{"id":58639,"date":"2024-07-27T00:44:29","date_gmt":"2024-07-26T22:44:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=58639"},"modified":"2024-07-26T16:55:11","modified_gmt":"2024-07-26T14:55:11","slug":"alastair-crooke-operace-jupiter-a-nadchazejici-revoluce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/27\/alastair-crooke-operace-jupiter-a-nadchazejici-revoluce\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: \u201eOperace Jupiter\u201c a nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed revoluce"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Bruselsk\u00e9 elity si zhluboka oddechly \u2013 francouzsk\u00e1 pravice byla zablokov\u00e1na. Trhovci samolib\u011b pokr\u010dili rameny. \u201eV\u0161echno se mus\u00ed \u201azm\u011bnit\u2018, aby to z\u016fstalo stejn\u00e9.\u201c St\u0159ed si najde cestu!<\/p>\n

Macron \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b zablokoval \u201epopulistickou\u201c pravici a levici t\u00edm, \u017ee na\u0159\u00eddil taktickou obrannou linii ze st\u0159edu, kter\u00e1 blokovala oba politick\u00e9 p\u00f3ly. A taktick\u00e1 blok\u00e1da byla \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1.<\/p>\n

\u201ePravicov\u00e1\u201c Le Penov\u00e1 strana z\u00edskala \u2013 s 32 % odevzdan\u00fdch hlas\u016f \u2013 125 k\u0159esel (pouze 22 % v z\u00e1konod\u00e1rn\u00e9m sboru). Levice z\u00edskala 180 mand\u00e1t\u016f s pod\u00edlem hlas\u016f 26 % a Macron\u016fv blok\u00a0Ensemble<\/em>\u00a0z\u00edskal 159 mand\u00e1t\u016f s pod\u00edlem hlas\u016f 25 %.<\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 strana v\u0161ak nem\u00e1 dostatek hlas\u016f k vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed (obvykle pot\u0159ebujete 240 a\u017e 250 mand\u00e1t\u016f). Pokud je to pova\u017eov\u00e1no za \u00fasp\u011bch, pak je to jist\u011b Pyrrhovo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Levice zahrnuje spektrum protiklad\u016f \u2013 od anarchist\u016f po sou\u010dasn\u00e9 leninisty \u2013 jejich\u017e j\u00e1dro (Melonchon) nikdy nebude spolupracovat s Macronov\u00fdmi centristy, ani s po\u0161kozen\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edznivci Le Penov\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Historik Maxime Tandonnet \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee domn\u00edvat se, \u017ee Macron dos\u00e1hl n\u011b\u010deho jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e fiaska, je grandi\u00f3zn\u00ed chybn\u00fd \u00fasudek o ud\u00e1lostech:<\/p>\n

Operace\u00a0Jupiter se zm\u011bnila v nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159. Je to naprosto beznad\u011bjn\u00e1 situace.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Z tohoto parlamentn\u00edho mi\u0161ma\u0161e nelze sestavit funguj\u00edc\u00ed vl\u00e1du. (Macron odm\u00edtl rezignaci sv\u00e9ho ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra a po\u017e\u00e1dal ho, aby prozat\u00edm z\u016fstal).<\/p>\n

Henri Hude, b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0159editel v\u00fdzkumu na Saint-Cyr Military Academy, poznamenal:<\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0Nikdo nem\u016f\u017ee pochybovat o tom, \u017ee ve Francii prob\u00edh\u00e1 revoluce.\u00a0<\/strong>V\u00fddaje st\u00e1tu a soci\u00e1ln\u00edho st\u00e1tu dalece p\u0159evy\u0161uj\u00ed zdroje, kter\u00e9 nelze v\u00fdrazn\u011b nav\u00fd\u0161it ani ekonomick\u00fdm r\u016fstem, ani dan\u011bmi…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak se st\u00e1t \u017eivit, je st\u00e1le v\u00edce se zadlu\u017eovat, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee lze dos\u00e1hnout pouze velmi n\u00edzk\u00fdmi \u00farokov\u00fdmi sazbami \u2013 ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm mo\u017enost\u00ed utr\u00e1cet nekone\u010dn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed pen\u011bz \u201ez ni\u010deho\u201c d\u00edky privilegovan\u00e9mu spojen\u00ed mezi eurem a N\u011bmeckem [vysok\u00fd \u00fav\u011brov\u00fd rating na 10 let spol. vazby].<\/em><\/p>\n

Pokud by byly tyto \u00falevy odstran\u011bny, \u201epodle odhad\u016f finan\u010dn\u00edch expert\u016f by Francie musela sn\u00ed\u017eit platy sv\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f zhruba o t\u0159etinu a d\u016fchody v\u0161ech o p\u011btinu. To evidentn\u011b nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9.“<\/p>\n

\u201eTo, co je ve skute\u010dnosti rozpo\u010dtov\u00fd a obchodn\u00ed schodek, je maskov\u00e1no jako dluh a bylo by odstran\u011bno p\u0159ed t\u0159iceti lety devalvac\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bny \u2013 ale z tohoto dluhu [je st\u00e1le v\u00edce ku prosp\u011bchu bohat\u00fdch]… zat\u00edmco obyvatelstvo bez ust\u00e1n\u00ed rept\u00e1. jej\u00ed r\u016f\u017eov\u00fd sen \u017eije \u2013 a je udr\u017eov\u00e1n ve slep\u00e9 nev\u011bdomosti o stavu na\u0161ich financ\u00ed\u2026 Tak\u017ee vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed t\u0159\u00edda si je dob\u0159e v\u011bdoma situace, ale rad\u011bji o n\u00ed nemluv\u00ed, proto\u017ee nikdo nev\u00ed, co m\u00e1 d\u011blat.\u201c<\/p>\n

\u201eNen\u00ed pochyb o tom, \u017ee ve chv\u00edli pravdy, a\u017e st\u00e1ty prohl\u00e1s\u00ed bankrot… Z\u00e1pad se ot\u0159ese v z\u00e1kladech \u2013 a n\u011bkter\u00e9 budou praskat jako z\u00e1tky od \u0161ampa\u0148sk\u00e9ho. Ekonomika bude muset b\u00fdt reorganizov\u00e1na. Mo\u017en\u00e1 se do\u010dk\u00e1me i kulturn\u00ed revoluce. Pr\u00e1v\u011b selh\u00e1n\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu \u2013 na to bychom nem\u011bli zapom\u00ednat \u2013 zp\u016fsobilo francouzskou revoluci…<\/em>
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\n\u201eN\u011bkdo se ale m\u016f\u017ee pt\u00e1t: pro\u010d to [pl\u00fdtv\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bzi] nem\u016f\u017ee pokra\u010dovat donekone\u010dna? To zjist\u00edme, ale je\u0161t\u011b ne.“<\/em>
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\n\u201eDnes, je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm bankrotu, je d\u016fv\u011bra v instituce ztracena: impotence \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f, zbaven\u00fdch sv\u00e9 presti\u017ee a autority, a pohrd\u00e1n\u00ed prezidentem, p\u0159edznamen\u00e1vaj\u00ed energii ot\u0159esu zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 odhalen\u00edm fiaska. by bylo spu\u0161t\u011bno. Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 \u201ejako v \u0158ecku\u201c je ve Francii nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd. M\u011bli bychom se rad\u011bji zam\u011b\u0159it na n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho\u201c (\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1 inflace a devalvace eura?).<\/em><\/p>\n

Francie samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nen\u00ed sama.\u00a0\u201eEurosyst\u00e9m by m\u011bl p\u0159inutit zem\u011b euroz\u00f3ny, aby jednaly finan\u010dn\u011b moud\u0159e a \u201espravedliv\u011b\u201c. Ale stal se prav\u00fd opak.<\/em>\u00a0Solidn\u00ed bonita N\u011bmecka umo\u017enila ostatn\u00edm st\u00e1t\u016fm EU spol\u00e9hat se na n\u011bmeck\u00e1 privilegia, \u017ee budou m\u00edt nekone\u010dn\u00e9 dluhy \u2013 t\u00edm, \u017ee udr\u017euj\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluh EU um\u011ble n\u00edzko.<\/p>\n

Dokud bude existovat privilegium americk\u00e9ho dolaru, m\u011blo by z\u016fstat i privilegium eura \u2013 nehled\u011b na to, \u017ee v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b ni\u010d\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm n\u011bmeck\u00fd pr\u016fmysl. \u0158\u00edzen\u00ed o schodku EU proti Francii ji\u017e prob\u00edh\u00e1. To plat\u00ed i pro ostatn\u00ed st\u00e1ty EU. N\u011bmecko m\u00e1 svou dluhovou brzdu a mus\u00ed u\u0161et\u0159it 40 miliard eur. Ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b zem\u00ed euroz\u00f3ny se ji\u017e \u0161et\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd dolar \u2013 na vrcholu t\u00e9to liber\u00e1ln\u00ed dluhov\u00e9 pyramidy \u2013 se hrout\u00ed, stejn\u011b jako z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u201epo\u0159\u00e1dek zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c. Geostrategick\u00e9 \u201edesky\u201c sv\u011bta \u2013 stejn\u011b jako kulturn\u00ed duch doby \u2013 se posouvaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno: Probl\u00e9m, kter\u00fd Macron ne\u00famysln\u011b odhalil, je ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00fd.<\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0Nastupuj\u00edc\u00ed \u00e9tos bychom mohli\u00a0<\/em>nazvat \u201a\u00a0<\/em>nov\u00fdm populismem<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0\u2018,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161e Jeffrey Tucker:<\/p>\n

\u201eNen\u00ed ani levice, ani pravice, ale p\u016fj\u010duje si t\u00e9mata z minulosti od obou. Z takzvan\u00e9 \u201epravice\u201c odvozuje d\u016fv\u011bru, \u017ee lid\u00e9 jsou l\u00e9pe schopni \u010dinit moudr\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed ve sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch \u017eivotech a komunit\u00e1ch, ne\u017e d\u016fv\u011b\u0159ovat vrchnostem. Od star\u00e9 levice p\u0159eb\u00edr\u00e1 nov\u00fd populismus po\u017eadavek svobody slova, z\u00e1kladn\u00edch pr\u00e1v a hlubokou ned\u016fv\u011bru v moc korporac\u00ed a vl\u00e1d.\u201c<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eOt\u00e1zka skepse v\u016f\u010di mocn\u00fdm a zaveden\u00fdm elit\u00e1m je j\u00e1drem v\u011bci. To plat\u00ed pro v\u0161echny oblasti. Nen\u00ed to jen o politice. Ovliv\u0148uje m\u00e9dia, medic\u00ednu, soudy, akademickou sf\u00e9ru a v\u0161echny dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 sektory. A to v ka\u017ed\u00e9 zemi. Je to skute\u010dn\u011b zm\u011bna paradigmatu. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee to nen\u00ed jen do\u010dasn\u00e9, ale podstatn\u00e9 a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b trval\u00e9.“<\/p>\n

„To, co se stalo za posledn\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i roky, rozpoutalo masovou vlnu ned\u016fv\u011bry [a pocitu elitn\u00ed nelegitimnosti], kter\u00e1 se budovala po desetilet\u00ed.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Filozof Malebranche napsal (1684) ve sv\u00e9m Trait\u00e9 de Morale:\u00a0\u201eLid\u00e9 odpou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed v\u0161echno krom\u011b pohrd\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c:<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eElita, kter\u00e1 nepln\u00ed sv\u00e9 povinnosti, se naz\u00fdv\u00e1 elit\u00e1\u0159ka; Od t\u00e9 doby se jejich \u010dinnost jev\u00ed jako nespravedliv\u00e1 a ur\u00e1\u017eliv\u00e1, ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jejich samotn\u00e1 existence je ur\u00e1\u017ekou. Odtud pramen\u00ed nen\u00e1vist, p\u0159em\u011bna \u017e\u00e1rlivosti v z\u00e1vist a z\u00e1visti v touhu po pomst\u011b \u2013 a tedy ve v\u00e1lky.<\/em><\/p>\n

Co by se tedy m\u011blo ud\u011blat?<\/p>\n

K obnoven\u00ed americk\u00e9ho po\u0159\u00e1dku a uml\u010den\u00ed disentu bylo v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed NATO pova\u017eov\u00e1no za nezbytn\u00e9:<\/p>\n

\u201eNejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm rizikem a cenou pro NATO je dnes riziko rusk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b. To nem\u016f\u017eeme dovolit<\/em>\u00a0,\u201c prohl\u00e1sil gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Stoltenberg na v\u00fdro\u010dn\u00edm zased\u00e1n\u00ed NATO ve Washingtonu.\u00a0„V\u00fdsledek t\u00e9to v\u00e1lky bude ur\u010dovat glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost na dal\u0161\u00ed desetilet\u00ed.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd v\u00fdsledek na Ukrajin\u011b \u2013 proti Rusku \u2013 by proto n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed ve Washingtonu mohli pova\u017eovat za dostate\u010dn\u00fd k tomu, aby p\u0159ivedl v\u0161echny vzdorovit\u00e9 st\u00e1ty obchoduj\u00edc\u00ed s dolary k rozumu a znovu nastolil z\u00e1padn\u00ed hegemonii ve sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/p>\n

B\u00fdt americk\u00fdm protektor\u00e1tem bylo dlouhou dobu snesiteln\u00e9, ba prosp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9. U\u017e ne: Amerika u\u017e nen\u00ed \u201evyd\u011b\u0161en\u00e1\u201c.\u00a0Tabu se bouraj\u00ed. Vzpoura proti postmodern\u00edmu Z\u00e1padu je celosv\u011btov\u00e1. A glob\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Rusko nelze vojensky porazit. Je to NATO, kter\u00e9 bude pora\u017eeno.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zde je \u201ed\u00edra ve st\u0159edu\u201c spole\u010dnosti: Biden pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude ve funkci dlouho. To vid\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i EU \u2013 kte\u0159\u00ed nebezpe\u010dn\u011b ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed politickou podporu doma, jak se jejich levicov\u00e9 a pravicov\u00e9 blok\u00e1dy hrout\u00ed \u2013 mohou v\u00e1lku tak\u00e9 vn\u00edmat jako v\u00fdchodisko z EU sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed k ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00e9mu finan\u010dn\u00edmu fiasku.<\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b umo\u017e\u0148uje poru\u0161it v\u0161echna finan\u010dn\u00ed a \u00fastavn\u00ed pravidla. Politi\u010dt\u00ed v\u016fdci se r\u00e1zem m\u011bn\u00ed na vrchn\u00ed velitele.<\/p>\n

Rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f a nab\u00eddka st\u00edha\u010dek (a raket del\u0161\u00edho doletu) by se dala interpretovat jako z\u00e1m\u011br \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee USA zjevn\u011b uva\u017euj\u00ed o vyu\u017eit\u00ed z\u00e1kladen F-16 v Rumunsku, by mohla b\u00fdt zam\u00fd\u0161lena jako zp\u016fsob, jak vyvolat v\u00e1lku v Evrop\u011b a zachr\u00e1nit r\u016fzn\u00e9 upadaj\u00edc\u00ed atlantick\u00e9 politick\u00e9 bohatstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Naproti tomu existuj\u00ed jasn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy o tom, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 (88 %) \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee \u201e\u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty NATO [by m\u011bly] usilovat o vyjednan\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b\u201c \u2013 p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pouze nepatrn\u00e1 men\u0161ina respondent\u016f v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad m\u00e1 c\u00edle jako \u201eOslabit Rusko\u201c nebo \u201eobnoven\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch hranic p\u0159ed rokem 2022\u201c by m\u011blo b\u00fdt up\u0159ednostn\u011bno.<\/p>\n

Sp\u00ed\u0161e se zd\u00e1, \u017ee evropsk\u00e1 ve\u0159ejnost v drtiv\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b up\u0159ednost\u0148uje c\u00edle, jako je \u201evyhnut\u00ed se eskalaci\u201c a \u201evyhnut\u00ed se p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lce mezi jadern\u00fdmi mocnostmi\u201c.<\/p>\n

Je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee se uvoln\u00ed zadr\u017eovan\u00e9 protiv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1lady v Evrop\u011b a mo\u017en\u00e1 i povede k odm\u00edtnut\u00ed NATO jako celku. Trump by pak mohl sv\u00fdm postojem NATO narazit do otev\u0159en\u00fdch dve\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Bruselsk\u00e9 elity si zhluboka oddechly \u2013 francouzsk\u00e1 pravice byla zablokov\u00e1na. Trhovci samolib\u011b pokr\u010dili rameny. \u201eV\u0161echno…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":58640,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[41,130,307,39,35],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58639"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58639"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58639\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/58640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}