{"id":55801,"date":"2024-06-15T05:30:16","date_gmt":"2024-06-15T03:30:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=55801"},"modified":"2024-06-15T05:30:16","modified_gmt":"2024-06-15T03:30:16","slug":"jiri-paroubek-zapad-dela-ve-svycarsku-ucet-bez-hostinskeho","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/06\/15\/jiri-paroubek-zapad-dela-ve-svycarsku-ucet-bez-hostinskeho\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Z\u00e1pad d\u011bl\u00e1 ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku \u00fa\u010det bez hostinsk\u00e9ho\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem celkem zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 arogance Z\u00e1padu je \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd summit, jeho\u017e se z\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed \u00fadajn\u011b 90 st\u00e1t\u016f nebo mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch organizac\u00ed. A kter\u00fd se bude v\u011bnovat m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b podle ukrajinsk\u00fdch not. Jinak \u0159e\u010deno, na b\u0159ehu luzernsk\u00e9ho jezera v m\u00edst\u011b zvan\u00e9m B\u00fcrgenstock, v kantonu Nidwalden se uskute\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159es v\u00edkend diskuse, „jak dos\u00e1hnout trval\u00e9ho m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b, zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm pr\u00e1vu“. Z on\u011bch 90 subjekt\u016f, kter\u00e9 potvrdily pozv\u00e1n\u00ed (p\u016fvodn\u011b pozv\u00e1no bylo 107 subjekt\u016f), jsou n\u011bkter\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed organizace, jako nap\u0159. OSN atd.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

A zhruba polovina z\u00a0\u00fa\u010dastk\u016f jsou evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty. Tedy evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty s\u00a0v\u00fdjimkou Ruska a pochopiteln\u011b tak\u00e9 B\u011bloruska. P\u00ed\u0161i z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b pochopiteln\u011b, proto\u017ee B\u011blorusko je pova\u017eov\u00e1no organiz\u00e1tory konference za satelit Ruska. Ov\u0161em, stejn\u011b tak by Rusko mohlo pova\u017eovat za satelity Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f celou \u0159adu evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, v\u010d. evropsk\u00fdch velmoc\u00ed. \u00da\u010dastn\u00edci budou diskutovat nad m\u00edrov\u00fdm pl\u00e1nem ukrajinsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Zelensk\u00e9ho, jeho\u017e legitimita po skon\u010den\u00ed prezidentsk\u00e9ho mand\u00e1tu je v\u0161ak pon\u011bkud diskutabiln\u00ed. Tak\u017ee na summitu Zelensk\u00fd zopakuje, \u017ee chce vr\u00e1tit k Ukrajin\u011b v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a ji\u017en\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed (ob\u00fdvan\u00e9 p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b rusk\u00fdm obyvatelstvem) a tak\u00e9 Krym, ob\u00fdvan\u00fd rovn\u011b\u017e ve zdrcuj\u00edc\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b Rusy.<\/p>\n

\u0160v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Cassis se vyj\u00e1d\u0159il v\u00a0tom sm\u011bru, \u017ee Rusko v\u00a0t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed pozv\u00e1no, ale \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pozv\u00e1no v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu doby. To je sice velmi neur\u010dit\u00e9 sd\u011blen\u00ed, ale m\u00e1 podpo\u0159it fikci \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00e9 neutrality, kterou Rusko za\u010dalo zpochyb\u0148ovat. Tak\u017ee z\u00e1stupci st\u00e1t\u016f, z\u00a0nich\u017e zhruba polovina budou hlavy st\u00e1t\u016f anebo \u0161\u00e9fov\u00e9 vl\u00e1d \u00fa\u010dastnick\u00fdch zem\u00ed, budou d\u011blat, tak \u0159\u00edkaj\u00edc, \u00fa\u010det bez hostinsk\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1pad a prezident Zelensk\u00fd v\u011bnovali velkou pozornost tomu, aby na summitu byla zaji\u0161t\u011bna \u00fa\u010dast z\u00e1stupc\u016f \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 republiky (\u010cLR). \u010cLR, ale tak\u00e9 t\u0159eba Braz\u00edlie odm\u00edtly \u00fa\u010dast na summitu, nebo\u0165 se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee nen\u00ed spr\u00e1vn\u00e9, aby na konferenci o m\u00edru byla zastoupena jen jedna v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00ed strana. \u010c\u00edna spolu s\u00a0Braz\u00edli\u00ed, a to je pot\u0159eba zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 poznamenat, p\u0159edlo\u017eily vlastn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n pro Ukrajinu a sna\u017e\u00ed se pro n\u011bj z\u00edskat podporu ve t\u0159et\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b. Podle v\u0161eho u\u017e n\u011bjak\u00e9 t\u0159i des\u00edtky st\u00e1t\u016f t\u00e9to iniciativ\u011b bu\u010f rozum\u00ed anebo ji dokonce podporuje.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka, bez \u010c\u00edny tato konference m\u00e1 podstatn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed legitimitu ne\u017eli by si jej\u00ed po\u0159adatel\u00e9 p\u0159\u00e1li.<\/p>\n

A \u0159ada st\u00e1t\u016f, mezi jin\u00fdmi nap\u0159. Malajsie \u010di Kambod\u017ea, budou situaci na konferenci sp\u00ed\u0161e monitorovat, ne\u017e aby se zapojovaly do dalekos\u00e1hl\u00fdch diskus\u00ed, co\u017e je pole, kter\u00e9 r\u00e1dy p\u0159enechaj\u00ed Evropan\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b, p\u0159es v\u0161echnu snahu organiz\u00e1tor\u016f a zejm\u00e9na prezidenta Zelensk\u00e9ho dostat Rusko do politick\u00e9 izolace, alespo\u0148 na dva dny kon\u00e1n\u00ed konference, se to nepovedlo. Ani Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 nepo\u0161lou do \u0160v\u00fdcarska sv\u00e9ho prezidenta, pr\u00fd proto, aby se mohl v\u011bnovat rozb\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed se volebn\u00ed kampani, kter\u00e1 se zat\u00edm pro n\u011bj nijak valn\u011b nevyv\u00edj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jak se ukazuje, Z\u00e1pad pon\u011bkud p\u0159ecenil sv\u00e9 s\u00edly, i kdy\u017e konference bude jednat i o n\u011bkter\u00fdch u\u017eite\u010dn\u00fdch t\u00e9matech, jako je nap\u0159. zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnosti (mysl\u00ed se t\u00edm zejm\u00e9na bezpe\u010dnost jadern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren na Ukrajin\u011b), ale tak\u00e9 nap\u0159. o v\u00fdm\u011bn\u011b v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch zajatc\u016f mezi ob\u011bma stranami a o \u00fadajn\u011b unesen\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch d\u011btech do Ruska.<\/p>\n

Je v t\u00e9to souvislosti zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 \u010d\u00edst \u00favahy n\u011bkter\u00fdch \u010desk\u00fdch novin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch blbe\u010dk\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed i po v\u00edce ne\u017e dvou letech v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b maj\u00ed pro Rusko jen hodnocen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed o jeho velk\u00e9m podce\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ale Rusko p\u0159ece nen\u00ed polozaostal\u00e1, hrout\u00edc\u00ed se ekonomika, jak se tito hlup\u00e1\u010dci domn\u00edvaj\u00ed. A mo\u017en\u00e1, \u017ee si to st\u00e1le mysl\u00ed tak\u00e9 n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed lid\u00e9 v\u00a0Pentagonu \u010di v\u00a0centr\u00e1le NATO.<\/p>\n

Podle \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku ned\u00e1vno vydan\u00e9m Sv\u011btovou bankou, je Rusko p\u00e1tou nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btovou ekonomikou podle parity kupn\u00ed s\u00edly. \u010ctvrtou nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ekonomikou podle parity kupn\u00ed s\u00edly je jen tak mimochodem Japonsko. Na \u0161est\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b za Ruskem je N\u011bmecko. Tedy m\u016f\u017eeme \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee pokud vynech\u00e1me m\u011bnov\u00e1 kouzla, je s\u00edla rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky zhruba na \u00farovni t\u00e9 japonsk\u00e9 \u010di n\u011bmeck\u00e9. Takov\u00fd st\u00e1t j\u00e1 bych v\u016fbec nepodce\u0148oval.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho Rusko m\u00e1 k\u00a0dispozici v\u0161echny suroviny strategick\u00e9ho charakteru, v\u010detn\u011b zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch produkt\u016f jako je p\u0161enice (t\u00e9 ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u011b vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed 50 \u2013 60 milion\u016f tun). Perspektivn\u011b m\u016f\u017ee rusk\u00e1 ekonomika za c\u00edlev\u011bdom\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho veden\u00ed, ani tady bych to sou\u010dasn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed nepodce\u0148oval (m\u00e1m na mysli zejm\u00e9na technokratick\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Mi\u0161ustina a \u0161\u00e9fku rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banky Nabiullinovou). Pot\u00e9, co se Rusko zbav\u00ed tohoto konfliktu, m\u016f\u017ee jen posilovat a m\u016f\u017ee se dostat, pokud jde o sv\u016fj hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd potenci\u00e1l, b\u011bhem 5 \u010di 10 let i nad dlouhodob\u011b stagnuj\u00edc\u00ed japonskou ekonomiku. Japonsko na rozd\u00edl od Ruska naopak \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nerostn\u00e9 suroviny nem\u00e1 a je naprosto z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na jejich dovozu.<\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka, zase jeden zbyte\u010dn\u00fd summit, aneb nelze d\u011blat \u00fa\u010dtu bez hostinsk\u00e9ho\u2026<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dal\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem celkem zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 arogance Z\u00e1padu je \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00fd summit, jeho\u017e se z\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed \u00fadajn\u011b 90 st\u00e1t\u016f…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29095,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,758,467,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55801"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55801"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55801\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29095"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55801"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55801"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55801"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}