{"id":54577,"date":"2024-05-27T00:42:52","date_gmt":"2024-05-26T22:42:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=54577"},"modified":"2024-05-27T07:56:48","modified_gmt":"2024-05-27T05:56:48","slug":"jiri-paroubek-skoncete-tu-podelanou-valku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/27\/jiri-paroubek-skoncete-tu-podelanou-valku\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Skon\u010dete tu pod\u011blanou v\u00e1lku!"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Poprv\u00e9 od ukon\u010den\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou v Turecku p\u0159ed dv\u011bma lety, kter\u00e9 ukon\u010dil r\u00e1zn\u00fdm z\u00e1sahem v\u00e1lkychtiv\u00fd britsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed Boris Johnson neblah\u00e9 pam\u011bti. Ten ukrajinsk\u00fdm p\u0159ed\u00e1k\u016fm nadiktoval, \u017ee je pot\u0159eba v konfliktu pokra\u010dovat. Podcenil, tak jako v\u0161ichni v\u00fdznamn\u00ed politici Z\u00e1padu, hospod\u00e1\u0159kou s\u00edlu Ruska, kter\u00e9 je, pokud jde o objem HDP podle parity kupn\u00ed s\u00edly 5.nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomikou sv\u011bta. A zejm\u00e9na podcenil schopnost Ruska mobilizovat sv\u016fj potenci\u00e1l v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fdroby. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad tak\u00e9 uv\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee stra\u0161\u00e1k ekonomick\u00fdch a dal\u0161\u00edch sankc\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku a jeho \u201epomaha\u010d\u016fm\u201c bude natolik siln\u00fd, \u017ee se Rusko rychle posad\u00ed na hrnec.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dodne\u0161ka vzpom\u00edn\u00e1m na naivn\u00ed ot\u00e1zky hloupou\u010dk\u00fdch redaktoru \u010cesk\u00e9 televize, kte\u0159\u00ed atakovali sv\u00e9 vybran\u00e9 hosty publicistick\u00fdch po\u0159ad\u016f, ot\u00e1zkami typu, kdy u\u017e se tedy Rusko ekonomicky polo\u017e\u00ed na lopatky. Rusko p\u0159itom za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1, na rozd\u00edl od Z\u00e1padu, v\u00a0sou\u010dasnosti ekonomick\u00fd r\u016fst. M\u00e1 nevysokou inflaci. A za sebou m\u00e1 obrovskou ekonomiku \u010c\u00edny, jej\u00ed\u017e HDP je podle parity kupn\u00ed s\u00edly nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b. Tedy nejsou to dnes Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, ale \u010c\u00edna, kdo je po eliminaci kurzov\u00fdch trik\u016f nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ekonomikou sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n

Tak\u00e9 ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b BRICS maj\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku velmi blahovolnou neutralitu (Braz\u00edlie, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, SAE ad.). \u00cdr\u00e1n, dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b BRICS, podporuje Rusko otev\u0159en\u011b dosti sofistikovan\u00fdmi v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi technologiemi. A v\u00e1le\u010dnou d\u00edlnou Ruska, kter\u00e1 zaji\u0161\u0165uje, \u017ee mu nedojdou \u201epatrony\u201c je Severn\u00ed Korea. Prost\u011b, Putin se projevil jako schopn\u00fd v\u016fdce, kter\u00fd i v\u00a0situaci, \u017ee proti n\u011bmu stoj\u00ed cel\u00fd Z\u00e1pad, cel\u00fd jeho ekonomick\u00fd potenci\u00e1l, se nepolo\u017eil na lopatky a vede v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b, kde p\u0159e\u0161la u\u017e v\u00a0minul\u00e9m roce strategick\u00e1 iniciativa na jeho stranu. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee ani ob\u0159\u00ed dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed z\u00a0USA, \u0160v\u00e9dska, Brit\u00e1nie a odjinud na Ukrajinu nemohou v\u00fdznamn\u011bji zm\u011bnit pom\u011bry sil na boji\u0161ti prost\u011b proto, \u017ee Ukrajin\u011b chyb\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u00e9 po\u010dty voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

A v\u00a0t\u00e9to situaci se objevila v\u00a0agentu\u0159e Reuters informace, kterou si tato seri\u00f3zn\u00ed agentura zji\u0161\u0165ovala u \u010dty\u0159 r\u016fzn\u00fdch informa\u010dn\u00edch zdroj\u016f, \u017ee prezident Putin m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem jednat o ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Ov\u0161em s\u00a0t\u00edm, \u017ee by se lini\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed stala sou\u010dasn\u00e1 linie boj\u016f. Je to prvn\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed sign\u00e1l po dvou letech a v\u00a0situaci, kdy se rusk\u00fdm vojsk\u016fm na Ukrajin\u011b da\u0159\u00ed. A kdy \u0159ada evropsk\u00fdch politik\u016f (Macron a politici v\u00a0Pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech) uva\u017euj\u00ed o nasazen\u00ed kontingent\u016f voj\u00e1k\u016f ze Z\u00e1padu na ukrajinsk\u00e9 boji\u0161t\u011b, kter\u00e9 by se pokusily zm\u011bnit pom\u011bry sil na v\u00e1l\u010di\u0161ti ve prosp\u011bch Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

N\u00e1vrat k\u00a0realismu v\u00a0evropsk\u00e9 politice a tak\u00e9 v\u00a0politice USA nebude jednoduch\u00fd. Takov\u00e9to nasazen\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f ze st\u00e1t\u016f NATO by mohlo vyvolat jadern\u00fd konflikt. Rusov\u00e9 v\u00a0t\u011bchto t\u00fddnech cvi\u010d\u00ed.na sv\u00fdch man\u00e9vrech pou\u017eit\u00ed taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Ne strategick\u00fdch, ale taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Tedy zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mohly slou\u017eit ke zni\u010den\u00ed velk\u00fdch uskupen\u00ed protivn\u00edk\u016f anebo ke zni\u010den\u00ed konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f na \u00fazem\u00ed Ukrajiny. Anebo mo\u017en\u00e1 i za jej\u00edmi hranicemi. Tak\u017ee Z\u00e1pad a Rusko dnes maj\u00ed na v\u00fdb\u011br dv\u011b v\u011bci. M\u00edr nebo v\u00e1lku, kter\u00e1 se m\u016f\u017ee velmi z\u00e1hy zm\u011bnit v\u00a0jadern\u00fd konflikt. \u0158\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u0161patn\u00fd m\u00edr. A te\u010f je mo\u017en\u00e9 ten m\u00edr uzav\u0159\u00edt. P\u0159ipravovat nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o m\u00edru jako ta v\u00a0\u017denev\u011b bez Ruska, kde p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Zelensk\u00e9ho administrativy a tak\u00e9 r\u016fzn\u00ed Pavlov\u00e9 a Macronov\u00e9 jist\u011b schv\u00e1l\u00ed koncept, aby Rusko opustilo \u00fazem\u00ed na v\u00fdchod\u011b dne\u0161n\u00ed Ukrajiny. Tedy \u0159ekn\u011bme to \u00fapln\u011b otev\u0159en\u011b. \u00dazem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 jsou p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b rusk\u00e1. A to v\u010detn\u011b Krymu, jeho\u017e obyvatelstvo z\u00a080 \u2013 90 % tvo\u0159\u00ed Rusov\u00e9. Rusov\u00e9 tedy nemaj\u00ed pr\u00e1vo na sebeur\u010den\u00ed?<\/p>\n

Argumenty o tom, \u017ee bychom m\u011bli podporovat Ukrajinu a\u017e do (trpk\u00e9ho) konce v\u00e1lky, jsou nesmysln\u00e9 a nevych\u00e1zej\u00ed z\u00a0reality. Ukrajina nen\u00ed n\u00e1\u0161 spojenec. Nejsme s\u00a0n\u00ed v\u00e1z\u00e1ni \u017e\u00e1dnou spojeneckou smlouvou. Neexistuje ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd mand\u00e1t Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f pro veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti Rusku. \u00dazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si Rusko n\u00e1rokuje a kter\u00e9 vojensky dr\u017e\u00ed (a nepust\u00ed) se stala sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Ukrajinsk\u00e9 sov\u011btsk\u00e9 socialistick\u00e9 republiky aktem soci\u00e1ln\u00edho in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed, rozhodnut\u00edm Lenina a Stalina v\u00a0roce 1922. Za doby carstv\u00ed byla tato \u00fazem\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed jednotn\u00e9 Rusk\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e. P\u0159ipome\u0148me, \u017ee Krym byl podobn\u00fdm aktem soci\u00e1ln\u00edho in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed p\u0159ipojen k\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00e9 sov\u011btsk\u00e9 socialistick\u00e9 republice v\u00a0roce 1954 Nikitou Chru\u0161\u010dovem.<\/p>\n

Naopak tzv. \u00fazem\u00ed Sudet, jak b\u00fdvaj\u00ed nep\u0159esn\u011b ozna\u010dov\u00e1na pohrani\u010dn\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu od pozdn\u00edho st\u0159edov\u011bku osidlovan\u00e9 n\u011bmeck\u00fdm obyvatelstvem, byly v\u017edy integr\u00e1ln\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu. \u010cesk\u00e9ho kn\u00ed\u017eectv\u00ed a pozd\u011bji \u010cesk\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed. \u010ce\u0161t\u00ed kr\u00e1lov\u00e9, zejm\u00e9na posledn\u00ed P\u0159emyslovci zvali do zem\u011b n\u011bmeck\u00e9 kolonisty. Tak\u017ee je to \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad a jak\u00e9koliv p\u0159irovn\u00e1n\u00ed situace v\u00fdchodn\u00edch a ji\u017en\u00edch \u00fazem\u00ed Ukrajiny s \u010desk\u00fdm pohrani\u010d\u00edm prost\u011b kulh\u00e1. Ale vra\u0165me se k\u00a0p\u016fvodn\u00ed ot\u00e1zce. Chceme m\u00edr anebo v\u00e1lku? J\u00e1 chci m\u00edr. A pokud je mo\u017en\u00e9 dnes s\u00a0V. Putinem jednat o m\u00edru, je pot\u0159eba touto cestou kone\u010dn\u011b j\u00edt. V. Putin tak\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159il, podle rusk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f agentury Reuters, n\u00e1zor, \u017ee pokud Ukrajina a Z\u00e1pad nep\u0159ijmou tento n\u00e1vrh na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a zah\u00e1jen\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed, je Rusko p\u0159ipraveno bojovat d\u00e1l. O tom v\u016fbec nepochybuji. A pak je pot\u0159eba kl\u00e1st si ot\u00e1zku, zda je mo\u017en\u00e9 porazit zemi, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 ucelenou surovinovou z\u00e1kladnu, v\u00e1le\u010dnou v\u00fdrobu, kterou podle v\u0161eho p\u0159ed\u010d\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbrojovky a jej\u00ed\u017e hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed se nehrout\u00ed. A m\u00e1 velmi siln\u00e9 spojence, jak\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed Rusko v\u00a0dob\u00e1ch car\u016f nem\u011blo.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Poprv\u00e9 od ukon\u010den\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou v Turecku p\u0159ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":23371,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54577"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54577"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54577\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23371"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}