{"id":56448,"date":"2024-06-26T06:22:13","date_gmt":"2024-06-26T04:22:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=56448"},"modified":"2024-06-26T06:22:13","modified_gmt":"2024-06-26T04:22:13","slug":"sergej-savcuk-evropa-dava-cine-ultimatum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/06\/26\/sergej-savcuk-evropa-dava-cine-ultimatum\/","title":{"rendered":"Sergej Sav\u010duk: Evropa d\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010c\u00edn\u011b ultim\u00e1tum"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Kolem na\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b d\u00e1l krou\u017e\u00ed \u017eraloci r\u016fzn\u00e9ho stupn\u011b zubatosti ve velk\u00e9 nad\u011bji, \u017ee najdou slab\u00e9 m\u00edsto a kone\u010dn\u011b uvid\u00ed, kdy\u017e ne kolaps Ruska, tak alespo\u0148 jeho \u00fastup, co\u017e se rovn\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017ece v historick\u00e9m z\u00e1vod\u011b. Robert Habeck, kter\u00fd zast\u00e1v\u00e1 funkce n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho vicekancl\u00e9\u0159e a ministra hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed a klimatu, podnikl cestu do \u010c\u00edny, kde se znovu pokusil rozvr\u00e1tit rusko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 vztahy.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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P\u0159i setk\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u0159edsedou St\u00e1tn\u00edho v\u00fdboru pro rozvoj a reformu Zheng Shanjie po\u017eadoval, aby\u00a0<\/span>Peking<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ukon\u010dil ve\u0161ker\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed a ekonomick\u00e9 vztahy s\u00a0<\/span>Moskvou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a zastavil jakoukoli pomoc souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s podporou rusk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho komplexu nebo rozvojem vojensk\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu. Habeck \u0161\u00e9fa \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho pl\u00e1nu varoval, \u017ee pokud Nebesk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e nep\u0159estane spolupracovat s Ruskem, budou ohro\u017eeny bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 s\u00a0<\/span>N\u011bmeckem<\/span><\/a> a Evropskou uni\u00ed jako celkem.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 jasn\u00e9, komu byl tento projev ur\u010den, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b uv\u00e1\u017e\u00edme-li, \u017ee pan Habeck jako d\u016fvody a argumenty uv\u00e1d\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed ot\u00e1zky, zejm\u00e9na z\u00e1vislost evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed na zdroj\u00edch, surovin\u00e1ch a technick\u00fdch produktech. Pokud se bav\u00edme o rusk\u00e9m dovozu, tak ten se u\u017e dva roky rychle pot\u00e1p\u00ed ke dnu. Pokud se bav\u00edme o evropsko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m obchodu, pak je to o to zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna vyr\u00e1b\u00ed a prod\u00e1v\u00e1, zat\u00edmco Evropsk\u00e1 unie pot\u0159ebuje a nakupuje, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 do t\u00e9to oboustrann\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 idyly nezasahuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Star\u00fd sv\u011bt nav\u00edc dlouho a pevn\u011b zauj\u00edm\u00e1 m\u00edsto hlavn\u00edho obchodn\u00edho partnera \u010cLR. Objem v\u00fdvozu zbo\u017e\u00ed z \u010c\u00edny do\u00a0<\/span>EU<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na konci lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku p\u0159es\u00e1hl 501 miliard dolar\u016f. A i kdy\u017e je to v absolutn\u00edch \u010d\u00edslech m\u00e9n\u011b, ne\u017e obchodoval Peking se zem\u011bmi ASEAN (523 miliard), je t\u0159eba m\u00edt na pam\u011bti, \u017ee populace Sdru\u017een\u00ed n\u00e1rod\u016f\u00a0<\/span>jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie<\/span><\/a>\u00a0je jedenap\u016flkr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Dodejme, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jsou tak\u00e9 jedn\u00edm ze t\u0159\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch obchodn\u00edch partner\u016f \u010c\u00edny. Na konci lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku vyvezl Peking do\u00a0<\/span>Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zbo\u017e\u00ed a zdroje v hodnot\u011b p\u016fl bilionu dolar\u016f , jen m\u00edrn\u011b za Evropskou uni\u00ed.\u00a0Ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s rokem 2022 z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u00fdrazn\u011b poklesly objemy obchod\u016f v obou sm\u011brech. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 nakupovali o 13 procent m\u00e9n\u011b a Evropan\u00e9 o deset procent m\u00e9n\u011b. Se znalost\u00ed obecn\u00fdch \u010d\u00edsel je snadn\u00e9 vypo\u010d\u00edtat v\u00fd\u0161i zisku ztracen\u00e9ho \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm re\u00e1ln\u00fdm sektorem. Nav\u00edc v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b\u00a0<\/span>Washingtonu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bude tento trend jednozna\u010dn\u011b pokra\u010dovat, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud se\u00a0<\/span>Donald Trump<\/span><\/a>\u00a0vr\u00e1t\u00ed do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu . Z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytici t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jednomysln\u011b p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed, \u017ee pokud bude znovu zvolen, Trump okam\u017eit\u011b zah\u00e1j\u00ed novou obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lku s \u010c\u00ednou, jako se to stalo v letech 2017\u20132018.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Na tomto pozad\u00ed hodnota evropsk\u00e9ho prodejn\u00edho trhu \u0159\u00e1dov\u011b vzr\u016fst\u00e1 a Peking tak zjevn\u011b zazn\u011bl jako slab\u011b zast\u0159en\u00e1 hrozba, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vyd\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed: pokud nep\u0159estanete podporovat Rusko, p\u0159ipravte se na velk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty a\u00a0<\/span>Ameriku<\/span><\/a> n\u00e1m tak\u00e9 pom\u016f\u017ee.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Net\u0159eba dod\u00e1vat, \u017ee sliby jsou pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b kdy\u017e si p\u0159ipomeneme, \u017ee celkov\u00fd export do USA a EU p\u0159esahuje bilion dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b a rusk\u00fd export, p\u0159esto\u017ee za posledn\u00ed rok vzrostl o rekordn\u00edch 46 procent, je p\u0159esn\u011b desetin\u00e1sobn\u00fd. m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Z\u0159ejm\u011b byla tato n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva \u010cLR br\u00e1na docela v\u00e1\u017en\u011b \u2013 u\u017e jen proto, \u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho hosta krom\u011b Zheng Shanjie p\u0159ijal tak\u00e9 ministr obchodu Wang Wentao, s n\u00edm\u017e Habeck jednal o ur\u010dit\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch energetick\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce. Vcelku reprezentativn\u00ed kronika jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b na pozad\u00ed posledn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy\u00a0<\/span>Olafa Scholze<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, kter\u00e9ho na leti\u0161ti v\u00a0<\/span>\u010cchung-\u010dchingu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0potkal m\u00edstostarosta, co\u017e se v r\u00e1mci vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed diplomacie rovn\u00e1 demonstrativn\u00edmu bi\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Pravda, Habaek sv\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e9fa v dosahov\u00e1n\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f o mnoho nep\u0159ed\u010dil, proto\u017ee t\u0159et\u00ed pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 setk\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 s \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem \u2013 bylo b\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy zru\u0161eno.\u00a0<\/span>Li Qiangovi<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bylo zjevn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, \u010deho se\u00a0<\/span>Berl\u00edn<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Brusel<\/span><\/a>\u00a0sna\u017e\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout a jak\u00fdmi metodami\u00a0, a bylo rozhodnuto neztr\u00e1cet drahocenn\u00fd \u010das.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Proto\u017ee Evropa, podporovan\u00e1 Washingtonem, ve skute\u010dnosti zav\u00e1d\u00ed ochrann\u00e1 cla na dovoz \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch elektrick\u00fdch vozidel. A\u010dkoli Habeck b\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy ujistil, \u017ee cla EU ve v\u00fd\u0161i a\u017e 38 procent \u201enejsou represivn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed\u201c. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Brusel na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b hlasit\u011b k\u0159i\u010d\u00ed o ochran\u011b \u017eivotn\u00edho prost\u0159ed\u00ed a p\u0159echodu na zelenou energii a na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b po\u0161kozuje jeden z nejrychleji rostouc\u00edch segment\u016f \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho trhu. Pro p\u0159edstavu, pr\u016fmysl elektrick\u00fdch vozidel (hybridn\u00ed a \u010dist\u011b elektrick\u00fd) v \u010c\u00edn\u011b roste pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdm ro\u010dn\u00edm tempem \u0161est procent, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e tr\u017eby z prodeje do konce leto\u0161n\u00edho roku p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed 319 miliard dolar\u016f. \u010c\u00edna p\u0159itom nejen vyr\u00e1b\u00ed nejv\u00edce, ale tak\u00e9 nakupuje v\u00edce elektromobil\u016f ne\u017e v\u0161ichni kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00ed bojovn\u00edci proti sklen\u00edkov\u00fdm plyn\u016fm dohromady. Za posledn\u00ed rok si \u010d\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 koupili 8,1 milionu elektromobil\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e 2,4 milionu se prodalo v Evrop\u011b a 1,4 milionu ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Objemy prodeje ve\u00a0<\/span>Spojen\u00e9m kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Japonsku<\/span><\/a> jsou naprosto nepohodln\u00e9 vyslovit.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna byla zpo\u010d\u00e1tku kolektivn\u011b \u0161krcena v r\u00e1mci <\/span>WTO<\/span><\/a> , po\u017eadovala zah\u00e1jen\u00ed p\u0159echodu na modern\u00ed a ekologicky \u0161etrn\u00e9 technologie, a nyn\u00ed, v rozporu se v\u0161emi pravidly, p\u0159ed n\u00ed uzav\u00edraj\u00ed sv\u00e9 trhy, aby ochr\u00e1nili dom\u00e1c\u00ed v\u00fdrobce, pro kter\u00e9 samy o sob\u011b nemohou zajistit slu\u0161nou popt\u00e1vku a prodej. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 s po\u017eadavkem, aby Peking neomezoval export kov\u016f vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin, bez kter\u00fdch je v\u00fdroba pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u011bchto elektrick\u00fdch vozidel nemo\u017en\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Surrealismus a hrubost? Ne, obvykl\u00e1 politika Z\u00e1padu je v posv\u00e1tn\u00e9 d\u016fv\u011b\u0159e, \u017ee to nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jinak.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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V\u00fdsledky cesty Roberta Habecka lze hodnotit na solidn\u00ed dvojku. Evropsk\u00fd i \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd tisk su\u0161e zmi\u0148uj\u00ed samotnou n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu, o v\u00fdsledc\u00edch v\u0161ak ml\u010d\u00ed. Neexistuj\u00ed dokonce ani memoranda o povinnostech, kter\u00e1 lze v tradic\u00edch m\u011bkk\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 diplomacie pova\u017eovat za odm\u00edtnut\u00ed. P\u0159irozen\u011b nejen a ne tak v z\u00e1jmu Ruska, ale i na jeho p\u0159\u00edkladu, kdy jedna zem\u011b s podporou sv\u00fdch spojenc\u016f ji\u017e t\u0159et\u00edm rokem \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b vzdoruje, bojuje a dokonce se j\u00ed da\u0159\u00ed vykazovat ekonomick\u00fd r\u016fst.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Scholz, Habeck, Biden, Macron \u2013 cel\u00e1 tahle sme\u010dka chrom\u00fdch, sest\u0159elen\u00fdch pilot\u016f si nikdy neuv\u011bdomila, \u017ee doba se zm\u011bnila a jednostrann\u011b diktuj\u00edc\u00ed pravidla u\u017e nebudou fungovat. Sv\u011bt se stal multipol\u00e1rn\u00edm, a aby byl zni\u010den sou\u010dasn\u00fd syst\u00e9m, v n\u011bm\u017e jedni bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b diktovali svou v\u016fli druh\u00fdm, jsou nov\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di p\u0159ipraveni n\u00e9st ur\u010dit\u00e9 n\u00e1klady.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Sergej Sav\u010duk<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n
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Kolem na\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b d\u00e1l krou\u017e\u00ed \u017eraloci r\u016fzn\u00e9ho stupn\u011b zubatosti ve velk\u00e9 nad\u011bji, \u017ee najdou slab\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":56449,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,41,2181,3487],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56448"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56448"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56448\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56449"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}