{"id":54489,"date":"2024-05-26T00:43:46","date_gmt":"2024-05-25T22:43:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=54489"},"modified":"2024-05-25T16:42:40","modified_gmt":"2024-05-25T14:42:40","slug":"spojene-kralovstvi-varovalo-pred-nejtvrdsimi-fiskalnimi-volbami-za-posledni-desetileti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/26\/spojene-kralovstvi-varovalo-pred-nejtvrdsimi-fiskalnimi-volbami-za-posledni-desetileti\/","title":{"rendered":"Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed varovalo p\u0159ed nejtvrd\u0161\u00edmi fisk\u00e1ln\u00edmi volbami za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Podle think tanku p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed britsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da zd\u011bd\u00ed spousty ekonomick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f a bude se muset rychle rozhodnout, jak je \u0159e\u0161it<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ekonomika Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed je v \u00fazk\u00fdch a nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 se dostane k moci po v\u0161eobecn\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch pl\u00e1novan\u00fdch na \u010dervenec, bude \u010delit nejt\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed fisk\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdzv\u011b, jakou zem\u011b za\u017eila za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed, uvedl think tank Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS)ve sv\u00e9m <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ifs.org.uk\/articles\/public-finances-and-2024-general-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span>hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0v sobotu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nov\u00e1 administrativa podle analytik\u016f zd\u011bd\u00ed t\u0159i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 probl\u00e9my: dluhovou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e bl\u00edzkou 100 % hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho produktu (HDP), vysok\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby a n\u00edzk\u00fd r\u016fst. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee vl\u00e1da m\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eomezen\u00fd prostor\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0pro \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed t\u011bchto v\u00fdzev a bude se muset rychle rozhodnout mezi n\u011bkolika neatraktivn\u00edmi mo\u017enostmi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jednou z mo\u017enost\u00ed, kterou v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci vybrali, je zav\u00e9st \u0161krty ve v\u00fddaj\u00edch. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee tato mo\u017enost\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201ebude nevyhnuteln\u011b bolestiv\u00e1\u201c,<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0proto\u017ee ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 slu\u017eby, ministerstvo vnitra, spravedlnost a m\u00edstn\u00ed samospr\u00e1va se ji\u017e nyn\u00ed pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s nedostatkem financ\u00ed. Dal\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed je dal\u0161\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dan\u00ed, ale to by bylo tak\u00e9 obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9m tempu maj\u00ed ji\u017e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.taxpayersalliance.com\/tax_burden_set_to_rise_to_80_year_high_by_2028_29\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span>v<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0letech 2028-29 dos\u00e1hnout 80let\u00e9ho maxima.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eSkute\u010dnost, \u017ee to sta\u010d\u00ed jen na stabilizaci dluhu za p\u011bt let, hovo\u0159\u00ed o obt\u00ed\u017enosti ekonomick\u00e9ho a fisk\u00e1ln\u00edho d\u011bdictv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 \u010dek\u00e1 na p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed vl\u00e1du,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0uvedl IFS.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>T\u0159et\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed, jak se vypo\u0159\u00e1dat s fisk\u00e1ln\u00edmi probl\u00e9my, by bylo p\u016fj\u010dit si v\u00edce, ale tento krok by d\u00e1le zv\u00fd\u0161il dluhov\u00e9 zat\u00ed\u017een\u00ed Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed, kter\u00e9 se jak vl\u00e1dn\u00ed konzervativn\u00ed strana, tak labouristick\u00e1 opozice zav\u00e1zaly stabilizovat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle analytik\u016f by v\u011bci mohly b\u00fdt snaz\u0161\u00ed, kdyby nomin\u00e1ln\u00ed HDP Spojen\u00e9ho kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed za\u010dal rychle r\u016fst, bu\u010f kv\u016fli vysok\u00e9 inflaci, nebo rychl\u00e9mu \u201ere\u00e1ln\u00e9mu\u201c ekonomick\u00e9mu r\u016fstu. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch progn\u00f3z v\u0161ak bude p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed britsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da \u010delit ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmu ne\u017e pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9mu r\u016fstu nomin\u00e1ln\u00edho HDP o 3,6 % ro\u010dn\u011b spolu s vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi ne\u017e pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdmi \u00farokov\u00fdmi v\u00fddaji dluhu, co\u017e podle IFS nen\u00ed slibn\u00e1 kombinace.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle \u0159editele IFS Paula Johnsona, kter\u00fd v rozhovoru pro Bloomberg komentoval zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9 agentury, by Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed mohlo doufat, \u017ee se r\u016fst HDP zrychl\u00ed, a vyhne se tak obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm nast\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdm ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b. Vyhl\u00eddka je v\u0161ak nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>&#8222;Pen\u00edze jsou m\u00e1lo.&#8220; Ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 slu\u017eby sk\u0159\u00edpaj\u00ed, dan\u011b jsou na historicky vysok\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch a ob\u011b strany jsou omezeny sv\u00fdmi velmi jasn\u00fdmi sliby, \u017ee dluhy klesnou&#8230; Mohli bychom m\u00edt z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed s r\u016fstem a uniknout z t\u011bchto t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed. Ale mo\u017en\u00e1 ne. To, \u017ee tis\u00edce anglick\u00fdch a skotsk\u00fdch fotbalov\u00fdch fanou\u0161k\u016f dr\u017e\u00ed palce a doufaj\u00ed v to nejlep\u0161\u00ed letos v l\u00e9t\u011b, neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee by p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed kabinet m\u011bl ud\u011blat tot\u00e9\u017e,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil Johnson.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Podle think tanku p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed britsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da zd\u011bd\u00ed spousty ekonomick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f a bude se muset rychle&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":54490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,303,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54489"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54489"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54489\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54490"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54489"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54489"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54489"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}