{"id":57467,"date":"2024-07-10T00:51:11","date_gmt":"2024-07-09T22:51:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=57467"},"modified":"2024-07-09T20:17:48","modified_gmt":"2024-07-09T18:17:48","slug":"uriel-araujo-bidenova-senilita-tema-dne-zda-se-ze-summit-nato-pronasleduje-strasidlo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/10\/uriel-araujo-bidenova-senilita-tema-dne-zda-se-ze-summit-nato-pronasleduje-strasidlo\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Bidenova senilita \u2013 t\u00e9ma dne, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee summit NATO pron\u00e1sleduje stra\u0161idlo"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Toto \u00fater\u00fd NATO svol\u00e1v\u00e1 sv\u016fj t\u0159\u00eddenn\u00ed summit ve Washingtonu, kde slav\u00ed sv\u00e9 75. narozeniny. Uprost\u0159ed oslav as mnoha nejistotami ohledn\u011b znovuzvolen\u00ed \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00edho americk\u00e9ho prezidenta (bidenova\u00a0<\/span>senilita<\/span><\/a>\u00a0je t\u00e9matem dne) se zd\u00e1, \u017ee na summitu (ze z\u00e1padn\u00ed perspektivy) stra\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edzrak, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b p\u0159\u00edzrak \u201ekrajn\u00ed pravice\u201c, a p\u0159\u00edzrak Donalda Trumpa. Probl\u00e9m se stra\u0161idly obecn\u011b spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee je \u010dasto docela t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 posoudit, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed skute\u010dnou hrozbu (a proto ve skute\u010dnosti nejsou stra\u0161idly, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e jsou skute\u010dn\u00fdm nebezpe\u010d\u00edm), a do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry jsou pouze n\u011bkter\u00fdmi vz\u00fdvan\u00fd, aby hr\u00e1l (velmi skute\u010dnou) roli pohodln\u00e9ho stra\u0161\u00e1ka, aby vyd\u011bsil ostatn\u00ed, aby p\u0159ijali ur\u010dit\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

O takzvan\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 \u201ekrajn\u00ed pravici\u201c jsem jinde tvrdil, \u017ee zahrnuje \u0161irokou heterogenn\u00ed \u0161k\u00e1lu politick\u00fdch akt\u00e9r\u016f a \u017ee jej\u00ed velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt a byla kooptov\u00e1na k podpo\u0159e evropsk\u00e9ho bloku a NATO. Sta\u010d\u00ed se pod\u00edvat na fenom\u00e9n italsk\u00e9 premi\u00e9rky\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Giorgia Meloni<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a v\u0161echny politick\u00e9 n\u00e1mluvy a flirtov\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u0159edsedkyn\u00ed Evropsk\u00e9 komise\u00a0<\/span>Ursulou von der Leyenovou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku, hromad\u00ed se tak\u00e9 myln\u00e9 p\u0159edstavy a m\u00fdty o Trumpovi a Bidenovi, uprost\u0159ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161tvanice NATO na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b a antiimperialistick\u00fdch iluz\u00ed na stran\u011b druh\u00e9. Zast\u00e1nci roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO \u201evaruj\u00ed\u201c, \u017ee nov\u00e9 Trumpovo p\u0159edsednictv\u00ed zp\u016fsob\u00ed z\u00e1nik Aliance, \u010d\u00edm\u017e uvrhne evropsk\u00fd kontinent zp\u011bt do pekeln\u00fdch v\u00e1lek a totalitarismu (toto doslova \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Hal Brands, v\u011bdec Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, argumentoval\u00a0<\/span>)<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed antiimperialisti\u010dt\u00ed analytici zase v\u011b\u0159\u00ed v podobn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 (konec NATO za Trumpa), ale s pozitivn\u00edm podtextem, pokud jde o vznik \u201eprotiv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9\u201c administrativy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Michael Galant (report\u00e9r New York Times) v\u0161ak tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby byl Trump \u201eprotiv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm\u201c prezidentem, ve skute\u010dnosti opakovan\u011b \u201ep\u0159il\u00e9val olej do ohn\u011b\u201c (zejm\u00e9na v Jemenu) t\u00edm, \u017ee \u201ezvy\u0161oval vzdu\u0161nou v\u00e1lku\u201c ( co\u017e ohromn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>zv\u00fd\u0161ilo \u00famrtnost civilist\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0) a \u201e\u00a0<\/span>zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm po\u010dtu voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c: sice st\u00e1hl tis\u00edce voj\u00e1k\u016f z Ir\u00e1ku, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a S\u00fdrie, ale na druhou stranu rozm\u00edstil tis\u00edce dal\u0161\u00edch nap\u0159\u00edklad do Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e zv\u00fd\u0161il vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii. V roce 2020 m\u011bl v S\u00fdrii, Ir\u00e1ku a Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu dohromady asi 10 000 pozemn\u00edch voj\u00e1k\u016f, co\u017e je\u00a0<\/span>podle<\/span><\/a>\u00a0New York Times jen o n\u011bco m\u00e1lo pod \u010d\u00edsly na konci p\u0159edchoz\u00edho Obamova prezidentstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co se t\u00fd\u010de takzvan\u00e9 \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 akce\u201c (to znamen\u00e1 n\u00e1let\u016f, speci\u00e1ln\u00edch operac\u00ed a n\u00e1let\u016f \u2013 \u010dasto bezpilotn\u00edch \u2013 dron\u016f), Trump, kdy\u017e byl prezident ve skute\u010dnosti,\u00a0<\/span>podle Stephena Tankela<\/span><\/a>\u00a0(vedlej\u0161\u00edho spolupracovn\u00edka Centra pro a New America Security), \u201eodstranil standard, \u017ee teroristick\u00fd c\u00edl mus\u00ed p\u0159edstavovat trvalou bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed hrozbu pro americk\u00e9 osoby, aby byly individu\u00e1ln\u011b zam\u011b\u0159eny mimo tradi\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00f3ny\u201c, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se sn\u00ed\u017eil \u201estandard hrozby uplat\u0148ovan\u00fd na lidi, kter\u00e9 mohou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zab\u00edt. \u201c Podobn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem byly zjednodu\u0161eny nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00e9 n\u00e1lety dron\u016f a \u201eprotiteroristick\u00e9 n\u00e1lety\u201c, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e neproch\u00e1zej\u00ed \u201estejn\u00fdm prov\u011b\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edm na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni jako za Obamy\u201c. Tolik k\u00a0Trumpov\u011b postav\u011b \u201e\u00a0<\/span>m\u00edrotvorce<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c. Nyn\u00ed, pokud jde o ot\u00e1zku NATO, je pot\u0159eba n\u011bjak\u00fd kontext.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evrop\u0161t\u00ed spojenci plus Kanada nav\u00fd\u0161ili sv\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 v\u00fddaje o stovky miliard dolar\u016f, co\u017e budou b\u011bhem summitu tento t\u00fdden oslavovat, zat\u00edmco n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed budou varovat p\u0159ed t\u00edm, \u017ee Trump mo\u017en\u00e1 \u201evykuch\u00e1\u201c Alianci. Jak n\u00e1m\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Marc A. Thiessen, sloupka\u0159 p\u00ed\u0161\u00edc\u00ed pro novin\u00e1\u0159e Washington Post,\u00a0byl to ve skute\u010dnosti Trump (nikoli Biden), kdo je zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za v\u011bt\u0161inu takov\u00e9ho zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f. Kdy\u017e republik\u00e1n nastoupil do \u00fa\u0159adu,\u00a0<\/span>pouze t\u0159i<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO krom\u011b USA plnili sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00fddaj\u016f \u2013 nav\u00edc \u201ev\u00fddaje ne\u010dlen\u016f USA klesly\u00a0v roce 2015 na historick\u00e9 minimum\u00a0<\/span>1,4 procenta \u201c.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

To byl kontext opakovan\u00fdch pozn\u00e1mek republik\u00e1na o zastaralosti Aliance. Trumpova r\u00e9torika o NATO, jak jsem ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span>psal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, o tom v\u017edy byla. Jak \u0159ekl\u00a0<\/span>v<\/span><\/a>\u00a0roce 2016: \u201eNATO je ekonomicky nespravedliv\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di n\u00e1m, v\u016f\u010di Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm. Proto\u017ee jim to opravdu pom\u00e1h\u00e1 v\u00edc ne\u017e Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a my plat\u00edme nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00fd pod\u00edl.\u201c Ve stejn\u00e9m duchu v roce 2017 Trump\u016fv \u0161\u00e9f obrany James Mattis\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1sil<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: \u201eAmerick\u00fd da\u0148ov\u00fd poplatn\u00edk u\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee n\u00e9st nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00fd pod\u00edl na obran\u011b z\u00e1padn\u00edch hodnot. S\u00e1m republik\u00e1n tvrdil, \u017ee jeho \u201etvrd\u00e1 slova\u201c se t\u00fdkala vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed taktiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00e1m Biden je podle z\u00e1znam\u016f (v roce 1997) podobn\u00fd. Tehdej\u0161\u00ed sen\u00e1tor p\u0159i diskusi o roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO a \u201epokusech o rovn\u00e9 sd\u00edlen\u00ed n\u00e1klad\u016f na roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO\u201c, stejn\u011b jako o t\u00e9matu \u201eochota k racion\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u011blb\u011b pr\u00e1ce v Bosn\u011b\u201c, \u0159ekl velmi americk\u00fdmi slovy, \u017ee postoje evropsk\u00fdch \u010clenov\u00e9 NATO, pokud jde o pod\u00edl Washingtonu na n\u00e1kladech Atlantick\u00e9 aliance, \u201emnoh\u00fdm sen\u00e1tor\u016fm p\u0159ipadaj\u00ed jako varianty, jak pova\u017eovat Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty za hlup\u00e1ky\u201c. Dodal, \u017ee \u201epokud rychle nedosp\u011bjeme k uspokojiv\u00e9mu sd\u00edlen\u00ed b\u0159emene porozum\u011bn\u00ed ve v\u0161ech jeho aspektech s na\u0161imi evropsk\u00fdmi a kanadsk\u00fdmi spojenci, bude budoucnost NATO v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm stolet\u00ed velmi pochybn\u00e1. (\u00a0<\/span>video<\/span><\/a>\u00a0lze vid\u011bt na C-SPAN, p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 42 minut).<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eTrump-proofing\u201c NATO je nyn\u00ed jedn\u00edm z t\u00e9mat, o nich\u017e se mluv\u00ed v evropsk\u00e9m establishmentu, zat\u00edmco Brusel se sna\u017e\u00ed bu\u010f kooptovat, nebo neutralizovat disidenty, a zat\u00edmco Evropa\u00a0<\/span>ji\u017e m\u00e1 vojenskou p\u0159\u00edtomnost na Ukrajin\u011b<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

V \u00fanoru 2023 Sumantra Maitra, kter\u00e1 nav\u0161t\u00edvila Senior Fellow pro Centrum pro obnovu Ameriky (think-tank, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 spojen\u00ed s n\u011bkter\u00fdmi tv\u016frci Trumpovy politiky),\u00a0<\/span>tvrdila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee Washington by se m\u011bl \u201eodklonit od Evropy\u201c: \u201eMnohem obez\u0159etn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed strategie je vynutit si Evropu h\u00e1jenou Evropany pouze s americk\u00fdm n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvem a jako poskytovatele logistiky posledn\u00ed instance s USA p\u0159eorientovan\u00fdmi na Asii. Koncept Hillary Clintonov\u00e9 o \u201e\u00a0<\/span>pacifick\u00e9m stolet\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c ve skute\u010dnosti nebyl nikdy zcela opu\u0161t\u011bn, a jak jsem ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span>psal<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika Washingtonu dlouho oscilovala, tam a zp\u011bt, mezi \u201ekontrov\u00e1n\u00edm\u201c Moskv\u011b nebo Pekingu (n\u011bkdy se pokou\u0161\u00ed o oboj\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u011b).<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho ji\u017e byly projedn\u00e1v\u00e1ny velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti takzvan\u00e9ho \u201eTrumpova pl\u00e1nu\u201c t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edho se NATO, d\u00edky \u010demu\u017e je v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bez ohledu na to, kdo vyhraje volby v USA. Dalo by se citovat (\u0161patn\u011b pojmenovanou) \u201e\u00a0<\/span>Pevnost Evropa<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c a dal\u0161\u00ed iniciativy, jako je takzvan\u00fd \u201e\u00a0<\/span>vojensko-schengensk\u00fd<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c n\u00e1vrh \u2013 nemluv\u011b o \u201e\u00a0<\/span>obrann\u00e9 linii EU<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c ve st\u00e1le v\u00edce militarizovan\u00e9 a OTANizovan\u00e9 Evrop\u011b. Je to v\u0161echno o\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9m<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00e9m<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ot\u00e1\u010den\u00ed USA\u00a0<\/span>do Pacifiku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u011bmto pl\u00e1n\u016fm br\u00e1n\u00ed mnoho p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek, v\u010detn\u011b dota\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Washingtonu\u00a0\u00a0proti\u00a0<\/span>deindustrializovan\u00e9mu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kontinentu, kter\u00fd je st\u00e1le do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry\u00a0<\/span>z\u00e1visl\u00fd na USA<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Zm\u011bnit to nen\u00ed snadn\u00fd \u00fakol.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b, ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly byly posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b v defenziv\u011b a Rusko n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t postupovalo na 600 mil dlouh\u00e9 front\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 oblasti Don\u011bcka. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ustoupila z p\u0159edm\u011bst\u00ed Chasiv Jar, strategick\u00e9ho m\u011bsta. Rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany tak\u00e9 ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee jeho vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly nyn\u00ed kontroluj\u00ed okres Novyi, kter\u00fd se nach\u00e1z\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u011b od kan\u00e1lu Siversky-Donabas. S t\u00edmto v\u00fdvojem je Moskva bl\u00ed\u017ee k z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed kontroly nad cel\u00fdm regionem. Tvrd\u00fdm faktem je, \u017ee Trump zdaleka nen\u00ed jedin\u00fdm probl\u00e9mem NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uriel Araujo<\/a>, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk se zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed a etnick\u00e9 konflikty<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Toto \u00fater\u00fd NATO svol\u00e1v\u00e1 sv\u016fj t\u0159\u00eddenn\u00ed summit ve Washingtonu, kde slav\u00ed sv\u00e9 75. narozeniny. Uprost\u0159ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":57468,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,72,39,623],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57467"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57467"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57467\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}