{"id":57575,"date":"2024-07-12T00:34:14","date_gmt":"2024-07-11T22:34:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=57575"},"modified":"2024-07-11T15:29:23","modified_gmt":"2024-07-11T13:29:23","slug":"izrael-vs-hizballah-velka-valecna-hra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/12\/izrael-vs-hizballah-velka-valecna-hra\/","title":{"rendered":"Izrael vs. Hizball\u00e1h: Velk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 hra"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Vzhledem k bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00e1lce je potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt Izraele s Hizball\u00e1hem pova\u017eov\u00e1n za strategick\u00fd krok k \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed dlouhodob\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f. Geopolitick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, \u00cdr\u00e1n, Rusko a dal\u0161\u00ed velk\u00e9 mocnosti vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed obavy z rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed krize.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Jsou zn\u00e1m\u00e1 fakta, v\u011bci, o kter\u00fdch v\u00edme, \u017ee je zn\u00e1me. V\u00edme tak\u00e9, \u017ee existuj\u00ed zn\u00e1m\u00e9 nezn\u00e1m\u00e9; to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00edme, \u017ee jsou n\u011bkter\u00e9 v\u011bci, kter\u00e9 nev\u00edme. Ale existuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bnezn\u00e1m\u00e9 nezn\u00e1m\u00e9 \u2013 v\u011bci, o kter\u00fdch nev\u00edme, \u017ee je nezn\u00e1me.<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

B\u00fdval\u00fd americk\u00fd ministr obrany Donald Rumsfeld<\/span><\/cite>Jak\u00a0<\/span>nap\u011bt\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0mezi Hizball\u00e1hem a Izraelem\u00a0<\/span>eskaluje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, analytici pe\u010dliv\u011b rozehr\u00e1vaj\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e konfliktu. Pro premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua a jeho n\u00e1bo\u017eensko-nacionalistickou koalici je konfrontace s libanonsk\u00fdm hnut\u00edm odporu v\u00edc ne\u017e spekulace \u2013 je to strategick\u00e1 \u00favaha. Tato koalice pova\u017euje potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku za prost\u0159edek k \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed dlouhodob\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f a pos\u00edlen\u00ed sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 pozice.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fle\u017eitou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed strategick\u00e9ho my\u0161len\u00ed Tel Avivu je nad\u011bje, \u017ee by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mohly b\u00fdt p\u0159inuceny k aktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed roli v konfrontaci s odp\u016frci Izraele \u2013 Hizball\u00e1hu, S\u00fdrii a \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 a t\u00edm neutralizovat hrozby, kter\u00e9 existovaly po desetilet\u00ed. Tento koncept \u201eodstran\u011bn\u00ed\u201c region\u00e1ln\u00edch nep\u0159\u00e1tel z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm t\u00e9matem izraelsk\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch diskus\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Historick\u00e9 ko\u0159eny strategick\u00e9 d\u016fv\u011bry Izraele<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pro okupa\u010dn\u00ed st\u00e1t je tento potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt \u201ev\u00e1lkou volby\u201c motivovanou historick\u00fdmi a etnonacionalistick\u00fdmi motivy. Vych\u00e1z\u00ed ale tak\u00e9 z d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fdhod Izraele, kter\u00e9 v dne\u0161n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii pln\u00e9 raket ji\u017e neexistuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160estidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lka v roce 1967 podpo\u0159ila v\u00edru v neporazitelnost izraelsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, nad\u0159azenost sionismu a zjevn\u00fd osud \u201evyvolen\u00e9ho lidu\u201c. S podobnou aroganci zah\u00e1jil Adolf Hitler v roce 1941 operaci Barbarossa proti Sov\u011btsk\u00e9mu svazu. P\u0159eto\u010dte zp\u011bt osm desetilet\u00ed a dnes Izraelci informuj\u00ed americk\u00e9 p\u0159edstavitele,\u00a0<\/span>\u017ee mohou\u00a0<\/span><\/a>v\u00e9st \u201ebleskovou v\u00e1lka\u201c<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v Libanonu\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eka sousedn\u00edch arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v roce 1967 m\u011bla na tyto zem\u011b hlubok\u00fd psychologick\u00fd dopad. Tento pocit pokra\u010doval a\u017e do\u00a0<\/span>roku 2006<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kdy se jako politick\u00fd v\u00edt\u011bz uk\u00e1zal libanonsk\u00fd Hizball\u00e1h, kter\u00fd ot\u0159\u00e1sl p\u0159edstavou izraelsk\u00e9 nezranitelnosti a zm\u011bnil dynamiku region\u00e1ln\u00ed moci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Etno-nacionalistick\u00e1 r\u00e9torika p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00ed v politick\u00fdch rozhodovac\u00edch org\u00e1nech Tel Avivu, zt\u011blesn\u011bn\u00e1\u00a0<\/span>extremistick\u00fdmi ministry<\/span><\/a>\u00a0jako Betzalel Smotrich a Itamar Ben-Gvir, kte\u0159\u00ed o\u017eivili ideologii kdysi zak\u00e1zan\u00e9ho\u00a0<\/span>Meir Kahane<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, d\u00e1le pos\u00edlila izraelsk\u00e9 bludy o vojensk\u00e9 nad\u0159azenosti. . Zat\u00edmco n\u011bkter\u00e9 st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 hlasy v Izraeli volaj\u00ed po diplomatick\u00e9m \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed krize na severn\u00ed hranici, diskursu v sou\u010dasnosti dominuje arogance a etnonacionalismus.<\/span><\/p>\n

Strategick\u00e9 imperativy pro Hizball\u00e1h a \u00cdr\u00e1n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Hizball\u00e1h a \u00cdr\u00e1n je v\u0161ak tento konflikt \u201ev\u00e1lkou z nutnosti\u201c, kterou nemohou ani ve\u0159ejn\u011b p\u0159iznat, ani p\u0159\u00edmo vyvolat. Oba byly ze strany USA jm\u00e9nem Izraele marginalizov\u00e1ny a sankcionov\u00e1ny, co\u017e vedlo k nev\u00fdslovn\u00e9mu dom\u00e1c\u00edmu politick\u00e9mu tlaku a ekonomick\u00fdm t\u011b\u017ekostem \u2013 neudr\u017eiteln\u00e9 situaci, kter\u00e1 vy\u017eaduje p\u0159\u00edmou v\u00fdzvu izraelsk\u00e9 politice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ke zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed v\u0161ak nem\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt u jednac\u00edho stolu. Izraelci jsou arogantn\u00ed a tvrdohlav\u00ed; nebudou vyjedn\u00e1vat v dobr\u00e9 v\u00ed\u0159e. Vezm\u011bme si nap\u0159\u00edklad Spole\u010dn\u00fd komplexn\u00ed ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1n (JCPOA) nebo jadernou dohodu s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Kdy\u017e b\u00fdval\u00fd americk\u00fd prezident Barack Obama podepsal dohodu, Netanjahu si st\u011b\u017eoval, \u017ee Izrael pot\u0159ebuje \u201e\u00a0<\/span>kompenzaci<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Obama nab\u00eddl Izraeli vojensk\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek, ale jakmile opustil \u00fa\u0159ad, Netanjahu, Jared Kushner a AIPAC zmanipulovali \u201e\u00a0<\/span>velmi stabiln\u00edho g\u00e9nia<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, b\u00fdval\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa. JCPOA byla zru\u0161ena. Mimochodem, kompenza\u010dn\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dek se americk\u00fdm da\u0148ov\u00fdm poplatn\u00edk\u016fm nevr\u00e1til.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n a Hizball\u00e1h mus\u00ed dot\u00e1hnout Izrael na okraj propasti. Tel Aviv se mus\u00ed pod\u00edvat do propasti a uv\u011bdomit si, \u017ee jemn\u00fdm zatla\u010den\u00edm z osy odporu regionu se ocitne na dn\u011b propasti. \u00cdr\u00e1n a Hizball\u00e1h to v\u0161ak p\u0159es propast nemohou tla\u010dit, proto\u017ee by to mohlo v\u00e9st k jadern\u00e9 no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016f\u0159e. Dnes, ve sv\u00e9 \u201evoln\u00e9 v\u00e1lce\u201c, Izrael ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span>nazna\u010dil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0pou\u017eit\u00ed \u201ebezprecedentn\u00edch\u201c a \u201enespecifikovan\u00fdch\u201c zbran\u00ed proti Hizball\u00e1hu, co\u017e nazna\u010duje mo\u017enou jadernou hrozbu.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00edsto toho mus\u00ed Osa uk\u00e1zat Izraeli cestu zp\u011bt z propasti: smlouvu, kter\u00e1 vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00e9 probl\u00e9my. Teher\u00e1n nab\u00eddl Tel Avivu a Washingtonu\u00a0v roce 2003 \u201e\u00a0<\/span>velkou smlouvu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, ale ta byla zam\u00edtnuta. Nov\u00e1 \u201evelk\u00e1 smlouva\u201c je pro Izrael a Osu odporu z\u00e1sadn\u00ed, ale\u00a0<\/span>nezbytnou podm\u00ednkou<\/span><\/em>\u00a0pro trvalou smlouvu je vojensk\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka Izraele Osou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hrozby a protihrozby l\u00e9taj\u00ed, ka\u017ed\u00e1 s c\u00edlem z\u00edskat \u201ep\u00e1kov\u00fd efekt\u201c a odstra\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto m\u011bs\u00edce \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd poradce pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku ajatoll\u00e1ha Al\u00edho Chamene\u00edho Kamal Charrazi \u0159ekl, \u017ee Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika a dal\u0161\u00ed frakce Osy odporu podpo\u0159\u00ed Libanon \u201e\u00a0<\/span>jak\u00fdmikoli<\/span><\/a>\u00a0nezbytn\u00fdmi\u00a0<\/span>prost\u0159edky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c, pokud Izrael zah\u00e1j\u00ed ofenz\u00edvu proti Hizball\u00e1hu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve varoval, \u017ee by mohl b\u00fdt nucen\u00a0<\/span>revidovat svou jadernou doktr\u00ednu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v reakci na izraelskou agresi . P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n\u00a0ji\u017e\u00a0p\u0159ekro\u010dil\u00a0<\/a><\/span>jadern\u00fd pr\u00e1h<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. I bez jadern\u00fdch kapacit m\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1n balistick\u00e9 st\u0159ely a hlavice, kter\u00e9 by mohly zni\u010dit Tel Aviv, Haifu a dal\u0161\u00ed velk\u00e1 m\u011bsta. Izrael je \u201ezem\u011b s jednou bombou\u201c: je mal\u00fd a jeho populace je soust\u0159ed\u011bna v n\u011bkolika centr\u00e1ln\u00edch centrech. \u00cdr\u00e1n a mocnosti Osy nepot\u0159ebuj\u00ed v\u00edce jadern\u00fdch hlavic.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak vysv\u011btlil gener\u00e1l Hajizadah v projevu, st\u0159ela Khorramshahr m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e9st 80 hlavic. Pokud by IRGC vyp\u00e1lily 100 raket, bylo by to 8 000 hlavic na velk\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta. Izrael by byl po\u0161etil\u00fd, kdyby se po \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch\u00a0<\/span>\u00fatoc\u00edch<\/span><\/a>\u00a0IRGC 13. dubna spol\u00e9hal na sv\u016fj integrovan\u00fd syst\u00e9m protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany .<\/span><\/p>\n

2024 nen\u00ed 2006<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Srovn\u00e1n\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu v roce 2024 s v\u00e1lkou mezi Izraelem a Hizball\u00e1hem v roce 2006 je obl\u00edben\u00fdm referen\u010dn\u00edm r\u00e1mcem, ale od t\u00e9 doby se ob\u011b strany pou\u010dily. Za posledn\u00edch 18 let se v\u00fdrazn\u011b rozvinula zejm\u00e9na\u00a0<\/span>vojensk\u00e1 technika a taktika<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hizball\u00e1h vyvinul nov\u00e9 taktiky a zbran\u011b, jako jsou: B.\u00a0<\/span>protitankov\u00e1 st\u0159ela Almas<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(ATGM), kter\u00e1 se uk\u00e1zala jako \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1 proti izraelsk\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm.\u00a0<\/span>Protiletadlov\u00e9 schopnosti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Hizball\u00e1hu\u00a0nav\u00edc postavily nov\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy pro ofenzivy izraelsk\u00fdch dron\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e9 letectvo ovl\u00e1dlo vzdu\u0161n\u00fd prostor v roce 2006, ale zda to dok\u00e1\u017ee i v roce 2024, nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9. Hizball\u00e1h m\u00e1 protiletadlov\u00e9 schopnosti (nap\u0159.\u00a0st\u0159ela zem\u011b-vzduch st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu\u00a0<\/span>Sayyad-2<\/span><\/a>\u00a0). Nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mo, zda m\u00e1 nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed modely, jako je \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd Khordad-3. To by mohlo b\u00fdt p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hodnocen\u00ed schopnost\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu izraelsk\u00fdmi zpravodajsk\u00fdmi slu\u017ebami je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nep\u0159esn\u00e9. P\u0159edchoz\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bchy proti skupin\u00e1m jako OOP a \u010cern\u00e9 z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e nejsou relevantn\u00ed. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ne\u00fasp\u011bchy, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0<\/span>neschopnost Tel Avivu\u00a0<\/span><\/a>p\u0159edv\u00eddat<\/span><\/a>\u00a0operaci Hamasu Al-Aqsa Flood 7. \u0159\u00edjna\u00a0, podtrhuj\u00ed omezen\u00ed izraelsk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zapojen\u00ed USA<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

To byl c\u00edl Izraele od 11. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2001: Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 by m\u011bli bojovat v izraelsk\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch. P\u0159esto\u017ee p\u0159edseda Sboru n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk\u016f \u0161t\u00e1b\u016f Charles Brown prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee USA\u00a0<\/span>mo\u017en\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><\/em>nebudou schopny<\/span><\/a>\u00a0podporovat Izrael, nem\u011blo by to b\u00fdt br\u00e1no jako v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed. Jde o politick\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed jm\u00e9nem Bidenovy administrativy, kter\u00e1 nechce vstoupit do velk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky d\u0159\u00edve ne\u017e po volb\u00e1ch 5. listopadu. Netanjahu v\u0161ak v\u00ed, \u017ee Izrael ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 Kongres a americk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia. Kongresman Thomas Massie je v\u00fdjimkou mezi 435 zastupiteli a 100 sen\u00e1tory, kter\u00e9 AIPAC nekoupil. Jakmile v\u00e1lka za\u010dne, p\u0159isluhova\u010di Izraele v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b, v m\u00e9di\u00edch a v Kongresu budou lobbovat za zapojen\u00ed americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. Jak \u0159ekl Netanjahu: \u201eV\u00edm, co je Amerika. Amerika je v\u011bc, kterou lze velmi snadno p\u0159esunout; m\u016f\u017eete je posunout spr\u00e1vn\u00fdm sm\u011brem.“ On m\u00e1 pravdu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud USA zakro\u010d\u00ed \u2013 co\u017e je velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 \u2013 Hizball\u00e1h a \u00cdr\u00e1n to (neochotn\u011b) uv\u00edtaj\u00ed. Aby Osa dos\u00e1hla \u201evelk\u00e9 dohody\u201c, mus\u00ed zp\u016fsobit katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161kody americk\u00fdm pozemn\u00edm a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii. Washington opust\u00ed Izrael pouze tehdy, budou-li kv\u016fli Izraeli zni\u010deny lod\u011b, z\u00e1kladny a stovky (nebo tis\u00edce) americk\u00fdch \u017eivot\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko je divok\u00e1 karta, \u201ezn\u00e1m\u00e1 nezn\u00e1m\u00e1\u201c. Americk\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed apar\u00e1t, kter\u00fd bojuje proti Rusku a podporuje Izrael, je p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00fd sionisty\/neokonzervativci. Nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Izraele jsou t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 identi\u010dt\u00ed: Victoria Kagan, rozen\u00e1 Nuland; rodina Kagan\u016f (Robert, Fred, Kim, jejich\u00a0<\/span>ISW<\/span><\/a>\u00a0); Antony Blinken (vnuk zakladatele Izraele); Avril Haines (\u0159editelka N\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby); Z\u00e1stupce \u0159editele CIA David Cohen, Alejandro Mayorkas (tajemn\u00edk ministerstva pro vnit\u0159n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost) a dal\u0161\u00ed. V z\u00e1jmu Ruska je potrestat sv\u00e9 tr\u00fdznitele po\u0161kozen\u00edm jedin\u00e9 zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 jsou loaj\u00e1ln\u00ed: Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva je na\u0161tvan\u00e1 kv\u016fli americk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e Ukrajin\u011b. Elena Panina, \u0159editelka Institutu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch politick\u00fdch a ekonomick\u00fdch strategi\u00ed, napsala na sv\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span>kan\u00e1lu Telegram<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v prosinci 2023 : \u201eNejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed pro Rusko je reagovat na Ameriku podobn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem: hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lkou daleko od vlastn\u00edch hranic. Nejviditeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed je nyn\u00ed z\u00e1stupn\u00fd \u00fatok na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. V kv\u011btnu 2024 \u0159ekl Putin tot\u00e9\u017e. Teroristick\u00e9 \u00fatoky v Belgorodu a Sevastopolu o n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00e9m sv\u00e1tku by mohly naklonit rovnov\u00e1hu ve prosp\u011bch \u00cdr\u00e1nu, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud se do toho zapoj\u00ed USA. Por\u00e1\u017eka USA by zv\u00fd\u0161ila podporu Ruska mezi muslimy po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b a pomohla by vyhnat USA ze z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie \u2013 co\u017e je c\u00edl podporovan\u00fd Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou. \u00cdr\u00e1n je \u201ep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00fd na to, aby selhal\u201c: Moskva provedla vojensk\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 investice a vytvo\u0159ila spojenectv\u00ed s Teher\u00e1nem, zejm\u00e9na po za\u010d\u00e1tku ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, a je bl\u00edzko podpisu nov\u00e9 komplexn\u00ed dohody o spolupr\u00e1ci s Teher\u00e1nem. Kreml nem\u016f\u017ee dopustit, aby byl \u00cdr\u00e1n pora\u017een a republika se zhroutila. S nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed bude poskytovat zpravodajskou, sledovac\u00ed a pr\u016fzkumnou pomoc v S\u00fdrii pomoc\u00ed rusk\u00fdch satelit\u016f a letadel. Rusko umo\u017e\u0148uje IRGC pou\u017e\u00edvat svou leteckou z\u00e1kladnu Humaymim\/Khmeimim v S\u00fdrii, proto\u017ee IDF se sna\u017e\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby dod\u00e1vky z \u00cdr\u00e1nu dorazily na leti\u0161t\u011b v Aleppu a Dama\u0161ku. Rusko by mohlo (pokud tak ji\u017e neu\u010dinilo, vzhledem k ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 doprav\u011b mezi Ruskem a leteckou z\u00e1kladnou) dod\u00e1vat baterie protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, rakety a dal\u0161\u00ed v\u011bci syrsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b a Hizball\u00e1hu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nezn\u00e1m\u00e9, nezn\u00e1m\u00e9<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 faktory, stejn\u011b jako investice \u010c\u00edny a Severn\u00ed Koreje v \u00cdr\u00e1nu a jejich vztahy s touto zem\u00ed, komplikuj\u00ed jakoukoli p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00e1lky mezi Izraelem a libanonsk\u00fdm odbojem. A\u010dkoli je jejich p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 \u00fa\u010dast nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1, tyto jadern\u00e9 mocnosti by mohly \u00cdr\u00e1nu poskytnout d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zbran\u011b a munici. \u201eZn\u00e1m\u00e9 nezn\u00e1m\u00e9\u201c, z nich\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e9 jsou zm\u00edn\u011bny, sta\u010d\u00ed k tomu, aby bylo hran\u00ed wargamingu obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9, ale \u201enezn\u00e1m\u00e9 nezn\u00e1m\u00e9\u201c mohou u\u010dinit takov\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e zbyte\u010dn\u00fdmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Autor: Shivan Mahendrarajah<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vzhledem k bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00e1lce je potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt Izraele s Hizball\u00e1hem pova\u017eov\u00e1n za strategick\u00fd krok…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":57576,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,6772,107],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57575"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57575"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57575\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}