{"id":57144,"date":"2024-07-06T00:31:29","date_gmt":"2024-07-05T22:31:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=57144"},"modified":"2024-07-05T10:50:15","modified_gmt":"2024-07-05T08:50:15","slug":"alastair-crooke-zapad-nepochybne-ztratil-rusko-a-ztraci-take-eurasii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/06\/alastair-crooke-zapad-nepochybne-ztratil-rusko-a-ztraci-take-eurasii\/","title":{"rendered":"Alastair Crooke: Z\u00e1pad \u2013 nepochybn\u011b \u2013 ztratil Rusko a ztr\u00e1c\u00ed tak\u00e9 Eurasii"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Nen\u00ed nyn\u00ed jasn\u00fd \u00fa\u010del n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy prezidenta Putina v Severn\u00ed Koreji a Vietnamu v kontextu projektu euroasijsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Mo\u017en\u00e1 se lid\u00e9 ve Washingtonu tento t\u00fdden nakr\u00e1tko probudili ze sp\u00e1nku, kdy\u017e si p\u0159e\u010detli zpr\u00e1vu o\u00a0<\/span><em><span>demar\u0161i<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0Sergeje Lavrova americk\u00e9mu velvyslanci v Moskv\u011b: Rusko \u0159eklo USA: \u201eU\u017e nejsme v m\u00edru\u201c!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/news\/world\/russia-blames-us-ukrainian-strikes-crimea-rcna158471\"><span>Rusko nejen\u017ee obvinilo<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0USA z \u201e\u00fatoku kazetov\u00e9 bomby\u201c na krymsk\u00e9 pl\u00e1\u017ei minulou ned\u011bli o Letnic\u00edch\u00a0, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m bylo zabito n\u011bkolik lid\u00ed (v\u010detn\u011b d\u011bt\u00ed) a mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch zran\u011bno. V d\u016fsledku toho byly USA \u201ezata\u017eeny\u201c do proxy v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b (jednalo se o ATACM dodan\u00fd USA, naprogramovan\u00fd americk\u00fdmi experty a vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed americk\u00e1 data), uvedlo rusk\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed; &#8220;\u00a0<\/span><em><span>Odveta bude ur\u010dit\u011b n\u00e1sledovat.&#8220;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bkde z\u0159ejm\u011b sv\u00edtilo \u017elut\u00e9 sv\u011btlo v r\u016f\u017eov\u00fdch a \u010derven\u00fdch t\u00f3nech. Pentagon si uv\u011bdomil, \u017ee se n\u011bco stalo: \u201eNeexistuje zp\u016fsob, jak to obej\u00edt; &#8222;To by se mohlo \u0161patn\u011b vyeskalovat.&#8220; Americk\u00fd ministr obrany\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/news\/russian-us-defence-ministers-discussed-ukraine-by-phone-moscow-says-db39f1f9\"><span>zvedl\u00a0<\/span><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/news\/russian-us-defence-ministers-discussed-ukraine-by-phone-moscow-says-db39f1f9\"><span>telefon<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0(po p\u0159est\u00e1vce od b\u0159ezna 2023),\u00a0aby zavolal sv\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu prot\u011bj\u0161ku: \u201eUSA lituj\u00ed smrti civilist\u016f; Ukrajinci m\u011bli plnou volnost p\u0159i zam\u011b\u0159en\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Rusk\u00e1 ve\u0159ejnost je v\u0161ak jednodu\u0161e na\u0161tvan\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Diplomatick\u00e1 fr\u00e1ze, \u017ee jsme nyn\u00ed ve stavu mezi, nikoli ve v\u00e1lce ani v m\u00edru, je jen \u201epolovina bitvy\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1pad\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/russiancouncil.ru\/en\/analytics-and-comments\/comments\/russia-s-european-journey-is-over\/\">\u201eztratil\u201c\u00a0<\/a><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/russiancouncil.ru\/en\/analytics-and-comments\/comments\/russia-s-european-journey-is-over\/\"><span>Rusko<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0mnohem hloub\u011bji\u00a0, ne\u017e se ch\u00e1pe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Prezident Putin podrobn\u011b popsal, jak jsme se dostali k tomuto kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9mu bodu (nevyhnuteln\u00e9 eskalace), ve sv\u00e9m\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/mid.ru\/en\/foreign_policy\/news\/1957107\/\"><span>prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0pro Radu ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed po \u0161ermu G7. Putin pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee v\u00e1\u017enost situace vy\u017eaduje nab\u00eddku \u201eposledn\u00ed \u0161ance\u201c Z\u00e1padu, co\u017e podle Putina \u201enen\u00ed do\u010dasn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm, aby se Kyjev p\u0159ipravil na novou ofenz\u00edvu, ani zmrazen\u00edm konfliktu, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e jeho\u00a0<\/span><em><span>kone\u010dn\u00e9 ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u0161eobecn\u011b se v\u011b\u0159ilo, \u017ee jedin\u00fdm v\u011brohodn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, jak ukon\u010dit ukrajinskou v\u00e1lku, by byla vyjednan\u00e1 \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda\u201c mezi Ruskem a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>To je v\u0161ak zalo\u017eeno na dob\u0159e zn\u00e1m\u00e9m n\u00e1zoru zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9m na USA \u2013 \u201e\u010cek\u00e1n\u00ed na Washington\u2026\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Lavrov poznamenal (parafr\u00e1zuje), \u017ee \u201eka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee \u010dek\u00e1me na Godota\u201c, se bude m\u00fdlit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Moskva m\u00e1 na mysli n\u011bco mnohem radik\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00edho \u2013 n\u011bco, co \u0161okuje Z\u00e1pad.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Moskva (a \u010c\u00edna) ne\u010dekaj\u00ed pouze na rozmary Z\u00e1padu, ale pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed zcela zvr\u00e1tit paradigma bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury: cht\u011bj\u00ed vytvo\u0159it \u201estarou\u201c architekturu pro \u201eobrovsk\u00fd prostor\u201c Eurasie, nic m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>M\u00e1 ukon\u010dit st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed blokovou konfrontaci s nulov\u00fdm sou\u010dtem. Nep\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 se nov\u00e1 konfrontace, ale nov\u00e1 architektura\u00a0<\/span><em><span>m\u00e1<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0donutit \u201evn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akt\u00e9ry\u201c omezit svou hegemonii na kontinentu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Putin ve sv\u00e9m projevu na ministerstvu zahrani\u010d\u00ed v\u00fdslovn\u011b p\u0159edv\u00eddal kolaps euroatlantick\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu a vznik nov\u00e9 architektury: \u201eSv\u011bt u\u017e nikdy nebude stejn\u00fd,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Co t\u00edm myslel?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jurij U\u0161akov, Putin\u016fv nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed poradce pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku (na Primakov Reading Forum), objasnil Putinovu \u201e\u0159\u00eddkou\u201c zm\u00ednku:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>U\u0161akov pr\u00fd \u0159ekl, \u017ee Rusko st\u00e1le v\u00edce doch\u00e1z\u00ed k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dlouhodob\u00e9 revizi evropsk\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu nedojde. A bez komplexn\u00edho p\u0159epracov\u00e1n\u00ed nebude \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span>kone\u010dn\u00e9\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u201c (Putinova slova) konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>U\u0161akov vysv\u011btlil, \u017ee tento jednotn\u00fd a ned\u011bliteln\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed syst\u00e9m v Eurasii mus\u00ed nahradit euroatlantick\u00e9 a eurocentrick\u00e9 modely, na kter\u00e9 se nyn\u00ed zapom\u00edn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u0158ekl bych, \u017ee tento projev [Putina na rusk\u00e9m ministerstvu zahrani\u010d\u00ed] ur\u010duje sm\u011br pro dal\u0161\u00ed aktivity na\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b budov\u00e1n\u00ed jednotn\u00e9ho a ned\u011bliteln\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu v Eurasii,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u0159ekl U\u0161akov.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nebezpe\u010d\u00ed nadm\u011brn\u00e9 propagandy bylo zd\u016frazn\u011bno v d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed epizod\u011b, ve kter\u00e9 se velk\u00fd st\u00e1t dostal do pasti vlastn\u00ed d\u00e9monizace sv\u00fdch odp\u016frc\u016f: bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektura Jihoafrick\u00e9 republiky pro Angolu a jihoz\u00e1padn\u00ed Afriku (nyn\u00ed Namibii) se tak\u00e9 zhroutila v roce 1980 (byl jsem tam v t\u00e9 dob\u011b). Jihoafrick\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly m\u011bly v severn\u00ed Jihoafrick\u00e9 republice st\u00e1le zbytkov\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed nesm\u00edrn\u00e9 ni\u010div\u00e9 s\u00edly, ale pou\u017eit\u00ed t\u011bchto sil nevedlo k politick\u00e9mu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed ani zlep\u0161en\u00ed situace. Sp\u00ed\u0161e to vedlo Ji\u017en\u00ed Afriku do zapomn\u011bn\u00ed (stejn\u011b jako U\u0161akov dnes popisuje euroatlantick\u00fd model). Pretoria cht\u011bla zm\u011bnu; bylo ochotno (v z\u00e1sad\u011b) uzav\u0159\u00edt dohodu se SWAPO, ale pokus o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed selhal na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 1981.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u011bt\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem bylo, \u017ee jihoafrick\u00e1 vl\u00e1da apartheidu byla tak \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1 ve sv\u00e9 propagand\u011b a d\u00e9monizaci SWAPO jako \u201emarxisty A teroristy\u201c, \u017ee se ve\u0159ejnost zdr\u00e1hala jak\u00e9koli dohod\u011b a trvalo by to dal\u0161\u00ed desetilet\u00ed (a vy\u017eadovalo by to geostrategickou revoluci), ne\u017e bude dohoda nakonec mo\u017en\u00e1 byla.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dnes jsou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed \u201eelity\u201c USA a EU tak \u201e\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9\u201c se svou stejn\u011b p\u0159ehnanou protiruskou propagandou, \u017ee jsou v n\u00ed tak\u00e9 uv\u011bzn\u011bny. I kdyby cht\u011bli (co\u017e necht\u011bj\u00ed), nov\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektura by se v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch letech mohla jednodu\u0161e uk\u00e1zat jako \u201enevyjedn\u00e1vateln\u00e1\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jak zd\u016fraznil Lavrov, euroasijsk\u00e9 zem\u011b dosp\u011bly k pozn\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee bezpe\u010dnost na kontinentu mus\u00ed b\u00fdt budov\u00e1na zevnit\u0159 \u2013 bez a daleko od americk\u00e9ho vlivu. V tomto konceptu se princip ned\u011blitelnosti bezpe\u010dnosti \u2013 prvek, kter\u00fd nebyl v euroatlantick\u00e9m projektu implementov\u00e1n \u2013 m\u016f\u017ee a m\u011bl by se st\u00e1t kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm konceptem, na kter\u00e9m lze stav\u011bt eurasijskou strukturu, \u0159ekl Lavrov.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V t\u00e9to \u201ened\u011blitelnosti\u201c spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00e1 a nikoli nomin\u00e1ln\u00ed implementace ustanoven\u00ed Charty OSN, v\u010detn\u011b principu suver\u00e9nn\u00ed rovnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Euroasijsk\u00e9 zem\u011b spojuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, aby spole\u010dn\u011b \u010delily americk\u00fdm n\u00e1rok\u016fm na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonii a vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1padu do z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed jin\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, \u0159ekl Lavrov ve st\u0159edu na\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imemo.ru\/en\/news\/events\/text\/x-annual-international-forum-primakov-readings\"><span>f\u00f3ru Primakov Reading Forum<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>USA a dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b \u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span>se sna\u017e\u00ed zasahovat do z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Eurasie<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u201c; P\u0159esouvaj\u00ed infrastrukturu NATO do Asie, po\u0159\u00e1daj\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed a uzav\u00edraj\u00ed nov\u00e9 pakty. Lavrov p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201e\u00a0<\/span><em><span>Je to geopolitick\u00e1 bitva.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Bylo tomu tak v\u017edy a mo\u017en\u00e1 to bude je\u0161t\u011b dlouho pokra\u010dovat \u2013 a mo\u017en\u00e1 se nedo\u010dk\u00e1me konce tohoto procesu.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Ale je fakt, \u017ee proti kurzu kontroly v\u0161eho, co se v\u0161ude d\u011bje z oce\u00e1nu, nyn\u00ed stoj\u00ed kurz sjednocov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed euroasijsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zah\u00e1jen\u00ed konzultac\u00ed o nov\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed struktu\u0159e zat\u00edm nenazna\u010duje vytvo\u0159en\u00ed vojensko-politick\u00e9 aliance po vzoru NATO.\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eP\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm by to mohlo m\u00edt formu f\u00f3ra nebo konzulta\u010dn\u00edho mechanismu zainteresovan\u00fdch zem\u00ed, nezat\u00ed\u017een\u00fdch p\u0159ehnan\u00fdmi organiza\u010dn\u00edmi a institucion\u00e1ln\u00edmi povinnostmi,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0p\u00ed\u0161e Ivan Timofeev.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u201eparametry\u201c tohoto syst\u00e9mu,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/tass.com\/defense\/1808841\"><span>vysv\u011btlila<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0Maria Zakharova,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201e&#8230;\u00a0<\/span><em><span>nejen\u017ee zajist\u00ed trval\u00fd m\u00edr, ale tak\u00e9 zabr\u00e1n\u00ed velk\u00fdm geopolitick\u00fdm ot\u0159es\u016fm vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edm z krize globalizace z\u00e1padn\u00edho typu.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Vytvo\u0159\u00ed spolehliv\u00e9 vojensko-politick\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky ochrany jak Rusk\u00e9 federace, tak dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed makroregionu p\u0159ed vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi hrozbami, vytvo\u0159\u00ed bezkonfliktn\u00ed a rozvojov\u011b vst\u0159\u00edcn\u00fd prostor \u2013 odstran\u011bn\u00edm destabilizuj\u00edc\u00edho vlivu mimoregion\u00e1ln\u00edch akt\u00e9r\u016f na euroasijsk\u00e9 procesy .\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>V budoucnu to bude znamenat sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch mocnost\u00ed v Eurasii.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>\u010cestn\u00fd p\u0159edseda\u00a0<\/span><em><span>Rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed a obrannou politiku<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0Ruska Sergej Karaganov v\u0161ak p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 svou st\u0159\u00edzlivou anal\u00fdzu\u00a0(v\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/karaganov.ru\/en\/sergei-karaganov-nuclear-escalation-may-open-pandora-s-box-but-it-will-also-free-the-world-from-the-500-year-long-western-yoke\/\"><span>ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru ):<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eBohu\u017eel sm\u011b\u0159ujeme ke skute\u010dn\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, k v\u00e1lce v pln\u00e9m rozsahu.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Z\u00e1klad syst\u00e9mu star\u00e9ho sv\u011bta prask\u00e1 a vypuknou konflikty.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Je nutn\u00e9 zablokovat cestu k takov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce\u2026 Konflikty se ji\u017e schyluj\u00ed a prob\u00edhaj\u00ed ve v\u0161ech oblastech.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eOSN je vym\u00edraj\u00edc\u00ed plemeno, sv\u00e1zan\u00e9 se z\u00e1padn\u00edm apar\u00e1tem, a proto nereformovateln\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>No, m\u011bla by z\u016fstat.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Ale mus\u00edme vybudovat paraleln\u00ed struktury&#8230; Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee bychom m\u011bli vybudovat paraleln\u00ed syst\u00e9my roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm BRICS a SCO, rozvojem jejich interakce s ASEAN, Ligou arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, Organizac\u00ed africk\u00e9 jednoty, Latinskoamerick\u00fdm Mercosurem atd.\u201c .<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eObecn\u011b m\u00e1me z\u00e1jem na vybudov\u00e1n\u00ed mnohostrann\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu jadern\u00e9ho odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed ve sv\u011bt\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Proto m\u011b osobn\u011b neznepokojuje vznik nov\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed a posilov\u00e1n\u00ed star\u00fdch, proto\u017ee spol\u00e9hat se na rozum lid\u00ed nefunguje.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Mus\u00ed tam b\u00fdt strach.\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>Mus\u00ed se v\u00edce spol\u00e9hat na \u201ejadern\u00e9 odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 strach, inspirace \u2013 deziluze\u201c.<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Aspekt jadern\u00e9 politiky je dnes v Rusku slo\u017eit\u00fdm a kontroverzn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 restriktivn\u00ed rusk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 doktr\u00edna m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1, pokud mezi protivn\u00edky vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mnoho lhostejnosti, to znamen\u00e1, pokud na odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinek zap\u016fsob\u00ed nebo jsou lhostejn\u00ed, a to natolik, \u017ee ignoruj\u00ed jeho realitu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jin\u00ed d\u00e1vaj\u00ed p\u0159ednost postoji posledn\u00ed instance. V\u0161ichni v\u0161ak souhlas\u00ed s t\u00edm, \u017ee eurasijsk\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektura m\u00e1 krom\u011b jadern\u00e9ho vyu\u017eit\u00ed k dispozici mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch \u00farovn\u00ed eskalace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Schopnost vytvo\u0159it celokontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed jadernou \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed br\u00e1nu\u201c\u00a0<\/span><em><span>proti<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0jadern\u011b vybaven\u00e9mu NATO je v\u0161ak z\u0159ejm\u00e1: Rusko, \u010c\u00edna, Indie, P\u00e1kist\u00e1n \u2013 a nyn\u00ed Severn\u00ed Korea \u2013 jsou v\u0161echny st\u00e1ty s jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, tak\u017ee ur\u010dit\u00fd odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed potenci\u00e1l ji\u017e existuje. vestav\u011bn\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dal\u0161\u00ed \u201e\u00farovn\u011b eskalace\u201c budou nepochybn\u011b p\u0159edm\u011btem diskus\u00ed na \u0159\u00edjnov\u00e9m summitu BRICS v Khasanu. Proto\u017ee bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektura nen\u00ed koncep\u010dn\u011b jen \u201evojensk\u00e1\u201c. Na programu jsou tak\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed, finan\u010dn\u00ed a sank\u010dn\u00ed ot\u00e1zky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jednoduch\u00e1 logika obr\u00e1cen\u00ed vojensk\u00e9ho paradigmatu NATO za \u00fa\u010delem vytvo\u0159en\u00ed \u201estar\u00e9ho\u201c euroasijsk\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu by jen silou logiky nazna\u010dovala, \u017ee m\u00e1-li b\u00fdt zvr\u00e1ceno bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed paradigma, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt obr\u00e1cena i z\u00e1padn\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed a obchodn\u00ed hegemonie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dedolarizace je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ji\u017e na programu a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed mechanismy budou p\u0159edlo\u017eeny v \u0159\u00edjnu. Ale pokud se nyn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad c\u00edt\u00ed svobodn\u011b sankcionovat Eurasii dle libosti, existuje tak\u00e9 mo\u017enost, \u017ee by Eurasie mohla na opl\u00e1tku sankcionovat USA nebo Evropu \u2013 nebo oboj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ano. \u201eZtratili jsme\u201c Rusko (ne nav\u017edy). A mohli bychom ztratit mnohem v\u00edc. Nen\u00ed jasn\u00fd \u00fa\u010del n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy prezidenta Putina v Severn\u00ed Koreji a Vietnamu v kontextu projektu euroasijsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury? Vy jste toho sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A abych parafr\u00e1zoval slavnou b\u00e1se\u0148 CP Cavafyho:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Pro\u010d ten n\u00e1hl\u00fd zmatek, tento zmatek?\u00a0<\/span><\/em><em><span>(Jak v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 tv\u00e1\u0159e lid\u00ed se staly).<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>Proto\u017ee padla noc a [Rusov\u00e9] nep\u0159i\u0161li.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>A n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed na\u0161i mu\u017ei, kte\u0159\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b p\u0159i\u0161li z hranic, \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>nez\u016fstali \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed [Rusov\u00e9]\u2026<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eCo se s n\u00e1mi te\u010f stane bez [Rus\u016f]\u201c?<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><span>&#8222;Byli jak\u00fdmsi \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm.&#8220;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/strategic-culture.su\/news\/2024\/07\/01\/the-west-indubitably-has-lost-russia-and-is-losing-eurasia-too\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nen\u00ed nyn\u00ed jasn\u00fd \u00fa\u010del n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy prezidenta Putina v Severn\u00ed Koreji a Vietnamu v kontextu projektu&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":56153,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[6631,22,37,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57144"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57144"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57144\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}