{"id":58997,"date":"2024-07-31T07:39:01","date_gmt":"2024-07-31T05:39:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=58997"},"modified":"2024-07-31T07:39:01","modified_gmt":"2024-07-31T05:39:01","slug":"zbynek-fiala-cesko-neni-ve-forme","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/31\/zbynek-fiala-cesko-neni-ve-forme\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbyn\u011bk Fiala: \u010cesko nen\u00ed ve form\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst ve 2. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed se pot\u00e1c\u00ed kolem nuly. D\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e statistiky s desetinkami procenta je fakt, \u017ee pokra\u010duje pokles pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00fd t\u00ed\u017e\u00ed drah\u00e1 elekt\u0159ina.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Od za\u010d\u00e1tku lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku je to po\u0159\u00e1d stejn\u00e9. V\u00fdkazy ekonomick\u00e9 kondice na\u0161\u00ed republiky kol\u00edsaj\u00ed kolem \u010d\u00e1ry ponoru. Te\u010f jsme dostali dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159edb\u011b\u017enou informaci \u010cS\u00da za druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se bude je\u0161t\u011b up\u0159es\u0148ovat, ale ne\u010dekejme nic jin\u00e9ho, ne\u017e \u010demu se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u201e\u010dern\u00e1 nula\u201c. Nic moc, jen o fous v\u00a0plusu.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/csu.gov.cz\/rychle-informace\/predbezny-odhad-hdp-2-ctvrtleti-2024<\/a><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ve\u0159ejnosti jsou v\u0161ak negativn\u00ed. Sleduj\u00ed se tro\u0161ku prorock\u00fdm statistick\u00fdm ukazatelem, kter\u00e9mu se\u00a0\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 indik\u00e1tor d\u016fv\u011bry. Ten zaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, zda je v\u00edc o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee bude l\u00edp, nebo naopak, \u017ee bude h\u016f\u0159. Te\u010f je bohu\u017eel v\u00edc t\u011bch druh\u00fdch. Indik\u00e1tor d\u016fv\u011bry proto nen\u00ed nad stovkou, co\u017e by hl\u00e1silo optimismus v\u00a0\u0159ad\u00e1ch pr\u016fmyslu i dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed, ale pod stovkou, tedy \u017ee d\u016fv\u011bra nen\u00ed a jsme na cest\u011b b\u00eddy. Uveden\u00fd indik\u00e1tor p\u0159itom pad\u00e1 docela rychle, jak ukazuje \u010dervencov\u00fd pokles skoro o t\u0159i procentn\u00ed body na 95 bod\u016f.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/csu.gov.cz\/rychle-informace\/konjunkturalni-pruzkumy-cervenec-2024<\/a><\/p>\n

D\u016fvody zn\u00e1me. Rozvr\u00e1cen\u00e9 trhy v\u00e1lkou a sankcemi, kter\u00e9 dopadaj\u00ed nejv\u00edc na n\u00e1s. Chab\u00e1 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed popt\u00e1vka, kdy\u017e v\u0161echno zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 na trhu obsazuje dokonalej\u0161\u00ed a levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010c\u00edna. A drah\u00e1 energie. Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 \u010dtvrtletn\u00ed ceny elekt\u0159iny za dod\u00e1vky pro pr\u016fmysl celkem v\u00a0\u010cesku se od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku vr\u00e1tily k\u00a0nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm hodnot\u00e1m nad 5 tis\u00edc korun za megawatt, a to je cena bez DPH a dal\u0161\u00edch dan\u00ed a poplatk\u016f.<\/p>\n

Co vynese takov\u00e1 vyhubl\u00e1 ekonomika na da\u0148ov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjmech? Vl\u00e1da m\u00e1 velk\u00e9 o\u010di, pokud jde o extr\u00e9mn\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fddaje za stovky miliard korun. Jednou jadern\u00e1 elektr\u00e1rna, jindy jadern\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry. Od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2022 Fialova vl\u00e1da nav\u00fd\u0161ila st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluh o v\u00edce ne\u017e p\u016fl bilionu korun. Jen v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce dluh vl\u00e1dn\u00edch instituc\u00ed stoupl o 233 miliard na 3,3 bilionu korun. Jen \u00faroky tohoto dluhu u\u017e budou st\u00e1t 100 miliard korun ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/csu.gov.cz\/rychle-informace\/deficit-a-dluh-vladnich-instituci-1-ctvrtleti-2024<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00dasm\u011bvn\u011b p\u016fsob\u00ed, jak se vl\u00e1da v\u00a0kv\u011btnu kasala, \u017ee \u201evr\u00e1t\u00ed \u010cesko do formy\u201c:<\/p>\n

\u201eN\u00e1zev \u010cesko ve form\u011b vystihuje hlavn\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00fd c\u00edl t\u00e9to vl\u00e1dy, tedy dostat op\u011bt na\u0161i republiku do situace, kdy z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bn\u00edme trend rostouc\u00edho zadlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed na\u0161eho st\u00e1tu, a tedy budouc\u00edch generac\u00ed.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n

https:\/\/vlada.gov.cz\/cz\/media-centrum\/aktualne\/vlada-predstavila-ozdravny-plan-pro-verejne-finance-cesko-ve-forme-205388\/#<\/a><\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee \u010cesko nen\u00ed ve form\u011b, jak ohla\u0161uje i st\u00e1vkov\u00e1 pohotovost odborov\u00fdch svaz\u016f st\u00e1tn\u00edch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f nebo neschopnost ministerstva financ\u00ed aspo\u0148 nazna\u010dit, jak chce d\u00e1t dohromady st\u00e1tn\u00ed rozpo\u010det. Ono to nejsp\u00ed\u0161 ani nejde. V\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce st\u00e1tn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmy p\u0159ifukovala inflace, ta u\u017e prakticky vyhasla, ale finan\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1roky st\u00e1tu nikoliv.<\/p>\n

Kdybychom se zam\u011b\u0159ili na ty realistick\u00e9 pot\u0159eby financov\u00e1n\u00ed, kam nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1m j\u00e1dro nebo st\u00edha\u010dky, vid\u00edme zoufalstv\u00ed ministr\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou pod tlakem dorovnat obrovskou ztr\u00e1tu re\u00e1ln\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f neprivilegovan\u00fdch resortn\u00edch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f. Ministr \u0161kolstv\u00ed by pot\u0159eboval des\u00edtky miliard korun nav\u00edc a minist\u0159i zdravotnictv\u00ed, vnitra nebo m\u00edstn\u00edho rozvoje tak\u00e9, pokud nemaj\u00ed b\u00fdt ter\u010dem hn\u011bvu lidu.<\/p>\n

Soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s\u00a0r\u016fstem zadlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed a poklesem indik\u00e1tor\u016f d\u016fv\u011bry mraz\u00ed nad dal\u0161\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edjemnou statistikou \u2013 \u010desk\u00fd zpracovatelsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl je skoro rok a p\u016fl v\u00a0deflaci. Pokra\u010duje tam trval\u00fd pokles pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch cen v\u00fdrobk\u016f a slu\u017eeb.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/csu.gov.cz\/ceny-inflace<\/a><\/p>\n

Mus\u00edme tedy zapo\u010d\u00edtat pokles produkce, v\u00a0kv\u011btnu byla o 3,2 procenta ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u0159ed rokem, a pokles cen. Tempo nov\u00fdch zak\u00e1zek se vrac\u00ed k\u00a0nule. \u00a0Tohle nen\u00ed obraz \u010ceska ve form\u011b. Z\u00a0tohohle se ned\u00e1 vy\u010d\u00edst, \u017ee bude l\u00edp.<\/p>\n

Relativn\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed situace je v automobilov\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00fd vyrobil v\u00a0prvn\u00edm pololet\u00ed o p\u011bt procent v\u00edce osobn\u00edch a lehk\u00fdch u\u017eitkov\u00fdch aut ne\u017e ve stejn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku. Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b to bylo 774 tis\u00edc aut, ale pohled do dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dat ukazuje, \u017ee to nen\u00ed ani polovina 1,6 milionu aut vyroben\u00fdch za rok 2016. To byl \u010desk\u00fd vrchol p\u0159ed n\u00e1stupem elektromobility. Proto vn\u00edm\u00e1m mnohem radostn\u011bji fakt, \u017ee z toho skoro 50 tis\u00edc nov\u00fdch \u010desk\u00fdch aut u\u017e bylo elektrick\u00fdch. I s\u00a0hybridy u\u017e p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed 8procentn\u00ed pod\u00edl v\u00fdroby.<\/p>\n

U\u017e jsem psal o tom, \u017ee \u0160koda jde do elektromobility naplno, za \u0161est let u\u017e chce vyr\u00e1b\u011bt polovinu aut elektrick\u00fdch. To je jeden sign\u00e1l z\u00e1sadn\u00ed transformace pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00fd nedb\u00e1 na vzdechy politik\u016f a sm\u011b\u0159uje k\u00a0bezuhl\u00edkov\u00e9 budoucnosti. Dal\u0161\u00edm je aktivn\u00ed snaha vyvl\u00e9ci se ze smy\u010dky vysok\u00fdch cen elekt\u0159iny, kter\u00e9 chce vl\u00e1da zafixovat na desetilet\u00ed investicemi do j\u00e1dra. Firemn\u00ed sektor zvy\u0161uje instalace sol\u00e1rn\u00edch elektr\u00e1ren a jde za n\u00edm zhruba polovina leto\u0161n\u00edho p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstku fotovoltaiky o p\u016fl gigawattu \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00e9ho v\u00fdkonu.<\/p>\n

Dom\u00e1cnosti trochu p\u0159ibrzdily, ale firmy to vyrovnaly. Sn\u00e1ze se vyrovnaly s\u00a0podm\u00ednkami, ke kter\u00fdm pat\u0159\u00ed investi\u010dn\u00ed dotace z\u00a0N\u00e1rodn\u00edho pl\u00e1nu obnovy. Ona i docela mal\u00e1 st\u0159e\u0161n\u00ed elektr\u00e1rna vy\u017eaduje jistou odbornost, pokud se n\u011bkde nem\u00e1 n\u011bco p\u0159eh\u0159\u00edvat a\u017e ho\u0159et. Nemluv\u011b o ekonomick\u00e9m pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed, ve kter\u00e9m v\u00e1s m\u016f\u017ee zasko\u010dit, \u017ee nespot\u0159ebovanou elekt\u0159inu v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch hodin\u00e1ch prost\u011b neprod\u00e1te, a kdy\u017e j\u00ed p\u0159esto pust\u00edte do s\u00edt\u011b, mus\u00edte za to zaplatit.<\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee od \u010dtvrtka se za\u010dne situace m\u011bnit. Za\u010dne fungovat \u2013 doufejme \u2013 Energetick\u00e9 datov\u00e9 centrum, by\u0165 zat\u00edm s\u00a0okle\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdm okruhem slu\u017eeb. Ale to byla podm\u00ednka, aby mohly za\u010d\u00edt fungovat komunitn\u00ed energetiky. Ty v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed budou m\u00edt\u00a0energetick\u00e9 mana\u017eery, kte\u0159\u00ed budou \u0159e\u0161it slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zky profesion\u00e1ln\u011b. Za\u010dne nar\u016fstat kapacita decentr\u00e1ln\u00ed energetiky pro vyrovn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edt\u011b za pomoci akumulace nebo \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed vlastn\u00ed spot\u0159eby.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1vn\u011b je to po\u0159\u00e1d motanice, kter\u00e1 br\u00e1n\u00ed pln\u00e9mu vyu\u017eit\u00ed v\u00fdhod rozpt\u00fdlen\u00e9 energetiky, ale trend je jasn\u00fd. Tady bych d\u016fv\u011bru v budoucnost m\u011bl. A nejde jen o ty prachy. Jde i o svobodu na centr\u00e1ln\u00edch dodavatel\u00edch, kte\u0159\u00ed n\u00e1s p\u0159estanou m\u00edt v\u00a0hrsti. Jestli to n\u011bkomu pom\u016f\u017ee dostat se do formy, tak to budou komunity, sdru\u017een\u00e9 obce, regiony.<\/p>\n

Zbyn\u011bk Fiala<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst ve 2. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed se pot\u00e1c\u00ed kolem nuly. D\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e statistiky s desetinkami procenta…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17506,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,506,59,1299,45,371],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58997"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58997"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58997\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17506"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}