{"id":57902,"date":"2024-07-17T00:37:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-16T22:37:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=57902"},"modified":"2024-07-16T14:51:36","modified_gmt":"2024-07-16T12:51:36","slug":"uvolnete-cestu-imperialnimu-nato-s-novymi-kridly-pro-bezpecnost","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/17\/uvolnete-cestu-imperialnimu-nato-s-novymi-kridly-pro-bezpecnost\/","title":{"rendered":"Uvoln\u011bte cestu imperi\u00e1ln\u00edmu NATO s nov\u00fdmi k\u0159\u00eddly pro bezpe\u010dnost"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Sny o expanzi jsou obvykle jen kou\u0159 a zrcadla; pokud budou m\u00edt asijsk\u00e9 zem\u011b zdrav\u00fd rozum, nebudou se v\u00e1zat na NATO.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

NATO je\u00a0<\/span>Severoatlantick\u00e1<\/span><\/em>\u00a0aliance . N\u00e1zev m\u011bl b\u00fdt zm\u011bn\u011bn u\u017e d\u00e1vno, kdy\u017e NATO p\u0159esunulo sv\u00e9 zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed a operace na jih a v\u00fdchod. NATO se op\u011bt posouv\u00e1, p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm sv\u00e9ho \u010dlenstv\u00ed, ani\u017e by v\u00e1\u017en\u011b pl\u00e1novalo, jak zajistit sv\u00e9 nov\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddla.<\/span><\/p>\n

Odstupuj\u00edc\u00ed \u0161\u00e9f NATO\u00a0<\/span>Jens Stoltenberg<\/span><\/a>\u00a0minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna bude \u010delit n\u00e1sledk\u016fm za svou podporu Ruska. Nebyl konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed. „Je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 brzy na to, abych to \u0159ekl s jistotou,“ \u0159ekl. „M\u00fdm poselstv\u00edm je, \u017ee… nen\u00ed udr\u017eiteln\u00e9 a provediteln\u00e9, aby \u010c\u00edna nad\u00e1le podporovala nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed hrozby… spojenc\u016fm NATO, zejm\u00e9na v Evrop\u011b.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Je velk\u00fdm krokem p\u0159idat \u010c\u00ednu, by\u0165 jen teoreticky, k obav\u00e1m Atlantick\u00e9 aliance a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it seznam zem\u00ed usiluj\u00edc\u00edch o ochranu NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Omezenou dobrou zpr\u00e1vou ze summitu NATO je, \u017ee aliance uznala svou slabost. Pl\u00e1n po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm rozpo\u010dtu a v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm po\u010dtu voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed mohou b\u00fdt nasazeni v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle vnit\u0159n\u00edho pl\u00e1nu mus\u00ed NATO zv\u00fd\u0161it po\u010det sv\u00fdch dislokovan\u00fdch nebo nasaditeln\u00fdch jednotek o 35 a\u017e 50 brig\u00e1d. Veden\u00ed NATO bude muset p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit sv\u00e9 \u010dleny, aby roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ili sv\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, vybavili je a disponovali p\u0159epravn\u00edmi a z\u00e1sobovac\u00edmi schopnostmi, kter\u00e9 je budou podporovat v operac\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 asi 100 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch v Evrop\u011b, z nich\u017e asi 20 000 posiluje bojov\u00e9 skupiny NATO. Roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed jednotek NATO je dopl\u0148kem k p\u0159\u00edtomnosti americk\u00fdch jednotek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Brig\u00e1da v NATO se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 ze 3 a\u017e 5 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee NATO m\u016f\u017ee celkem chyb\u011bt a\u017e 250 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f. Vychovat a vycvi\u010dit velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f v zem\u00edch NATO je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fd, mo\u017en\u00e1 i nemo\u017en\u00fd \u00fakol.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed a\u00a0<\/span>ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech<\/span><\/a>\u00a0je n\u00e1bor voj\u00e1k\u016f v\u00fdrazn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e by m\u011bl b\u00fdt. V USA\u00a0<\/span>pouze n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchota a vesm\u00edrn\u00e9 velitelstv\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0splnily sv\u00e9 n\u00e1borov\u00e9 c\u00edle, zat\u00edmco arm\u00e1da, n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo a letectvo sv\u00e9 c\u00edle minuly. Britov\u00e9\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>N\u011bmci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zdaleka nedos\u00e1hli sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f\u00a0<\/span>.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

N\u011bmecko, kter\u00e9 by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky v Evrop\u011b mohlo b\u00fdt op\u011bt na \u0161pici, m\u00e1 arm\u00e1du 184 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f a 80 000 civilist\u016f, kterou tvo\u0159\u00ed voj\u00e1ci z povol\u00e1n\u00ed (57 365), smluvn\u00ed voj\u00e1ci (114 243) a dobrovoln\u00ed voj\u00e1ci (9 748); nen\u00ed povinn\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 slu\u017eba. Zrovna ned\u00e1vno byl n\u011bmeck\u00fd obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det\u00a0<\/span>sn\u00ed\u017een o 5 miliard eur<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Aby N\u011bmecko splnilo pl\u00e1n NATO, muselo by z\u010dty\u0159n\u00e1sobit sv\u016fj obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det a zav\u00e9st povinnou vojenskou slu\u017ebu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 \u0161ance.<\/span><\/p>\n

NATO v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nem\u00e1 brig\u00e1dy, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e bojov\u00e9 skupiny, z nich\u017e ka\u017ed\u00e1 se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1000 voj\u00e1k\u016f. V sou\u010dasnosti existuje osm bojov\u00fdch skupin a NATO se sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159idat dal\u0161\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee by musela nejen vytvo\u0159it 35 a\u017e 50 nov\u00fdch brig\u00e1d, ale tak\u00e9 roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u00fdch osm prapor\u016f na brig\u00e1dy. Zat\u00edm alespo\u0148 neexistuje shoda na tom, jak by k tomu m\u011blo doj\u00edt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na summitu NATO byly p\u0159ijaty nov\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky na podporu Ukrajiny nab\u00eddkou \u010dty\u0159 nov\u00fdch bateri\u00ed protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany Patriot a dal\u0161\u00edch st\u00edhac\u00edch letoun\u016f F-16 (z toho \u0161est) z Norska.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO nyn\u00ed tak\u00e9 mluv\u00ed o vysl\u00e1n\u00ed letek F-16 na Ukrajinu, ale to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jen propaganda. (Je docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee na Patrioty nakonec doplat\u00ed USA.) D\u016fvod je prost\u00fd: NATO v\u00ed, \u017ee jeho velkolep\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny na expanzi nelze realizovat, a proto pot\u0159ebuje Ukrajinu jako n\u00e1razn\u00edk proti Rusku. Dokud bude Rusko sv\u00e1z\u00e1no, NATO se m\u016f\u017ee vyhnout odhalen\u00ed jeho nedostatk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tichomo\u0159sk\u00e9 oblasti<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Zat\u00edmco NATO p\u0159ipravuje pl\u00e1ny na roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u010dlenstv\u00ed a schopnost\u00ed a upozor\u0148uje \u010c\u00ednu na chov\u00e1n\u00ed Pekingu, demokrati\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 v Tichomo\u0159\u00ed hledaj\u00ed de\u0161tn\u00edk NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Austr\u00e1lie se summitu \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed a chce t\u011b\u017eit z vojensk\u00e9ho know-how NATO. Nov\u00fd Z\u00e9land \u2013 kter\u00fd jako p\u0159edn\u00ed \u010dlen NATO chce povzbudit USA, aby ho chr\u00e1nily p\u0159ed \u010c\u00ednou \u2013 vyslal na sch\u016fzku sv\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra.<\/span><\/p>\n

Japonsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r a jihokorejsk\u00fd prezident jsou tam a zjevn\u011b p\u0159ijali vizi gener\u00e1ln\u00edho tajemn\u00edka NATO Jense Stoltenberga, \u017ee NATO mus\u00ed \u010delit Rusku i \u010c\u00edn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Japonsko m\u00e1 dlouhodob\u011b nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00e9 probl\u00e9my se severn\u00edmi \u00fazem\u00edmi (Kurilsk\u00e9 ostrovy), kter\u00e9 na konci druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky obsadil SSSR. V\u011bt\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem je v\u0161ak \u010c\u00edna, kter\u00e1 se Japonsko ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee po \u201evy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed\u201c tchajwansk\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky brzy p\u0159evezme prvn\u00ed ostrovn\u00ed \u0159et\u011bzec v Pacifiku; Tchaj-wan je p\u0159\u00edmo uprost\u0159ed \u0159et\u011bzce. \u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 \u00fazemn\u00ed n\u00e1roky na ostrovy spravovan\u00e9 Japonci, zejm\u00e9na na ostrovy Senkaku, kter\u00e9 \u010c\u00edna naz\u00fdv\u00e1 ostrovy Diaoyu. \u010c\u00edna si n\u00e1rokuje i Okinawu, kter\u00e1 je pro USA vojensky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Strategick\u00e1 mapa ostrovn\u00edho \u0159et\u011bzce: Researchgate<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Mezi USA a Japonskem a mezi USA a Koreou existuj\u00ed obrann\u00e9 smlouvy (\u00a0<\/span>ned\u00e1vno byla aktualizov\u00e1na<\/span><\/a>\u00a0japonsko-americk\u00e1 smlouva z roku 1960 ). USA maj\u00ed v obou zem\u00edch siln\u00e9 zastoupen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Japonsku je 54 000 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy a dal\u0161\u00edch 8 000 dodavatel\u016f (plus dal\u0161\u00edch 25 000 japonsk\u00fdch pracovn\u00edk\u016f). Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty maj\u00ed jadernou letadlovou lo\u010f um\u00edst\u011bnou v Japonsku a udr\u017euj\u00ed v\u00fdznamnou p\u0159\u00edtomnost letectva a n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva.<\/span><\/p>\n

V Koreji maj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty 28 500 voj\u00e1k\u016f, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z arm\u00e1dy, um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v Camp Humphreys. USA tak\u00e9 udr\u017euj\u00ed strategick\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protiraketov\u00e9 obrany v Koreji.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea m\u00e1 povinnou vojenskou slu\u017ebu pro v\u0161echny mu\u017ee star\u0161\u00ed 18 let a m\u00e1 velkou arm\u00e1du s 500 000 aktivn\u00edmi voj\u00e1ky a 3 100 000 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edky. \u00dahlavn\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtel, Severn\u00ed Korea, m\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed aktivn\u00ed arm\u00e1du, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasnosti \u010d\u00edt\u00e1 1 320 000 aktivn\u00edch voj\u00e1k\u016f a 560 000 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk\u016f. Na rozd\u00edl od Severn\u00ed Koreje, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, se Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na americk\u00fd \u201ejadern\u00fd de\u0161tn\u00edk\u201c, aby se ochr\u00e1nila p\u0159ed sv\u00fdm severn\u00edm sousedem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Japonsko na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou brannou povinnost a\u00a0<\/span>sv\u016fj n\u00e1borov\u00fd c\u00edl pro s\u00edly sebeobrany nesplnilo<\/span><\/a>\u00a0o v\u00edce ne\u017e 50 %. Mlad\u00ed lid\u00e9 v Japonsku nyn\u00ed mohou z\u00edskat dobrou a dob\u0159e placenou pr\u00e1ci. S\u00edly sebeobrany jsou \u0161patn\u011b placen\u00e9 a jsou neatraktivn\u00ed kari\u00e9rn\u00ed volbou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdo z toho m\u00e1 prosp\u011bch?<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

Co by Japonsko nebo Ji\u017en\u00ed Korea z\u00edskaly ze vztahu s NATO \u2013 ne-li \u010dlenstv\u00edm v NATO? T\u011b\u017eko si p\u0159edstavit, jak by NATO mohlo skute\u010dn\u011b pomoci kter\u00e9koli zemi, a mohlo by to zkomplikovat vztahy mezi USA a Japonskem a mezi USA a Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreou t\u00edm, \u017ee by mezi n\u011b a jejich americk\u00e9ho sponzora postavilo dal\u0161\u00ed velitelsk\u00fd komplex.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 tak\u00e9 ot\u00e1zka, jak\u00e9 v\u00fdhody by NATO z\u00edskalo ze vztahu s v\u00fdznamn\u00fdmi americk\u00fdmi z\u00e1kazn\u00edky v Asii. NATO nem\u00e1 ve vztahu k Asii \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 schopnosti projekce moci. Nen\u00ed toho mnoho, co by NATO mohlo polo\u017eit na st\u016fl, co by skute\u010dn\u011b zaj\u00edmalo Japonsko nebo Koreu, pomineme-li politiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti lze \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee mnoho evropsk\u00fdch \u201epresti\u017en\u00edch\u201c projekt\u016f podkopalo smyslupln\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o pos\u00edlen\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00edch pozemn\u00edch, vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch sil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Politick\u00fd protiv\u00edtr<\/strong><\/span><\/h4>\n

NATO tak\u00e9 \u010del\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm politick\u00fdm protiv\u011btr\u016fm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeden poch\u00e1z\u00ed od b\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa. Trump jako prezident hlasit\u011b po\u017eadoval, aby partne\u0159i NATO\u00a0<\/span>zv\u00fd\u0161ili sv\u00e9 v\u00fddaje na obranu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Zat\u00edmco USA v roce 2018 utratily 3,57 procenta sv\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f, pouze osm z tehdej\u0161\u00edch 29 spojenc\u016f dos\u00e1hlo c\u00edle NATO ve v\u00fd\u0161i 2 procent. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed ze spojenc\u016f postupovali vp\u0159ed, jin\u00ed ne.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee b\u00fdval\u00ed Trumpovi poradci nazna\u010dili, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>Ukrajina je evropsk\u00fd\u00a0<\/span><\/a>probl\u00e9m<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, nikoli americk\u00fd\u00a0. Zv\u011bsti, \u017ee NATO\u00a0<\/span>se chce ud\u011blat \u201eodoln\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di Trumpovi\u201c,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0jsou v m\u00f3d\u011b, proto\u017ee se evrop\u0161t\u00ed politici ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee Trump nepodpo\u0159\u00ed trvalou v\u00e1lku s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jasn\u00e9 je, \u017ee Trump chce instinktivn\u011b jednat s Ruskem \u2013 n\u011bco, co Evropa krom\u011b Ma\u010farska jednozna\u010dn\u011b odm\u00edt\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Existuj\u00ed tak\u00e9 v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 a nevyhnuteln\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my. Pokud francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron\u00a0<\/span>ustoup\u00ed levici<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, bude to bolestiv\u00e9. Levice chce\u00a0<\/span>90procentn\u00ed \u201eda\u0148 z bohatstv\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fddaje. (\u201eBohatstv\u00ed\u201c u\u017e Francii opou\u0161t\u00ed.) Francie to ud\u011blat nem\u016f\u017ee a je\u0161t\u011b na Ukrajinu nal\u00e9v\u00e1 miliardy. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd arzen\u00e1l je zna\u010dn\u011b vy\u010derpan\u00fd, tak\u017ee skute\u010dn\u00e9 financov\u00e1n\u00ed budoucnosti mus\u00ed poch\u00e1zet ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch provozn\u00edch rozpo\u010dt\u016f. D\u016fsledkem je spir\u00e1la ekonomick\u00e9 smrti pro Francii, spir\u00e1la, kter\u00e1 by se mohla opakovat ve Spojen\u00e9m kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed s jeho novou labouristickou vl\u00e1dou.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00edsa\u0159sk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny NATO jsou z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti kou\u0159em a zrcadlem, a pokud budou m\u00edt asijsk\u00e9 zem\u011b zdrav\u00fd rozum, nebudou se NATO zavazovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stephen Bryen a Shoshana Bryen<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sny o expanzi jsou obvykle jen kou\u0159 a zrcadla; pokud budou m\u00edt asijsk\u00e9 zem\u011b zdrav\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":57625,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,760,39],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57902"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57902"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57902\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57625"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57902"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57902"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57902"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}