{"id":55705,"date":"2024-06-14T00:46:06","date_gmt":"2024-06-13T22:46:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=55705"},"modified":"2024-06-13T16:46:09","modified_gmt":"2024-06-13T14:46:09","slug":"andrew-korybko-orban-dostal-od-nato-co-chtel-a-zajistil-objektivni-narodni-zajmy-madarska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/06\/14\/andrew-korybko-orban-dostal-od-nato-co-chtel-a-zajistil-objektivni-narodni-zajmy-madarska\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Orban dostal od NATO, co cht\u011bl, a zajistil objektivn\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy Ma\u010farska"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

V\u017edy bylo nerealistick\u00e9 p\u0159edstavovat si, \u017ee by Orb\u00e1n mohl zastavit pl\u00e1ny NATO na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

St\u0159ede\u010dn\u00ed sch\u016fzka ma\u010farsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Viktora Orb\u00e1na a \u0161\u00e9fa NATO Jense Stoltenberga vid\u011bla, jak oba v\u016fdci dos\u00e1hli dohody o vojensk\u00e9 pomoci bloku\u00a0Ukrajin\u011b\u00a0<\/a>. Ma\u010farsko nebude v tomto ohledu oponovat rozhodnut\u00edm NATO, jako to kr\u00e1tce u\u010dinila EU\u00a0v\u00fdm\u011bnou za to, \u017ee\u00a0<\/a>NATO nebude nutit Ma\u010farsko k \u00fa\u010dasti na\u00a0konven\u010dn\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>intervenci\u00a0<\/a>, nedovol\u00ed, aby jeho \u00fazem\u00ed bylo vyu\u017eito k tomu, a financovalo ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly. Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, dohodli se, \u017ee nebudou souhlasit a nebudou se vm\u011b\u0161ovat do z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed toho druh\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed pozorovatel\u00e9 v zahrani\u010d\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou v\u016f\u010di Orbanovi naklon\u011bni, by t\u00edm mohli b\u00fdt zklam\u00e1ni, ud\u011blali by dob\u0159e, kdyby se zamysleli nad t\u00edm, jak nerealistick\u00e9 pro n\u011b bylo p\u0159edstavovat si, \u017ee on jedin\u00fd by mohl zastavit pl\u00e1ny NATO. Ma\u010farsk\u00fd v\u016fdce se stal kultovn\u00edm hrdinou mezi z\u00e1padn\u00edmi disidenty, kte\u0159\u00ed se stav\u00ed proti\u00a0z\u00e1stupn\u00e9\u00a0<\/a>v\u00e1lce\u00a0<\/a>bloku\u00a0proti Rusku prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Ukrajiny pot\u00e9, co v posledn\u00edch dvou letech state\u010dn\u011b varoval, jak je tato politika nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e1 a nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1. Jeho d\u016frazn\u011b formulovan\u00e9 v\u00fdroky dokonale sm\u011b\u0159ovaly jejich n\u00e1zory na tuto ot\u00e1zku.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto je to nakonec jen jeden mu\u017e, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 na starosti pom\u011brn\u011b malou zemi, jej\u00ed\u017e roli v t\u00e9to z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce zasti\u0148uje\u00a0nedalek\u00e9\u00a0<\/a>Polsko a sousedn\u00ed Rumunsko. Bylo tedy nemo\u017en\u00e9, aby zahodil kl\u00ed\u010d do pl\u00e1n\u016f NATO a jedin\u00e9, v co mohl kdy v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b doufat, bylo z\u00edskat ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky, \u017ee Ma\u010farsko nebude zata\u017eeno do t\u00e9to imbroglie. P\u0159esn\u011b to dostal ve st\u0159edu, co mu dal Stoltenberg ve snaze zlep\u0161it reputaci bloku.<\/p>\n

Z pohledu NATO as ohledem na neschopnost Ma\u010farska zastavit konven\u010dn\u00ed intervenci na Ukrajin\u011b a zabr\u00e1nit ostatn\u00edm ve financov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil bylo nejrozumn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nechat tohoto sv\u00e9hlav\u00e9ho \u010dlena na pokoji, aby se odvr\u00e1til od obvin\u011bn\u00ed ze \u0161ikany. Ve\u0159ejn\u00fd n\u00e1tlak na Ma\u010farsko, aby poslalo sv\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky na Ukrajinu a nechalo ostatn\u00ed proch\u00e1zet p\u0159es sv\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed, p\u0159esto\u017ee tato politika je doma nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed, by mohlo v\u00e9st k negativn\u00edmu srovn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi NATO a Var\u0161avskou smlouvou.<\/p>\n

V souladu s t\u00edm by se Ma\u010fa\u0159i v takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mohli n\u00e1siln\u011b bou\u0159it proti sv\u00fdm doslovn\u00fdm okupant\u016fm NATO a mohli by tak\u00e9 br\u00e1nit logistick\u00fdm tras\u00e1m, na kter\u00fdch by tato konven\u010dn\u00ed intervence z\u00e1visela, a vytvo\u0159it tak mnohem v\u00edce bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch, logistick\u00fdch a obrazov\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f, ne\u017e by st\u00e1lo za to. Proto bylo rozhodnuto respektovat rozhodnut\u00ed Ma\u010farska z\u016fstat mimo r\u00e1mec t\u011bchto aktivit, co\u017e je pragmatick\u00e9 a tak\u00e9 dod\u00e1v\u00e1 fale\u0161nou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee NATO je sb\u00edrka demokraci\u00ed, nikoli liber\u00e1ln\u00ed diktatury.<\/p>\n

Orban v\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee nikdy nedok\u00e1\u017ee zastavit to, co by mohlo p\u0159ij\u00edt, a proto cht\u011bl pouze z\u00edskat ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 z\u00e1ruky, \u017ee v tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i budou zaji\u0161t\u011bny objektivn\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy jeho zem\u011b. Jeho d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed spory s EU ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny byly p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o ve\u0159ejn\u00e9m zaru\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee zablokovan\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky Ma\u010farska\u00a0nebudou p\u0159esm\u011brov\u00e1ny\u00a0<\/a>do t\u00e9to zem\u011b, zat\u00edmco posledn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s NATO bylo p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o ve\u0159ejn\u00e9m zaru\u010den\u00ed toho, \u017ee jeho jednotky a \u00fazem\u00ed nebudou vyu\u017eity k z\u00e1sahu tam.<\/p>\n

Nejen, \u017ee od obou dostal, co cht\u011bl, ale tak\u00e9 p\u0159im\u011bl EU, aby souhlasila s ov\u011b\u0159ovac\u00edm mechanismem pro nesmrt\u00edc\u00ed pomoc Ukrajin\u011b a aby NATO souhlasilo s t\u00edm, \u017ee Ma\u010farsko nebude financovat ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly. Oboj\u00ed v\u0161ak byly povrchn\u00ed \u00fastupky, proto\u017ee mechanismus EU neobsahuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 pr\u00e1va veta pro zastaven\u00ed pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho rozptylov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u00e9to pomoci, pokud se korupce d\u00e1le vymkne kontrole, zat\u00edmco NATO nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 mechanismy, jak donutit Ma\u010farsko, aby jakkoli financovalo ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly.<\/p>\n

Tyto dva aspekty byly p\u0159id\u00e1ny do jejich p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00fdch dohod kv\u016fli ve\u0159ejn\u00e9mu vystupov\u00e1n\u00ed, aby tyto propojen\u00e9 bloky vypadaly demokrati\u010dt\u011bji, ne\u017e ve skute\u010dnosti jsou. EU m\u00e1 pr\u00e1vn\u00ed prost\u0159edky pro p\u0159emo\u017een\u00ed Ma\u010farska stejn\u011b jako NATO, ale ani jedna se k nim necht\u011bla uch\u00fdlit, proto\u017ee bylo jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u00e1t Ma\u010farsku, co cht\u011blo. Stejn\u011b tak bylo pro Ma\u010farsko snaz\u0161\u00ed souhlasit s t\u011bmito dohodami, ne\u017e se donkichotsky br\u00e1nit t\u011bmto dv\u011bma, co\u017e by mohlo skon\u010dit katastrofou, pokud by se k tomu odv\u00e1\u017eilo.<\/p>\n

Na rozd\u00edl od toho, co n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed Orb\u00e1novi p\u0159\u00edznivci v zahrani\u010d\u00ed mohli spekulovat o tom, \u017ee byl vystra\u0161en\u00a0pokusem o atent\u00e1t sousedn\u00edho premi\u00e9ra Roberta Fica\u00a0<\/a>, aby dos\u00e1hl t\u00e9to nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dohody, ma\u010farsk\u00fd v\u016fdce se nevzdal ni\u010deho krom\u011b sv\u00fdch symbolick\u00fdch protest\u016f a dostal v\u0161e, co cht\u011bl. NATO by zni\u010dilo svou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost t\u00edm, \u017ee by se vr\u00e1tilo ke sv\u00fdm ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm z\u00e1ruk\u00e1m v\u016f\u010di Ma\u010farsku, k \u010demu\u017e nem\u00e1 d\u016fvod, proto\u017ee Ma\u010farsko stejn\u011b nen\u00ed ned\u00edlnou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed jeho pl\u00e1n\u016f pro Ukrajinu, tak\u017ee se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee tato dohoda bude trvat.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u017edy bylo nerealistick\u00e9 p\u0159edstavovat si, \u017ee by Orb\u00e1n mohl zastavit pl\u00e1ny NATO na Ukrajin\u011b. St\u0159ede\u010dn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":55706,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,439,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55705"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/55706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}