{"id":59996,"date":"2024-08-16T00:37:26","date_gmt":"2024-08-15T22:37:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=59996"},"modified":"2024-08-15T14:25:35","modified_gmt":"2024-08-15T12:25:35","slug":"jak-se-valka-rozsiruje-stavaji-se-americka-aktiva-snadnym-cilem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/08\/16\/jak-se-valka-rozsiruje-stavaji-se-americka-aktiva-snadnym-cilem\/","title":{"rendered":"Jak se v\u00e1lka roz\u0161i\u0159uje, st\u00e1vaj\u00ed se americk\u00e1 aktiva snadn\u00fdm c\u00edlem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ekonomick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy USA v cel\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii by se mohly dostat pod p\u0159\u00edmou palbu, proto\u017ee izraelsk\u00e9 agrese zat\u00e1hnou Washington do celoregion\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalace.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem\u00a0\u00a0tiskov\u00e9 konference<\/a>\u00a0v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b \u00a0dne 31. \u010dervence mluv\u010d\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady John Kirby zd\u016fraznil z\u00e1vazek USA udr\u017eovat p\u0159ipravenost chr\u00e1nit sv\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1me a budeme udr\u017eovat \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159ipravenosti chr\u00e1nit na\u0161e n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy v regionu. Nen\u00ed to tak, \u017ee bychom zav\u00edrali o\u010di p\u0159ed t\u00edm, co je \u00cdr\u00e1n schopen ud\u011blat a prok\u00e1zal svou schopnost d\u011blat v regionu.<\/em><\/p>\n

Jeho koment\u00e1\u0159e zazn\u011bly uprost\u0159ed prudk\u00e9ho region\u00e1ln\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed, nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho od 7. \u0159\u00edjna. Ochrana z\u00e1jm\u016f Washingtonu v Levant\u011b a Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu je pro Bidenovu administrativu nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed prioritou, zejm\u00e9na s ohledem na ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 provokace Tel Avivu, v\u010detn\u011b \u00fatok\u016f a atent\u00e1t\u016f v Bejr\u00fatu, Teher\u00e1nu a Hodeidahu \u2013 uvnit\u0159 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zem\u00ed v r\u00e1mci Osy\u00a0\u00a0odporu<\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00e9 by mohly eskalovat do velk\u00e9ho konfliktu ohro\u017euj\u00edc\u00edho z\u00e1jmy USA.<\/p>\n

Militarizace USA v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 m\u011bs\u00edc pot\u00e9, co za\u010dala v\u00e1lka v Gaze, Pentagon nast\u00ednil sv\u00e9\u00a0\u00a0prim\u00e1rn\u00ed c\u00edle<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii. Pat\u0159\u00ed mezi n\u011b ochrana americk\u00fdch sil a ob\u010dan\u016f, zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00e9ho toku kritick\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed pomoci okupa\u010dn\u00edmu st\u00e1tu, koordinace s okupa\u010dn\u00edmi \u00fa\u0159ady s c\u00edlem zajistit propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u011bz\u0148\u016f zadr\u017eovan\u00fdch Ham\u00e1sem, v\u010detn\u011b americk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f, a pos\u00edlen\u00ed americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti s c\u00edlem odradit jak\u00fdkoli st\u00e1t nebo nest\u00e1tn\u00ed subjekty p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00ed eskalac\u00ed krize. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed Washingtonu daleko p\u0159esahuje Gazu.<\/p>\n

Od lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho \u0159\u00edjna, kdy v\u00e1lka v Gaze vypukla po operaci Ham\u00e1su Al-Aks\u00e1 Povode\u0148,\u00a0\u00a0bylo v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii rozm\u00edst\u011bno\u00a0p\u0159es 45 000 americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/a>\u00a0rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch na americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladn\u00e1ch ve zhruba 12 zem\u00edch. Toto \u010d\u00edslo nezahrnuje n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed flotily trvale um\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 na mnoha vodn\u00edch cest\u00e1ch regionu.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

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Nav\u00edc USA ob\u010das nasazuj\u00ed tis\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f, aby reagovali na krize a rostouc\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed, o \u010dem\u017e sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed p\u0159es\u00eddlen\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159<\/a>\u00a0\u00a01200 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f slu\u017eby a tis\u00edce dal\u0161\u00edch na palubu letadlov\u00e9 lodi n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva a rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 2000\u010dlenn\u00e9 expedi\u010dn\u00ed jednotky n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty po v\u00e1lce. na za\u010d\u00e1tku Gazy.<\/p>\n

V reakci na eskalaci situace, zejm\u00e9na pot\u00e9, co Izrael\u00a0\u00a0zavra\u017edil vysok\u00e9ho velitele Hizball\u00e1hu Fuada Shukra a \u0161\u00e9fa politbyra Hamasu Ismaila Haniyeha v Bejr\u00fatu a Teher\u00e1nu,\u00a0<\/a>ozn\u00e1milo<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0ministerstvo obrany USA\u00a0strategick\u00e9 \u00fapravy sv\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho postaven\u00ed v regionu.<\/p>\n

Tyto \u00fapravy maj\u00ed dva hlavn\u00ed c\u00edle: pos\u00edlit ochranu americk\u00fdch sil a podpo\u0159it obranu Izraele. Aby si zachoval silnou p\u0159\u00edtomnost, ministr obrany Lloyd Austin na\u0159\u00eddil skupin\u011b \u00fadern\u00fdch nosi\u010d\u016f USS Abraham Lincoln nahradit USS Theodore Roosevelt v oblasti odpov\u011bdnosti centr\u00e1ln\u00edho velitelstv\u00ed Pentagonu.<\/p>\n

Rovn\u011b\u017e rozm\u00edstil dal\u0161\u00ed k\u0159i\u017en\u00edky a torp\u00e9doborce schopn\u00e9 obrany proti balistick\u00fdm st\u0159el\u00e1m do region\u016f americk\u00e9ho evropsk\u00e9ho velen\u00ed a centr\u00e1ln\u00edho velen\u00ed USA. Pentagon nav\u00edc zvy\u0161uje svou p\u0159ipravenost rozm\u00edstit dal\u0161\u00ed pozemn\u00ed protiraketovou obranu a na\u0159\u00eddil rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed st\u00edhac\u00ed eskadry do z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie.<\/p>\n

Tyto \u00fapravy roz\u0161i\u0159uj\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 schopnosti, kter\u00e9 americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ji\u017e v regionu udr\u017euje, v\u010detn\u011b oboj\u017eiveln\u00e9 skupiny USS Wasp Ready\/Marine Expeditionary Unit operuj\u00edc\u00ed ve v\u00fdchodn\u00edm St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00e9 imp\u00e9rium USA v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho nahromad\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii hraj\u00ed v regionu v\u00fdznamnou roli tak\u00e9 americk\u00e9 civiln\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v kritick\u00fdch sektorech zahrnuj\u00edc\u00edch ropu a plyn, technologie a telekomunikace.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed investice (FDI) do z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie zaznamenaly v roce 2023 pozoruhodn\u00fd r\u016fst, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e spole\u010dnosti\u00a0\u00a0ozn\u00e1mily<\/a>\u00a0\u00a01 848 projekt\u016f v odhadovan\u00e9 hodnot\u011b 88,3 miliardy USD. V d\u016fsledku toho se z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie v roce 2024 um\u00edstila jako \u010dtvrt\u00fd nejatraktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed region pro PZI z hlediska z\u00e1jmu investor\u016f.<\/p>\n

USA byly v roce 2023 hlavn\u00edm zdrojem p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch investic do z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e americk\u00e9 firmy ozn\u00e1mily 362 projekt\u016f v hodnot\u011b 36 miliard USD. To p\u0159edstavovalo v\u00fdrazn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch investic na v\u00edce ne\u017e dvojn\u00e1sobek oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edmu roku.<\/p>\n

Tyto spole\u010dnosti jsou siln\u011b soust\u0159ed\u011bny ve st\u00e1tech Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, zejm\u00e9na v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tech, Kataru a Om\u00e1nu \u2013 a tak\u00e9 v Izraeli. Okupa\u010dn\u00ed st\u00e1t je zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b dostupnou destinac\u00ed pro americk\u00e9 investice v regionu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e samotn\u00e9 americk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed investice (akcie) do Izraele dos\u00e1hnou\u00a0 v roce 2022\u00a042,5 miliardy USD<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0. Tato investice je zam\u011b\u0159ena p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na v\u00fdrobu, informa\u010dn\u00ed slu\u017eby a odborn\u00e9, v\u011bdeck\u00e9 a technick\u00e9 slu\u017eby.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Uzav\u0159en\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017enost, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n uzav\u0159e Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, \u00fazkou vodn\u00ed cestu u \u00fast\u00ed Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 obavy, kdykoli vzroste nap\u011bt\u00ed s isl\u00e1mskou republikou. Tento pr\u016fliv je kl\u00ed\u010dovou lodn\u00ed trasou, kter\u00e1 obsluhuje\u00a0\u00a0t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 30 procent<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu s ropou.<\/p>\n

Spojuje Persk\u00fd z\u00e1liv s Indick\u00fdm oce\u00e1nem, od \u00cdr\u00e1nu na sever a SAE a Om\u00e1n na jih. Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed tohoto koridoru v dob\u011b nap\u011bt\u00ed spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v jeho mal\u00e9 hloubce, kter\u00e1 nech\u00e1v\u00e1 proplouvaj\u00edc\u00ed lod\u011b zraniteln\u00e9 minami. Jeho bl\u00edzkost k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 pevnin\u011b tak\u00e9 \u010din\u00ed lod\u011b n\u00e1chyln\u00fdmi k \u00fatok\u016fm pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch raket nebo zachycen\u00ed hl\u00eddkov\u00fdmi \u010dluny a vrtuln\u00edky.<\/p>\n

Uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu by m\u011blo okam\u017eit\u00fd dopad na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed. V prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2024 tankery p\u0159epravily\u00a0\u00a0t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 15,5 milionu barel\u016f<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0denn\u011b ropy a kondenz\u00e1tu ze Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, Ir\u00e1ku, Kuvajtu, SAE a \u00cdr\u00e1nu p\u0159es \u00fa\u017einu. Pr\u016fliv je tak\u00e9 kritick\u00fdm koridorem pro zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn (LNG), kter\u00fdm b\u011bhem stejn\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed proch\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u011btina sv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek, p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b z Kataru.<\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 zaplat\u00ed cenu\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Jak ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve uvedl\u00a0\u00a0The Cradle<\/i><\/a>\u00a0, studie Sv\u011btov\u00e9 banky nazna\u010dila, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli nap\u011bt\u00ed v regionu bude m\u00edt p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd dopad na ceny energi\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e m\u00edra r\u016fstu se bude li\u0161it podle \u00farovn\u011b nap\u011bt\u00ed. Tento probl\u00e9m je nyn\u00ed obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00fd, proto\u017ee pr\u016fzkumy v USA ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina voli\u010d\u016f up\u0159ednost\u0148uje dom\u00e1c\u00ed ekonomiku.<\/p>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad \u00fanorov\u00fd\u00a0 pr\u016fzkum\u00a0Pew<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0zjistil, \u017ee 73 procent voli\u010d\u016f pova\u017euje pos\u00edlen\u00ed ekonomiky za hlavn\u00ed prioritu. V d\u016fsledku toho m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n potenci\u00e1l nep\u0159\u00edmo ovlivnit sentiment americk\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f t\u00edm, \u017ee ovlivn\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm akc\u00ed t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edch se strategick\u00e9ho Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.<\/p>\n

Pravd\u011bpodobnost region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky je st\u00e1le hmatateln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kv\u016fli vytrval\u00e9 agresivn\u00ed politice izraelsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua v Gaze a v \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm regionu. Tento potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt na mnoha front\u00e1ch by mohl dos\u00e1hnout bezprecedentn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b, zejm\u00e9na s ohledem na to, jak \u00cdr\u00e1n vn\u00edm\u00e1, \u017ee je v s\u00e1zce samotn\u00e1 jeho existence jako isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky.<\/p>\n

V takov\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i by Teher\u00e1n a dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 Osy odporu pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nasadili v\u0161echny dostupn\u00e9 zdroje a strategie na obranu sv\u00fdch spole\u010dn\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f. A pokud se americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly nebo za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo zapoj\u00ed, z\u00e1jmy USA \u2013 vojensk\u00e9 i ekonomick\u00e9 \u2013 budou j\u00e1drem konfrontace.<\/p>\n

Rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed v\u00edce americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a aktiv do regionu v tak kritick\u00e9m okam\u017eiku pouze roz\u0161i\u0159uje americk\u00e9 c\u00edlov\u00e9 banky pro Osu.<\/p>\n

Mohamad Hasan Sweidan<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ekonomick\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy USA v cel\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii by se mohly dostat pod p\u0159\u00edmou…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59997,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,760,107,406,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59996"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59996"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59996\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":59998,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59996\/revisions\/59998"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59997"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59996"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59996"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59996"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}