{"id":59671,"date":"2024-08-11T00:38:28","date_gmt":"2024-08-10T22:38:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=59671"},"modified":"2024-08-10T15:26:34","modified_gmt":"2024-08-10T13:26:34","slug":"madarska-inflace-zustava-nad-ocekavanim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/08\/11\/madarska-inflace-zustava-nad-ocekavanim\/","title":{"rendered":"Ma\u010farsk\u00e1 inflace z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nad o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"s-tagline fw-tagline\">Ceny slu\u017eeb vzrostly o v\u00edce ne\u017e 9 procent, zat\u00edmco n\u00e1r\u016fst cen potravin byl tak\u00e9 nad o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm<\/h2>\n<div class=\"e-ct-outer\">\n<div class=\"entry-content rbct clearfix is-highlight-shares\">\n<p>Spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9 ceny se v \u010dervenci ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se stejn\u00fdm m\u011bs\u00edcem p\u0159edchoz\u00edho roku zv\u00fd\u0161ily v pr\u016fm\u011bru o 4,1 procenta, vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 z \u00fadaj\u016f, kter\u00e9 ve \u010dtvrtek zve\u0159ejnil ma\u010farsk\u00fd centr\u00e1ln\u00ed statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad.<\/p>\n<p>Podle \u0159editele V\u00fdzkumn\u00e9ho centra MBH Bank Zolt\u00e1na \u00c1roksz\u00e1ll\u00e1siho jsou dne\u0161n\u00ed data nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fdm p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm s t\u00edm, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem je struktura\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.economx.hu\/magyar-gazdasag\/inflacio-aremelkedes-ksh-mbh-szolgaltatasok.794230.html?utm_source=index.hu&amp;utm_medium=doboz&amp;utm_campaign=link\">inflace<\/a>\u00a0.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eDne\u0161n\u00ed data jsou nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fdm p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm. Velk\u00e1 nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt nutn\u011b velikost p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed (proto\u017ee je to pouh\u00e1 desetina procentn\u00edho bodu v ro\u010dn\u00edm indexu oproti 4 procent\u016fm, kter\u00e9 jsme o\u010dek\u00e1vali), ale struktura inflace,\u201c uvedl.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c1roksz\u00e1ll\u00e1si pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee skute\u010dnost, \u017ee ceny slu\u017eeb st\u00e1le rostou ro\u010dn\u00edm tempem p\u0159es 9 procent, nen\u00ed ani zdaleka v souladu s infla\u010dn\u00edm c\u00edlem Ma\u010farsk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banky (MNB).<\/p>\n<p>Meziro\u010dn\u00ed j\u00e1drov\u00e1 inflace na \u00farovni 4,7 procenta je tak\u00e9 nad 4,6 procenta o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdmi MNB. R\u016fst cen potravin byl tak\u00e9 nad o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst se neo\u010dek\u00e1val, ale tato skupina se nach\u00e1z\u00ed mimo polo\u017eky j\u00e1drov\u00e9 inflace.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eNegativn\u00ed p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed ve slu\u017eb\u00e1ch je p\u0159itom zp\u016fsobeno p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm velmi v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm n\u00e1r\u016fstem cen pr\u00e1zdninov\u00fdch slu\u017eeb, zat\u00edmco ostatn\u00ed produktov\u00e9 skupiny vykazuj\u00ed m\u00edrn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst cen,\u201c uvedl \u00c1roksz\u00e1ll\u00e1si.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eKrom\u011b toho m\u016f\u017eeme st\u00e1le o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee ro\u010dn\u00ed celkov\u00fd index v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch klesne zp\u011bt pod 4 procenta. Bude se bedliv\u011b sledovat, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry bude j\u00e1drov\u00e1 inflace d\u00e1le r\u016fst. Do konce roku se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee po dne\u0161n\u00edm zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed \u00fadaj\u016f bude celkov\u00fd index st\u00e1le kolem 4,5 procenta. Na ro\u010dn\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 b\u00e1zi prozat\u00edm udr\u017eujeme na\u0161i p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f 3,8 procenta pro leto\u0161n\u00ed rok,\u201c uvedl.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eInfla\u010dn\u00edho c\u00edle centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky ve v\u00fd\u0161i 3 procent by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 stabiln\u011b a udr\u017eiteln\u011b dos\u00e1hnout pouze v roce 2025, a i to a\u017e ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku, i kdy\u017e pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 ro\u010dn\u00ed inflace by v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce mohla st\u00e1le p\u0159es\u00e1hnout 3 procenta (na\u0161e progn\u00f3za je 3,5 procenta). procent),\u201c dodal \u00c1roksz\u00e1ll\u00e1si.<\/p>\n<p>Ostatn\u00ed koment\u00e1to\u0159i si r\u016f\u017eov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obr\u00e1zek neud\u011blali.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eNed\u00e1vn\u00e1 data obsahuj\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00e9 jedine\u010dn\u00e9 odlehl\u00e9 hodnoty mimo o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen pohonn\u00fdch hmot, co\u017e vedlo k m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edmu p\u0159ecen\u011bn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b nad sez\u00f3nn\u00edm trendem,\u201c \u0159ekl P\u00e9ter Kiss, investi\u010dn\u00ed \u0159editel Amundi Fund Management.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolio.hu\/gazdasag\/20240808\/varatlanul-nagyot-gyorsult-az-inflacio-magyarorszagon-703113\">Analytici spole\u010dnosti Portfolio<\/a>\u00a0mezit\u00edm\u00a0nazna\u010dili, \u017ee inflace by mohla skon\u010dit na 4,8 procenta nebo dokonce v\u00fd\u0161e podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f. To by se prom\u00edtlo do mnohem ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnosti, \u017ee MNB bude d\u00e1le sni\u017eovat \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ceny slu\u017eeb vzrostly o v\u00edce ne\u017e 9 procent, zat\u00edmco n\u00e1r\u016fst cen potravin byl tak\u00e9 nad&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59672,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,683,78],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59671"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59671"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59671\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59672"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}