{"id":55852,"date":"2024-06-16T06:29:43","date_gmt":"2024-06-16T04:29:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=55852"},"modified":"2024-06-16T06:29:43","modified_gmt":"2024-06-16T04:29:43","slug":"fjodor-lukyanov-zde-je-duvod-proc-je-tento-vikend-ukrajinska-mirova-konference-podvod","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/06\/16\/fjodor-lukyanov-zde-je-duvod-proc-je-tento-vikend-ukrajinska-mirova-konference-podvod\/","title":{"rendered":"Fjodor Lukyanov: Zde je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d je tento v\u00edkend ukrajinsk\u00e1 \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1 konference\u201c podvod"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Zelenskij doufal, \u017ee \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd summit bude obrovsk\u00fdm propagandistick\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm, ale nevy\u0161lo to<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina \u2013 s podporou sv\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch patron\u016f \u2013 ji\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu\u00a0p\u0159ipravuje v\u00edkendovou\u00a0<\/span>\u201em\u00edrovou konferenci\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku. Hlavn\u00ed c\u00edl organiz\u00e1tor\u016f \u2013 velk\u00e1 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed akce k odsouzen\u00ed Ruska obecn\u011b \u2013 se v\u0161ak poda\u0159ilo splnit jen okrajov\u011b. Jej\u00ed dopad sni\u017euje neochota zem\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu a V\u00fdchodu se takov\u00e9 akce z\u00fa\u010dastnit. N\u011bkter\u00e9 velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 zem\u011b (nap\u0159. \u010c\u00edna) odm\u00edtly p\u0159ijet v\u016fbec, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina se zachovala obvykl\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem \u2013 nechce se h\u00e1dat se Z\u00e1padem, a tak projevila minim\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpustn\u00fd z\u00e1jem (co\u017e ka\u017ed\u00fd posoudil s\u00e1m). Tito hr\u00e1\u010di ale necht\u011bj\u00ed b\u00fdt vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ni k legitimizaci ur\u010dit\u00e9 linie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obt\u00ed\u017ee p\u0159i z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed host\u016f donutily organiz\u00e1tory z\u00fa\u017eit program, aby byl smyslupln\u00fd pro m\u00e9n\u011b anga\u017eovanou ve\u0159ejnost. Potravinov\u00e1 a jadern\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnost, stejn\u011b jako humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed ot\u00e1zka v\u00fdm\u011bny v\u011bz\u0148\u016f, si zaslou\u017e\u00ed diskusi samy o sob\u011b. Zm\u011bnila se i z\u00e1kladn\u00ed my\u0161lenka \u2013 z programu zmizela Zelensk\u00e9ho \u201em\u00edrov\u00e1 formule\u201c, kter\u00e1 implikuje kapitulaci Ruska. V\u00fdsledek sch\u016fzky se d\u00e1 p\u0159edem p\u0159edv\u00eddat \u2013 spousta patosem nabit\u00fdch projev\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch a z\u00e1padn\u00edch \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f, s krat\u0161\u00edmi a vyh\u00fdbav\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi koment\u00e1\u0159i ostatn\u00edch a jak\u00e9si zjednodu\u0161en\u00e9 usnesen\u00ed s v\u00fdzvou pokra\u010dovat v pr\u00e1ci v r\u00e1mci \u201einkluzivn\u00edho\u201c m\u00edrov\u00e9ho procesu. N\u011bjak\u00e9 propagandistick\u00e9 zisky budou, ale ne v rozsahu, pro kter\u00fd byla cel\u00e1 v\u011bc koncipov\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je pozad\u00ed konference. EU m\u00e1 za sebou t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 volby do Evropsk\u00e9ho parlamentu. Slo\u017een\u00ed zastupitelsk\u00e9ho org\u00e1nu bloku se dramaticky nezm\u011bnilo. Mainstreamov\u00e9 strany si zachovaly kontrolu a mo\u017enost mezi sebou rozhodovat o rozd\u011blen\u00ed k\u0159esel v Evropsk\u00e9 komisi. Ale v n\u011bkter\u00fdch zem\u00edch, a v n\u011bkter\u00fdch velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch, do\u0161lo k ot\u0159es\u016fm, kter\u00e9 byly pro establishment extr\u00e9mn\u011b nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejv\u00edce je posti\u017eena Francie \u2013 ne\u00fasp\u011bch hnut\u00ed Emmanuela Macrona na pozad\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bchu krajn\u00ed pravice je tak z\u0159ejm\u00fd, \u017ee prezident pova\u017euje za nutn\u00e9 okam\u017eit\u011b vyhl\u00e1sit nov\u00e9 parlamentn\u00ed volby. Je to riskantn\u00ed krok, ale jinak by se pocit, \u017ee jste chrom\u00e1 kachna, jen zv\u00fd\u0161il. V N\u011bmecku si vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalice vedla extr\u00e9mn\u011b \u0161patn\u011b \u2013 hlavn\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00ed blok CDU\/CSU z\u00edskal t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 tolik, co t\u0159i vl\u00e1dn\u00ed strany dohromady. Druh\u00e9 m\u00edsto Alternativy pro N\u011bmecko (AfD), proti kter\u00e9 byla organizov\u00e1na agresivn\u00ed pomlouva\u010dn\u00e1 kampa\u0148, je jasn\u00fdm sign\u00e1lem elit\u00e1m. Mezi dal\u0161\u00ed pozoruhodn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky pat\u0159\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed skand\u00e1ln\u00ed Strany svobody (rovn\u011b\u017e krajn\u00ed pravice) v Rakousku a \u00fasp\u011bch nacionalist\u016f v Belgii a Nizozemsku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je nespr\u00e1vn\u00e9 spojovat v\u00fdsledky pouze s ukrajinskou ot\u00e1zkou; okruh probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00fdm mysl\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed voli\u010di, je mnohem \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed. Emmanuel Macron v\u0161ak z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b u\u010dinil obranu Ukrajiny jedn\u00edm z pil\u00ed\u0159\u016f kampan\u011b sv\u00e9 strany v nad\u011bji, \u017ee vyu\u017eije ruskou hrozbu k odveden\u00ed pozornosti od dom\u00e1c\u00ed situace Francie. V N\u011bmecku byly dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b zbran\u00ed dlouh\u00e9ho doletu, do Kyjeva zdrojem neust\u00e1l\u00fdch debat a kancl\u00e9\u0159 byl kritizov\u00e1n za jeho neust\u00e1lou nerozhodnost. V\u00fdsledek je v\u0161ak ambivalentn\u00ed. V\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e1 CDU\/CSU jsou skute\u010dn\u00fdmi jest\u0159\u00e1by, zat\u00edmco druh\u00e1 AfD je proti vyzbrojov\u00e1n\u00ed Ukrajiny. Nizozemsko a Belgie pat\u0159\u00ed mezi ba\u0161ty podpory pro Kyjev, ale tamn\u00ed hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed bylo \u0159\u00edzeno velmi odli\u0161n\u00fdmi faktory. Kone\u010dn\u011b v Rakousku, kter\u00e9 si ofici\u00e1ln\u011b zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 status neutrality, se debatuje o jeho pozici v kontextu evropsk\u00e9 krize \u2013 zda \u200b\u200bexistuje riziko, \u017ee se stane \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edkem konfrontace.<\/span><\/p>\n

To, co v\u0161echny v\u00fdsledky evropsk\u00fdch voleb spojuje, nen\u00ed ten \u010di onen postoj ke konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b, ale rozch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed se agendy st\u00e1le \u0161ir\u0161\u00edch vrstev obyvatelstva a politick\u00e9ho establishmentu. Ve Francii byli n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed lid\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b znepokojeni Macronov\u00fdm bojovn\u00fdm aktivismem, kdy\u017e hovo\u0159il o vysl\u00e1n\u00ed arm\u00e1dy do ukrajinsk\u00e9 konfliktn\u00ed z\u00f3ny. Ale dom\u00e1c\u00ed ot\u00e1zky, od bezpe\u010dnosti a migrant\u016f po \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148, se drtiv\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b Francouz\u016f nepochybn\u011b zdaj\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. A hlavn\u00ed pocit ze sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho veden\u00ed je, \u017ee se nezab\u00fdv\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u00fdmi aspiracemi lid\u00ed, ale soust\u0159ed\u00ed se na sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed probl\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 zaj\u00edmaj\u00ed hlavn\u011b jeho vlastn\u00ed okruh.<\/span><\/p>\n

A to, jak se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, nen\u00ed chyba, ale vlastnost (ne selh\u00e1n\u00ed programu, ale jeho funkce). Tent\u00fd\u017e Macron se objevil na politick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b v roce 2017, kdy se dv\u011b p\u0159edn\u00ed strany zem\u011b nach\u00e1zely v hlubok\u00e9 krizi a USA a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b za\u017eily politick\u00e9 ot\u0159esy \u2013 p\u0159\u00edchod Trumpa a hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed o vystoupen\u00ed z Evropsk\u00e9 unie. Sv\u011b\u017e\u00ed, bojovn\u00e1 postava s elastick\u00fdmi n\u00e1zory schopn\u00fdmi zm\u011bny v jak\u00e9mkoli sm\u011bru byla odpov\u011bd\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9ho establishmentu na hrozbu n\u00e1stupu ne\u017e\u00e1douc\u00edch ideologick\u00fdch a politick\u00fdch alternativ k moci. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, imitace obnovy, ani\u017e by se dotkla podstaty. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Macrona se to povedlo. Kdy\u017e v\u0161ak vnit\u0159n\u00ed rozpory dos\u00e1hnou nep\u0159ekonateln\u00fdch rozm\u011br\u016f, je zapot\u0159eb\u00ed v\u011bcn\u00fdch \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. A rozhodnut\u00ed o ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 jsou nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro v\u011bt\u0161inu populace, nikoli pro ty naho\u0159e. Francie se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt prvn\u00edm velk\u00fdm z\u00e1padn\u00edm st\u00e1tem, kter\u00fd se dostal do takov\u00e9 slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

To je relevantn\u00ed pro setk\u00e1n\u00ed o Ukrajin\u011b ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku v tom smyslu, \u017ee priority se v dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu nevyhnuteln\u011b zm\u011bn\u00ed. Ne v ot\u00e1zce Ukrajiny, ale obecn\u011b. Pak p\u0159ijde \u010das na skute\u010dnou m\u00edrovou konferenci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fjodor\u00a0Lukjanov<\/strong>\u00a0, \u0161\u00e9fredaktor \u010dasopisu Rusko v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech, p\u0159edseda prezidia Rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed a obrannou politiku a \u0159editel v\u00fdzkumu Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho diskusn\u00edho klubu Valdai.<\/em><\/p>\n

\"Fjodor<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

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Zelenskij doufal, \u017ee \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd summit bude obrovsk\u00fdm propagandistick\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm, ale nevy\u0161lo to Ukrajina \u2013 s…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":55853,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1051,623,467,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55852"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55852"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55852\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/55853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55852"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55852"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55852"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}