{"id":55567,"date":"2024-06-12T00:45:32","date_gmt":"2024-06-11T22:45:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=55567"},"modified":"2024-06-11T16:29:54","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T14:29:54","slug":"lucas-leiroz-francie-se-ve-svem-navrhu-na-vyslani-vojaku-do-boje-s-ruskem-izolovala","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/06\/12\/lucas-leiroz-francie-se-ve-svem-navrhu-na-vyslani-vojaku-do-boje-s-ruskem-izolovala\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Francie se ve sv\u00e9m n\u00e1vrhu na vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f do boje s Ruskem izolovala"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Francie se ve sv\u00e9m rozhodnut\u00ed zas\u00e1hnout p\u0159\u00edmo do ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu jev\u00ed st\u00e1le izolovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Ani velk\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed mocnosti nejsou ochotny otev\u0159en\u011b \u010delit Moskv\u011b na boji\u0161ti, vzhledem k vysok\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobnosti katastrofick\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 v d\u016fsledku takov\u00e9ho kroku vznikne. Berl\u00edn u\u017e nyn\u00ed signalizuje, \u017ee francouzsk\u00fd krok nepodpo\u0159\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho listu Welt am Sonntag<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se n\u011bmeck\u00e1 vl\u00e1da chyst\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u011b odm\u00edtnout svou podporu francouzsk\u00e9 protirusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 iniciativ\u011b. Port\u00e1l s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na zdroje obezn\u00e1men\u00e9 se st\u00e1tn\u00edmi z\u00e1le\u017eitostmi tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee francouz\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 tla\u010d\u00ed na n\u011bkolik \u010dlen\u016f NATO, aby spolupracovali p\u0159i vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajinu. Zpr\u00e1vy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0161t\u00e1bu francouzsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, gener\u00e1l Thierry Burkhard, napsal dopis, v n\u011bm\u017e vyzval USA a nejm\u00e9n\u011b 10 dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed NATO, aby se p\u0159ipojily k Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei a intervenovaly na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bmecko v\u0161ak do dopisu francouzsk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la zahrnuto nebylo, \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed zdroje. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee n\u011bme\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ji\u017e s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed sv\u00fdm francouzsk\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161k\u016fm tajn\u011b dali najevo, \u017ee nemaj\u00ed z\u00e1jem p\u0159\u00edmo se \u00fa\u010dastnit konfliktu s Ruskem. Podle zdroj\u016f b\u011bhem jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v Bruselu N\u011bmecko spolu s dal\u0161\u00edmi zem\u011bmi jako It\u00e1lie a \u0160pan\u011blsko vylou\u010dilo mo\u017enost vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajinu. Pokud bude tlak pokra\u010dovat, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee N\u011bmecko u\u010din\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, v n\u011bm\u017e odm\u00edtne pomoc Francii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se francouzsk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>nezd\u00e1 b\u00fdt v NATO popul\u00e1rn\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0. Jen m\u00e1lo zem\u00ed projevilo z\u00e1jem o spolupr\u00e1ci p\u0159i vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f. Zpo\u010d\u00e1tku by francouz\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci nebyli p\u0159id\u011bleni do skute\u010dn\u00fdch bojov\u00fdch jednotek, ale do v\u00fdcvikov\u00fdch a velitelsk\u00fdch center. Krom\u011b toho by Francouzi m\u011bli za \u00fakol \u201echr\u00e1nit\u201c strategick\u00e9 oblasti v kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch m\u011bstech, jako je Od\u011bsa a Charkov, ve snaze odradit Rusko od postupu v t\u011bchto regionech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nic z toho v\u0161ak nesta\u010d\u00ed k zamaskov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 eskalace iniciovan\u00e9 Franci\u00ed. Um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f na zem ofici\u00e1ln\u011b vstupuje do v\u00e1lky bez ohledu na to, ke kter\u00e9 jednotce jsou voj\u00e1ci nasazeni. V praxi se Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e sna\u017e\u00ed sladit dva nesmi\u0159iteln\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e: j\u00edt do v\u00e1lky s Ruskem a vyhnout se tvrd\u00e9 reakci Moskvy. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e nechce \u010delit d\u016fsledk\u016fm p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s Ruskem, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 chce Macron pokra\u010dovat v propagand\u011b sv\u00e9ho obrazu \u201ev\u016fdce a obr\u00e1nce Evropy\u201c. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 m\u016f\u017ee snadno skon\u010dit trag\u00e9di\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Macron skute\u010dn\u011b nejedn\u00e1 naivn\u011b. Za sv\u00fdm nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdm n\u00e1padem poslat voj\u00e1ky m\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u011b pl\u00e1n. Vzhledem k vysok\u00e9mu po\u010dtu francouzsk\u00fdch \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f zabit\u00fdch rusk\u00fdmi silami na Ukrajin\u011b je velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee ve francouzsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti existuje tlak na poskytnut\u00ed vysv\u011btlen\u00ed ztr\u00e1t. Mnoz\u00ed z t\u011bchto voj\u00e1k\u016f nejsou zrovna \u017eold\u00e1ci, ale b\u011b\u017en\u00e1 francouzsk\u00e1 komanda, kter\u00e1 bojuj\u00ed za z\u00e1jmy NATO na Ukrajin\u011b a pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed n\u00e1lepku \u201e\u017eold\u00e1ci\u201c, aby maskovali z\u00e1padn\u00ed intervencionismus. Francouzsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da pot\u0159ebuje spole\u010dnosti vysv\u011btlit, pro\u010d tolik francouzsk\u00fdch ob\u010dan\u016f um\u00edr\u00e1 na front\u011b \u2013 a Macron zjevn\u011b u\u010dinil to nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed, jak tato \u00famrt\u00ed \u201evysv\u011btlit\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem vysl\u00e1n\u00ed jednotek je \u201e\u00a0<\/span>legalizovat<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c smrt \u017eold\u00e1k\u016f. Macron tedy mohl jednodu\u0161e \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee ke ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m do\u0161lo b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed mezi francouzskou arm\u00e1dou a rusk\u00fdmi silami, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by poskytl vysv\u011btlen\u00ed rodin\u00e1m mrtv\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f. Na takov\u00e9m kroku v\u0161ak nen\u00ed nic racion\u00e1ln\u00edho ani strategick\u00e9ho. Zamaskov\u00e1n\u00edm ji\u017e existuj\u00edc\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9 anga\u017eovanosti by Macron vyprovokoval tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by ohrozil glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architekturu. P\u0159esto se ve sv\u00e9m n\u00e1vrhu jev\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u00edce izolovan\u00fd, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e iniciativu ostatn\u00ed st\u00e1ty odm\u00edtaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedin\u00e1 nad\u011bje, jak zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby se francouzsk\u00e9 vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed zm\u011bnilo v otev\u0159enou v\u00e1lku, le\u017e\u00ed v samotn\u00e9m Rusku. Rusov\u00e9 opakovan\u011b prok\u00e1zali, \u017ee jsou racion\u00e1ln\u00ed stranou konfliktu, proto\u017ee Moskva je ve skute\u010dnosti ochotna vyhnout se eskalaci. Rusko nechce j\u00edt do v\u00e1lky s NATO p\u0159\u00edmo, i kdy\u017e atlantick\u00e1 aliance ji\u017e podnik\u00e1 kroky k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 intervenci \u2013 nejen s Macronovou iniciativou, ale i dal\u0161\u00edmi ned\u00e1vn\u00fdmi kroky, jako je\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>povolov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00edch \u00fader\u016f.<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee existuje sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kdy NATO chce v\u00e1lku a Rusko se j\u00ed vyh\u00fdb\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 je\u0161t\u011b jednou ud\u011blaj\u00ed maximum, aby se vyhnuli nejhor\u0161\u00edmu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, ale je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9, aby Z\u00e1pad pochopil, \u017ee v ur\u010dit\u00e9 chv\u00edli m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt rusk\u00e9 trp\u011blivosti. Moskva nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem rozpoutat otev\u0159en\u00fd konflikt, ale u\u017e dala jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli francouzsk\u00fd voj\u00e1k na Ukrajin\u011b je legitimn\u00edm c\u00edlem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Autor: Lucas Leiroz,<\/strong> \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u011bdeck\u00fd pracovn\u00edk Centra geostrategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

Lucase m\u016f\u017eete sledovat na\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>X (b\u00fdval\u00fd Twitter)\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Telegram<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Zdroj:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>InfoBrics<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n
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Francie se ve sv\u00e9m rozhodnut\u00ed zas\u00e1hnout p\u0159\u00edmo do ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu jev\u00ed st\u00e1le izolovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Ani velk\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":48218,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,130,307,26,321],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55567"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55567"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55567\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48218"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55567"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55567"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55567"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}