{"id":56937,"date":"2024-07-03T00:42:21","date_gmt":"2024-07-02T22:42:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=56937"},"modified":"2024-07-02T16:42:35","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T14:42:35","slug":"libanon-letos-v-lete-nadchazejici-valka-mezi-hizballahem-a-izraelem-skonci-jednim-ze-dvou-scenaru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/07\/03\/libanon-letos-v-lete-nadchazejici-valka-mezi-hizballahem-a-izraelem-skonci-jednim-ze-dvou-scenaru\/","title":{"rendered":"Libanon letos v l\u00e9t\u011b: Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lka mezi Hizball\u00e1hem a Izraelem skon\u010d\u00ed jedn\u00edm ze dvou sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 eskalace na libanonsko-izraelsk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch nen\u00ed do\u010dasn\u00e1 a postupn\u011b se roz\u0161i\u0159uje v tot\u00e1ln\u00ed konfrontaci mezi dv\u011bma siln\u011b ozbrojen\u00fdmi mocnostmi, Hizball\u00e1hem a Izraelem.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ob\u011bti na obou stran\u00e1ch p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed, do boje jsou zav\u00e1d\u011bny nov\u00e9 typy zbran\u00ed a c\u00edlem jsou nov\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 oblasti v obou zem\u00edch. \u00darove\u0148 agrese, nen\u00e1visti a chaosu dos\u00e1hla bodu, odkud nen\u00ed n\u00e1vratu, co\u017e pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b znamen\u00e1, \u017ee n\u00e1s d\u011bl\u00ed jen p\u00e1r dn\u00ed od tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky mezi Libanonem a Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka mezi Izraelem a Hizball\u00e1hem bude rozhodn\u011b jin\u00e1 ne\u017e v\u00e1lka mezi Hamasem a Izraelem. Za prv\u00e9, Hizball\u00e1h je mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Hamas, pokud jde o s\u00edlu, velikost a opera\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159ipravenost. Za druh\u00e9, Hizball\u00e1h m\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost na mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed ne\u017e Hamas, nemluv\u011b o spojen\u00ed mezi syrsk\u00fdm a libanonsk\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm, na rozd\u00edl od obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00e9ho p\u00e1sma Gazy. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, pokud v\u00e1lka za\u010dne, Hizball\u00e1h dostane neomezenou podporu ve form\u011b zbran\u00ed a logistiky ze S\u00fdrie a \u00cdr\u00e1nu a nebude na n\u011bj uvaleno embargo jako na Ham\u00e1s. Pro Izrael by proto bylo mnohem obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout \u201erychl\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c nebo prov\u00e9st tot\u00e1ln\u00ed pozemn\u00ed invazi, jak se to stalo v p\u00e1smu Gazy za posledn\u00edch 10 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho je Hizball\u00e1h v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b p\u0159\u00edtomen nejen v Libanonu \u2013 jako ve v\u00e1lce v roce 2006 \u2013 ale tak\u00e9 v S\u00fdrii, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Izrael mus\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1vat \u00fatoky a raketov\u00e9 ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed ze dvou front ne\u017e z jedn\u00e9. Nemluv\u011b o modernizovan\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch sil\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 Hizball\u00e1h v posledn\u00edch letech vybudoval, co\u017e tak\u00e9 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee dlouh\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky zcela bezpe\u010dn\u00e9. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, fronty bitvy budou po\u010detn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a del\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce v Gaze. Hizball\u00e1h nav\u00edc z\u00edskal sofistikovan\u00e9 bezpilotn\u00ed letouny z \u00cdr\u00e1nu, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje nov\u00fd typ v\u00fdzvy pro izraelskou arm\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jen p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny Hizball\u00e1h ve\u0159ejn\u011b ozn\u00e1mil \u00fasp\u011bch unik\u00e1tn\u00ed leteck\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace proveden\u00e9 mal\u00fdm dronem, kter\u00fd vypad\u00e1 jako pt\u00e1k. Dron let\u011bl hodiny hluboko do izraelsk\u00e9 geografie a dos\u00e1hl a\u017e do srdce m\u011bsta Haifa. Dron zachytil video a sn\u00edmky mnoha citliv\u00fdch izraelsk\u00fdch komer\u010dn\u00edch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch a obrann\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Skute\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm bylo, \u017ee dron let\u011bl zp\u011bt do Libanonu, ani\u017e by byl detekov\u00e1n nebo sest\u0159elen \u017deleznou kupol\u00ed, nejvysp\u011blej\u0161\u00edm izraelsk\u00fdm syst\u00e9mem protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. Tento v\u00fdvoj na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee Hizball\u00e1h je schopen zas\u00e1hnout mnohem hlub\u0161\u00ed oblasti v Izraeli, kam se mu ve v\u00e1lce v roce 2006 nedostalo, co\u017e tak\u00e9 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee cel\u00e1 v\u00e1lka s Libanonem nebude kr\u00e1tk\u00e1, rychl\u00e1 ani snadn\u00e1. k vy\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na druhou stranu jsou obrann\u00e9 schopnosti Izraele velmi zn\u00e1m\u00e9, proto\u017ee zem\u011b vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed technologie do glob\u00e1ln\u00ed obrann\u00e9 ar\u00e9ny. Nemluv\u011b o skv\u011bl\u00fdch schopnostech Izraele v p\u0159esn\u00e9m sledov\u00e1n\u00ed a taktice bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed. To v\u0161e ukazuje, \u017ee pro Hizball\u00e1h by nebylo snadn\u00e9 efektivn\u011b proniknout na izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed nebo se dostat do oblast\u00ed daleko od hranic. Stejn\u011b tak by bylo pro izraelsk\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed s\u00edly velmi n\u00e1kladn\u00e9 a obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 proniknout obrann\u00fdmi liniemi Hizball\u00e1hu, kter\u00e9 jsou p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b opevn\u011bny \u201estovkami kilometr\u016f\u201c podzemn\u00edch tunel\u016f p\u0159ipraven\u00fdch pomoc\u00ed velmi sofistikovan\u00e9 partyz\u00e1nsk\u00e9 taktiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho se ob\u011b zem\u011b t\u011b\u0161\u00ed drtiv\u00e9 podpo\u0159e sv\u00fdch glob\u00e1ln\u00edch podporovatel\u016f, a\u0165 u\u017e jde o USA, \u00cdr\u00e1n, Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed, Severn\u00ed Koreu nebo S\u00fdrii, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka mezi Libanonem a Izraelem p\u0159im\u011bje hlavn\u00ed podporovatele je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce b\u00fdt a podporovat. jim \u2013 aby jejich spojenec v\u00e1lku neprohr\u00e1l. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, takov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt nevyhrateln\u00e1 pro ob\u011b strany a neskon\u010d\u00ed vojensk\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm. S nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed v\u00e1lka na hranic\u00edch zes\u00edl\u00ed a potrv\u00e1 m\u011bs\u00edce \u2013 ne-li roky \u2013 proto\u017ee ob\u011b mocnosti, Izrael i Hizball\u00e1h, se na takovou v\u00e1lku l\u00e9ta p\u0159ipravovaly a ob\u011b proti t\u00e9 druh\u00e9 vyvinuly pokro\u010dil\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 mechanismy.<\/span><\/p>\n

V d\u016fsledku toho tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka mezi Hizball\u00e1hem a Izraelem skon\u010d\u00ed v jednom ze dvou sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f. Bu\u010f se bude n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f bojovat na v\u0161ech front\u00e1ch, dokud jedna strana snadno nez\u00edsk\u00e1 p\u0159evahu nad druhou, co\u017e by poskytlo vhodnou p\u016fdu pro p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 \u010di nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Dal\u0161\u00edm mo\u017en\u00fdm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em je, \u017ee po m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch boj\u016f se Izraeli poda\u0159\u00ed obsadit \u010d\u00e1sti jihu Libanonu, co\u017e je v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd v\u00fdvoj, kter\u00fd by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b donutil S\u00fdrii a \u00cdr\u00e1n vstoupit p\u0159\u00edmo do boje, aby omezil postup Izraele do strategick\u00fdch oblast\u00ed, aby zastavil hranici se S\u00fdri\u00ed. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00e1lka se ji\u017e stala region\u00e1ln\u00edm konfliktem, kter\u00fd se zcela vymkl kontrole.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 eskalace na libanonsko-izraelsk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch nen\u00ed do\u010dasn\u00e1 a postupn\u011b se roz\u0161i\u0159uje…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":44478,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,6772,107,405,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56937"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56937"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56937\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44478"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56937"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56937"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56937"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}