{"id":55170,"date":"2024-06-04T00:49:02","date_gmt":"2024-06-03T22:49:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=55170"},"modified":"2024-06-03T18:07:02","modified_gmt":"2024-06-03T16:07:02","slug":"jiri-vyvadil-valka-na-ukrajine-strhava-zavoj-americke-zbrojni-prevahy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/06\/04\/jiri-vyvadil-valka-na-ukrajine-strhava-zavoj-americke-zbrojni-prevahy\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil: V\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b strh\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1voj americk\u00e9 zbrojn\u00ed p\u0159evahy"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Port\u00e1l Responsible Statecraft je z\u0159ejm\u011b nejkvalitn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm americk\u00fdm port\u00e1lem tvo\u0159en\u00fd des\u00edtkami, ba stovkami v\u00fdzna\u010dn\u00fdch americk\u00fdch odborn\u00edk\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed kriticky ov\u0161em s dokonalou znalost\u00ed v\u011bci popisuj\u00ed analyzuj\u00ed sou\u010dasnou realitu zejm\u00e9na v tom, co americk\u00e1 administrativa d\u011bl\u00e1 podle nich \u0161patn\u011b. Z pozice jest\u0159\u00e1b\u00edch \u010desk\u00fdch politik\u016f by to byli pochopiteln\u011b dezinform\u00e1to\u0159i \u010di dezol\u00e1ti, ov\u0161em kvalitu jejich anal\u00fdz lze t\u011b\u017eko zpochyb\u0148ovat. Anal\u00fdza, autor Andrew Cockburn, z\u00e1rove\u0148 zpochyb\u0148uje doposud jednostrann\u011b tradovanou t\u00e9zi, \u017ee debakl protiofenz\u00edvy zp\u016fsobili v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b Ukrajinci, ale autor chybu vid\u00ed i na americk\u00e9 stran\u011b v r\u00e1mci chyb a hrub\u00fdch nedostatk\u016f vojensko \u2013 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho komplexu. zp\u016fsobila.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly v Charkovsk\u00e9 oblasti neust\u00e1le postupuj\u00ed, je st\u00e1le jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b byla pro americkou obrannou ma\u0161in\u00e9rii katastrofou, a to nejen proto, \u017ee na\u0161e pomoc nedok\u00e1zala zachr\u00e1nit Ukrajinu p\u0159ed \u00fastupem a mo\u017enou por\u00e1\u017ekou. Je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee v\u00e1lka nemilosrdn\u011b odhalila hlubok\u00e9, z\u00e1kladn\u00ed chyby na\u0161eho obrann\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/p>\n

Kritici dlouho tvrdili, \u017ee na\u0161e posedlost technologicky slo\u017eit\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi nevyhnuteln\u011b vede k nespolehliv\u00fdm syst\u00e9m\u016fm vyr\u00e1b\u011bn\u00fdm v omezen\u00e9m po\u010dtu kv\u016fli jejich p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b vysok\u00e9 cen\u011b. Nav\u00edc je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee v boji sel\u017eou, proto\u017ee arm\u00e1da nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem o adekv\u00e1tn\u00ed testov\u00e1n\u00ed (aby realistick\u00e9 testy neodhalily v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 nedostatky a t\u00edm neohrozily rozpo\u010det). Nemilosrdn\u00fd opera\u010dn\u00ed test, kter\u00fd p\u0159inesla v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b, uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee kritici m\u011bli naprostou pravdu. Postupn\u00e9 syst\u00e9my „m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed hru“ – jako dron Switchblade, tank M-1 Abrams, rakety protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany Patriot, houfnice M777, nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e1 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e1 munice Excalibur r\u00e1\u017ee 155 mm, p\u0159esn\u00e1 st\u0159ela HIMARS, bomby nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 GPS a drony Skydio obda\u0159en\u00e9 um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed – byly v\u0161echny vysl\u00e1ny do „boje“, jak to arm\u00e1da r\u00e1da naz\u00fdv\u00e1, s fanf\u00e1rami a velk\u00fdmi o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edmi.<\/p>\n

V\u0161echny byly odsouzeny k nezdaru z d\u016fvod\u016f, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed ko\u0159eny ve v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00fdch fundament\u00e1ln\u00edch probl\u00e9mech. Bezpilotn\u00ed letoun Switchblade za 60 000 dolar\u016f, vyr\u00e1b\u011bn\u00fd v omezen\u00e9m po\u010dtu kv\u016fli cen\u011b, se uk\u00e1zal jako nepou\u017eiteln\u00fd proti obrn\u011bn\u00fdm c\u00edl\u016fm a ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky jej rychle vy\u0159adily ve prosp\u011bch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch komer\u010dn\u00edch model\u016f za 700 dolar\u016f objednan\u00fdch online. Tank Abrams v hodnot\u011b 10 milion\u016f dolar\u016f se nejen uk\u00e1zal jako znepokojiv\u011b zraniteln\u00fd v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00fdm \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdm dron\u016fm, ale v ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se opakovan\u011b porouchal a byl brzy sta\u017een z boje, i kdy\u017e ne d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e Rusov\u00e9 n\u011bkolik z nich vy\u0159adili z provozu a zajali nejm\u00e9n\u011b jednoho, kter\u00e9ho odvezli do Moskvy a p\u0159idali k v\u00fdstav\u011b zbran\u00ed NATO v moskevsk\u00e9m parku, kter\u00e1 zahrnovala houfnici M777 a dal\u0161\u00ed polo\u017eky vybaven\u00ed NATO.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Kan\u00f3n M777, i kdy\u017e je vychvalov\u00e1n pro svou p\u0159esnost, se uk\u00e1zal jako p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 choulostiv\u00fd pro drsn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky trval\u00e9ho boje, kdy se hlavn\u011b pravideln\u011b opot\u0159ebov\u00e1valy a vy\u017eadovaly v\u00fdm\u011bnu v Polsku daleko od frontov\u00fdch lini\u00ed. Je notoricky zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee jeho munice r\u00e1\u017ee 155 mm je nedostatkov\u00fdm zbo\u017e\u00edm. D\u00edky konsolidaci americk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu do mal\u00e9ho po\u010dtu monopol\u016f, co\u017e je neuv\u00e1\u017een\u00e1 politika, kter\u00e1 je horliv\u011b prosazov\u00e1na od dob Clintonovy administrativy, je americk\u00e1 dom\u00e1c\u00ed v\u00fdroba 155mm gran\u00e1t\u016f z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na jedin\u00e9 st\u00e1rnouc\u00ed tov\u00e1rn\u011b General Dynamics ve Scrantonu v Pensylv\u00e1nii, kter\u00e1 se sna\u017e\u00ed splnit sv\u00e9 c\u00edle.<\/p>\n

Prezident Zelenskyj hlasit\u011b po\u017eadoval v\u00edce odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a raket Patriot na obranu Charkova, co\u017e je zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed, vzhledem ke zjevn\u00e9 snadnosti, s jakou Rusov\u00e9 zam\u011b\u0159ili Patrioty br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00ed Kyjev, a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnosti syst\u00e9mu proti rusk\u00fdm balistick\u00fdm raket\u00e1m. Rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu HIMARS m\u011bly skute\u010dn\u011b smrt\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinek na vysoce hodnotn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 c\u00edle, jako jsou muni\u010dn\u00ed sklady, ale Rusov\u00e9 se p\u0159izp\u016fsobili t\u00edm, \u017ee takov\u00e9 skl\u00e1dky a dal\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 c\u00edle rozpt\u00fdlili a zamaskovali.<\/p>\n

Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee mnoho selh\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b HIMARS, na Ukrajin\u011b bylo zp\u016fsobeno jejich z\u00e1vislost\u00ed na vysoce zraniteln\u00e9m nav\u00e1d\u011bc\u00edm syst\u00e9mu: GPS. Rusov\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e dlouho v\u011bnuj\u00ed intenzivn\u00ed p\u00e9\u010di a pozornost elektronick\u00e9mu boji, se ukazuj\u00ed jako st\u00e1le zb\u011bhlej\u0161\u00ed v ru\u0161en\u00ed GPS. Nejs\u017e\u00edrav\u011bji to vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila Maria Berlinskaja, pr\u016fkopnice pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed dron\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b a vedouc\u00ed st\u0159ediska podpory leteck\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu, kter\u00e1 ned\u00e1vno uvedla, \u017ee\u00a0„v\u011bt\u0161ina z\u00e1padn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f se d\u00edky rusk\u00e9mu ru\u0161en\u00ed uk\u00e1zala jako bezcenn\u00e1“.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jej\u00ed chmurn\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed bylo v dubnu potvrzeno nik\u00fdm jin\u00fdm ne\u017e Williamem LaPlantem, n\u00e1m\u011bstkem ministra obrany pro akvizice a \u00fadr\u017ebu, kter\u00fd na konferenci CSIS \u0159ekl, jak spole\u010dnost (Boeing, i kdy\u017e ji nejmenoval) navrhla upravit svou GPS nav\u00e1d\u011bnou bombu s mal\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011brem jako bojovou hlavici pro HIMARS. Proto byl urychlen\u011b p\u0159evezen p\u0159es v\u00fdvoj do v\u00fdroby, s mal\u00fdm nebo \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm testov\u00e1n\u00edm, a odesl\u00e1n na Ukrajinu.<\/p>\n

„Prost\u011b to nefungovalo,“<\/strong>\u00a0p\u0159iznal LaPlante d\u00edky rusk\u00fdm ru\u0161i\u010dk\u00e1m GPS, kter\u00e9 ho vych\u00fdlily z kurzu a zp\u016fsobily, \u017ee minul. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee stejn\u00fd smutn\u00fd osud potkal i dron Skydio, produkt stejnojmenn\u00e9ho startupu ze Silicon Valley, jeho\u017e funkce um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence, kter\u00e9 spole\u010dnost vytrubovala \u2013 „drony Skydio maj\u00ed v\u00fdpo\u010detn\u00ed kapacitu vid\u011bt, ch\u00e1pat a reagovat v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase“ \u2013 nezabr\u00e1nily tomu, aby byl vych\u00fdlen z kurzu Putinov\u00fdmi ru\u0161i\u010dkami.<\/p>\n

Sullivan a jeho kamar\u00e1di pili kool aid, kter\u00fd jim arm\u00e1da nal\u00e9vala.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Net\u0159eba dod\u00e1vat, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z t\u011bchto rozmanit\u00fdch selh\u00e1n\u00ed nebylo p\u0159edv\u00edd\u00e1no nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edm velen\u00edm americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, z nich\u017e jen m\u00e1lokdo by byl ochoten o\u010dernit zbo\u017e\u00ed kontraktor\u016f lukrativn\u00edmi m\u00edsty ve spr\u00e1vn\u00edch rad\u00e1ch po odchodu do d\u016fchodu. Doufejme, \u017ee na\u0161e nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed civiln\u00ed veden\u00ed si bude v\u011bdomo t\u011bchto p\u0159edsudk\u016f a podle toho zm\u00edrn\u00ed sv\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. Bohu\u017eel vypili Kool Aid, o \u010dem\u017e sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed jejich vysok\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed od ukrajinsk\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy v roce 2023.<\/p>\n

Navzdory velk\u00fdm nad\u011bj\u00edm a bohat\u00fdm dod\u00e1vk\u00e1m zbran\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b tank\u016f, munice, bezpilotn\u00edch letoun\u016f, intenzivn\u00edmu v\u00fdcviku na \u00fazem\u00ed spojenc\u016f NATO a zakotven\u00ed v americk\u00e9 doktr\u00edn\u011b velen\u00ed a \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, byla protiofenz\u00edva okam\u017eit\u00fdm a naprost\u00fdm ne\u00fasp\u011bchem<\/strong>.\u00a0Pl\u00e1nova\u010di byli zjevn\u011b zasko\u010deni hloubkou (snadno viditeln\u00e9ho) rusk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho opevn\u011bn\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na minov\u00fdch pol\u00ed a efektivitou jeho elektronick\u00e9ho ru\u0161en\u00ed. Od t\u00e9 doby Ukrajina neust\u00e1le ustupuje a prohr\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Port\u00e1l Responsible Statecraft je z\u0159ejm\u011b nejkvalitn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm americk\u00fdm port\u00e1lem tvo\u0159en\u00fd des\u00edtkami, ba stovkami v\u00fdzna\u010dn\u00fdch americk\u00fdch odborn\u00edk\u016f,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26093,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,37,73],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55170"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55170"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55170\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}