{"id":5827,"date":"2021-11-01T03:03:33","date_gmt":"2021-11-01T02:03:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=5827"},"modified":"2021-11-01T03:03:33","modified_gmt":"2021-11-01T02:03:33","slug":"kyjev-vyhrozuje-ze-jeho-rakety-doleti-do-moskvy-je-to-realne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/11\/01\/kyjev-vyhrozuje-ze-jeho-rakety-doleti-do-moskvy-je-to-realne\/","title":{"rendered":"Kyjev vyhro\u017euje, \u017ee jeho rakety dolet\u00ed do Moskvy. Je to re\u00e1ln\u00e9?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ukrajinci vyhro\u017euj\u00ed, \u017ee jejich rakety dolet\u00ed do rusk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta. S teori\u00ed to m\u00e1 Kyjev v po\u0159\u00e1dku, ale v praxi let\u00ed propaga\u010dn\u00ed st\u0159ely d\u00e1le ne\u017e re\u00e1ln\u00e9.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly mohou z\u00edskat v budoucnu vlastn\u00ed raketov\u00fd syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd \u201edos\u00e1hne\u201c na Moskvu. Jeho v\u00fdvoj si vy\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 asi 10 let. Prohl\u00e1sil to extern\u00ed poradce vedouc\u00edho prezidentsk\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e a mluv\u010d\u00ed kyjevsk\u00e9 delegace v T\u0159\u00edstrann\u00e9 kontaktn\u00ed skupin\u011b pro Donbas Alexej Arestovy\u010d.<\/p>\n

Arestovy\u010d je dost odi\u00f3zn\u00ed postava. P\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl nap\u0159\u00edklad okupaci B\u011bloruska, pochopiteln\u011b Ruskem, a tak\u00e9, citujeme, \u017ee\u00a0\u201ePol\u00e1ci, obyvatel\u00e9 pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, a spolu s nimi ostatn\u00ed Evropan\u00e9 n\u00e1hle poc\u00edt\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka (\u2026) je p\u0159\u00edmo na prahu.\u201c<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee n\u00e1s znepokojuje n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho. Je v\u00fdvoj ukrajinsk\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 by dok\u00e1zaly skute\u010dn\u011b ohrozit Moskvu, re\u00e1ln\u00fd? Je za t\u011bmito prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edmi n\u011bco krom\u011b plan\u00fdch slib\u016f a z\u00e1m\u011br\u016f?<\/p>\n

S minulost\u00ed a teori\u00ed je v\u0161echno v po\u0159\u00e1dku<\/strong><\/p>\n

Teoretickou mo\u017enost v\u00fdvoje raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f jak\u00e9koli t\u0159\u00eddy m\u011bla Ukrajina v\u017edy. Z mocn\u00e9ho sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu zd\u011bdila Ukrajina zejm\u00e9na raketovou konstruk\u010dn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159 Ju\u017enoje v Dn\u011bpropetrovsku, chemick\u00fd podnik v Pavlogradu, kyjevskou konstruk\u010dn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159 Agat a dal\u0161\u00ed podniky.<\/p>\n

Agat vyr\u00e1b\u011bl samonav\u00e1d\u011bc\u00ed hlavice, a to i pro postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 rakety t\u0159\u00eddy vzduch-vzduch. V Pavlogradu vyr\u00e1b\u011bli velmi \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 sm\u00ed\u0161en\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 palivo podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pro osmdes\u00e1t\u00e1 l\u00e9ta recept\u016f. Vybavovali jimi na tu dobu nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed balistick\u00e9 rakety na tuh\u00e9 palivo Molod\u011bc pro \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my.<\/p>\n

Konstruk\u010dn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159 Ju\u017enoje se mohla pochlubit v\u00fdvojem n\u011bkolika generac\u00ed mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00edch raket (MBR), v\u010detn\u011b t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch MBR R-36M2 Vojevoda, kter\u00e9 jsou zn\u00e1m\u00e9 tak\u00e9 pod n\u00e1zvem SS-18 Satan. Maj\u00ed je dodnes ve v\u00fdzbroji rusk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 s\u00edly, a je to dnes nejv\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed raketa na sv\u011bt\u011b. Pr\u00e1v\u011b Vojevody m\u00e1 nahradit nov\u00e1, ji\u017e pln\u011b hotov\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 raketa Sarmat, jej\u00ed\u017e letov\u00e9 zkou\u0161ky maj\u00ed b\u00fdt zah\u00e1jeny v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch dvou m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch.<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl by mohl zkr\u00e1tka vyvinout v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b financov\u00e1n\u00ed a politick\u00e9 v\u016fle raketov\u00fd syst\u00e9m kter\u00e9koli t\u0159\u00eddy. Potenci\u00e1l na to m\u00e1. Probl\u00e9m (pro Kyjev) spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee od sov\u011btsk\u00fdch \u010das\u016f nedostala ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd syst\u00e9m s raketami velk\u00e9ho doletu.<\/p>\n

Ale v praxi…<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rozhodnut\u00ed o v\u00fdvoji vlastn\u00edho operativn\u00edho taktick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu bylo poprv\u00e9 p\u0159ijato ukrajinskou Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed radou v roce 1997. Pl\u00e1novali pou\u017e\u00edt v\u0161echno, co zbylo z projektu Borisfen, kter\u00e9mu se konstruk\u010dn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159 Ju\u017enoje v\u011bnovala t\u0159i roky p\u0159edt\u00edm.<\/p>\n

K v\u00fdvoji Borisfenu inspirovalo Ukrajince z\u0159ejm\u011b to, \u017ee jejich ru\u0161t\u00ed kolegov\u00e9 zah\u00e1jili projektov\u00e1n\u00ed raketov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu Iskander. V t\u011bchto letech konstrukt\u00e9\u0159i obou zem\u00ed spolupracovali, tak\u017ee ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed in\u017een\u00fd\u0159i se z\u00fa\u010dastnili pr\u00e1ce na \u010detn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch projektech v raketov\u00e9 oblasti. Dolet Borisfenu mohl \u010dinit 500 km, v\u00fdvoj raket v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho doletu nebyl mo\u017en\u00fd kv\u016fli tenkr\u00e1t platn\u00e9 dohod\u011b mezi SSSR a USA o likvidaci raket st\u0159edn\u00edho a krat\u0161\u00edho doletu.<\/p>\n

Uplynulo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 10 let. V roce 2007 bylo ozn\u00e1meno zah\u00e1jen\u00ed pr\u00e1ce na v\u00fdvoji raketov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu Sapsan o doletu 280 km. Projektu se v\u011bnovala konstruk\u010dn\u00ed kancel\u00e1\u0159 Ju\u017enoje (Dn\u011bpropetrovsk) spolu s ukrajinskou N\u00e1rodn\u00ed kosmickou agenturou. O doletu Sapsanu, a pozd\u011bji tak\u00e9 jeho modifikace Grom, rozhodovalo exportn\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed raketov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu, pon\u011bvad\u017e dod\u00e1vky do zahrani\u010d\u00ed raket o doletu p\u0159es 300 km jsou zak\u00e1zan\u00e9 dohodami o ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed raketov\u00fdch a jadern\u00fdch technologi\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Uplynulo je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkolik let. V roce 2013 u\u010dinil ukrajinsk\u00fd ministr obrany Pavel Lebed\u011bv prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o zru\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fdvoje Sapsanu. Av\u0161ak ve stejn\u00e9m roce byla zve\u0159ejn\u011bna zpr\u00e1va o velk\u00e9m z\u00e1jmu ze strany Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie o v\u00fdvoj modernizovan\u00e9ho raketov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu s novou raketou Grom-2, kter\u00fd m\u011bl b\u00fdt vyvinut na z\u00e1klad\u011b nerealizovan\u00e9ho Sapsanu.<\/p>\n

V roce 2016 zve\u0159ejnila m\u00e9dia informaci o tom, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 podniky z\u00edskaly zahrani\u010dn\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed na tento elabor\u00e1t. Pr\u00e1ce na v\u00fdvoji raketov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu postupovala, vznikly makety odpalovac\u00edho za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, makety raket, prvn\u00ed vzorky motor\u016f na tuh\u00e9 palivo. V roce 2018 vykonala Ukrajina poprv\u00e9 za dlouhou dobu palebn\u00e9 zkou\u0161ky motoru nov\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 rakety.<\/p>\n

V letech 2020-2021 jsme o\u010dek\u00e1vali zah\u00e1jen\u00ed testov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9ho raketov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu, po jeho\u017e ukon\u010den\u00ed ho mohla z\u00edskat do v\u00fdzbroje jak\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, tak samotn\u00e1 Ukrajina. Jen\u017ee testov\u00e1n\u00ed se zat\u00edm nekonalo. P\u0159echod od motoru a makety odpalovac\u00edho za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed k re\u00e1ln\u00fdm bojov\u00fdm vzork\u016fm vy\u017eadoval z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00edc sil a prost\u0159edk\u016f ne\u017e se pl\u00e1novalo.<\/p>\n

Dnes mluv\u00ed Arestovy\u010d o deseti letech…<\/p>\n

Je na to Moskva p\u0159ipravena?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dok\u00e1\u017ee tento raketov\u00fd syst\u00e9m ohrozit ruskou metropoli? V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00fdvoje rakety Grom-2 s ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fdm doletem 500 km pro \u201evnit\u0159n\u00ed\u201c pou\u017eit\u00ed se tato hrozba m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t re\u00e1lnou, proto\u017ee z \u00fazem\u00ed v\u00fdchodn\u00edch oblast\u00ed Ukrajiny je do Moskvy p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b stejn\u00e1 vzd\u00e1lenost.<\/p>\n

Je v\u0161ak t\u0159eba p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee dolet 500 km m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pr\u00e1v\u011b \u201eofici\u00e1ln\u00ed.\u201c S ohledem na charakteristiky raketov\u00e9ho motoru vyvinut\u00e9ho pro\u00a0Grom-2\u00a0m\u016f\u017ee dolet \u010dinit tak\u00e9 p\u0159es 600 km. M\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 m\u00edt plusy rusk\u00e9ho Iskanderu, jako je mo\u017enost \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed rakety po cel\u00e9 trajektorii letu, protiraketov\u00e9 man\u00e9vrov\u00e1n\u00ed v kone\u010dn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti letu apod. Sest\u0159elit tyto rakety bude pro moskevsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m PRO slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, pon\u011bvad\u017e byl vytvo\u0159en proti mezikontinent\u00e1ln\u00edm raket\u00e1m, a nikoli proti mal\u00fdm man\u00e9vruj\u00edc\u00edm stealph raket\u00e1m v male v\u00fd\u0161ce.<\/p>\n

Moskva samoz\u0159ejm\u011b reaguje na z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajinou t\u011bchto raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f stejn\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my PVO-PRO t\u0159\u00eddy S-500. Bude to naprosto adekv\u00e1tn\u00ed obrann\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, jestli ukrajinsk\u00fd raketov\u00fd projekt nezopakuje osud v\u0161ech p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch projekt\u016f a tak\u00e9 cel\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00fd dosud nep\u0159em\u011bnil svoji potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed energii v kinetickou, nebo, jak napsal magaz\u00edn Military Watch, spadl po rozpadu SSSR z nebe na zem.<\/p>\n

Hrozba je zkr\u00e1tka stejn\u011b re\u00e1ln\u00e1 jako iluzorn\u00ed. Domn\u00edv\u00e1m se, \u017ee se pravd\u011bpodobnost vstupu Ukrajiny do\u00a0NATO\u00a0m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t po letech v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hrozbou ne\u017e z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed raket, kter\u00e9 mohou teoreticky dolet\u011bt od Dn\u011bpru do Moskvy.<\/p>\n

Ostatn\u011b, nejl\u00e9pe snad reagoval na v\u00fdrok Arestovy\u010de p\u0159edseda frakce Sluha n\u00e1roda v Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed rad\u011b David Arachimija: \u201eK takov\u00fdm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm m\u00e1m v\u016fbec negativn\u00ed vztah, bu\u010f n\u011bco ud\u011blej, vytvo\u0159, odpal rakety, a pak ji\u017e budeme m\u00edt do \u010din\u011bn\u00ed s faktem, nebo prost\u011b ne\u0159\u00edkej nic (…)\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nic v\u00edc, nic m\u00ed\u0148.<\/p>\n

Dmitrij Korn\u011bv<\/strong><\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrajinci vyhro\u017euj\u00ed, \u017ee jejich rakety dolet\u00ed do rusk\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho m\u011bsta. S teori\u00ed to m\u00e1 Kyjev…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5546,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[29,220,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5827"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5827"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5827\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5546"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5827"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5827"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5827"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}