{"id":57584,"date":"2024-07-12T00:38:28","date_gmt":"2024-07-11T22:38:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=57584"},"modified":"2024-07-11T17:08:06","modified_gmt":"2024-07-11T15:08:06","slug":"phil-butler-putin-strili-od-boku-na-bezbrannou-evropu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/12\/phil-butler-putin-strili-od-boku-na-bezbrannou-evropu\/","title":{"rendered":"Phil Butler: Putin st\u0159\u00edl\u00ed od boku na bezbrannou Evropu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pro\u010d mus\u00ed b\u00fdt z\u00e1padn\u00ed elity \u201eprvn\u00ed, kdo mrkne\u201c v hyperbolick\u00e9 v\u00e1lce proti Rusku?\u00a0<\/strong>Nejen proto, \u017ee to ned\u00e1vno \u0159ekl rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin na Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru v Petrohradu.\u00a0<\/strong>Takzvan\u00fd \u201eZ\u00e1pad\u201c k\u0148u\u010d\u00ed a \u0161t\u011bk\u00e1 o eskalaci na Ukrajin\u011b, ale ve skute\u010dnosti je Evropa na lan\u011b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00fdzva k pragmatismu<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

BBC ned\u00e1vno\u00a0uvedla,<\/a>\u00a0\u017ee citovala pana Putina, kter\u00fd prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Evropa by byla bezbrann\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b jadern\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny s Ruskem. Rusov\u00e9 tak\u00e9 nazna\u010dili, \u017ee maj\u00ed pr\u00e1vo prodat nebo nasadit masivn\u00ed \u00fadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b zem\u00edm ohro\u017een\u00fdm Amerikou a z\u00e1padn\u00edmi spojenci. Je to logick\u00e9 pot\u00e9, co dal Washington Ukrajinci Zelensk\u00e9mu zelenou k zasahov\u00e1n\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f v Rusku. Joe Biden a jeho sou\u010dasn\u00edci v Evrop\u011b by m\u011bli b\u00fdt pot\u011b\u0161eni, \u017ee Rusko vede klidn\u00fd pragmatik a ne vrouc\u00ed hork\u00e1 hlava, jakou si moje zem\u011b, jak se zd\u00e1, v\u017edy vol\u00ed za prezidenta.<\/p>\n

Nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zka v tomto bod\u011b zn\u00ed: \u201eM\u00e1 Vladimir Putin pravdu? Jist\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak to zjistit, je, kdy\u017e washingtonsk\u00e9 think-tanky po\u017eaduj\u00ed chladn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hlavy. P\u0159\u00edkladem toho je zpr\u00e1va\u00a0Jamese M. Actona<\/a>\u00a0z Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, ve kter\u00e9 vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 prezidenta Bidena, aby situaci d\u00e1le neeskaloval. Acton je spolu\u0159editelem Programu jadern\u00e9 politiky v Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. V\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 \u00fatoky Ukrajiny zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na oslaben\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu v\u010dasn\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed by mohly v\u00e9st ke zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed reakci. Pozorn\u00e9mu pozorovateli zav\u00e1n\u00ed zd\u00e1nliv\u011b nesmysln\u00e9 \u00fatoky Ukrajiny na rusk\u00e1 radarov\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed strategi\u00ed Pentagonu.<\/p>\n

Ti, kdo na Z\u00e1pad\u011b st\u00e1le ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed svou mysl, dokonce i v elitn\u00edch think-tanc\u00edch, v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee ur\u010dit\u00e9 hranice se nesm\u00ed p\u0159ekra\u010dovat. \u00datok na jakoukoli \u010d\u00e1st rusk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho varovn\u00e9ho a odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edho syst\u00e9mu, a to i prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm zastoupen\u00ed, je tak nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd, jak jen m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt. Mimochodem, BBC o tom neinformovala. Acton a dal\u0161\u00ed varuj\u00ed Joea Bidena p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00edm roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edm Zelensk\u00e9ho pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Doufejme, \u017ee ten, kdo \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Ospal\u00e9mu Joeovi, co m\u00e1 d\u011blat, d\u00e1v\u00e1 pozor. Tato citace z Actonovy zpr\u00e1vy by m\u011bla sta\u010dit:<\/p>\n

\u201ePokud Moskva v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee by Washington mohl zah\u00e1jit \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd preventivn\u00ed \u00fader proti sv\u00fdm jadern\u00fdm sil\u00e1m, jeho spou\u0161\u0165 by mohla velmi sv\u011bdit, co\u017e by zv\u00fd\u0161ilo riziko, \u017ee by Rusko mohlo zah\u00e1jit rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd jadern\u00fd \u00fatok na z\u00e1klad\u011b fale\u0161n\u00e9ho nebo nespr\u00e1vn\u011b interpretovan\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0<\/em>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin je fixov\u00e1n na obavy, \u017ee by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mohly zah\u00e1jit prvn\u00ed \u00fader proti rusk\u00fdm jadern\u00fdm sil\u00e1m a veden\u00ed.<\/em><\/p>\n

Strategick\u00e9 nedostatky Evropy<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed pozoruhodn\u00fd aspekt nazna\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed Putin\u016fv postoj a spr\u00e1vnost v t\u00e9to situaci je patrn\u00fd z my\u0161lenek Evropsk\u00e9 rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed vztahy. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee neexistuje skute\u010dn\u00fd nouzov\u00fd pl\u00e1n na ochranu ob\u010dan\u016f EU, g\u00e9niov\u00e9 \u0159\u00edd\u00edc\u00ed blok v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee nejlep\u0161\u00ed politikou je vytvo\u0159it v\u00edce schopnost\u00ed prvn\u00edho \u00faderu. Ano, \u201eN\u00e1padn\u00e1 absence: evropsk\u00e1 raketov\u00e1 mezera a jak ji uzav\u0159\u00edt\u201c je reklama na schopnost EU zas\u00e1hnout Rusko prvn\u00edm \u00faderem. Zpr\u00e1va tak\u00e9 ukazuje, v \u010dem jsou NATO a EU dobr\u00e9 \u2013 studovat a diskutovat. N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed z t\u00e9to hloup\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy je odhaluj\u00edc\u00ed:<\/p>\n

\u201eNATO zkoum\u00e1 zp\u016fsoby, jak \u010delit hrozb\u011b rusk\u00fdch raket, z nich\u017e mnoh\u00e9 mohou n\u00e9st i jadern\u00e9 hlavice.\u00a0<\/em>Zat\u00edmco protiraketov\u00e1 obrana mus\u00ed b\u00fdt sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9ho protiraketov\u00e9ho \u0161t\u00edtu p\u0159es cel\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed NATO by bylo technicky neprovediteln\u00e9 a ne\u00fam\u011brn\u011b n\u00e1kladn\u00e9.\u00a0<\/em>Dokonce i Ukrajina, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 nejv\u00edce syst\u00e9m\u016f protiraketov\u00e9 obrany v Evrop\u011b, je schopna pouze selektivn\u011b chr\u00e1nit kritickou infrastrukturu a popula\u010dn\u00ed centra.<\/em><\/p>\n

Podle Putina je Evropa bezbrann\u00e1, pokud Evropsk\u00e1 komise nebude cht\u00edt utratit n\u011bkolik bilion\u016f eur za vlastn\u00ed \u017eeleznou kopuli. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm raketov\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f (zam\u00fd\u0161len\u00e1 slovn\u00ed h\u0159\u00ed\u010dka) je donutit Vladimira Putina ke startu jako prvn\u00edho. Oh, \u010dlov\u011b\u010de, pro mnoho lid\u00ed je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 pochopit, pro\u010d to je\u0161t\u011b neud\u011blal. Snad se o NATO\u00a0neboj\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0, proto\u017ee vojensk\u00e1 aliance st\u00e1le \u201epl\u00e1nuje\u201c zp\u016fsoby obrany Evropy. Vladimir Putin byl op\u011bt up\u0159\u00edmn\u00fd a spr\u00e1vn\u00fd, kdy\u017e nazna\u010dil, \u017ee Evropan\u00e9 budou snadnou ko\u0159ist\u00ed, a\u017e se v\u011bci zvrtnou. Pokud jde o Evropany, jen asi\u00a010 % respondent\u016f<\/a>\u00a0v\u011b\u0159\u00ed , \u017ee Ukrajina m\u016f\u017ee v t\u00e9to vojensk\u00e9 akci proti Rusku zv\u00edt\u011bzit.<\/p>\n

Liber\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d, kter\u00fd v sou\u010dasnosti vl\u00e1dne v Evrop\u011b, je odhodl\u00e1n vytvo\u0159it syst\u00e9m v\u010dasn\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed pro p\u0159\u00edpad katastrofy souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s klimatem (viz\u00a0v\u010dasn\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0OSN\u00a0pro v\u0161echny<\/a>\u00a0), ale nakonec zatla\u010den\u00ed Rus\u016f do kouta si takovou vehemenci nezaslou\u017e\u00ed. Pro soudr\u017en\u00e9 pochopen\u00ed Ruska, Putina a situace, do kter\u00e9 n\u00e1s na\u0161i z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdci uvedli, si pros\u00edm p\u0159e\u010dt\u011bte tuto zpr\u00e1vu Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists o p\u0159\u00edpadu \u201eEvropa bude nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed\u201c. Dokonce i nejlevicov\u00ed jadern\u00ed experti sv\u011bta \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed: \u201eEvropsk\u00e9 odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed je \u0161patn\u00fd n\u00e1pad\u201c, \u010d\u00edm\u017e v t\u011bchto dnech p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed rostouc\u00ed obavy Ruska z veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky Z\u00e1padem. Dokonce i Atlantick\u00e1 rada v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee Evropa skon\u010d\u00ed, pokud se Rusov\u00e9 rozhodnou j\u00edt naplno. \u201eV\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Ruska na Ukrajin\u011b by vydalo Evropu na milost a nemilost Putinovi,\u201c p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee a\u010dkoli je z\u00e1m\u011brem prodat Zelenskij v\u00edce zbran\u00ed, p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159esn\u011b to, co Putin ned\u00e1vno \u0159ekl \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016fm v Petrohradu.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Politico odsuzuje Francii a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed za jejich schopnosti jadern\u00e9ho odstra\u0161en\u00ed, V. V. Putina op\u011bt podporuje jeho domn\u011bl\u00fd nep\u0159\u00edtel. V \u00favodu doty\u010dn\u00e9ho \u010dl\u00e1nku vypr\u00e1v\u00ed blogger profesor Derrick Wyatt \u010d\u00e1st p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu:<\/p>\n

„Jd\u011bte klidn\u011b na francouzsk\u00e9ho prezidenta, ale obrana kontinentu bez USA bude vy\u017eadovat v\u00edce ne\u017e francouzsk\u00e9 a britsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 odstra\u0161en\u00ed.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Ve\u0159ejn\u00fd sentiment a ekonomick\u00fd dopad<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Z pohledu Evropan\u016f, se kter\u00fdmi mluv\u00edm, tato z\u00e1stupn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka proti Rusku nestoj\u00ed lidi jen o \u017eivobyt\u00ed. To, co zde na Kr\u00e9t\u011b v \u0158ecku m\u011blo b\u00fdt rekordn\u00ed turistickou sez\u00f3nou, zat\u00edm vypad\u00e1 jako krach. Maloobchodn\u00edci mi \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed: \u201eMaloobchod je mrtv\u00fd\u201c, zat\u00edmco kdysi \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00ed majitel\u00e9 taveren si mnout palce a ukazov\u00e1\u010dky, aby vysv\u011btlili, pro\u010d jsou v\u0161echny zdej\u0161\u00ed restaurace v \u010dervnu pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9. „\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 pen\u00edze,“ \u0159ekl mi majitel slavn\u00e9 ryb\u00ed taverny v centru m\u011bsta Heraklion, kdy\u017e jsem se zeptal: „Kde jsou v\u0161ichni turist\u00e9?“ Snad jen glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt m\u016f\u017ee zachr\u00e1nit upadaj\u00edc\u00ed moc elit na Z\u00e1pad\u011b. U\u017e se to stalo. Jedna v\u011bc je v\u0161ak jist\u00e1: zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Putin op\u011bt st\u0159\u00edl\u00ed od boku.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pro\u010d mus\u00ed b\u00fdt z\u00e1padn\u00ed elity \u201eprvn\u00ed, kdo mrkne\u201c v hyperbolick\u00e9 v\u00e1lce proti Rusku?\u00a0Nejen proto, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22617,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,102,22,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57584"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57584"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57584\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}