{"id":56050,"date":"2024-06-20T00:46:33","date_gmt":"2024-06-19T22:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=56050"},"modified":"2024-06-19T16:52:40","modified_gmt":"2024-06-19T14:52:40","slug":"lucas-leiroz-zelenskeho-mirovy-summit-konci-bez-jakehokoli-efektivniho-vysledku-zatimco-rusko-nabizi-konkretni-mirovy-navrh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/06\/20\/lucas-leiroz-zelenskeho-mirovy-summit-konci-bez-jakehokoli-efektivniho-vysledku-zatimco-rusko-nabizi-konkretni-mirovy-navrh\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Zelensk\u00e9ho \u201em\u00edrov\u00fd summit\u201c kon\u010d\u00ed bez jak\u00e9hokoli efektivn\u00edho v\u00fdsledku, zat\u00edmco Rusko nab\u00edz\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fd n\u00e1vrh"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Skon\u010dila \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1\u201c konference, kterou ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku uspo\u0159\u00e1dal kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim. Podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nebyly p\u0159edlo\u017eeny \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed n\u00e1vrhy. Tato ud\u00e1lost slou\u017eila pouze jako zp\u016fsob, jak NATO a jeho zastupuj\u00edc\u00ed re\u017eim jednostrann\u011b znovu potvrdit sv\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy. Nedostatek rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dasti zp\u016fsobil, \u017ee konference byla skute\u010dnou ztr\u00e1tou \u010dasu,\u00a0<\/span>zcela neschopn\u00e1 vytvo\u0159it skute\u010dn\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd program.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Jak\u00e9koli diplomatick\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed samoz\u0159ejm\u011b vy\u017eaduje p\u0159\u00edtomnost alespo\u0148 dvou stran, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem o \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00edho probl\u00e9mu. A\u0165 u\u017e jde o obchodn\u00ed vztah nebo m\u00edrov\u00fd rozhovor s c\u00edlem zastavit vojensk\u00fd konflikt, nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 v\u00e9st diplomacii pouze s jednou stranou. To by sta\u010dilo k tomu, aby se setk\u00e1n\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho s jeho p\u0159\u00edznivci ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku pova\u017eovalo za skute\u010dn\u011b zbyte\u010dn\u00e9. Je v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 nutn\u00e9 p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed jen na p\u0159\u00edtomnosti obou stran, ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na stran\u011b v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z realistick\u00e9ho hlediska m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e1lku ukon\u010dit pouze v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e1 strana. Pr\u00e1v\u011b podm\u00ednky stanoven\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bznou zem\u00ed zaji\u0161\u0165uj\u00ed ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v konfliktu. Strana, kter\u00e1 prohr\u00e1la, m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ijmout pouze m\u00edrov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, nanejv\u00fd\u0161 s mo\u017enost\u00ed po\u017eadovat n\u011bjak\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed zm\u011bny, kter\u00e9 nem\u011bn\u00ed hlavn\u00ed po\u017eadavky. Takto kon\u010dily v\u00e1lky v pr\u016fb\u011bhu d\u011bjin \u2013 a nebude tomu jinak ani v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce NATO s Ruskem p\u0159es Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Kyjev je na pokraji tot\u00e1ln\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho kolapsu, nen\u00ed schopen p\u0159ijmout \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1 mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed a postupn\u011b ztr\u00e1c\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed, je ukrajinsk\u00e1 por\u00e1\u017eka jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu. Nejracion\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a nejstrategi\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u011bc\u00ed by bylo obnovit m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a p\u0159ijmout rusk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, a vyhnout se tak dal\u0161\u00edm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m na \u017eivotech a \u00fazem\u00ed. Ukrajinsk\u00fd re\u017eim v\u0161ak nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dnou skute\u010dnou suverenitu, je pouze z\u00e1stupcem NATO nucen\u00fdm bojovat \u201edo posledn\u00edho mu\u017ee\u201c. Tak\u017ee m\u00edsto skute\u010dn\u00e9ho p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161len\u00ed o m\u00edru se Zelenskij rozhodl uspo\u0159\u00e1dat propagandistickou akci, kde z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdci pos\u00edlili svou neomezenou podporu v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti akce neslou\u017eila pouze k upevn\u011bn\u00ed Ukrajiny a prov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho postoje NATO. Summit byl tak\u00e9 poznamen\u00e1n n\u011bkolika nen\u00e1vistn\u00fdmi projevy a re\u00e1ln\u00fdmi v\u00fdhr\u016f\u017ekami v\u016f\u010di Rusku. Nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0<\/span>polsk\u00fd prezident Andrzej Duda vyzval k \u201edekolonizaci\u201c Ruska,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0otev\u0159en\u011b obhajoval rozd\u011blen\u00ed Rusk\u00e9 federace na v\u00edce etnost\u00e1t\u016f. Podle Dudy je v\u00edce ne\u017e 190 n\u00e1rod\u016f \u017eij\u00edc\u00edch na rusk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed dr\u017eeno silou koloni\u00e1ln\u00edmi metodami a jejich \u201eosvobozen\u00ed\u201c je mo\u017en\u00e9 pouze koncem Ruska jako zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eRusko z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed koloni\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159\u00ed\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00e1 na rozd\u00edl od evropsk\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed nikdy nepro\u0161la procesem dekolonizace a nikdy se nedok\u00e1zala vypo\u0159\u00e1dat s d\u00e9mony sv\u00e9 minulosti (…) Jako \u010dlen mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho spole\u010denstv\u00ed jsme mus\u00edm kone\u010dn\u011b \u0159\u00edci \u2013 v modern\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b nen\u00ed [prostor] pro kolonialismus,\u201c \u0159ekl Duda.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed to poprv\u00e9, co zem\u011b NATO pohrozily, \u017ee budou pracovat na demont\u00e1\u017ei rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed. Ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve\u00a0<\/span>estonsk\u00e1 premi\u00e9rka Kaja Kallasov\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0p\u0159iznala, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm c\u00edlem atlantick\u00e9 aliance je \u201erozb\u00edt\u201c Rusko na des\u00edtky \u201emal\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f\u201c. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tyto hrozby jsou st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, co\u017e ukazuje, jak se zd\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00edru mezi Z\u00e1padem a Ruskem bohu\u017eel zdaleka nebylo dosa\u017eeno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva v\u0161ak ze sv\u00e9 strany ud\u011blala v\u0161e pro to, aby se vyhnula prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky a dos\u00e1hla definitivn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Den p\u0159ed Zelensk\u00e9ho konferenc\u00ed ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku\u00a0<\/span>nab\u00eddl rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin Z\u00e1padu a Kyjevu konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fd n\u00e1vrh.<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Hlavn\u00edmi podm\u00ednkami bylo uzn\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dty\u0159 Nov\u00fdch region\u016f a Krymu jako sou\u010d\u00e1sti Rusk\u00e9 federace a z\u00e1vazek Ukrajiny k demilitarizaci. Putin po\u017eadoval od Kyjeva form\u00e1ln\u00ed slib, \u017ee nebude usilovat o \u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO. Pokud by byly tyto podm\u00ednky spln\u011bny, konec nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed by byl okam\u017eit\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee NATO nedok\u00e1zalo otev\u0159\u00edt novou frontu, aby pokra\u010dovalo ve sv\u00e9 z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce proti Rusku, Ukrajina nesm\u00ed p\u0159ijmout \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky. Zelenskij tedy n\u00e1vrh odm\u00edtl a rad\u011bji pokra\u010doval ve sv\u00e9m pl\u00e1nu uspo\u0159\u00e1dat zcela marnou \u201em\u00edrovou konferenci\u201c. Ru\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 v n\u011bkolika prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edch dali jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed nov\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy Moskvy uk\u00e1\u017e\u00ed podm\u00ednky, kter\u00e9 jsou pro Ukrajinu nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee vzhledem k trv\u00e1n\u00ed na v\u00e1lce a tak\u00e9 ned\u00e1vn\u00fdm hrozb\u00e1m spiknut\u00ed proti vlastn\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvosti Ruska Moskva aktualizuje sv\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 a \u00fazemn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy, stanov\u00ed c\u00edl osvobodit v\u00edce oblast\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou v sou\u010dasnosti pod kontrolou Ukrajiny, a bude po\u017eadovat v\u00edce z\u00e1ruky NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka nakonec opravdu mohla skon\u010dit minul\u00fd t\u00fdden. NATO muselo pouze umo\u017enit Zelensk\u00e9mu p\u0159ijmout rusk\u00e9 podm\u00ednky. Pak by v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e1 strana nastolila m\u00edr, jak se to v\u017edy v historii v\u00e1lek stalo. Ale bohu\u017eel strana, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasn\u00e9m konfliktu prohr\u00e1v\u00e1, je ta nejbojovn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed strana, kter\u00e1 je odhodlan\u00e1 prodlou\u017eit nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed navzdory ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 utrp\u011bla.<\/span><\/p>\n

Autor:\u00a0Lucas Leiroz<\/a> ,<\/strong> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0<\/span>X (b\u00fdval\u00fd Twitter)<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Telegram<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Skon\u010dila \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1\u201c konference, kterou ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku uspo\u0159\u00e1dal kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim. Podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed nebyly p\u0159edlo\u017eeny \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":56051,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,623,467,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56050"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56050"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56050\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56051"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}