln\u00ed. Jej\u00edm c\u00edlem je s limitovan\u00fdmi vlastn\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami zni\u010dit ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b, co nejv\u00edc, co nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed techniky. V\u00fdsledek je kr\u00e1sn\u00fd. Podle\u00a0rusk\u00fdch po\u010dt\u016f<\/a>\u00a0bylo v kursk\u00e9m v\u00fdb\u011b\u017eku ke v\u010derej\u0161\u00edmu dni zni\u010deno 4400 voj\u00e1k\u016f, 65 tank\u016f, 27 t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel, 53 obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel, 316 lehk\u00fdch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel, 133 automobil\u016f, 31 d\u011bl, 5 syst\u00e9m\u016f raketov\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, 9 raketomet\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b 3 HIMARS a 1 M-270.\u00a0\u00a0Podle jihoamerick\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1tel Putina<\/a>,\u00a0bylo prokazateln\u011b zni\u010deno 60 ukrajinsk\u00fdch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel. Jde pouze o sou\u010det prokazateln\u00fdch zni\u010den\u00ed zaznamenan\u00fdch videi. Skute\u010dnost se m\u016f\u017ee bl\u00ed\u017eit rusk\u00fdm po\u010dt\u016fm.<\/p>\n

    Posledn\u00ed po\u0159ady:\u00a0 U Petra H\u00e1jka na Protiproudu,\u00a0po\u0159ad najdete zde<\/a>.\u00a0 Na TV Bure\u0161 s Josefem Sk\u00e1lou\u00a0po\u0159ad najdete zde<\/a>. Z\u00e1znamy z P\u0159\u00ed\u010dov na obou kan\u00e1lech.<\/p>\n

    Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Gener\u00e1l Lapin op\u011bt rozd\u00edlem t\u0159\u00eddy \u0161kol\u00ed gener\u00e1la Syrsk\u00e9ho. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed pomaten\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy o obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":60516,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,220,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60515"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60515"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60515\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60516"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}